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BTCUSDT trade ideas

Bitcoin Blueprint 2024Unpopular opinion: I don't think BTC is going straight to new ATH. A good shakeout remains ahead. A combination of price and time capitulation. After great introspection, I believe that Bitcoin will range till September this year and will begin it's parabolic expansion in that month. Previous ATH should be tested in the month of Nov/Dec, if this manifests. Halving in April will get a lot of attention but price doesn't move until 2-3 months later. Don't get liquidated trading the chop. Find new narratives and play select alts. God Speed.
by Degengambleh
1
HOW-TO use blackcat1402 L3 Emotion LineI. Overview The Emotion Line is an innovative technical indicator that captures market sentiment by analyzing price dynamics. It calculates the average of opening, high, low, and closing prices over the past three days and combines the concepts of Dynamic Moving Average (DMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to generate a value reflecting market sentiment. Implemented in Pine Script on the TradingView platform, the Emotion Line provides users with an intuitive tool for market sentiment analysis. II. Calculation Method Ray: Compute the average of the past three days' prices, i.e., (2 * C + H + L) / 4, where C is the closing price, H is the highest price, and L is the lowest price. Then, take the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of this average over 3 days with a smoothing factor of 2. CL (Close Line): Assign the value of Ray to CL, which serves as the basis for further calculations. DIR1 (Directional Change): Calculate the absolute difference between CL and the CL of the previous two days, indicating the magnitude of price movement. VIR1 (Volume in Range): Compute the sum of the absolute differences between CL and the previous day's CL over the past two days, measuring the accumulation of price fluctuations. ER1 (Efficiency Ratio): The ratio of DIR1 to VIR1, measuring the efficiency of price movement. CS1 (Cumulative Strength): Apply a weighted process to ER1 to obtain CS1. CQ1 (Cumulative Quotient): The square of CS1, further strengthening the cumulative effect of price movement. AMA5 (Adjusted Moving Average): Calculate the Dynamic Moving Average (DMA) of CL with the dynamic factor CQ1, then apply a 2-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to the result. Cost: Calculate the 7-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of AMA5. CLX (Composite Line): Compute the average of AMA5 and Cost to obtain CLX. Emotion Line: Calculate the proportion of CLX increasing continuously for N days, with N defaulting to 7 days. Multiply the result by 100 to get the Emotion Line value. MA_emotionLine (Moving Average Emotion Line): Compute the M-day moving average of the Emotion Line, with M defaulting to 6 days. III. Market Logic By analyzing the cumulative effect and efficiency of price movement, the Emotion Line attempts to reveal the strength of market sentiment. When the Emotion Line rises, it indicates a positive market sentiment, and investors may have an optimistic attitude towards the stock; a falling Emotion Line may signal a weakening market sentiment. The absolute value and trend changes of the Emotion Line can provide investors with references for buying, holding, or selling. IV. Usage Attention Signal: When the Emotion Line exceeds 20%, the market sentiment may begin to be positive, and investors should pay attention to related stocks. Entry Signal: When the Emotion Line exceeds 40%, the market sentiment is relatively strong, and investors may consider entering the market. Reduce Position Signal: When the Emotion Line exceeds 80%, the market may be overly optimistic, and investors should consider reducing their positions to avoid risk. Exit Signal: When the Emotion Line breaks below its M-day moving average, it may signal a shift in market sentiment, and investors should consider exiting the market. V. Notes The Emotion Line is an auxiliary tool, and investors should make comprehensive judgments based on other technical analysis and fundamental analysis. Market sentiment is influenced by various factors, and the Emotion Line may have lag, so investors should use it cautiously. Investors should adjust the parameters of the Emotion Line according to their risk tolerance and investment strategy. VI. Conclusion The Emotion Line is an intuitive indicator that reflects market sentiment through quantitative methods, providing a new perspective for investors to observe market dynamics. However, no technical indicator is foolproof, and investors should remain cautious when using it, combining their personal experience and market conditions to make decisions. Through the TradingView platform, investors can easily add the Emotion Line indicator to their charts to assist in their trading decision-making process.
