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GOLD.F trade ideas

Only one thing that rules the market and it's not LiquidityLiquidity is a very subjective but most of the time a baseless and useless concept because it is everywhere in the market. Also, there is nothing on the charts that tells a trader which liquidity is the price going to take and reverse or not. Even though if it worked 2 years ago, now it doesn't cos of your favourite youtubers and insta guru's that won't stop making videos on it just to make it saturated. There is only one thing that drives the price and it is not liquidity
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Jass_Mankoo
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 14, 2025Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD August 14, 2025 1. Momentum Analysis • D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of reversal. Although price may not reverse immediately when the two momentum lines converge, this is a clear signal that the current selling pressure is weakening. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining and has only formed 2 H4 candles since the reversal began. It will likely take another 2–3 H4 candles to enter the oversold zone and potentially reverse upward. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is also falling, suggesting a likely downward move during the Asian session. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • On H1, price is moving in a choppy manner, indicating a corrective phase that has nearly reached its target. • However, the D1 momentum preparing to reverse upward creates two possible scenarios: Scenario 1: D1 momentum reverses upward and confirms → The uptrend could last for 4–5 days, conflicting with the current scenario of a corrective wave B. In this case, we would have an alternative scenario of an initial diagonal wave 1 as shown in the right-hand chart. Scenario 2: D1 momentum enters the oversold zone and stays there → A strong drop would be needed to confirm that the current price action is wave B. ________________________________________ 3. Two Potential Price Scenarios 1. WXY corrective pattern → Target for wave Y is around 3381. 2. Initial diagonal wave 1 → Wave 2 could decline toward 3345 before wave 3 rises again. This scenario currently aligns better with the D1 momentum signal. ________________________________________ Conclusion: At present, there is a conflict between momentum signals and wave structure. Further observation is required to determine a clearer trading plan, so no trade recommendation for today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD consolidates, awaiting a reboundFollowing last night’s US PPI data coming in higher than expected (0.2% vs. 0.0%), XAUUSD faced strong selling pressure as markets priced in expectations that the Fed will keep interest rates higher for longer. This boosted the US Dollar and Treasury yields, pushing gold down to around 3,346 USD. Technically, price is still moving within a wide sideways range between 3,284 and 3,450 USD, but the short-term trend remains capped by a descending trendline from recent highs. The 3,346 USD zone is acting as a trendline touchpoint, potentially leading to a sideways accumulation around 3,312 – 3,346 before a mild rebound. If the 3,284 USD support holds, the probability of a technical bounce toward 3,346 – 3,379 USD is high, especially as buyers may use the range’s lower boundary to accumulate positions. Conversely, a break below 3,284 USD could trigger stronger selling pressure toward 3,254 USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
1
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 14, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 14, 2025: Gold prices continued to rise in the European session on August 13, 2025 as mild US inflation data raised expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, while a weaker US dollar also boosted demand for gold. Fundamental news: The US labor market report earlier this month initially weighed on the greenback, but the latest US CPI data added pressure as it did not show a clear acceleration in inflation due to tariffs in July. The inflation data reinforced the possibility that the Fed will take a more dovish stance in September, which is what the market is expecting. Technical analysis: After a deep correction to the 3330 area, gold prices showed signs of increasing again. On the H1 frame, an upward price channel has been formed, but the current MA lines are still moving sideways, not showing a clear trend. The 3350 - 3355 area will be the important area to decide whether this uptrend channel can hold or not. RSI on H1 and H4 timeframes has entered the buy zone, this is a very good condition for us to trade. We will trade at the support zones and large liquidity zones of gold prices. Important price zones today: 3350 - 3355, 3335 - 3340. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3350 - 3352 SL 3347 TP 3355 - 3365 - 3375 - 3390. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3335 - 3337 SL 3332 TP 3340 - 3350 - 3370 - 3390. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3388 - 3390 SL 3393 TP 3385 - 3375 - 3365 - 3355 (small volume). Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by fludaytoo
