BTCUSDT.5S trade ideas
Bitcoin IN CME Gap after Fib circle encounter - what now ?
As mentioned in a previous post, PA got "hit" by the same Fib circle that rejected the 2021 Cycle ATH - the difference being that PA got THROUGH the Fib circle Before turning down and so now, we slide down the outside, in a position of strength to be able to move higher when wanted.
As can be seen on the Daily chart below
This has also brought PA into the CME Gap as expected
Currently, PA is recovering having filled only HALF the gap.
I fully expect PA to return and complete the fill at some point.
Also note the rising line of support that we are heading towards. If we carry on like this, we intersect with it on 3rd March, Next Wednesday at a price around 77400
We will have to wait and see what happens there but this is also where the 50 week SMA will be and so, as said previously, I am expecting PA to bounce strongly
But this is Bitcoin....We have to wait and see what happens and react accordingly.
A Drop Lower would take us out of the Mid 20% Drops we have been having this cycle as can be seen on main chart.
The Next line of rising support on this chart is around -40% and is around the 100 week SMA
I am not to sure we will go there..... But.................
MACD divergence tradingMACD divergence trading helps identify trend reversals using Bullish and Bearish divergences. Bullish divergence occurs when the price makes lower lows, but MACD makes higher lows, signaling a potential uptrend. Bearish divergence happens when the price makes higher highs, but MACD makes lower highs, indicating weakness. Combining MACD divergence with support-resistance and volume analysis increases trade accuracy.
Bitcoin - Targets 116K 126K 148KIn chart i have shown why price is holding at 83K and may not fall further now. Price height from Point of Control to ATH is all most equal to the price range from POC to low of 83 K . IT could have been taken support at 87 or above 83 but due to fear it has seen 83. True some selling came from various sources and little frauds too. But still price is acting technically now. And in wave theory its completion of 4th wave and once support seems to be taking at 83K and move in 5th wave then targets are coming as 116, 126 and 148 K. Serious. These are 5th wave levels as per wave theory. BTC is sure Bullish and soon +ve news are expected and price will follow the Bullish trend. Time duration is not sure up price will march up and up only
Bitcoin Daily just landed on the 200 SMA - what now ?Many people are expecting Bitcoin to Bounce off the 200 day SMA ( yellow & Arrowed)
But I just want to point out what happened last time we tanged for a long time.
We did NOT bounce of it untill PA was ready to
In fact, er fell below numerous times.
So, SORRY, don;t get your hopes up BUT we can watch and react.......
It may bounce but I doubt for long.....
Time will tell
BTC#18: BTC plunges, destination and trading opportunities at th🔥 So BTC has corrected. However, how much it has decreased, we will analyze it right away: 🔥
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 Widespread Pessimism, Cryptocurrency Market Plunges Sharply
————
⚫Bitcoin and altcoins plunge: Bitcoin drops nearly 5% to $90,000, Ethereum loses more than 10% in two days, Solana drops 15%, Dogecoin drops 13%.
⚫The market is still affected by the $1.4 billion hack last week. Bybit announces compensation but Ethereum is still under pressure.
⚫Weak market sentiment: Many meme coins collapse, limited capital flows cause altcoins to lose value sharply. Solana under selling pressure as it prepares to unlock $1.72 billion in tokens on March 1.
⚫Crypto-related stocks also plunge: Coinbase down for six consecutive sessions, MicroStrategy down 5.7%, BTC mining stocks fall sharply.
🚀 MicroStrategy continues to buy BTC: The company bought another 20,356 BTC worth $1.99 billion, bringing its total BTC holdings to 499,096 VND (~$33.1 billion).
🛫Forecast: The downtrend may continue if market sentiment does not improve and cash flow does not return to altcoins.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: the bullish structure has been broken and turned bearish. Pessimistic sentiment covers the entire market so it will be difficult to see an immediate recovery
🔹 **H4 frame**: the bearish price structure is more clearly shown. The nearest resistance zone is 93x
🔹 **H1 frame**: the price line is still quite far from the horizontal or diagonal resistance zone, the current price has recovered a bit but the market sentiment is still hesitant about the Fibo 23.6 area as you can see on the chart
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔The current time is not suitable to catch the bottom of BTC, not only the market sentiment is pessimistic but the basic information has not seen any positive news for BTC. We will need to patiently wait for confirmation from the price line
✅ Priority at the moment. Currently is looking for a SELL position following the main trend. The sharp price drop will have a recovery adjustment but pay attention to stick to the price structure and do not be greedy.
💪 **Good luck trading!**
Bitcoin buy 87500-87000 SL 85500 Target 94300-700How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 11.4% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 21.4% then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 11.4% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking 21.4%
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3% ( early trade if entry at 11.4% )
Target T1 : 35.1% to 38.2%
Target T3 : 50.1% to 53.2%
T3: 61.8% to 65.1% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 21.4% or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 11.4% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 21.4% , 28.3 , 35.1 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Bitcoin long term sell given103000 , 86500 Target hit 69500 nextHow to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 20.2% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 20.2% then early or risky traders can reversal trade ,
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3%
Target T1 : 37.8 %
Target T3 : 48.1%
T3: 60.2% to 66.9 % is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Next Targets are 77.5 % , 88.1 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.3% , 141.2% and 160.2 , 177.5. final Target 200%
160.2 to 177.5% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 20.2 % or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 10.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 20.2% , 28.3 , 37.8 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
BITCOIN PA got rejected by the same Fib Circle as Nov 2021 ATH
This may not really Mean anything other than to show how amazing Fib Circles are and how they have a legacy in the past, even if the anchors are in the future.
Let me Explain.
To Draw a Fib circle, on the whole, we place one Anchor on a Low point of PA and then place a 2nd on a high
These Fib Circles have their Anchors in Early 2023
But Look how these Circles cross PA back in 2021.
The Current Circle that PA just went through and then turned down in the 2.618
On the Left side of the chart, see that Fib Circlwe that rejected March 2021 ATH..thats the 3.618 which we will cross again from July 2025
See what happened with the inner circle, the 1.618, on both occasions the PA ran into it.
Just somethin to think about while we wait for BTC PA to Dip down to 77K and bounce back up ;-)
Bitcoin book profit newr 86700 sell given at 95500How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st D point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing SL: 20.2% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 20.2% then early or risky traders can reversal trade ,
Targets :
Target T1 : 28.3%
Target T1 : 37.8 %
Target T3 : 48.1%
T3: 60.2% to 66.9 % is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Next Targets are 77.5 % , 88.1 % 100% , 113.5 % , 127.3% , 141.2% and 160.2 , 177.5. final Target 200%
160.2 to 177.5% if profit booking area so book full profit and wait for reversal.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection pattern based .
After showing reversal levels wait for confirmation until 20.2 % or 28.3 % level not break if break then exit from current buy / sell trade and take fresh reverse trade buy/ sell .
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 10.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point D ( 0% ) .
Target is same as early 20.2% , 28.3 , 37.8 and so on
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance