Gold Prices Rise Amidst USD WeaknessAmong precious metals, prices are increasing due to the weakening of the USD. There are no negative scenarios for gold in the medium term, considering the current developments: US government spending is out of control, ongoing trade tensions, uncertain inflation, and increasing criticism aimed at the Fed.
As of the time of writing, gold has risen by 0.3% in the past 24 hours, equivalent to an increase of 100 pips, currently trading at 3,350 USD.
The current environment is highly favorable for gold, especially as investors lose confidence in the stability of US monetary policy. If the Fed begins to concede to political pressure, gold prices could break previous highs and head toward 3,440 USD/ounce in the short term.
Do you agree with this view?
GOLD trade ideas
XAU/USDGold (XAU/USD) is a popular trading pair due to its liquidity and safe-haven appeal. A good entry in XAU/USD begins with proper analysis. First, identify the overall trend on the daily or 15-mint chart. If the trend is bullish, wait for a price pullback to a key support level
For example, if gold has been trending up and pulls back to $ 3346while RSI dips below 30, you can plan an entry around $ 3350–$ 3343 with a stop-loss below recent swing low Set a target near resistance, like $3403.
Alternatively, if the trend is bearish,
Always trade with risk management — never risk more than 1–2% of your account per trade. Combining price action, trend confirmation, and momentum indicators improves your chances of a successful entry. Patience and discipline are key when trading XAU/USD.
Gold Trading Strategy for 21st July 2025 🌟 GOLD INTRADAY TRADING PLAN (1-HOUR CANDLE STRATEGY)
(Ideal for beginner traders – Easy to follow)
🟢 BUY TRADE – When to Enter a Long Position?
🕒 Step 1:
Watch the 1-hour candle on the chart. Wait patiently.
📈 Buy only if a full 1-hour candle closes above ₹3366.
🔍 This means the candle opens, moves up, and finishes (closes) above 3366 — not just a spike or a shadow.
🎯 Profit Targets:
✅ Target 1: ₹3375
✅ Target 2: ₹3387
✅ Target 3: ₹3401
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss: ₹3355
This is to protect yourself if the trade moves against you.
🔻 SELL TRADE – When to Enter a Short Position?
🕒 Step 1:
Watch the same 1-hour candle closely.
📉 Sell only if a full 1-hour candle closes below ₹3330.
🔍 The candle must finish below 3330 — not just touch it during the hour.
🎯 Profit Targets:
✅ Target 1: ₹3315
✅ Target 2: ₹3300
✅ Target 3: ₹3290
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss: ₹3340
To limit loss in case the market reverses.
🧠 Beginner Tips:
✅ Don’t Rush: Wait for the candle to fully close above or below the trigger level before you enter a trade.
✅ Use Limit Order or Market Order wisely after confirmation.
✅ Stick to 1–2 trades per day. Overtrading can lead to losses.
✅ Use proper lot size based on your capital – never risk more than 1–2% of your money on a single trade.
✅ Check gold-related news and global sentiment before the market opens.
📜 DISCLAIMER (Read Carefully):
⚠️ This strategy is shared for educational and informational purposes only.
It is not a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument.
All trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
📌 Always consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
📉 You are responsible for your own trading actions.
Good buy above 3360 sell below 3330 on sustaining basisHow My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK | JULY 21–25 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK | JULY 21–25
Get Ready for a New Trading Week 🇮🇳
🔍 Market Recap:
Gold showed a strong bullish reversal late last week after sweeping liquidity around the FVG ZONE near 3310. Price quickly surged toward the OBS SELL ZONE around 335x–336x.
By Friday’s close, however, price reacted sharply to a confluence of technical zones (OBS + FIBO) and settled below the VPOC, hinting at a potential short-term top.
📉 Outlook for July 21–25:
📌 No major economic events are lined up next week.
⚠️ However, geopolitical tensions, global trade policies, and military news could bring sudden volatility.
Stay alert for unexpected liquidity spikes!
🧠 Technical Setup – H1 Mid-Term View:
Gold has been forming multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) due to aggressive bullish moves.