Gold Plan 14/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 14/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ Background Yesterday, Gold touched the Sell Scalp zone and cruised smoothly for 220 pips 🎯. However, it failed to break the previous Buy Zone and is now maintaining a bullish structure on the H1 chart, with higher lows forming. Today, the market may move slower as traders await the US PPI data , so each entry point must be taken with caution. Zone 1 – Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Main Buy Zone – SMC Demand) Entry: 3,334 – 3,332 SL: 3,327 TP: 3,338 → 3,342 → 3,346 → 33xx Note: This is the main buy zone, aligned with the SMC Demand Zone. Enter only if there’s a clear reversal signal (Pin Bar / Engulfing) on M15/H1. Zone 2 – Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone – SMC Supply) Entry: 3,398 – 3,400 SL: 3,407 TP: 3,394 → 3,390 → 3,386 → 33xx Note: Strong sell zone. Watch price reaction before entry. Prefer partial profit-taking along the way. Today’s Scenarios If price tests Golden Harbor → Wait for pin bar or engulfing, then Buy in line with the uptrend. If price approaches Storm Breaker → Look for short-term sell setups on reversal signals. If price stays in the mid-range → Stay on the shore, save energy for the golden moment. Captain’s Note: "Today, the golden sea still rides the bullish tide, but the PPI winds may shift without warning. Keep the helm steady, and anchor only at safe harbors." 🏴‍☠️📈
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Retail vs Institutional Trading1. Introduction In financial markets, traders can be broadly categorized into two groups: retail traders and institutional traders. While both operate in the same markets—stocks, forex, commodities, derivatives, cryptocurrencies—their goals, resources, and impact differ significantly. Think of it like a chess game: Retail traders are like passionate hobbyists, playing with personal strategies, smaller capital, and limited tools. Institutional traders are like grandmasters with advanced chess engines, big teams, and massive resources. Understanding the differences between these two groups is crucial for anyone involved in trading because: It helps retail traders set realistic expectations. It reveals how market moves are often driven by institutional flows. It allows traders to align their strategies with the "big money" rather than fighting against it. 2. Defining the Players Retail Traders Who they are: Individual traders using their own capital to trade. Examples: You, me, the average person with a brokerage account. Capital size: Typically from a few hundred to a few hundred thousand dollars. Trading style: Often short-term speculation, swing trading, or occasional long-term investing. Motivation: Profit, financial freedom, hobby, or passive income. Institutional Traders Who they are: Professional traders working for large organizations, handling pooled funds. Examples: Hedge funds, mutual funds, pension funds, banks, proprietary trading firms. Capital size: Millions to billions of dollars. Trading style: Long-term positions, algorithmic trading, arbitrage, high-frequency trading. Motivation: Generate consistent returns for clients/investors, maintain market share, and manage risk. 3. Key Differences Between Retail & Institutional Trading Aspect Retail Trading Institutional Trading Capital Small, personal funds Huge pooled funds Execution speed Slower, via broker platforms Ultra-fast, often via direct market access Tools & technology Basic charting tools, retail brokers Advanced analytics, proprietary algorithms Market impact Negligible Can move markets significantly Risk tolerance Usually higher (due to smaller size) Often lower per trade but diversified Regulations Fewer compliance rules Strict regulatory oversight Information access Public data, delayed feeds Direct market data, insider networks (legal) Strategy type Swing/day trading, small-scale strategies Large-scale arbitrage, hedging, portfolio balancing 4. Trading Infrastructure & Technology Retail Uses broker platforms like Zerodha, Upstox, Robinhood, E*TRADE. Relies on charting software (TradingView, MetaTrader). Order execution passes through multiple intermediaries, adding milliseconds or seconds of delay. Limited access to Level 2 data and dark pool information. Institutional Uses Direct Market Access (DMA), bypassing middlemen. Employs co-location — placing servers physically close to exchange data centers to reduce latency. Custom-built AI-driven trading algorithms. Access to Bloomberg Terminal, Reuters Eikon—costing thousands of dollars a month. 5. Market Impact Retail Traders’ Impact Individually, they have minimal effect on price. Collectively, they can cause temporary market surges—e.g., GameStop 2021 short squeeze. Often act as liquidity providers for institutional strategies. Institutional Traders’ Impact Can move prices by large orders. Use order slicing (Iceberg Orders) to hide trade size. Influence market sentiment through research, investment reports, and large portfolio shifts. 