Gold Trading Strategy for 26th August 2025📊 GOLD Trading Setup (1H Timeframe)
🟢 Buy Side (Long Position)
✅ Entry: Buy above $3377 (when 1-hour candle closes above the high).
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3387
2nd Target → $3397
3rd Target → $3410
🔴 Sell Side (Short Position)
✅ Entry: Sell below $3359 (when 1-hour candle closes below the low).
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3349
2nd Target → $3339
3rd Target → $3325
⚠️ Disclaimer
📌 This is not financial advice. The above levels are for educational purposes only based on technical analysis. Trading in commodities, forex, and equities involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always use proper risk management, stop-loss, and consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
GOLDMINI trade ideas
Gold Daily Chart – Final Week of AugustGold Daily Chart – Final Week of August
Hello traders, let’s discuss the gold outlook for the coming week.
Gold has continued its strong bounce after touching the ascending trendline on the D1 chart, in line with the outlook shared earlier. This move also makes the triangle pattern more valid. For the week ahead, price is likely to trade within the 3330–3410 range, about 80 dollars of movement.
While the long-term expectation is for gold to push towards new ATH levels, a confirmed breakout from this triangle is required first. After such a breakout, a short pullback is possible before the next leg higher (as shown on my chart).
On the H4 chart, Friday’s rally allows us to draw a Fibonacci Extension, pointing towards 3390 and 3430 as higher levels to watch. These zones could act as short-term selling opportunities, based on profit-taking sentiment from buyers.
On the daily timeframe, if the breakout from the triangle plays out, gold could extend as high as 3540, creating a new ATH – this is the long-term scenario. On the downside, if price pulls back, the ascending trendline around 3341 remains a key area to look for new buying opportunities.
Also note, this is the last week of August. On Friday, there could be a liquidity grab to rebalance gold’s value and settle large institutional flows, so caution is advised.
This is my personal outlook for XAUUSD for the week ahead. I hope it helps in building your own trading plan.
Share your thoughts in the comments so we can learn from each other.
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD setup is a sell trade, reflecting a short-term bearish outlook on gold prices. The entry price is 3367, the stop-loss is 3372, and the exit price is 3356. This trade aims for an 11-point profit while risking 5 points, providing a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of better than 2:1.
Selling at 3367 suggests the trader expects downward momentum, possibly triggered by strength in the U.S. dollar, firmer Treasury yields, or reduced safe-haven demand. The level may also align with a resistance zone, where selling pressure is likely to build, signaling an opportunity to enter a short position.
The target at 3356 is strategically set near a support zone to secure profits before potential buyers step back in. On the other hand, the stop-loss at 3372 ensures losses remain limited if gold unexpectedly pushes higher.
This setup favors intraday traders seeking disciplined execution with controlled risk and strong reward potential.
GOLD(XAU/USD) BULLISH - 1 HR Bullish OutlookGold (XAU/USD) – 1H Bullish Outlook
Gold continues to maintain a bullish structure on the 1-hour timeframe after sweeping liquidity from recent lows.
Currently, price is showing strength, but the best risk-reward entry would be on a retest of:
- 🟢 Breaker Block (3340/3345) / FIB 0.5 Level around 3327
### Key Points:
- ✅ Market already bounced strongly from the 4H Order Block, confirming higher-timeframe demand.
- ✅ Waiting for a lower timeframe (5-min) confirmation is important to avoid false entries.
- 🎯 If 3345 area holds (Breaker Block), we could see continuation toward higher liquidity levels.
### Trading Plan:
- 📍 Buy Zone: 3327 (Breaker Block + FIB 0.5)
- ⏳ Confirmation: 5-min structure shift
- 🎯 Target: Higher liquidity zones above recent highs
XAUUSD: Downtrend Under Pressure from Strong USDCurrently, XAUUSD is trading around 3,328.400, with resistance at 3,369.000 and support at 3,313.000. The price is forming a downtrend within a price channel, and if it breaks the support at 3,313.000, it could push the price lower towards the 3,300.000 target. The EMA indicators show that the downward momentum continues, and if the price fails to break through the resistance at 3,369.000, the downtrend will remain in place.
Market Context:
Recent news has caused XAUUSD to drop, mainly due to the recovery of the USD after positive economic signals. Higher-than-expected unemployment claims data strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
GOLD sell setup Gold (XAUUSD) – Short Trade Idea
🔑 Key Observations:
Strong Rejection Zone:
Price faced rejection at the previous high (highlighted in purple supply zone).
Multiple attempts to break above failed, confirming seller presence.
Volume Confirmation:
The sharp bullish push from the bottom was met with equally strong selling pressure at the top.
Volume spikes indicate distribution at higher levels.
Market Structure:
Clear lower high formation after rejection.
Entry aligns with a retracement into the supply zone.
📊 Trade Setup:
Entry: Short near supply zone (around 3374–3379).
Stop-Loss: Above recent swing high (3380 area).
Target: 3356 level (previous demand zone).
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:5 (high probability setup).
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use a stop-loss to protect capital.
Consider trailing stop-loss once trade moves in favor, to lock in profits.
If price breaks and closes above supply, setup becomes invalid.
Gold Trading Strategy | August 25-26
✅ Daily Chart: Gold prices remain within a consolidation range, with 3380–3400 as the key resistance zone and 3350–3355 as the critical support area. During the U.S. session, there is slight upward momentum; if 3380–3400 is broken, it could open further upside potential.
✅ 4-Hour Chart: After forming a bottom in the 3311–3321 region, gold rebounded strongly to a high of 3378 and is now consolidating at higher levels. MA5 is turning upward, with MA10 and MA20 following, confirming a short-term bullish trend. MACD shows a bullish crossover with expanding red bars, indicating sustained bullish momentum. KDJ is at high levels but showing signs of a possible pullback. The overall bullish structure remains intact, but caution is needed if resistance at 3380–3400 triggers a short-term retracement.
✅ 1-Hour Chart: Gold is fluctuating between 3360–3380, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 intertwined. Price action is sticking close to short-term moving averages, reflecting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. MACD red bars are shrinking, signaling weakening momentum, while KDJ is overbought and may form a bearish crossover, suggesting a possible short-term pullback. The 3360 support level must be watched closely.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3380–3400
🟢 Support Levels: 3355–3350
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If price faces clear resistance at 3380–3400, consider light short positions with targets at 3360–3350.
🔰 If price stabilizes and rebounds from 3350–3355, consider light long positions, stop-loss below 3344, targeting 3380–3390.
🔰 If price breaks above 3400 with strong volume, consider buying after a pullback to 3380–3390, aiming for 3420–3450.
✅ Conclusion: Gold is currently in a range-bound but bullish-biased structure. The medium-term bullish trend remains intact, but short-term price action will depend on whether gold can break above the 3380–3400 resistance zone or maintain support at 3360–3350.
XAUUSD- H&S reversal followed by entry at fib kill zone levelTrade idea 1) 21/08/25 Asian session Waiting for a H&S reversal on the break of the neckline on XAUUSD, take profit at H1 demand zone.
Trade idea 2)Then entry at key fib level (with candle confirmation). TP1 at 1.27 TP2 at 1.618 fib extension.
Gold ....Powell Speech to Break the Range?Gold held steady after yesterday’s pullback, but the 3350 zone continues to act as a strong resistance. Despite multiple bullish attempts, price has failed to break through this ceiling, keeping the upside capped. On the lower side, immediate support stands at the previous weekly low (3330), followed by the recent swing low near 3310. These levels are key for buyers to defend.
For now, price action has compressed further into a tight range, and there hasn’t been any major development since the last session. With Powell speech lined up today, the market is likely to stay cautious and range-bound until then. Once the event is out, we could see a clearer short-term direction, either a breakout above 3350 opening room for recovery, or a breakdown below 3310 tilting bias back in favor of sellers.
Gold: Strong Upside Potential Above $3,350Hello traders,
Looking at the current market setup, gold is hovering near the key resistance zone between $3,340 and $3,350. This area acts as a decisive barrier, and a clear breakout could trigger strong bullish momentum.
Recent price candles with higher trading volumes signal that buyers are becoming more aggressive, suggesting that gold may soon overcome $3,350 and move towards $3,370 or beyond.
On the macro side, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut continue to weigh on the US dollar, providing additional support for gold as a safe-haven asset. If the Fed’s meeting minutes or Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole confirm a dovish stance, it could further fuel the rally.
What’s your view on this move? Do you believe gold can break above $3,350 and extend its rally?
Share your opinion—I’d love to hear your thoughts!
August 19 Gold AnalysisAugust 19 Gold Analysis
The market awaits the Fed's policy signals, with gold fluctuating and consolidating in the $3,320-3,350 range, awaiting a directional breakthrough.
Market focus is on the upcoming Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting (August 21-23). Fed Chairman Powell's speech may provide clear directional guidance for the gold market.
Analysis of Influencing Factors
1. Macroeconomic and Policy Expectations
The US Producer Price Index rose 0.9% month-over-month in July, far exceeding the expected 0.2%, indicating that underlying inflationary pressures in the US remain strong. This data has led the market to lower its expectations for the extent of the Fed's September rate cut—the probability of a 50 basis point cut has decreased, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut has risen to 93%.
The market still expects an 85% probability of a September Fed rate cut, with two 25 basis point cuts expected in 2025. This adjustment in expectations provides medium- to long-term support for gold, but limits short-term upside potential.
2. Geopolitical Risks Easing
Signs of easing tensions between Russia and Ukraine are emerging: Trump is pushing for preparations for the "Puzer meeting," and Ukraine has stated it no longer insists on a ceasefire as a prerequisite for negotiations. This development has significantly weakened safe-haven demand, and if the peace process continues, gold prices may face further pressure.
However, geopolitical uncertainties remain in areas such as the Middle East and the Korean Peninsula, and a escalation in tensions could trigger safe-haven buying.
3. US Dollar and US Treasury Yields
The US dollar index rose 0.3%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 4.337%. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold, limiting any rebound in gold prices.
Technical Analysis
Daily Chart
Gold prices have recently been volatile, trapped within a complex moving average system. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is near $3,352/oz, providing dynamic upward resistance for gold prices.
The 100-day moving average provides key support near $3,307.10/oz. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the neutral 50 zone, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears.
The daily chart suggests a rebound has stalled, with bears temporarily in the driver's seat.
The 4-hour chart
The Bollinger Bands are converging, with candlestick patterns frequently trading near the middle band. Gold prices are poised to test the previous low of $3,323.60/oz.
The MACD indicator is crossing near the zero axis, with alternating green and red momentum bars, indicating a fierce market tussle between bulls and bears. Technical indicators are below their midlines, indicating a neutral to bearish trend.
Key Levels
Support: $3,323.60/oz (recent low); $3,307.10/oz (100-day moving average); $3,295.80/oz (minor support).
Resistance: $3,352.00/oz (20-day moving average); $3,372.30/oz; $3,389.85/oz.
Trading Strategy
Short Opportunities: Entry range: $3342-3350 (aggressive) or $3355-3360 (conservative buying). Stop-loss placed above $3365. Target range: $3325 → $3320; breakout targets $3307-3300.
Long Opportunities: Entry range: $3316-3320 (small position for a trial long position) or $3307-3298 (strong support zone). Stop-loss placed below $3308. Target range: $3335 → $3345.
Trade with caution and manage risk! Wish you good luck!
Gold Consolidates Ahead of FOMC Liquidity SweepGold is currently moving within a narrow range, with downside pressure becoming increasingly evident. With just over a day left before the FOMC meeting – an event that could shape the next major trend – the market seems to be preparing for a sharp liquidity sweep.
👉 At first glance, price action looks frustrating and unclear. But for traders following MMFLOW KeyLevels, this is actually the “golden range”, as key zones continue to hold with remarkable precision.
📉 Today’s Outlook
Main Trend: Ongoing corrective downside move.
Potential Scenario: A deep liquidity sweep towards the 331x zone before a strong bullish rebound.
🔑 Key Trading Levels
SELL Zone: 3340 – 3345 | Short SL: 4 – 5$
🎯 Targets: 3325 → 3317 → extended 3310
📌 Note: Manage risk tightly and watch reactions around KeyLevels – a single BreakOut move post-FOMC could unlock the next major opportunity.
✨ Once again: KeyLevels = Profits ✅
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily KeyLevel strategies, liquidity maps & smart money insights
The Importance of Stop-Loss and Trailing Stop-Loss📊
🔹 1. Why Stop-Loss Matters
Capital Protection: Prevents small losses from turning into account-destroying drawdowns.
Removes Emotions: Cuts the trade automatically, avoiding fear/hope-driven decisions.
Consistency: Keeps your risk per trade fixed, aligning with your strategy.
Survivability: The #1 rule in trading is not to lose big; stop-loss ensures you stay in the game.
🔹 2. The Role of Trailing Stop-Loss
Locks in Profits: Moves along with price to secure gains while keeping the trade open.
Follows Trend: Keeps you in winning trades longer, capturing extended moves.
Dynamic Protection: Adjusts with market momentum instead of staying static.
Psychological Edge: Reduces the stress of “when to exit,” as the market decides for you.
🔹 3. Key Takeaways
A stop-loss is defense, protecting your account from disaster.
A trailing stop is offense, maximizing profit while still defending capital.
Together, they form a balanced risk management system:
Stop-loss = Control the downside.
Trailing stop = Let the upside run.
XAU/USD: Bearish Bias Ahead of Fed SpeechesHello everyone,
Today the market awaits speeches from Collins, Powell, Hammack, and even the U.S. President. With such anticipation, risk appetite remains cautious and the USD is seeing mild support. In this context, I lean towards a bearish scenario for gold on the daily chart: price is stuck below the dense resistance cluster around 3340–3355 (supply FVG + Ichimoku cloud/volume area), where repeated attempts to push higher have failed.
The sideways–to–downward structure, marked by lower highs since early this month, combined with the latest candle closing under the red FVG zone, signals fading buying momentum. Unless we hear clear dovish tones from the Fed, the 3340–3355 supply zone is likely to continue capping price. My preferred scenario is a pullback to 3315–3305, with an extension to 3295–3285 if USD strength persists. This outlook will be invalidated if we see a daily close above 3350, in which case a move back toward 3370 becomes possible.
Gold Trading Strategy for 21st August 2025📊 Gold Trading Plan
🔹 Buy Setup
Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle, provided price closes above $3361
Targets:
🎯 $3371
🎯 $3381
🎯 $3391
Stop Loss: Place below recent swing low or as per risk tolerance
🔹 Sell Setup
Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle, provided price closes below $3338
Targets:
🎯 $3325
🎯 $3313
🎯 $3300
Stop Loss: Place above recent swing high or as per risk tolerance
⚖️ Risk Management
Always define your risk per trade (commonly 1–2% of capital).
Trail stop loss after each target for capital protection.
Avoid over-leveraging.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in commodities, forex, or stocks involves significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
Gold – Medium-Term Buy StrategyGold – Medium-Term Buy Strategy
Hello traders,
Gold continues to move within wave B under Elliott Wave structure. I expect price to retest the trendline once more, with the strong support around 3325 — which already triggered a sharp bounce yesterday — likely to play a key role before wave C begins.
According to Elliott theory, wave C is often the strongest, and in this case, it could extend towards the 339x region. This offers a swing buy opportunity with a reasonable target of 30–40 dollars.
The MACD also supports this outlook, with volume holding above the average line and the MACD (green) remaining on top.
Key Resistance: 3348–3352, must be broken to open the way towards 339x.
Key Support: 3313, if broken, the scenario shifts and longer-term selling pressure could return.
Buy Zone: Around 3327, with profit potential of 40–60 dollars.
This is my personal outlook for gold this week. I hope it helps you align your trading plan.
What do you think about gold’s direction here? Share your views in the comments below.
up🟢 Gold (XAUUSD) – Support Hold & Possible Upside Move
Price has been consolidating inside a falling wedge pattern with multiple retests of support. The recent candles show buyers stepping in around the 3325–3328 support zone (highlighted in purple).
🔑 Key Points:
Double bottom structure forming (circled areas).
Price respecting wedge support trendline.
Upside target around 3336–3342 (first resistance zone).
Stop loss below 3325 support.
📈 Setup:
Entry: Near current support (3328–3330)
SL: Below 3325 (purple box)
TP1: 3336
TP2: 3342+
This setup looks favorable if buyers continue to defend the lower levels. A clean breakout above the wedge resistance could trigger momentum towards the upper resistance zones.