While price has reached new highs, lower FVG zones remain unfilled – creating a strong possibility of a retracement.
🔁 Expected Scenario:
We may see price retrace to the 3310–3305 zone to fill these gaps, then potentially resume bullish movement.
📍 Trading Strategy for the Week:
🔸 Wait for price to enter lower FVG zones
🔸 Look for early BUY signals at key confluence areas such as:
CP zones
Fibonacci retracement levels
Volume/price reaction levels
🎯 Bullish Target Zones:
Primary target remains: 333x – 336x
If momentum continues after the pullback, we could see a move toward the Buy Side Liquidity near 3371.749
✅ Key Reminders for Indian Traders:
🚫 Avoid emotional buying at highs (no FOMO!)
📏 Stick to your TP/SL rules – risk management is critical, especially during uncertain global headlines
📊 Stay focused and trade with a plan
🌟 Wishing you a restful weekend. Come back refreshed and ready to dominate the charts next week!
🚀 Good luck & happy trading
Gold (XAU/USD) – Symmetrical Triangle Formation Near Breakout ZGold is currently consolidating within a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential breakout scenario in the near term.
Resistance Levels:
🔺 $3,350 – Immediate resistance
🔺 $3,451 – Key historical resistance
Support Levels:
🟢 $3,245 – Strong horizontal support
🟢 Rising trendline – Dynamic support
Technical Indicators:
📉 Price is hovering around the 50-period EMA (currently at $3,338), suggesting indecision.
📊 RSI at 51.24 reflects a neutral momentum, awaiting confirmation.
Key Insight:
The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, where a breakout or breakdown is likely imminent. A decisive move above resistance may trigger bullish continuation, while a drop below the rising support could open the door to further downside.
Watch for:
✅ Break and close above $3,350 (bullish confirmation)
❌ Breakdown below $3,245 (bearish confirmation)
XAUUSD: breakout risk is approachingXAUUSD has been consolidating in a tight range since early July. Despite multiple bounces from support, price has failed to deliver a clear breakout, signaling weakening buying pressure. The current structure leans bearish, with momentum turning increasingly negative.
On the news front, the U.S. economy continues to show strong recovery: rising consumer demand, falling unemployment, and surging USD and bond yields. This puts significant pressure on gold – a non-yielding asset in a high-interest environment.
If price breaks below the bottom of the range, the downside could accelerate sharply in the near term. Buyers should remain extremely cautious in this setup.
Gold wavers under pressure from strong U.S. retail dataXAUUSD is currently fluctuating within a price box, showing weaker bullish attempts and failing to break above the nearest resistance zone. Selling pressure is mounting as price continues to be rejected at the top and is approaching the medium-term ascending trendline — a key support level.
On the news front, U.S. core retail sales surged, boosting expectations for a stronger USD, which in turn weighs on gold prices. However, a slight uptick in unemployment claims may help slow the dollar’s momentum.
If buyers fail to defend this critical support, the bullish structure risks being broken, potentially signaling a shift toward a clearer downtrend. On the flip side, the price box could still act as a consolidation phase before another bullish leg.
XAUUSD 1H – Watching for a Bounce Inside the ChannelGold is still moving nicely inside this big ascending channel. After hitting resistance, price is pulling back toward the lower support area and trendline.
👉 My Plan:
Waiting to see if price holds around $3,310–$3,320 zone.
If we get bullish signs (strong candle, rejection wick), I’ll look for longs back up toward $3,350–$3,370 and maybe higher.
✅ Key Levels:
Support: $3,310 area
Resistance: $3,345 – $3,370
Break below support could invalidate this idea.
Just being patient and letting price action confirm the next move. Let’s see how it plays out!
XAUUSD – The Bullish Wave Emerges, Target Closer Than Ever!Gold has broken out of its previous descending channel, confirming a trend reversal. Current price action is forming higher lows while consistently filling Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) – a clear sign that institutional money is flowing back in.
The next key target is the previous high near 3,399, where some short-term profit-taking may occur. However, if buyers can defend the support zone around 3,348, the chances of breaking above resistance will increase significantly.
On the news front, the U.S. dollar is weakening as housing and industrial production data show signs of slowing, fueling speculation that the Fed may pause further rate hikes this year.
Psychology Is 80% of Trading Success But Most Traders Ignore ItPsychology Is 80% of Trading Success – But Most Traders Ignore It
“Have you ever entered a perfect trade… and still lost?”
Right direction.
Clear technical setup.
Trend confirmation was there.
Yet you closed early.
Or held a losing trade too long.
Or jumped back in out of revenge after a loss.
It wasn’t your system’s fault.
It was your psychology.
💡 Most traders don’t fail because of bad analysis – they fail because of poor emotional control
Let’s walk through some common real-life situations every trader has experienced at least once:
🎯 1. You closed your trade early – afraid the market might reverse
Case study:
A trader entered a long position on XAUUSD at a support zone (2360), aiming for TP at 2375.
But when price reached 2366, he closed out early – afraid to “lose profits.”
The market later hit his original TP perfectly.
➡️ This is classic loss aversion – the fear of losing what you’ve already gained.
🎯 2. You refused to cut a loss – hoping the price would come back
Case study:
A trader shorted EURUSD expecting a pullback, but price broke resistance and continued up.
Instead of cutting the loss, he widened his stop loss, holding onto hope.
The result? A bigger loss than planned.
➡️ This is denial – a refusal to accept you’re wrong, leading to emotional attachment to the trade.
🎯 3. You increased your position size after a winning streak
Case study:
After two strong wins, a trader feels confident and increases position size on the next trade…
Even though the setup isn’t as strong.
That trade ends in a loss – wiping out earlier profits.
➡️ This is overconfidence bias – a dangerous psychological state after wins.
📊 Technical skills only account for 20% – the remaining 80% is mastering yourself
You might:
Understand price structure
Use advanced indicators
Follow a solid trading system
But if you:
Break your stop loss rules
Scale up recklessly
Enter trades impulsively
Then your edge vanishes.
Success becomes inconsistent.
🧠 5 Practical Ways to Strengthen Your Trading Psychology
✅ Keep a trading journal – especially track your emotions
Ask: “Did I follow my plan? Or was I trading to ‘feel better’?”
✅ Never change SL or TP mid-trade
Stick to your original plan. Discipline builds consistency.
✅ Use demo accounts to train discipline, not to prove profitability
Treat each demo trade as if real money is at stake.
✅ Set mandatory “cool-off” periods after consecutive losses
For example: 2 losses = no trades for 24 hours.
✅ Practice waiting – patience is your most underrated tool
Pro traders often wait days for a valid setup. That’s not inactivity – that’s control.
🔁 Trading is not a search for the perfect system – it’s a journey of mastering your own mind
A strategy with only 55% win rate can still be highly profitable
…if paired with discipline, risk management, and emotional control.
But…
A system with 70% accuracy can still blow your account
…if your psychology breaks down under pressure.
🎯 Final Thoughts:
The financial markets reward those who can control themselves – not just those who analyze well.
You don’t need to be smarter than others.
You don’t need to master 10 indicators.
But you must be able to stay calm, act rationally, and follow your rules.
Knowledge lets you see the opportunity – but psychology determines if you survive it.
18/07 Gold Outlook – Final Friday Liquidity Moves Ahead!🟡 Gold Outlook – Final Friday Liquidity Moves Ahead!
Will Gold maintain its bullish pace or face weekend volatility? Stay ahead of the market!Why Gold is Moving – Key Macro Drivers
Gold bounced back sharply after a dip caused by stronger-than-expected US economic data. Here’s what Indian traders need to keep in mind:
📊 Rate cut hopes remain high as US core inflation remains sticky.
💣 Middle East tensions continue, with Israel launching more airstrikes on Syria.
🌐 Trade war risks increase as EU threatens $84B in tariffs on US goods.
🟡 Gold is acting as a safe haven in times of inflation concerns and global uncertainty.
👉 All of these factors support gold’s upside — especially heading into the weekend when low liquidity can cause price swings.
📉 Technical Picture – Zones in Play
Gold reversed from FLZ H2 (3310) — a key liquidity and demand zone. Sellers took profits, triggering a surge in buy volume. The price has since tested the OBS Sell Zone + Continuation Pattern (CP) around 334x with strong resistance.
Today, we expect price to revisit lower liquidity pools on the M30–H2 timeframe before the next breakout.
🧭 Key Levels for Friday – Watch Closely
✅ Buy Zone: 3318 – 3316
SL: 3312
TP Targets: 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360
💼 Scalp Buy Zone: 3326 – 3324
SL: 3320
TP: 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360
⚠️ Sell Zone: 3363 – 3365
SL: 3370
TP: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3335 – 3330
🔔 Important Notes for Indian Traders
Today is Friday, and even though there’s no major economic news, the risk of liquidity sweeps and volatility is high. Protect your capital with solid risk management and stick to your TP/SL strategy.
📌 Plan your entries from strong technical zones and don’t chase price — let the market come to you.
GOLD (XAUUSD) 4H Analysis – Breakout Imminent from Rising Wedge!Gold is currently trading at 3353.39 after completing a well-defined ABCDE rising wedge structure on the 4H chart. The market is showing signs of exhaustion near the 3353–3373 resistance zone, with a potential bearish rejection likely to follow.
🔍 Key Highlights:
Pattern: Rising Wedge (ABCDE complete) – a classic bearish reversal setup.
Sell Zone: 3353.88 to 3371.62 – Expect high volatility and sharp rejection.
Target: 3296.36 – Marked as the first major support zone.
Risk Management: Strong R:R setup with invalidation above 3373.93.
Heikin Ashi candles show weakening bullish momentum near the top.
📉 What to Watch: If price confirms rejection below 3353 with bearish pressure, a sharp fall toward the 3296 level could follow. Breakout traders and swing traders should stay alert – this could be a textbook move.
📌 Professional Insight: This setup is not just a pattern – it's a psychological battlefield between bulls pushing exhaustion and bears waiting to strike. The next few candles could define the mid-term gold trend.
🚨 Don’t miss this potential opportunity. Mark your levels. Stay disciplined.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #HeikinAshi #BreakoutSetup #SmartTrading #RiskReward #TradingEdge
XAUUSD Structure Analysis | Smart Money ConceptsXAUUSD Structure Analysis | Smart Money Concepts | July 17, 2025
Market Overview:
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the $3,328 level, showing clear Smart Money behavior with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), liquidity grabs, and reactions from key zones. The chart outlines a well-respected price action between a defined resistance and support range, showing signs of a potential reversal or continuation setup.
🧠 Key Concepts Highlighted:
BOS (Break of Structure):
Multiple BOS levels confirm internal shifts in market structure, indicating active participation by institutions and smart money. Every BOS marks a potential order block or liquidity sweep zone.
Resistance Zone ($3,375 - $3,400):
Price has reacted multiple times from this level, showing exhaustion with each push. This zone is acting as a liquidity magnet but also a strong supply area.
Support Zone ($3,320 - $3,335):
This area has provided multiple rejections and BOS confirmations, turning into a reaccumulation zone. Current price action is consolidating within this support.
Strong Support ($3,245 - $3,270):
In case of further downside, this zone could serve as a high-probability long entry for swing buyers due to historical demand and previous liquidity grabs.
📈 Trade Outlook:
If price maintains support above $3,320, we could see a bullish reaction toward $3,375 targeting the upper resistance.
A clean BOS above $3,375 would confirm a short-term bullish continuation and potential expansion phase.
Failure to hold this support would open a path to the $3,270 area, offering discounted pricing for long-term bulls.
🎯 Educational Insight:
This chart is a textbook example of Smart Money Concept (SMC) structure:
Observe BOS frequency as institutional fingerprints.
Price respects previous demand zones, giving room for reactive trading setups.
The confluence between horizontal support and trendline break adds extra confirmation for decision-making.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD July 18, 2025
Yesterday's trading session, after a strong correction to the 3310 area, the gold price increased sharply again.
Basic news: FED Governor Christopher Waller supports a 25 basis point interest rate cut later this month. The number of weekly unemployment claims in the US fell to 221,000, lower than the forecast of 233,000 and the previous period's level of 228,000; data shows that the US labor market remains stable, strengthening the economic growth outlook.
Technical analysis: The M30 and H1 time frames have not clearly shown the trend of the gold price, when the tug-of-war between buying and selling is quite large. However, in the H4 and D1 frames, there are signs that the gold price will increase again. If the gold price continues to trade in the 3290 - 3300 area, it shows a new multi-frame compression process. This area is very important as it can be a trading point that brings us great profits.
Important price zones today: 3318 - 3323, 3287 - 3292 and 3352 - 3357.
Today's trading trend: BUY (hold).
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3318 - 3320
SL 3315
TP 3323 - 3233 - 3343 - 3353.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3288 - 3290
SL 3285
TP 3293 - 3303 - 3320 - 3340 - Open.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3353 - 3355
SL 3358
TP 3350 - 3340 - 3330 - 3310.
Wish you a lucky, safe and profitable weekend trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
XAUUSD BUY possible from 3333.52 price level On 1hr time frame Market has took a liquidity of previous buying area or previous buyers so currently the market Is at bullish trend on 15min we can see that if price comes to 3333.52 level then there would be a probability for scalping on upside because below that level there is good amount of space available for market to fall and this is visible to everyone so market would first take the liquidity by breaking that zone and then it moves upside possiblity of buying.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025
🔍 Momentum Analysis
D1 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bullish reversal. While we need to wait for today's D1 candle to close for confirmation, it's likely that yesterday’s upward move marks Wave 1, signaling the beginning of a new bullish trend.
H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bearish reversal → suggesting a potential corrective pullback, likely forming Wave 2.
H1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse upward → supporting the expectation of a short-term bullish move during the current session.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update
On the H4 chart, the abcde triangle correction structure remains largely unchanged.
However, a strong H4 bullish candle appeared yesterday, indicating unusual market behavior that deserves attention.
There are two main scenarios:
Wave 1 (black) has already completed, and the market is now entering Wave 2 correction.
Alternatively, the current movement could be Wave 4 within Wave 1 (black).
🔎 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure
With D1 momentum signaling a potential uptrend lasting the next 4–5 days, it suggests that Wave e (blue) may have completed.
This opens the door for an impulsive 5-wave advance. Specifically:
If H1 continues its bullish reversal, the current move could be Wave 5 of Wave 1 (black), targeting the 3358 level.
Afterwards, a retracement toward the 3330–3323 zone would form Wave 2 (black).
Alternatively, price might drop directly to 3330–3323, implying Wave 1 has already finished and the current move is Wave 2.
🎯 => Both scenarios converge at the 3330–3323 price zone, making it a high-probability BUY ZONE.
🧭 Trade Plan
BUY ZONE: 3330 – 3327
Stop Loss: 3320
Take Profits:
TP1: 3342
TP2: 3358
TP3: 3402
📌 Note: Since this is a relatively wide entry zone, it's best to wait for price action confirmation at this level before entering.
Gold's Short-Term DeclineHello everyone, what do you think about gold?
Today, gold continues its short-term downtrend. After new data was released at the end of yesterday’s trading session, the USD rose by 0.3%, and U.S. Treasury yields also increased, reducing the appeal of gold. Additionally, the latest unemployment claims data shows improvement in the U.S. economy, which has contributed to the drop in the precious metal.
As of writing, gold is trading around the EMA 34, 89 levels at 3,336 USD. With the recent news, the market is expected to maintain its current stance throughout the day, as no new significant updates are expected.
From a technical standpoint, the downtrend remains in place, with prices continuing to be capped below the trendline. The series of lower highs and lows could likely lead XAUUSD to test lower levels, with the possibility of reaching the 3,300 USD mark.
What do you think about the price of gold today? Let us know in the comments!