GULPOLY: Multi-Year Trendline BreakoutOverview & Market Structure
Gulshan Polyols Limited ( NSE:GULPOLY ) has completed a multi-year accumulation structure between ₹120 and ₹140. Price has cleared the long-term descending resistance trendline on the weekly timeframe along with the 200-week EMA (₹177.36) on expanded volume.
Order Flow & Delta Confirmation
CVD Expansion: Daily Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) shifted heavily positive (+920K to +1.04M), confirming aggressive buying at the ask.
POI Retest: The current dip into the ₹200–₹211 POI zone serves as a structural retest of the broken trendline.
Fundamental & Catalyst Drivers
Q1 FY27 Net Profit surged 305% YoY to ₹53.51 Cr, with EPS rising to ₹17.21 TTM.
Supported by India's E20 Ethanol Blending Program.
Trade Setup & Key Levels
Optimal Entry Zone: ₹200.00 – ₹212.00 (Retest of POI / Breakout Area)
Invalidation / Stop Loss: Below ₹175.00 (Closing basis below 200 EMA)
Target 1: ₹260.00 (Minor Hurdle / Structural Level)
Target 2: ₹300.00+ (Macro Expansion Target)
Key Risks to Monitor
Board-approved capital raise of up to ₹2,500 Cr (watch for equity dilution pricing).
Raw material cost swings (grain/maize prices) impacting ethanol margins.
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Indicator/s Used in analysis
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Disclaimer
This post is strictly for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. I am a non-SEBI registered analyst. Please consult a qualified financial advisor and perform your own risk management before taking any financial positions.
Gulshan Polyols Limited
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In-depth trading ideas
Gulshan Polyols – Ethanol Story, target 40-50% upside🏭 Business Profile
Gulshan Polyols has transformed into one of India's leading grain-based ethanol producers with 810 KLPD capacity. Ethanol now contributes over 60% of revenue and profitability, supported by grain processing and mineral chemicals.
🚀 Structural Growth Story
The company has completed its heavy capex phase and is now entering a period of higher utilization, stronger margins and better cash generation. Management expects FY27 revenue of ₹2,600–2,800 Cr with 10–12% EBITDA margins.
🇮🇳 Ethanol Bull Run
India's ethanol blending program remains a powerful long-term tailwind. Gulshan has long-term OMC contracts till 2032, confirmed order visibility, spare capacity for higher production, and expects additional government allocations as blending increases.
💰 Financial Strength
FY26 marked a sharp turnaround:
Revenue +14%
EBITDA +131%
PAT +334%
Low-cost debt and improving working capital support stronger future cash flows.
📊 Technical View
After a healthy correction from ₹220, the stock is attempting to resume its uptrend. MACD has turned positive, momentum is improving, and price is reclaiming short-term resistance with rising volume. A sustained move above recent swing highs could trigger the next leg higher.
🎯 Trading Plan
Buy: ₹185–195 or on a decisive breakout above recent highs with volume.
Target 1: ₹220
Target 2: ₹270
Stop Loss: ₹175 (daily closing basis)
View: A high-conviction ethanol + earnings turnaround play where improving fundamentals are beginning to align with a strengthening technical setup.
GULSHAN POLYOLS LIMITED (NSE) — WEEKLY ELLIOTT WAVE OUTLOOKMarket Structure
NSE:GULPOLY appears to have completed a complex corrective Wave (2), ending with a textbook 5-wave decline inside a falling channel. Price has now broken above the channel resistance, suggesting that the correction may be complete and the next impulsive cycle could be underway.
Elliott Wave Count
Primary Wave (1) completed near ₹354.15.
Complex ABC corrective Wave (2) unfolded over several years.
Final leg ((c)) completed as a clear 5-wave impulse.
Recent breakout above the descending channel increases the probability that Primary Wave (3) has begun.
Technical Observations
Breakout from long-term falling channel
Higher low formation after Wave (5) bottom
Increasing buying interest near support
Weekly trend attempting to reverse after prolonged correction
Key Levels
Current Price: ₹197.74 as on 27/07/2026
Immediate Resistance: ₹220–225
Major Resistance: ₹260
Long-term Confirmation: Above ₹260
Invalidation: Sustained close below ₹ 140-150
Bullish Scenario
If the breakout sustains, Wave (3) typically becomes the strongest Elliott Wave and can extend significantly beyond Wave (1). A move above ₹220 would strengthen the bullish outlook, while a decisive break above ₹260 would confirm higher-degree trend continuation.
Trading Plan
Aggressive Entry: On current breakout with proper risk management.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a successful retest of the breakout zone.
Risk Management: Keep stop-loss below the recent swing low or below the channel breakout level according to your trading strategy.
Conclusion
The long corrective phase appears to be ending, and Gulshan Polyols may be entering a fresh impulsive uptrend. The channel breakout, completed Elliott Wave structure, and improving price action all favor a bullish outlook, though confirmation above key resistance levels is still required.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and reflects my personal interpretation of Elliott Wave Theory and technical analysis. Financial markets are inherently uncertain, and wave counts are subject to change as new price action develops.
This publication is not financial, investment, or trading advice, nor is it a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation and risk tolerance, and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in GULPOLY
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Gulshan Polyols Ltd - Downtrend Breakout Attempt!Want more such charts?
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(Gulshan Polyols Ltd)
🗓️ Date: April 18, 2025
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Breakout in Progress
Stock has been respecting a descending trendline since August 2024.
Price is currently testing the trendline resistance, with today's candle showing a potential breakout.
Closing above this trendline will confirm breakout with short-term bullish bias.
🔄 Support & Resistance Levels
🧱 Support Zone: ₹157.74 – ₹160.56
📉 Resistance Trendline: Around ₹200 – ₹205 zone
📈 Next Resistance: ₹225, followed by ₹250
📊 Volume Analysis
A volume spike of 363.66K supports today’s breakout candle
Indicates strong interest and buying pressure building up near resistance
🧠 Interpretation:
This chart represents a classic trendline breakout structure:
Price forming higher lows
Buyers gradually absorbing selling pressure at resistance
Volume confirming strength
A daily close above ₹205 can be considered as breakout confirmation.
Targets post-breakout could range between ₹225 – ₹250 in coming sessions.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: ₹157 – ₹160
Breakout Confirmation: Above ₹205
Upside Targets: ₹225 and ₹250
🏢 Company Fundamentals (Snapshot):
Sector: Chemicals & Ethanol
Specialty: Manufacturer of industrial chemicals, ethanol, and food-grade products
Growth Drivers:
Rising demand for ethanol blending in fuel
Diversified product portfolio
Government policy tailwinds on ethanol
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in GULPOLY
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
GULPOLY LOOKING GOOD UPSIDE STRENGTH Gulpoly give us information about accumulation (buyers are active at support level) where many time huge volume supply seems, i think this is the good time to buy it with TARGETS and SL.
It's not any recommendation for buy and sell it this is only for education purpose
GULSHAN POLY: Expecting strong bounce⚡️Price Analysis:
1️⃣ Approaching major support level with heavy volume interest
2️⃣ Multiple tests of demand zone showing strong accumulation
3️⃣ EMAs aligned bearishly - indicating selling momentum
4️⃣ Historical support zone coinciding with current levels.
✨ Key Observations:
➡️ Strong demand zone providing multiple bounces
➡️ Trendline break can trigger further continuation for trend reversal
➡️ Multiple timeframe support convergence at current zone.
➡️ RRR looks favorable with 1:3RRR
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Views are personal. Please, do your due diligence before investing.⚠️
💬 Comment down your thoughts below ✌️
🔥 Happy Trading!✅🚀
Potential upmove | Bottom fishing - GULPOLYThese analysis is based on bottom fishing method. Meaning that the stock shows an uprising potential from the bottom. Fundamentally it can be due to any major decisions in the management or tremendous performance shown or any such positive actions. Technically, it would have shown an upmove using MA or RSI breakout or any such analysis.
IMPORTANT : Wait for weekly close above the breakout level.
The secret sauce is not revealed here that how I pick my stocks, however the idea is shared as an educational material. This will also help me to keep a track of my accuracy in doing analysis. Hence & also, I request anyone not to take any positions based on the accuracy of my previous feeds or moving forward.
Do your own research and analysis before investing your hard earned money.
Checkout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favour that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED!
NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!!
#No complicated chart patterns
#No big big indicators
#No Excel sheet or number magics
Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money.
Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts.
The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play.
LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
Long term 2 about to be done - Might test some more patience!Gulpoly had a strong run post Covid - part of the chemical stack.
EPS has started improving in June results.
Expecting the correction in wave 2 to be over anytime soon, and a major run up in Wave 3 to start.
It might test patience in short term, but the results should be sweeter.
Trend Breakout And Retest Done Again Forming Same Pattern- Trend Breakout and Retest: Gulshan Polypols has experienced a trend breakout followed by a retest of the breakout level. The stock is now forming the same pattern after the retracement, which could indicate a potential continuation of the uptrend.
- Trading Near Resistance with High Volume Zone: The stock is currently trading near a resistance level with a high volume zone. This suggests that there is significant buying interest at these levels, which could help push the stock higher.
- Strong Support from Lower Levels & 50 SMA: Gulshan Polypols is receiving strong support from lower levels, which indicates that there is buying interest at these levels. Additionally, the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is acting as a support level, further bolstering the bullish case for the stock.
- Technical Outlook:
- Breakout and Retest: The breakout followed by a retest is a bullish sign, indicating that the stock may continue to move higher.
- Volume Analysis: The high volume zone near the resistance level suggests that there is significant buying interest, which could help propel the stock higher.
- Support Levels: The strong support from lower levels and the 50 SMA indicates that the stock is well-supported and may continue to rise.
### Conclusion:
Gulshan Polypols has experienced a trend breakout and retest, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend. The stock is currently trading near a resistance level with a high volume zone, suggesting significant buying interest. Additionally, the stock is receiving strong support from lower levels and the 50 SMA. Traders and investors should consider these factors in their analysis and watch for further confirmation of the uptrend before making trading decisions.
Gulshan Polyols at breakout point✔️You can see breakout point in the chart and it looks good both technically and fundamentally.
→ check the numbers
→ market cap
→ business
→ chart etc etc
study then invest✅
About the company
Gulshan Polyols Ltd is one of the largest manufacturers of Precipitated Calcium Carbonate and Sorbitol in India. It is a market leader with a substantial market share in the respective segments.
Two breakouts at same timeChart -> GULPOLY Daily
Descending channel and flag and pole break out together on the chart, with huge volume.
CMP: 275
Good Range: 260 to 275
Target: 305, 340
SL: 255 Daily Close
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not any recommendations to buy or sell. As I am not SEBI registered, please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
GULSHAN POLY : NICE CHART PATTERNFundamentally good stocks - Looking good on chart
TGT - 450 & 500+(Positional)
𝑫𝒊𝒔𝒄𝒍𝒂𝒊𝒎𝒆𝒓:
The analysis is only for illustration purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor, agent, broker before acting on any information. We may or may not have positions in the stock and our actions may be contrary to the one mentioned here. This analysis may or may not be updated. We would not be responsible for the profit/loss resulting from this analysis






