6. Trading Strategies Retail Strategies Day Trading – Quick in-and-out trades within the same day. Swing Trading – Holding for days or weeks based on technical setups. Trend Following – Buying in uptrends, selling in downtrends. Breakout Trading – Entering when price breaches support/resistance. Options Trading – Buying calls/puts for leveraged moves. Copy Trading – Following successful traders’ trades. Institutional Strategies Algorithmic Trading – Automated, high-speed trade execution. Market Making – Providing liquidity by quoting buy and sell prices. Arbitrage – Exploiting price differences between markets. Quantitative Strategies – Using statistical models for predictions. Index Fund Management – Matching market indexes like S&P 500. Hedging & Risk Management – Using derivatives to protect portfolios. 7. Advantages & Disadvantages Retail Advantages Flexibility: No need to report to clients. Ability to take high-risk/high-reward bets. Can enter/exit positions quickly due to small size. Niche opportunities—small-cap stocks, micro trends. Retail Disadvantages Lack of insider or early information. Higher transaction costs (relative to trade size). Emotional trading—fear & greed affect decisions. Lower technology access. Institutional Advantages Massive capital for diversification. Best technology, research, and execution speeds. Influence over market movements. Access to private deals (private placements, IPO allocations). Institutional Disadvantages Large orders can move the market against them. Regulatory and compliance burden. Slower decision-making (bureaucracy). Public scrutiny. 8. Regulatory Environment Retail Traders: Must follow general market rules set by SEBI (India), SEC (US), FCA (UK), etc. Brokers are regulated; traders themselves are less scrutinized unless committing fraud. Institutional Traders: Heavily monitored by regulators. Must follow reporting rules, such as 13F filings in the US. Must ensure compliance with anti-money laundering (AML) and know-your-customer (KYC) laws. 9. Psychological Factors Retail Driven by emotions, social media hype, and news. Prone to FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and panic selling. Often lack structured trading plans. Institutional Decisions made by teams, not individuals. Uses risk-adjusted returns as a guiding principle. Employs psychologists and behavioral finance experts to reduce bias. 10. Case Studies GameStop 2021 – Retail Power Retail traders on Reddit’s WallStreetBets caused a short squeeze. Institutional short-sellers lost billions. Showed that coordinated retail action can disrupt markets temporarily. Flash Crash 2010 – Algorithmic Impact Institutional algorithmic trading caused rapid market drops and rebounds. Retail traders were mostly spectators. Final Thoughts Retail and institutional traders are two sides of the same market coin. Retail traders bring diversity and liquidity, while institutional traders bring stability and efficiency—most of the time. For retail traders, the key is to stop fighting institutional flows and instead follow their footprints. By understanding where big money is moving and aligning with it, retail traders can dramatically improve their odds of success. In essence: Institutional traders are the elephants in the market jungle. Retail traders are the birds — smaller, more agile, able to grab quick opportunities the elephants can’t.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
1
Algorithmic & AI-Powered Trading1. Introduction: The Shift from Manual to Machine For centuries, trading was purely a human skill — traders watched ticker tapes, read news, and relied on gut instinct. But as markets grew faster and more complex, human reaction time simply couldn’t keep up. Enter algorithmic trading — a world where trades are executed in milliseconds, strategies are tested on decades of data, and human bias takes a back seat. Over the past decade, Artificial Intelligence (AI) has supercharged this process. Now, trading systems not only follow pre-set rules but also learn from market data, adapt strategies in real time, and detect patterns invisible to human eyes. In 2025, over 70% of all equity trades in developed markets are algorithmic. In some markets, AI-powered systems handle more trading volume than humans. 2. What is Algorithmic Trading? At its core, algorithmic trading is: The use of computer programs to execute trades based on a defined set of rules and parameters. Key features: Rule-based execution: Trades are placed when certain conditions are met (e.g., price crosses moving average). Speed & automation: No waiting for human clicks; execution is near-instant. Backtesting: Strategies can be tested on historical data before risking real money. Scalability: Can handle hundreds of trades simultaneously. Example: If a stock’s 50-day moving average crosses above its 200-day moving average, buy 100 shares. If the reverse happens, sell. 3. What is AI-Powered Trading? AI-powered trading takes algorithms further: Instead of pre-programmed rules, AI systems can learn patterns, adapt strategies, and make predictions based on data. Core difference: Algorithmic trading = fixed rules. AI trading = adaptive, self-learning rules. AI capabilities in trading: Pattern recognition – spotting trends in price, volume, sentiment, or macro data. Predictive modeling – forecasting future price movements. Reinforcement learning – improving strategies based on feedback from trades. Natural Language Processing (NLP) – reading and interpreting news, social media, and financial reports. 