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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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USDJPY confirms inverse head & shoulders during four-day uptrendUSDJPY rises to the highest level in a week while crossing a downward-sloping resistance line from late April, now immediate support near 156.10, amid a four-day winning streak early Tuesday. In doing so, the Yen pair confirms an inverse head and shoulders bullish chart pattern by extending the previous week’s rebound from the 200-SMA. It’s worth noting that the bullish MACD signals and an upward-sloping RSI (14) line, not overbought, also keep the pair buyers hopeful. With this, the quote approaches the mid-month peak surrounding 156.80 before challenging the monthly high of around 158.00. Following that, the 160.00 threshold, the yearly high of 160.20 and the year 1990 top of 160.40 can test the bulls during their run-up toward the theoretical target of the aforementioned inverse head and shoulders bullish formation, namely 162.50. Meanwhile, the USDJPY pair’s retreat remains elusive unless breaking the neckline of the stated bullish chart formation, close to 156.10. In a case where the Yen pair drops beneath the 156.10 resistance-turned-support, it will defy the inverse head and shoulders and can quickly revisit the 200-SMA support of near 154.60. It should be observed, however, that the bullish bias remains intact as far as the pair stays beyond a two-month-old ascending support line, near 152.45 as we write. Overall, the USDJPY pair braces for a fresh record high while confirming a bullish chart formation. Any pullback, backed by the downbeat US data and softer yields, remains unimportant until the pair exceeds 152.45.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY May 20, 2024 Is this price increase over?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. Based on the Elliot wave principle, we analyze the H1 chart We see that the 5-wave small structure has completed on the H1 frame after which the price entered the corrective wave abc. - Looking at this correction structure, we see that wave a b c has completed, the price is in the stage of completing the next rising wave. - The adjustment process is officially determined when the price breaks out through the 155.98 area - In the trading plan, we expect a good buying zone at the price range of 155.6 with TP at the 159 zone. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
Long
by DEEKOP
USDJPY week 3, May 2024 Can the uptrend last long?Hello everyone, DEEKOP is ready to bring the most accurate signals and assessments to everyone. Financial freedom is true freedom. With the BOJ's intervention becoming increasingly clear, people are expecting the BOJ to increase interest rates 3 times this year and will begin the first increase in June. We use the Elliot principle to analyze the USDJPY chart We see both the big wave level in purple and the small wave level in blue, meaning the price is completing wave 5. Deekop measured the expected goal of completing wave 5 in two price ranges, the price range 159.2 and the price range 164.3. At these price zones, there may be a reversal zone, then the USDJPY price will enter the ABC correction wave. This is my plan for next week, the order entry area will be updated daily based on market fluctuations next week. Note: Sufficient TP, SL to be safe and win the market‼ ️Change data plan will be updated later. Deekop's analysis is only a personal opinion with a desire to share its views with the community. I'm not always right. But my analysis always reflects my meticulous evaluation of what is best for an investment.
by DEEKOP
USDJPY : Forming lower highs!USD/JPY edged lower on Wednesday, slipping back to the 153.00 level after a broad-based decline in the US Dollar (USD) shed weight against all of its major peers. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is also looking to ease selling pressure in the broad market, recovering ground as the Greenback declines. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation eased slightly on Wednesday, with headline CPI inflation in April falling to 0.3% versus market forecasts of holding at 0.4%. Easing inflationary pressures are raising hopes of a rate cut as investors call for a rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed).
Short
by RKarina
USDJPY is in a rising channel breaking which it would turnUSDJPY can turn bearish again if it breaks below 152, breaking the rising channel for the most recent advance. The move inside the rising channel can be three waves if 152 breaks. Wave c was also three waves. Then, the entire pattern would look like an ED where wave e ended at the recent high. That can mean prices go back to 140—no more new highs until new evidence develops. I hear that BOJ has intervened, and the DXY is falling, so the odds favour a correction in USDJPY.
Short
by indiacharts
USDJPY pokes key resistance, US inflation, Japan's GDP eyedUSDJPY jostles with a fortnight-old horizontal resistance as buyers turn cautious ahead of this week’s US inflation and the first readings of Japan’s Q1 2024 GDP. In doing so, the Yen pair struggles to extend the previous week’s recovery from the 50-SMA. That said, the near-50 RSI levels join the receding strength of the bearish MACD signals to suggest a continuation of the quote’s latest rebound within the bullish trend channel comprising levels marked since late 2023. It’s worth noting, however, that a clear upside break of the immediate 155.20-156.00 resistance zone becomes necessary for the bulls to retake control. In that case, the upper line of the previously stated bullish channel, close to 159.00 by the press time, will precede the 160.00 psychological magnet and the year 1990’s peak of 160.40 to lure the buyers. Meanwhile, softer US inflation and upbeat Japan growth numbers could trigger the USDJPY pair’s retreat toward the mid-April swing highs around 154.80. However, the 50-SMA and the aforementioned bullish channel’s bottom line, respectively near 152.50 and 152.00, could challenge the Yen pair sellers afterward. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 152.00, the 150.00 threshold will act as the final defense of the buyers. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains bullish, despite the latest inaction, but the upside room remains limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY rebound appears elusive below 155.70USDJPY bounces off a one-month low to snap a three-day winning streak early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair takes a U-turn from the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of its March-April upside amid a nearly oversold RSI. Given the receding bearish strength of the MACD signals and the quote’s rebound from the key Fibonacci ratio, as well as the RSI (14) line’s recovery from the oversold territory, the latest run-up in price is likely to prevail for a bit. The same highlights the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 155.00 for short-term buyers. However, a convergence of the 50-SMA, a two-month-old previous support line, and a downward-sloping resistance line from April 29, around 155.60-70, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls. Following that, the pair’s gradual rise toward the monthly high of nearly 158.00 and then to the recent multi-year peak surrounding 160.00 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci ratio put a short-term floor under the USDJPY pair at around 153.30. In a case where the sellers keep control past the 153.30 support confluence, the Yen pair bears could again jostle with the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio surrounding 151.70, also known as the Golden Fibonacci ratio. It’s worth noting, however, that the quote’s weakness past 151.70 will make it vulnerable to revisit the lows marked in March near 146.50. During the fall, the 150.00 threshold and the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio around 149.40 can act as intermediate halts. USDJPY is likely to extend the latest corrective bounce, especially amid the Japanese holiday, but the upside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY reverses pullback from 34-year high on mixed Japan dataA mixed bag of Japan statistics triggered the USDJPY pair’s fresh run-up early Tuesday. In doing so, the Yen pair justifies mostly downbeat employment and activity data from the Asian major while reversing the previous day’s retreat from the highest level since 1990. Also favoring the upside bias are the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s U-turn from a seven-week-old rising support line, close to 154.70 by the press time. With this, the risk-barometer pair is likely approaching the 160.00 threshold. However, the overbought RSI conditions could challenge the buyers around the recent multi-year peak of 160.20. Even if the pair remains firmer past 160.20, the year 1990’s high of 160.40 and an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from late June 2023, around 161.60 at the latest, can prod the bulls. On the contrary, USDJPY sellers need validation from the aforementioned support line from early March surrounding 154.70, as well as FOMC and the US NFP, to retake control even for a short term. Following that, an 18-month-old previous resistance line near 151.75 and the bottom line of a 10-month-long rising wedge bearish chart pattern, around 150.80, will be in the spotlight. In a case where the Yen pair remains bearish past 150.80, the 150.00 psychological magnet and the 200-SMA level of 148.20 will act as the final defense of the buyers. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains bullish but the upside room appears limited as traders await this week’s key data/events, namely the monetary policy announcements from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the monthly US employment report.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY: Continuing uptrend!Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the recent developments in USDJPY? Currently, the USD/JPY pair is showing a significant upward trend due to a substantial interest rate differential between the United States and Japan. With the Federal Reserve setting the Federal Fund Rate at 5.25%-5.50% and the Bank of Japan maintaining near-zero interest rates at 0.0%-0.1%, the USD holds a clear advantage in attracting investment compared to the JPY. This continues to support the upward trajectory of USD/JPY.
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY refreshes 34-year high on BoJ’s dovish haltUSDJPY prints a three-day winning streak while rising to a fresh high since 1990 as it justifies the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) dovish halt. That said, the BoJ kept its benchmark rates unchanged, as expected, but omitted the mention of bond buying operations which were anticipated to suggest the Japanese central bank’s hawkish turn. With this, the Yen pair pokes an upward-sloping resistance line stretched from early December, around 155.90 at the latest. Given the overbought RSI conditions and the recently easing bullish bias of the MACD, the quote is likely to witness a pullback, which in turn highlights the 155.00 threshold and the mid-month peak surrounding 154.80. However, the bottom line of a six-week-old rising wedge bearish chart formation, close to 154.20 as we write, will be the key to watch for the seller’s entry. In a case where the pair remains weak past 154.20, a six-month-old horizontal support line near 151.70 will precede an area comprising multiple levels marked since early February, around 150.90-80, to challenge the pair bears. Above all, the USDJPY pair buyers should remain hopeful unless witnessing a daily closing beneath an ascending trend line from late December 2023, near 150.30 at the latest. On the contrary, a successful upside break of the aforementioned multi-month-old resistance line surrounding 155.90 will need validation from the top line of a short-term rising wedge bearish chart formation, near 156.10. Should the USDJPY pair buyers ignore overbought RSI and keep the reins past 156.10, the odds of witnessing a gradual run-up toward the 160.00 psychological magnet and then to the year 1990 peak of 160.40 can’t be ruled out. Overall, the USDJPY pair remains bullish beyond 150.30 but a short-term pullback appears overdue.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY todayThe USDJPY currency pair continued its impressive upward streak, breaking the 152,100 resistance and climbing to a new high of 154,900. This upward momentum is reinforced by strong technical indicators, forecasting an optimistic future. Careful analysis using the Fibonacci tool shows that this trend is not just random but can continue to 163,450, our first take profit point at the 1,618 Fibonacci level, consistent with the Dow Theory of Market trend. What an exciting journey! What are you planning now that USDJPY is on the rise? Please share your thoughts!
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY: Still keeping ourselves in the high price zone!The Japanese Yen (JPY) is currently struggling to capitalize on any gains against the US Dollar, remaining near multi-decade lows. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is not in a hurry to normalize monetary policy, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is forecast to keep interest rates higher for a long time due to persistent inflation. This reduces the appeal of the Japanese Yen as a safe haven. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) continues to strengthen, supported by hawkish policy expectations from the Fed, although there is speculation that Japanese government intervention could limit gains. This. Upcoming decisions from the BoJ along with key economic indicators from the United States will be the key factors determining the short-term direction of the USD/JPY currency pair.
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY: Target at 155,500USD/JPY is experiencing a slight decline, trading around 154.65 in the early hours of Wednesday's Asian trading session. The strong US economy and inflationary challenges have sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve may postpone the start of its tapering cycle to September instead of June, providing support for the US dollar. From a technical perspective, the recent breakthrough of the key resistance level near 152.00 and the subsequent upward trend is seen as a new opportunity for trend-following traders. Following that are overnight fluctuations around the 153.00 level. Any significant decline below 154.00 could attract new buyers, potentially targeting the next area around 155.50.
Long
by RKarina
USDJPY hovers around multi-year high as bulls run out of steamUSDJPY edges higher past 154.00 while making rounds to the 34-year top marked the previous day, mildly bid within a four-month-old rising trend channel early Tuesday. In doing so, Yen pair buyers take a breather at the multi-year high as the overbought RSI (14) line joins sluggish market conditions. It’s worth noting, however, that the bullish MACD signals and the quote’s sustained trading beyond a 6.5-month-old ascending resistance line, now support around 151.85, keep the bulls in the driver's seat. That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the pair’s December-March moves and the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), respectively near 153.05 and 152.00, restrict the quote’s immediate downside. Following that, a two-month-old horizontal support zone near 150.90-80 and the aforementioned bullish channel’s support line, close to 149.60 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the pair buyers, a successful break of which could give control to the bears. Meanwhile, the 78.6% FE level surrounding 154.85 guards the immediate upside of the USDJPY pair ahead of the multi-month-old rising trend channel’s top line, near 155.20 as we write. It’s worth mentioning that the Yen pair’s sustained run-up beyond 155.20 will need validation from the June 1990 peak of 155.80 to keep the bulls in control. Following that, the pair’s gradual advances toward the 100% FE level of 157.15 can’t be ruled out. That said, the 156.00 and the 157.00 round figures will act as intermediate halts during the rise. Overall, the USDJPY pair buyers appear exhausted, suggesting a pullback in the prices, but the broadly bullish trend is likely to remain intact unless the quote breaks the 149.60 key support.
by MTradingGlobal