Nifty Analysis - Stance: Bullish
Recap from yesterday: “Nifty is definitely on cloud 9, the newfound momentum is intact and almost all the sectorial indices are strong. What next? Is a big question. Just like a goods train, it is difficult to stop the bull run that fast. For tomorrow, I wish to continue my bullish stance with the first support level at 21652.”
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Nifty Quarterly Analysis
Nifty has gained 2263pts ~ 11.6% in the 3rd Quarter of FY2023-24. Almost on 9 particular days, we hit new all-time highs.
1D chart link - click here
Nifty Monthly Analysis
Surprisingly 70% of the gains for the Q3 came in the December series. We rose 8.21% ~ 1653pts. 8 out of the 9 ATH breaks also came in the Dec series. It really was...
BankNifty Analysis
Was quite surprised to see BankNifty following the ascending channel’s bottom trendline with a near correlation. Only for a brief period, we traded in RED, once BN pulled itself above water - it was able to hold its level quite strongly.
4mts chart link - click here
KOTAKBANK, AXISBANK, and HDFCBANK were trading in green giving BN a...
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “Since Monday is a holiday, it gives us added uncertainty on what to expect on Tuesday. Despite the 94pts gain by Nifty — I still see the price action as negative. I would like to go with a bearish stance for 26th Dec.”
4mts chart link - click here
Seems like I got the bet wrong, despite weakening geopolitical events -...
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow, I wish to maintain my bearish stance and expect Nifty to trade between 18880 and 18762. If we break 18762, my next target would be 18597.”
Nifty took a breather today, opened gap up around the 18930 area and rose steadily. We did not retouch or break the low of 25 Oct ie 19075 zone, slightly indicating that the...
Nifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
Nifty fell a whopping 765pts ~ 3.90% between the last expiry and today. Most importantly it has retraced all its gains from 28th June to close below 18880. We will cover why that is relevant below, but this fall of 4% signals a reversal in trend. Even though VIX is still below 12%, it is showing a tendency to spike, reassuring the...
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “Since we are back at the 19310 levels, my point is — the next fall may be as deep as 18880 i.e 430pts ~ 2%. Nifty has no experience trading between these 2 zones earlier, so the supports should be equally powerless. I can mark the top of the candles as support zones, but they would be predictably weak (19190 & 18969).”
Nifty...
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “Keeping the global macros in mind, I still wish to continue my bearish stance and expect the 19446 to be taken out on Monday and retest the 19310 soon.”
If you watched the opening minutes, you would not have guessed the 283+ intraday fall possibilities. We had a flat open instead of a gap-down even after a weak handout from...
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: ”Since we are between 19446 and 19776, Nifty is still range bound — but BankNifty has fallen below the support and is looking weak. For tomorrow I wish to change my stance to bearish with the first target of 19511 and 2nd target of 19446. If we are climbing up, would not prefer to go long until 19776 is not taken out.”
Nifty...
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr chart, I wish to maintain the neutral stance until we break out or break down. Since we are near the resistance level, the probability of breaking out could be higher. That does not mean we jump the gun and take the trade early — patience is gold”
Nifty got a mega boost by the gap-up open of almost 118pts ~ 0.6%....
Nifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr pattern, the first thing I would like to do is change my stance from bullish to neutral. We have broken the 19776 support today and well above the 19446 zone. For Monday I wish to go with the neutral trades only and go short if we fall below 19614 in the forenoon session.”
We started the day with a strong red...
The first 5mts candle today had a swing range of 0.34% ~ 66pts but this did not drive up the OTM premiums. The majority of traders have forgotten what fear was like. India VIX was up 2 to 3% then and still in the 11.5 range. The complacency has gotten into the traders so deep that they think some dip buyers will come in and rally the markets by closing hour.
Today...
Nifty50 missed ATH by 6 points, the real reason was due to bank nifty - will explain it to you today.
Banknifty made some strange price actions today. Nifty50 had a gap up opening and was roaring to break the ATH, banknifty on the other had had an inline opening and was stuck below the resistance.
The real reason N50 couldn't scale the peak was because BN was...
SELL: 382 to 373
TARGET : 320
Reason For Selling This Script :
In this script it has formed head and shoulder pattern in in monthly time frame. Once this price close below the 320 in monthly time frame and then try sell. Waiting for neckline breakout.
Note :
Above given levels are based on monthly & weekly time frame . So be patience it will take some...