4. Types of Algorithmic & AI Trading Strategies There’s a wide range of strategies — some decades old, others made possible only by modern AI. A. Trend-Following Strategies Based on technical indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, MACD. Goal: Ride the trend up or down until it shows signs of reversal. AI twist: Deep learning models can predict trend continuation probability. B. Mean Reversion Strategies Assumes prices will revert to an average over time. Example: If a stock is far above its 20-day moving average, short it; if far below, buy. AI twist: Machine learning models detect the optimal mean reversion window dynamically. C. Arbitrage Strategies Exploiting price differences between markets or instruments. Example: If a stock trades at ₹100 in NSE and ₹101 in BSE, buy low, sell high instantly. AI twist: AI can scan thousands of instruments and markets for fleeting arbitrage opportunities. D. Statistical Arbitrage Uses correlations between assets (pairs trading). Example: If Reliance and ONGC usually move together, but Reliance rallies while ONGC lags, trade expecting convergence. AI twist: AI can detect shifting correlations and adapt. E. High-Frequency Trading (HFT) Ultra-fast trades exploiting tiny inefficiencies. Requires low-latency infrastructure. AI twist: AI can dynamically adjust order placement to reduce slippage. F. Sentiment Analysis Trading Uses NLP to gauge market sentiment from news, tweets, blogs. Example: AI detects a surge in positive sentiment toward Tesla, triggering a buy. AI twist: Transformer-based NLP models (like GPT) can analyze sarcasm, tone, and context better than older keyword-based systems. G. Market Making Posting buy and sell orders to earn the bid-ask spread. Requires continuous price adjustment. AI twist: Reinforcement learning optimizes spread width for profitability. 5. Key Components of an Algorithmic/AI Trading System Building a profitable system is more than just coding a strategy. It needs an ecosystem: Market Data Feed Real-time & historical prices, volumes, order book data. AI needs clean, high-quality data to avoid bias. Signal Generation Algorithm or AI model generates buy/sell/hold signals. Could be purely quantitative or include sentiment and fundamentals. Execution Engine Sends orders to the exchange with minimal delay. AI can optimize execution to avoid market impact. Risk Management Module Position sizing, stop-loss levels, portfolio diversification. AI can dynamically adjust risk based on volatility. Backtesting Framework Tests strategy on historical data. Important: Avoid overfitting — making the model too perfect for past data but useless in the future. Monitoring & Maintenance Even AI needs human oversight. Models can degrade if market behavior shifts (concept drift). 6. Role of Machine Learning in Trading Machine Learning (ML) is the backbone of AI-powered trading. Popular ML techniques in trading: Supervised Learning – Train on historical prices to predict next-day returns. Unsupervised Learning – Cluster stocks with similar price behavior. Reinforcement Learning – Learn by trial and error in simulated markets. Deep Learning – Use neural networks to detect complex patterns in large datasets. Example: A neural network could take in: Price data Volume data News sentiment Macroeconomic indicators …and output a probability of the stock rising in the next 5 minutes. 7. Advantages of Algorithmic & AI Trading Speed – Executes in milliseconds. Accuracy – No fat-finger trade errors. No emotional bias – Sticks to the plan. Scalability – Monitors hundreds of assets. 24/7 markets – Especially useful in crypto trading. Pattern discovery – Finds relationships humans might miss. 8. Risks & Challenges Not everything is a profit paradise. A. Technical Risks System crashes Internet outages Latency issues B. Model Risks Overfitting to historical data Concept drift (market behavior changes) C. Market Risks Sudden news events (e.g., black swan events) Flash crashes caused by runaway algorithms D. Regulatory Risks Exchanges and regulators monitor algo trading to prevent manipulation. Some AI strategies might accidentally trigger market manipulation patterns. 9. Risk Management in AI Trading A robust system must: Use position sizing (risk only 1-2% of capital per trade). Place stop-loss & take-profit levels. Have circuit breakers to halt trading if unusual volatility occurs. Validate models regularly against out-of-sample data. 10. Backtesting & Optimization Before deploying: Data cleaning – Remove bad ticks, adjust for splits/dividends. Out-of-sample testing – Use unseen data to test robustness. Walk-forward testing – Periodically re-train and test. Monte Carlo simulations – Stress-test strategies under random conditions. 11. Real-World Applications Hedge Funds: Renaissance Technologies, Two Sigma. Banks: JPMorgan’s LOXM AI execution algorithm. Retail: Zerodha Streak, AlgoTrader. Crypto: AI bots analyzing blockchain transactions. 12. Future Trends in AI Trading Explainable AI – Making AI’s decision-making transparent. Hybrid human-AI teams – AI generates signals; humans validate. Quantum computing – Potentially breaking speed and complexity barriers. Multi-agent reinforcement learning – AI “traders” competing/cooperating in simulations. 13. Conclusion Algorithmic & AI-powered trading is no longer just a Wall Street tool — it’s accessible to retail traders, thanks to low-cost cloud computing, APIs, and open-source machine learning libraries. The key to success isn’t just having an algorithm — it’s about data quality, model robustness, disciplined risk management, and constant adaptation.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
