Few learnings I want to share taking Adaniports daily chartFew learnings I want to share taking Adaniports daily chart as example:
EMA’s 13,50 and 200 are plotted in the chart. An ideal price should always be near to all EMA’s but due to demand and supply and various other factors, price revolves around the EMA’s. High demand or High supply will make these EMA’s move away from each other. But the fact is after some time they settle and come closer to each other. Smallest EMA moves faster and first than largest EMA which moves last and slow for all price action movements. These are the opportunities which traders need to profit buy entering at correct time to ensure appropriate and maximum profits are earned. It takes time, learnings, experience to understand these concepts for entry and exit.
From 2021 beginning the price is ascending constantly and taking 13 EMA as support. Instead of 13 EMA, 20 EMA can also be plotted. 13 EMA helps us for a day trading as well as for short and long terms, hence we used 13, 50 and 200 EMA to address the needs of all types of trading. When ever price goes far away from 13 EMA/20 EMA, it will comes back to test or take support before moving on. If 13 EMA/50EMA are above 200 EMA its considered as uptrend and if they are below 200 EMA, its considered as downtrend. In the current example since beginning of 2021, price is in uptrend hance 13 EMA is above 50 EMA and these two are above 200 EMA proving the uptrend. Once price reaches its high or demand lacks, price wont fall suddenly, it will consolidate for some time and then inches to touch the small EMA, here its 13 EMA and takes support (17th Mar) and then goes for a higher high (7th April 20201 example). If 13 EMA support is broken then price tends to go and touch 50 EMA and take support (22nd April) and then makes higher high (7th Jun). After this price couldn’t sustain but with a huge gap down it went and touch 50 EMA and skipped 13 EMA. These gaps will subsequently gets filled, in a few day or few weeks or few months but surely gaps get filled up (example 17th Oct and 18th Oct gap filled up). When price tends to go lower and if 13 EMA crossed 50 EMA from top then higher chances of price to touch 200 EMA or at least it will go very nearby to 200 EMA before reversing.
Flag pattern - Last two months (Mid Aug and Sep till Oct mid), we can see a flag pattern and it got broken on 13th Oct and price making highs covering earlier gaps. Now the probability of price touching earlier highs are very high. This is how we can use EMA’s to optimum and can have a proper entry and exit points for intraday, short term or long term trading.
Wicks – Now let’s talk about wicks, some people consider them and some won’t consider. Here we considered wicks and some learnings we want to share. When ever we see big wicks it means there are traders to buy or sell in that wick space. This means eventually that wicks will get filled up. Example, if you see 7th April/16th April there is a long wick on the up side and eventually it got filled up in over May
period. Color of candle doesn’t matter here when big wicks are made. Same way 14th Jun a hug wick on down side and got filled in couple of days.
Fibonacci – Two Fib levels are plotted to see how price respects them. 0.382 and 0.5 are crucial for a retracement and if support taken then price can move up. At the same time 0.618 if broken then the trend in retracement will continue.
Hope above information on EMA, wicks, Fib levels along with a flag break out example and also a trending up and down market we could learn from this example.
Disclaimer : This analysis is only for educational purpose and not be considered as any trading idea/tip. Please consult your financial advisor before you take any trade and we are no way responsible for your profits/losses. Thank you!
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