Education
by blackcat1402
BTC Sideways to Bearish - selling Call spreadsBearish View on BTCUSDT Trade: Sell 41400 Call option of 27 January expiry @ $130 Buy 41800 Call option of 27 January expiry @ $80 Stop Loss: Spot level = $41400 Target: Premium = $0 in both legs Max Profit: $50/BTC Rationale: The most recent movement in BTC suggests a potential temporary halt in the upward momentum, with noticeable retracements in play. Moreover, a recently established supply zone/resistance has been pinpointed on the charts. For risk management, we recommend setting a stop loss at 40500 to invalidate the aforementioned setup.
by Delta-Ex-research
1
BTC Bearish - Call spreads playBearish View on BTCUSDT Trade: Buy 38000 Put option of 26 January expiry @ $150 Sell 37500 Put option of 26 January expiry @ $100 Stop Loss: Spot level = $40500 Target: Spot level of $37500 Max Profit: $450/BTC Rationale: The most recent movement in BTC suggests a potential temporary halt in the upward momentum, with noticeable retracements in play. Moreover, a recently established supply zone/resistance has been pinpointed on the charts. For risk management, we recommend setting a stop loss at 40500 to invalidate the aforementioned setup.
by Delta-Ex-research
btcusdtThe downward trend of BTCUSDT continued on Wednesday, surpassing the psychological support level of $40,000 and trading around $39,600. The strong support for further decline is evident as it trades below both EMA lines and shows clear reversal signals from the EMA 34. Based on chart analysis and the use of Fibonacci, there is a potential for a DOW (Dead Cat Bounce) after the corrective phase. The low point below the 1.618 level (around $35,100) would be the first profit-taking opportunity for sellers at the current time and in the scenario mentioned above.
Short
by RKarina
BTC market review in the context of Bitcoin-ETF adoption📈 Technical analysis BTC/USDT After the approval of the Bitcoin spot ETF, the price of BTC broke out of the parallel price channel and updated its local maximum to the level of 49,000, where its growth was halted by a significant resistance block. The lack of active Bitcoin growth surprised many market participants, but this can be explained by the fact that the approval of spot BTC ETFs was already factored into the price due to market expectations. The market had long been fueled by news, and major players had invested in Bitcoin before the SEC's final decision. A bearish divergence has formed on the RSI indicator on both 1-hour (1H) and 1-day (1D) charts. Therefore, in case sellers manage to push below the dynamic support line EMA50 on the 1-hour chart, we expect the continuation of a local correction in the range between the 0.5 - 0.78 Fibonacci correction levels. There, the Point of Control (POC) and the 1-day imbalance zone are located, where gaps in horizontal levels of trading volumes need to be closed. The nearest significant support block, from which a rebound may occur, is at levels 44000-45000. To continue the rise in the price of Bitcoin, it needs to consolidate above the upward trendline of resistance. In the event that buyers manage to overcome significant resistance blocks at 48000-50000 and 52000-53000, the upward trend may continue. 📉 Bitcoin market global analysis The price of Bitcoin has reached exactly the 0.68 Fibonacci correction level from the entire decline since reaching the all-time high (ATH) in 2021. The next target for growth is the 0.78 Fibonacci level. But there is a significant resistance block is situated on the way in the range of 48000-53000. However, it's worth noting that almost uninterrupted upward movement has persisted for the past three months. The RSI indicator readings are in the overbought zone, increasing the likelihood of a local correction before the continuation of the upward trend. If, under selling pressure, the price consolidates below the level of 38500, we can anticipate a correction in the range of 0.38-0.5 Fibonacci levels and a retest of the 200-week moving average. A retest of the global ascending trendline might occur there. Additionally, there is the 1-week Imbalance zone at 34000-31000 where needs to close gaps at horizontal levels of trading volumes. 💠 Analysis of zones and levels for making trading decisions The Fear and Greed Index is in the extreme greed zone at 76. The total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market has increased to 1,725 billion dollars, and the Bitcoin dominance index has risen to 52.6. According to the analysis of the accumulation of large order blocks in exchange order books, demand and supply zones are located at the following levels: 🟢 Demand Zone: 35000 - 41000 🔴 Supply Zone: 48000 - 53000 Levels for long positions: 44000-45000 - large support block 37000-41000 - largest support block 34000-35000 - zone of possible retest of the trend line 30000-31000 - zone of possible retest of the 200-week moving average Levels for short positions: 48000-50000 - large resistance block 42000-53000 - large resistance block 57000 - 0.78 Fibonacci retracement level 📊 Fundamental analysis On Wednesday, January 10, 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the first-ever Bitcoin spot ETFs in the United States. On that day, a large volume of BTC was transferred to exchanges, likely with the intention of subsequent sales. The behavior of major market participants may suggest that, in their view, the price of BTC is approaching a local peak. It's also important to note that ETFs will start accepting capital only when trading opens in the U.S., and all those wishing to participate in trading have already invested in BTC before the SEC's final decision. 