Gold Recovery Stalls at Fibonacci Resistance - Key Levels to WatWe have seen a strong recovery from the monthly pivot point, which acted as solid support. However, the price is now facing significant resistance in the Fibonacci golden zone between 3,370-3,379, based on the recent decline from 3,409 to 3,331. This resistance level presents the main challenge for bulls at this point. For the bullish momentum to continue, buyers need to push the price above 3,379, which would confirm the upward trend and signal further strength. The positive sign is that gold has been holding steady above the 3,350 level, showing some underlying support at this price point. Looking at key levels to watch, 3,350 serves as the immediate support level . If this level fails to hold, the next major support comes in at 3,331. A breakdown below these support levels could trigger further selling pressure and lead to additional declines in gold price.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
2
Gold (XAU/USD) Strategy Analysis Gold (XAU/USD) Strategy Analysis: Buy/Sell Points and Potential Scenarios! Market Overview & Primary Trend As you can see on the chart, Gold (XAU/USD) on the H4 timeframe is moving clearly within a steady ascending channel. This indicates that the bullish momentum remains dominant. Therefore, in the short to medium term, I will continue to prioritize long positions to trade with this primary trend. The target for these long positions could be quite distant, as this analysis is based on the H4 timeframe, making it suitable for swing or position traders. Elliott Wave Analysis & Strategic Price Zones According to Elliott Wave theory, Gold is showing signs of forming an ABC corrective structure. The price is currently in the process of completing Wave B. I anticipate Wave C will be an upward wave, which could push the price higher and potentially reclaim the price zone created by the previous NFP news. Potential Sell Zone (Short): I have identified a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the $3384 - $3390 area. This is a zone where I will consider looking for short-term sell signals (scalping) or trades based on a correction, but only with confirmation from price action. Preferred Buy Zone (Long): With the ascending channel holding, I believe the current price area is quite reasonable for considering long entries if there is a confirming signal. However, if the price breaks below this trend channel, the scenario will change. In that case, a safer buy zone would be much deeper, around the $3308 - $3315 level. Important News to Watch This Week Today, we have the PPI (Producer Price Index) data coming out during the US session. Since the recent CPI (Consumer Price Index) report was unfavorable, it's likely that the PPI data will also show signs that inflation may be easing. This will directly impact the conclusion regarding the Fed's interest rate policy and could cause significant volatility in Gold. Please pay close attention to risk management and avoid trading during the news release. Final Advice For those who are hesitant to buy at the current price due to it being quite high, waiting for a sell signal at the $3384 - $3390 zone could also be a logical option for capturing short-term profits. Finally, I wish you all a very effective and successful trading week with this analysis! Always remember that capital management is the most crucial factor.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
niftyThe Nifty trade setup signals a buy entry at 24,634, aiming to capture potential upside momentum driven by positive sentiment or technical strength. The stoploss is placed at 24,604, restricting downside risk to 30 points, ensuring tight risk management if the market moves against the position. The target exit is set at 24,695, offering a profit potential of 61 points, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of about 1:2. This setup may be supported by bullish technical patterns, upward trendline support, or strong buying interest near key levels. Traders should watch for intraday price action and market breadth to confirm the bullish bias. Strict adherence to the stoploss is essential to preserve capital, while timely profit booking at the target can lock in gains and ensure disciplined trading results.
TVC:GOLDLong
by smohdyusuf66
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD setup is a buy trade, showing a bullish outlook for gold. The entry price is 3369, the stop-loss is 3364, and the exit price is 3379. The trade aims for a 10-point profit while risking 5 points, giving a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2. Buying at 3369 suggests the trader anticipates upward momentum, potentially supported by a weaker US dollar, lower Treasury yields, or increased safe-haven demand. The target at 3379 is set near a resistance area, allowing profits to be booked before potential selling pressure appears. The stop-loss at 3364 limits downside risk if the market turns bearish. This setup is ideal for short-term trading with disciplined execution and proper risk management.
