PROTECTED SOURCE SCRIPT
AsliGold XAUUSD D1 Seasonal4 v2
AsliGold XAUUSD D1 Seasonal4 v2
## Description
A daily gold strategy that trades breakouts only during the four months
where gold has historically shown the strongest seasonal demand: January,
February, August, and September. Outside those months the system stays
flat. This is a calendar-filtered momentum system, not a pattern recognizer.
Why these four months
January and February capture post-holiday physical demand and Asian buying
ahead of Chinese New Year, when gold gifting and wealth preservation flows
peak. August and September capture the autumn jewelry season and Indian
festival demand leading into Diwali. These are recurring real-world flows,
not statistical artifacts.
Entry logic
Current month must be January, February, August, or September. Close must
trade above the 100-bar simple moving average. The bar's high must break
the prior 20-bar Donchian high. All three conditions on the same bar trigger
a long at next bar open.
Risk management
Initial stop at 1.5x ATR(14) below entry. Fixed take profit at 5x ATR above
entry, giving a clean 3.33R reward to risk target. Maximum 30 bars in trade.
Cooldown of 5 bars between exits and new entries. No trailing stop. The
fixed targets produce consistent R-multiple outcomes.
Performance
50 trades over 18.8 years on OANDA:XAUUSD. Win rate 62.0 percent. Profit
factor 5.02. Max drawdown 5.61 percent. All six market regimes from 2008
through 2026 produced positive returns. Average 2.7 trades per year,
clustered in the four trading months. This system was designed as a
portfolio component, not a standalone solution.
How to use
Apply to OANDA:XAUUSD on the daily timeframe. Risk 1 to 2 percent per trade.
Stays flat eight months of the year. Pairs naturally with volatility-based
gold breakout systems that fire in different conditions for portfolio
diversification.
Default Strategy Properties
Initial capital: 10,000 USD. Order sizing: 1 percent risk per trade via
ATR based fixed quantity. Pyramiding: 0. Commission: 0. Slippage: 0.
Dataset: OANDA:XAUUSD, daily. Sample size: 50 trades over 18.8 years.
## Description
A daily gold strategy that trades breakouts only during the four months
where gold has historically shown the strongest seasonal demand: January,
February, August, and September. Outside those months the system stays
flat. This is a calendar-filtered momentum system, not a pattern recognizer.
Why these four months
January and February capture post-holiday physical demand and Asian buying
ahead of Chinese New Year, when gold gifting and wealth preservation flows
peak. August and September capture the autumn jewelry season and Indian
festival demand leading into Diwali. These are recurring real-world flows,
not statistical artifacts.
Entry logic
Current month must be January, February, August, or September. Close must
trade above the 100-bar simple moving average. The bar's high must break
the prior 20-bar Donchian high. All three conditions on the same bar trigger
a long at next bar open.
Risk management
Initial stop at 1.5x ATR(14) below entry. Fixed take profit at 5x ATR above
entry, giving a clean 3.33R reward to risk target. Maximum 30 bars in trade.
Cooldown of 5 bars between exits and new entries. No trailing stop. The
fixed targets produce consistent R-multiple outcomes.
Performance
50 trades over 18.8 years on OANDA:XAUUSD. Win rate 62.0 percent. Profit
factor 5.02. Max drawdown 5.61 percent. All six market regimes from 2008
through 2026 produced positive returns. Average 2.7 trades per year,
clustered in the four trading months. This system was designed as a
portfolio component, not a standalone solution.
How to use
Apply to OANDA:XAUUSD on the daily timeframe. Risk 1 to 2 percent per trade.
Stays flat eight months of the year. Pairs naturally with volatility-based
gold breakout systems that fire in different conditions for portfolio
diversification.
Default Strategy Properties
Initial capital: 10,000 USD. Order sizing: 1 percent risk per trade via
ATR based fixed quantity. Pyramiding: 0. Commission: 0. Slippage: 0.
Dataset: OANDA:XAUUSD, daily. Sample size: 50 trades over 18.8 years.
Protected script
This script is published as closed-source. However, you can use it freely and without any limitations – learn more here.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Protected script
This script is published as closed-source. However, you can use it freely and without any limitations – learn more here.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.