⚠️ Note: If 3325 support fails, expect a deeper correction towards 3315–3308.
XAUUSD – Gold getting ready for a big breakout!Gold is moving exactly as expected: consolidation – breakout – consolidation again. Right now, price is forming a tight triangle pattern, showing strong pressure for the next move.
👉 With both technical setup and global macro headlines creating indecision, the market is waiting for a clear breakout. Once it happens, we can expect a strong trend in either direction.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3337 – 3343 – 3350 – 3356 – 3365
Support: 3325 – 3320 – 3314
📌 Buy Plan
Buy Zone: 3316 – 3314
SL: 3309
TP: 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370
📌 Sell Plan
Scalp Sell: 3348 – 3350
SL: 3355
TP: 3344 – 3340 – 3335 – 3330
Sell Zone: 3365 – 3367
SL: 3372
TP: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3345 – 3340
🎯 MMFLOW Note
The tighter the range, the stronger the breakout.
Always prepare for both bullish & bearish scenarios.
Wait for confirmation at the Key Levels before taking positions.
xau/usdThis XAU/USD setup is a buy trade, highlighting a short-term bullish outlook for gold. The entry price is 3338, the stop-loss is 3334, and the exit price is 3345. This plan targets a 7-point gain while risking only 4 points, giving a balanced risk-to-reward ratio favorable for intraday trading.
Buying at 3338 suggests the trader anticipates immediate upward momentum, possibly driven by weaker dollar sentiment, falling yields, or short-term safe-haven demand. The level may also coincide with intraday support, where buyers are expected to enter the market.
The target at 3345 is set just below a resistance zone to capture profits before selling pressure could appear. Meanwhile, the stop-loss at 3334 is placed tightly to protect against downside risk.
This setup is designed for disciplined, short-term strategies, ensuring controlled exposure while capturing small but consistent gains.
XAUUSD – At Critical Trendline | Breakout vs. RejectionDescription:
Gold has reached a major descending channel resistance where the next move could define short-term direction.
🔹 Market Context:
Price has been respecting the broader descending channel.
Recent sharp rally has brought price into the upper boundary of this structure.
Volume has picked up, showing strong participation at this zone.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
Upper Trendline Resistance: Potential breakout zone (monitor for candle closes above with volume).
Immediate Support Zone: Near current consolidation area – holding this level keeps bullish pressure alive.
Mid-Channel Level: Acts as a pivot; rejection could bring price back here as the first downside target.
Lower Channel Support: Remains the major bearish target if rejection extends further.
🔹 Scenarios:
Bullish: A clean breakout above the descending trendline with follow-through momentum could trigger upside continuation.
Bearish: Failure to break higher and rejection from this zone could re-align price back into the channel, targeting mid- and lower boundaries.
👉 This is a high-probability decision point. Confirmation will be key before aligning with either direction.
Gold Outlook After FOMC NewsGold Outlook After FOMC News
The recent FOMC meeting did not bring any new policy measures to support the economy. Chair Powell stated that conditions remain stable, and interest rates were kept unchanged. As a result, markets stayed quiet, with expectations now shifting towards September for potential updates.
On the charts, gold completed wave A after reacting strongly to the trendline on the daily timeframe. I expect the market to now form an ABC corrective structure, which would complete a medium-term Elliott cycle. The recent rally also broke above the descending trendline on H4, confirming that the bullish momentum could be more sustainable.
Currently, price is showing a mild pullback since the Asian session. A retracement of around 40–50% on the recent H4 candle would be a healthy move, and it could retest the broken descending trendline. If confirmed, this would establish a stronger bullish Dow structure, opening room for a longer cycle, at least until wave C completes.
The H4 chart also supports this view, with MACD averages pointing upward and trading volume showing steady growth.
Buy Zone: Around 3334 on the H4 candle, in line with the trend for holding medium- to long-term positions.
Sell Zone: Around 3365, once wave C completes and a new cycle begins.
Gold is now showing clearer technical direction. I hope this scenario helps traders align with the market trend. Wishing you all successful trades.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #MACD #CommodityTrading #FOMC