sumonpal

Sumon Pal Momentum and Volume Strategy

This is a momentum and volume based strategy.

1. Barcolor is GREEN -> When Momentum is in green region and Volume is also in green region
2. Barcolor is RED -> When Momentum is in red region and Volume is in red region.
3. Barcolor is YELLOW -> Volume and Momentum is not going in same direction. Staying away from trading is good in this scenario.

Blue Star -> Long signal when Volume and Momentum both turns green.
Entry -> Closing (as per your desired timeframe) above High + 50% range of the signal bar.
Initial StopLoss -> As marked in the chart (ATR based SL)
Exit --> Two Approaches. Also check the 4th point in "Word of Caution"
1. Approach 1
a) 50% position can be liquidated at Target 1. Rest Stop Loss at entry price
b) 50% of rest position t target 2. Rest stop loss at target 3
c) Book all at target 3

2. Approach 2
a) Trail previous bar Trailing Stop Loss as marked in the chart.

As per your timeframe, you can follow ATR based trailing method

Red Star -> Short signal when Volume and Momentum both turns red.
Entry -> Closing (as per your desired timeframe) below Low - 50% range of the signal bar.
Initial StopLoss -> As marked in the chart (ATR based SL)
Exit --> Two Approaches. Also check the 4th point in "Word of Caution"
1. Approach 1
a) 50% position can be liquidated at Target 1. Rest Stop Loss at entry price
b) 50% of rest position t target 2. Rest stop loss at target 3
c) Book all at target 3

2. Approach 2
a) Trail previous bar Trailing Stop Loss as marked in the chart.

As per your timeframe, you can follow ATR based trailing method

Targets plotted in the chart are projected target only based on signal bar ATR. There is no guarantee that target will be met. Exit is more important than entry. In real time, we need to find out which one is best to exit if trade goes in our favor. In a rangebound market, we can consider booking profit near major previous swing, previous day high/low etc. In a trending market we can simply trail. So, exiting is more dependent on the market structure rather than labels plotted on the chart.

To make the chart net & clean, historical signal's entry/exit levels are not marked, only the recent entry/exit labels are plotted.

Fine tuning the entry->
a) You can use momentum and volume osc to check if the current signal is being supported by the momentum & volume osc or not.
b) If any positive divergence is observed in oversold region and signal is generated, don't miss the trade. Similar is applicable in overbought region.
c) If the signal/entry is around price range breakout level followed by volume and momentum support, probability of success is higher.

Word of Caution->
1. Be extra cautious on long in momentum indicator overbought zone.
2. Be extra cautious on short in momentum indicator oversold zone.
3. Ignore signals when Volume & Momentum Osc are flat and not showing any direction
4. Whipsaws could be there in rangebound market. To avoid that I follow the below process:
a) No fresh buy in first 15m (if timeframe is below 5m)
b) after 15m, mark the high low of first 15m min, ignore signals within the first 15m range
c) after 30m, mark the high low of first 30m min, ignore signals within the first 30m range
d) after 60m, mark the high low of first 30m min, ignore signals within the first 60m range
e) if price is within first hour opening range then any sell signal near opening range high can be traded subject to confirmation from volume and momentum. Target
can be near opening hour low. Same for buy signal. But this kind of trade is RISKY and advisable to avoid.
5. Refer only intraday signals for timeframe below 1hr. If signal was generated previous day and gets confirmed today, then do not trade.
6. Look for divergences in momentum osc and manage your current position accordingly.
7. On expiry day( NIFTY / BANKNIFTY ), I avoid this strategy because on expiry day generally volatility is high and entry/stop loss is sometime far away.

Lastly, wait for the closing above/below the entry price along with momentum and volume confirmation and follow stop loss religiously.

Disclaimer: Trading in equity is risky. Asses your risk profile before trading. Asses your risk profile and trade by managing proper risk. Backtest this strategy before putting real money in this strategy.

HAPPY TRADING.
Release Notes: 1. User can now provide lookback period and ATR multiplier to calculate TSL based on their preference. TSL will be plotted on the chart itself as step line
2. Target is based on the ATR period and T1 = 1 * atr(lookback period) | T2 = 2 * atr(lookback period). Based on volatility and time frame, user can customize that
3. Option included to hide/show labels and colors
4. Font size of the labels increased.
Release Notes: Update in this version:

a) Trade labels were overlapping with the chart candles. This has been fixed. Labels will appear on right-hand side of the last bar
b) Entry and Target prices are removed from the label as this was causing the overlapping. This was also removed. Instead the price levels will appear on chart scale (left side).
Release Notes: Based on feedback, prices are brought back next to the labels. If anyone not willing to view that then he/she can hide it from settings.
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Comments

bro is the logic of this based on the Patternz by subhadip nandy?
Reply
sumonpal karankayastha
@karankayastha, No bro, this is not patternz
Reply
Khub shundor indicator ta Sumon. Well done.
Reply
sumonpal shubro
@shubro, Thank you.. :)
Reply
bro did you backtest it on 5 min charts whats is its accuracy?
Reply
sumonpal karankayastha
@karankayastha, Yes it backtested on NIFTY 5m chart from 2020 1st January.

Do you prefer accuracy or expectancy/payoff? Backtested result shared on my telegram channel(not a advisory group, Q&A on this set up).
Reply
Wow Superbbb...very nicely getting the signals
Reply
sumonpal soumik948
@soumik948, thanks
Reply
New version updated...
Reply
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