🌐 Upcoming Events in the Global Economy The following dates are expected to bring increased volatility in both the stock and cryptocurrency markets: ➤ January 25, 16:30 - U.S. GDP Data for the 4th Quarter of 2023. ➤ January 30, 17:00 - U.S. Labor Market Data - JOLTS for December 2023. ➤ January 31, 2024, 21:00 - New Fed Interest Rate Decision. 📈 Statistics of signals from our AI trading indicator: In December 2023, Bitcoin price showed good upward dynamics on expectations of the spot Bitcoin-ETF adoption. Our trading indicator, as always, warned about this in advance! And even during the flat period it gave good entry points. Thanks to the latest updates, all signals have become profitable, and built-in Anti-Flat System prevented losses from manipulative market movements. Total price movement by all signals: +36.32% Maximum price movement: +18.16% Average price movement: 5.18%
by TradeINEX
BTC DOWN - TIME FOR SOME RETRECEMENTS - CALL SPREADS IN PLAYBearish View on BTCUSDT Trade: Buy 41400 Call option of 25 January expiry @ $150 Sell (2x) 42400 Call option of 25 January expiry @ $60 each Stop Loss: Spot level = $39000 Target: Spot level of $42400 Max Profit: $970/BTC Rationale: The most recent movement in BTC suggests a potential temporary halt in the upward momentum, with noticeable retracements in play. Moreover, a recently established supply zone/resistance has been pinpointed on the charts. For risk management, we recommend setting a stop loss at 39000 to invalidate the aforementioned setup.
by Delta-Ex-research
BTCUSDT: What will happen this week?Dear friends, as predicted earlier, BTCUSDT continues its downward trend, currently at $41,178, marking a decrease of nearly 1.08% for the day. Technical analysis indicates that BTC has been unable to surpass the crucial resistance level at $43,600. Furthermore, the convergence of EMA and the resistance zone at $42,238 further suggests the possibility of further decline. If BTCUSDT breaks below the strong support level at $40,200, we may witness a significant drop compared to the initial profit-taking point of around $37,700 for sellers, as there is no solid support to reverse the previous trend. What are your thoughts on how BTCUSDT will evolve in the near future?
Short
by RKarina
BTC Sandwiched in support and resitance - sell optionsSideways View on BTCUSDT Trade: Sell 43000 Call option of 24 January expiry @ $90 Sell 39000 Put option of 24 January expiry @ $90 Stop Loss: Premium  = $180 in each leg Target: Premium = $0 in both legs Max Profit: $180/BTC Rationale: After a remarkable uptrend in BTC, we witnessed a pullback from the 45000 levels, resulting in a decline in BTC’s value to 41000. We have a support areas / demand zone at 40000 levels on 4 HR time frame. Consequently, the price is now caught between newly established support and resistance areas in the recent price movements, rendering BTC sideways in the short term.
by Delta-Ex-research
I am Restarting the series [write or wrong][LEARNER] last 2 years back I started a series of ideas for my analysis as I predicted correct or not. then I made hardly 10 ideas then I stopped because I am a college student who can't manage my work and trading now I have completed college I want to become a full-time trader so I decided to make a series of ideas for my analysis from today so don't follow my ideas I am not a professional trader and I don't have more experience I just started 2020 (not fulltime ). right now BTC was rejected from the level of 49000 next it will be at the weekly support of 31635 level. one of my trading plan rules is a) If the BTC is in an uptrend 80% of your positions are long. b)if the BTC is in an downtrend 80% of your positions are short. because a sudden dip or pump can't affect our position. this is my public journal can't take seriously. any suggestions and tips are accepted we can grow together. Day 1 (21/01/2024) Target 200$ to one million (01/01/2025) AIM FOR THE STARS AT LEAST YOU ARE IN THE MOON (WE TOGETHER) NOTE: from now I will analyze crypto coins.
Short
by HEAD-SHOT_PRO
BTCUSDTHello dear friends! Yesterday, BTCUSDT continued its downward trend, with the price dropping to $41,284 and approaching the strong support level of $40,500. This is a significant price level that has helped BTCUSDT rebound multiple times. If the price continues to decline further and breaks through this support zone, it will quickly drop to $37,700. The overall trend of BTCUSDT is still uncertain, so be cautious when trading by setting your take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels accordingly!
Short
by RKarina
1