TVC:GOLDLong
by smohdyusuf66
Gold Trading Plan for 14th August 2025📈 Gold Buy Setup Condition to Buy: Enter a buy trade above the high of the 1-hour candle that closes above $3,370. This means you must wait until a full 1-hour candle finishes forming and its closing price is above $3,370. After it closes, identify the highest price point of that candle and set your buy trigger slightly above that level. Profit Targets: 🎯 First Target: $3,381 🎯 Second Target: $3,391 🎯 Third Target: $3,403 Risk Management Tip: Place your stop-loss just below the low of the breakout candle or an important support zone. This helps control risk in case the breakout fails. 📉 Gold Sell Setup Condition to Sell: Enter a sell trade below the low of the 1-hour candle that closes below $3,342. This means you must wait until a full 1-hour candle finishes forming and its closing price is below $3,342. After it closes, identify the lowest price point of that candle and set your sell trigger slightly below that level. Profit Targets: 🎯 First Target: $3,331 🎯 Second Target: $3,319 🎯 Third Target: $3,305 Risk Management Tip: Place your stop-loss just above the high of the breakdown candle or a nearby resistance zone to avoid large losses. ⚠ Disclaimer: Trading in gold and other commodities involves substantial risk. These price levels are for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis, use stop-loss orders, and trade within your risk tolerance. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
4
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (August 13, 2025) 1. Momentum • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to enter the oversold zone. By the end of today, it is likely to be fully in oversold territory. This stage often leads to strong price movement – either a sharp decline or a bullish reversal. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to turn upward. We need to wait for the current H4 candle to close for confirmation. If confirmed, a recovery move is likely to occur today. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently tightening and approaching the overbought zone – a typical sign of sideways price action. This explains why, despite the high probability of a recovery, H1 does not yet provide a good entry signal. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence between price and the indicator – a pattern often seen in wave 3 or wave 5. This supports the view that wave 5 (black) has completed around the 3333 level. • With a complete 5-wave structure, wave A (red) of the ABC (red) correction may already be in place. • A recovery in wave B (red) is expected, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn upward. Wave B typically forms a 3-wave corrective structure, where price moves in a choppy, overlapping manner rather than trending strongly. • Wave B target zones: 1. 3371 2. 3381 These two levels are close to each other, so they can be treated as one combined zone. The plan is to take the first target as the base level while extending the SL to cover the second target. If price approaches these levels, it’s best to watch real-time price action before entering a trade. • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, the 3323 zone remains a good Buy opportunity (as per the previous analysis). ________________________________________ 3. Trading Plan Sell Setup: • Entry Zone: 3371 – 3373 • SL: 3385 • TP1: 3358 • TP2: 3331 • TP3: 3323 Buy Setup: • Entry Zone: 3323 – 3321 • SL: 3313 • TP1: 3331 • TP2: 3357 • TP3: 3371 2. Wave Structure • RSI shows a bullish divergence, often seen in wave 3 or 5, suggesting wave 5 (black) may have completed around 3333. • Wave A (red) of the ABC cycle may be complete; wave B (red) is expected to recover in a 3-wave, choppy pattern. • Wave B target zone: 3371–3381 (treated as one zone; monitor price action before entry). • Alternative scenario: If wave 5 (black) is not yet complete, 3323 remains a potential Buy zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD SURGES AFTER CPI – TARGETING 337x BEFORE SELL-OFF? MMFLOW TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 📌 Market Overview Following the CPI release, gold reacted with strong buying momentum (FOMO BUY), pushing prices swiftly from the 333x area up to 335x. The main driver here is the BUY side taking advantage of remaining liquidity gaps above, aiming to break through the critical 3358 resistance – the first major barrier before reaching 337x, a key equilibrium zone that previously acted as a strong price-holding area for SELL orders. Current structure indicates: Short-term trend: Bullish, but approaching key distribution levels. Liquidity Hunt: A decisive break above 3358 with strong volume could trigger a rapid move towards 337x, activating SELL volume from pending limit orders. Macro context: No major news events today, with expected daily range ~35–40 points, increasing the chance of range-bound traps before a breakout. 🧐 Technical Outlook – MMFLOW View Market Structure: Gold has formed a Higher Low around 333x and is now testing short-term resistance. Key Levels & Liquidity Zones: Liquidity BUY ZONE at 3338–3336 has reacted well, confirming BUYers are still defending this zone. Supply Zone / CP Zone at 3375–3377 aligns with an H1 Order Block, holding a high concentration of pending SELL orders. Volume Flow: Increasing volume as price approaches resistance suggests a potential “last push” before a reversal. 🎯 MMFLOW Trading Plan 🔹 BUY SCALP – Following the main trend Entry: 3338 – 3336 SL: 3332 TP: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3355 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380 🔹 SELL SCALP – At the distribution zone Entry: 3375 – 3377 SL: 3382 TP: 3370 – 3365 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 📊 Key Technical Levels Resistance: 3358 – 3365 – 3376 Support: 3342 – 3337 – 3330 – 3310 💡 MMFLOW Insight: With the current setup, the optimal strategy is to wait for a BUY opportunity near early support (334x) to ride the short-term bullish momentum, then watch for price reaction at 337x to catch potential SELL entries once top-side liquidity is swept.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
August 13 Gold AnalysisAugust 13 Gold Analysis I. Intraday Market Trends and Key Drivers - Gold Price Trend: Stable above $3,350 in the European session, regaining buying support after two consecutive days of pullback, leading to a short-term rebound. - Key Catalysts: 1. US CPI Data: Headline inflation remained flat in July (2.7%), but core CPI rose to 3.1% (a five-month high). Market bets on the probability of a September rate cut rose to 93.4%, putting pressure on the US dollar and boosting gold. 2. Intensifying Policy Game: - Trump pressured Powell to cut rates and threatened a lawsuit. Treasury Secretary Bensant advocated for a 50 basis point cut in September, and Bullard expressed his support. - Disagreements emerged within the Federal Reserve: Barkin questioned the inflation-unemployment balance, while Schmid warned that tariffs would drive up inflation. Policy uncertainty amplified safe-haven demand. 3. Unexpected Disruptions: Anthony, the nominee for Director of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, proposed suspending the release of the employment report, coupled with Fed Governor Milan's optimistic inflation stance, exacerbating market volatility. II. Key Technical Signals and the Bull-Bear Game - The volatile pattern remains unchanged: Gold prices are in a consolidation phase after retreating from the $3,400 high, with support above $3,300 holding firm. - Bull-Bear Tipping Points: - Support Fortress: $3,340 (H4 200-day moving average + high trading volume area). If this fails, the $3,300 mark is likely to fall. - Breakout Path: If it holds $3,350 and breaks through $3,360 resistance, it will open the way to $3,380-3,400. Further breakthroughs could challenge the historical highs of $3,420-3,500. - Short-term Momentum: - Gold prices rose after the overnight CPI data, then fell to $3,330. Trump's attacks on Powell triggered a V-shaped reversal, demonstrating high policy sensitivity. - Currently, the Asian and European sessions are experiencing strong volatility, with $3,340-3,350 forming the intraday bullish support level. III. Trading Strategy and Risk Management Key Points Intraday Trading Logic > 📌 Core Strategy: European trading continues to fluctuate and favor the bulls. Focus on the effectiveness of a breakout above $3,360. Follow the momentum in the US market. - Aggressive Strategy: - At the current price of $3,353, try a light buy position (or add to your position if it pulls back to $3,348). Stop-loss below $3,340, target $3,360 → $3,378**. - If it breaks above $3,360, chase long positions to target the $3,380-3,400 range. - Conservative Strategy: - Wait for gold to break through $3,360 with significant volume before retracing to follow up with a long position. Alternatively, go short if it breaks below $3,340 (target $3,320-3,300). Trade cautiously and manage risk! Wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD August 13, 2025: Gold prices recovered slightly, currently trading around $3,351/oz, positive US inflation data for July has reinforced market expectations that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates in September, while a weaker US dollar has boosted gold's appeal. Fundamental news: Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 2.7% year-on-year in July, lower than the expected 2.8% and unchanged from June. Core CPI increased 3.1% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month, the largest increase in six months. Technical analysis: The sideways range of 3,340 - 3,360 has not been broken yet. The MAs are showing signs of moving sideways, showing the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. RSI H1 has started to move towards the buy zone, RSI H4 is heading towards the average line. There is a high possibility that gold price will have a correction according to RSI of H4 and increase strongly again. Important price zones today: 3340 - 3345, 3365 - 3370 and 3385 - 3390. Today's trading trend: SELL. Recommended orders: Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3367 - 3369 SL 3372 TP 3364 - 3355 - 3345. Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3387 - 3389 SL 3392 TP 3384 - 3374 - 3364 - 3345. Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3340 - 3342 SL 3337 TP 3345 - 3355 - 3365 - 3385 - OPEN. Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.💗💗💗💗💗
OANDA:XAUUSD
by fludaytoo
1
Strong USD, Gold "Holding Its Breath" at Key ResistanceYesterday, gold prices continued to trade within a tight range of 3,340–3,355 USD , reflecting the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Selling pressure is still present but not strong enough to break the key support level. On the news front: Both the U.S. Core PPI m/m and PPI m/m are forecast to rise 0.2% (vs. 0.0% previously), while unemployment claims are expected to dip from 226K to 225K . This signals inflationary pressure from the production side and a resilient labor market , which could prompt the Fed to maintain a tight monetary policy. A stronger USD puts short-term downward pressure on gold. From the chart: Gold is moving within a sideway range of 3,340 – 3,363 USD after being rejected at the 3,363 USD resistance zone. The price structure shows consolidation with minor technical pullbacks. The 3,312 USD support remains intact; if it holds, buyers may step back in. Suggested strategy: Look for buy opportunities around 3,312 – 3,320 USD if support holds, with a target at 3,363 USD. Place stop-loss below 3,305 USD to limit risk. Question: Do you think gold has enough momentum to break 3,363 USD and start a new bullish leg this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
6
XAUUSD Buy setup Above 3360Description: Gold (XAUUSD) is showing a promising bullish setup on the 4H timeframe after a period of consolidation and a clear liquidity sweep. The market structure suggests a potential continuation to the upside — but only once our key trigger is activated. Trade Plan: Buy Trigger: Above 3360 (Clean Break & Close) Stop Loss: 3330 Reasoning: Consolidation followed by a liquidity sweep — often a sign of smart money accumulation before an impulsive move. Timeframe: 4H bias, execution on lower timeframe confirmation. Key Notes: ✅ Wait for a confirmed breakout above 3360 — avoid premature entries. ✅ Manage risk with defined SL at 3330. ✅ This is a market observation for educational purposes — not financial advice. CTA (TradingView 2025 policy compliant): 📌 Always use your own trade plan and risk management. This idea is for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ExoFx-Subhash
13
Gold Plan 13/08 – Captain VincentGold Plan 13/08 – Captain Vincent ⚓ News Background 📊 Gold is holding steady near $3,350/oz after the US July CPI release. Headline CPI : 2.7% (below forecast of 2.8%) 📉 Core CPI: 3.1% (up from 2.9%) 📈 ➡ This cools down inflation fears from tariffs and increases the probability of a 25 bps Fed rate cut in September , which is bullish for Gold. Key factors to watch: 💼 Market awaiting more data: PPI, jobless claims, retail sales. 🔍 Tariff drama: Trump says no tariffs, but US Customs just listed 1kg & 100oz gold bars under taxable imports. 🌐 US extends the trade truce with China for another 90 days. 🕊 US–Russia talks on Ukraine scheduled for 15 Aug in Alaska. News conclusion: Lower-than-expected CPI + higher Fed cut chances = Gold remains positive. But tariff and geopolitical risks must be tracked closely. Yesterday’s Action (12/08) Gold tapped the Buy Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤 zone and bounced ~290 pips . However, it failed to break decisively above the zone and moved sideways around support. Technical Plan – 13/08 1. Sell Scalp – Quick Boarding Reverse ⚓ Entry: 3,374 – 3,376 SL: 3,382 TP: 3,368 → 3,362 → 3,355 → 3,3xx Reason: Short-term resistance, suitable for quick sell scalps when price retests higher. 2. Sell Zone – Storm Breaker 🌊 Entry: 3,405 – 3,406 SL: 3,411 TP: 3,395 → 3,385 → 3,375 → 3,365 Reason: Major resistance zone aligned with previous highs and trend channel. Scenarios: Price likely to rise from current sideways range to test either Sell Scalp or Storm Breaker. Priority: Sell if reversal signals (pin bar, engulfing) appear on M15/H1 at these zones. If price breaks above Storm Breaker and holds above 3,411 → cancel sell plan, wait for new structure. Captain’s Note: "The CPI wave has anchored the Gold ship near 3,350. Today, the crew is ready to set sail towards Sell Scalp and Storm Breaker, waiting for the winds to shift for a profitable turn." ⚓🌊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Target hit on XAU/USD On 13/08/2025, the XAU/USD trade successfully reached its target, delivering a strong and profitable outcome. The trade was planned using a combination of technical analysis and market fundamentals, focusing on key support-resistance levels and price action signals. Once the entry was triggered, gold prices moved consistently toward the target, showing clear momentum in the anticipated direction. A weaker U.S. dollar and ongoing global economic uncertainty further supported bullish movement in gold. The trade never came close to the stop loss, which reflects the accuracy of the setup and the effectiveness of the strategy. Achieving the target reinforced the importance of disciplined risk management and sticking to the trading plan without emotional interference. This win on 13/08/2025 not only provided a solid return but also strengthened confidence in the overall trading approach, proving that patience and precise execution can consistently lead to profitable results in XAU/USD trading.
TVC:GOLDLong
by smohdyusuf66
xau/usd This XAU/USD trade setup is a buy trade, designed for a very short-term move in gold prices. The entry price is 3346, the stop-loss is set at 3342, and the exit price is 3348. The trade aims for a small 2-point profit while risking 4 points, meaning the risk-to-reward ratio is lower than 1:1, which makes it suitable only for quick scalp trading strategies. Buying at 3346 suggests the trader expects a slight upward movement, possibly triggered by short-term momentum, minor support holding, or quick price fluctuations during active market hours. The target at 3348 is very close to the entry, meaning this trade relies on precise timing and fast execution to capture small gains. The stop-loss at 3342 is set just below the entry to limit losses if the market moves against the position. Given the tight range, any sudden volatility could hit the stop-loss quickly. This type of trade requires constant monitoring, rapid decision-making, and disciplined risk control. While the profit target is small, consistent scalp trades like this can add up over time if executed with accuracy and strict trading discipline.
TVC:GOLDLong
by smohdyusuf66