GOLD 4H | Bearish Retracement Into FVG • MSS → BOS 📌 Pair: XAUUSD (Gold)
⏱ Timeframe: 4H
📉 Bias: Bearish until premium FVG mitigation
The market created a clear MSS (Market Structure Shift) on the higher time frame.
Followed by multiple BOS confirming bearish continuation.
Price is currently trading below the major swing high → showing bearish orderflow.
Gold is showing a perfect ICT SMC bearish retracement after BOS + MSS.
Price is expected to continue lower as long as it stays below the FVG premium zone.
This idea is based on pure SMC + ICT concepts (BOS, MSS, FVG, BB, Premium/Discount zones).👉 Sky Eagle Trader
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Cup and Handle Detected: A Bullish Outlook for XAUUSDOANDA:XAUUSD is forming a very clear Cup and Handle pattern. Price previously dropped toward the 4000 region, rounded out, and then climbed back toward 4080, completing the cup structure. At the moment, the market is making a mild pullback and shaping a tight and well controlled handle.
If price can break this resistance with strong momentum, the next target I expect is around 4150. Until a confirmed breakout appears, patience remains essential. No breakout means no trade.
This is a classic bullish formation, and market expectations are gradually strengthening.
OVERVIEW FOR TODAY - CHART H1 OVERVIEW
Price is currently sitting inside the POC zone – the area with the highest traded volume → the market usually consolidates here before choosing a direction.
Prior trend: Strong uptrend → distribution → correction.
The ascending trendline has been broken → short-term trend is bearish (downtrend).
Volume Profile shows the VAH above as strong resistance, and VAL below as strong support.
1: Price bounces from POC → moves up toward VAH (medium probability)
Conditions:
Price holds above the POC zone (~4000–4010).
Bullish price action appears (pin bar, engulfing, break of structure on H4).
Targets:
4120–4160 (VAH zone) → this is major resistance.
If VAH breaks → trend may resume upward with a larger target around 4300+.
Assessment:
Possible, but not the highest probability, because recent bearish momentum is still strong.
2: Price breaks below POC → retest → drops to VAL (HIGHEST PROBABILITY)
Current candles show strong rejection from VAH → falling directly into POC → bearish confirmation.
If D1 closes below the POC:
Bearish continuation becomes likely.
Targets:
3920–3950 (VAL zone) → very strong support.
Volume Profile thins out here → price tends to move quickly through this area.
Assessment:
This is the most likely scenario because:
✔ Trendline is broken.
✔ Weak bullish reaction at VAH.
✔ Volume Profile structure favors a move downward into VAL.
3: Price breaks below VAL → deeper drop toward Demand zone (low probability but dangerous)
Conditions:
D1 closes below 3920 (VAL)
Breaks the horizontal support.
Deep Targets:
3550–3600 (major Demand zone).
This is where the longer-term uptrend may recover.
Assessment:
Low probability, but if triggered → gold will make a sharp correction.
FINAL CONCLUSION
Highest probability: BEARISH continuation → drop toward VAL zone (3920–3950)
Because:
Strong rejection from VAH
Price sitting weakly on POC
Short-term structure turning bearish
[bTrading Suggestions
For short setups:
Look to sell on a retest of POC (4000–4010).
SL above VAH (4060–4080).
TP at VAL.
For long setups:
Only buy at VAL zone when clear reversals appear (pin bar, engulfing).
Avoid buying between POC → VAL.
⚠️ Disclaimer
All analyses and insights provided in this content are for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The financial market carries inherent risks, and every trader is fully responsible for their own decisions. Trade with a plan, discipline, and proper risk management.
Gold NY Session Strategy 11/19: Will up to 4162Gold Daily Plan – SMC Outlook (Nov 20)
Framework: CHoCH – BOS – FVG – POI – Premium/Discount Model
1. Market Context
Gold continues to recover after the sharp drop earlier this week. Price is now approaching the Premium zone of the current bullish swing and tapping into H1 supply. The market shows:
Buyers still in short-term control
Momentum weakening as price reaches resistance
A corrective pullback into Discount is likely before any further expansion
2. Structural Overview (SMC Logic)
🔻 Overall Market Structure
A key BOS formed around 4090–4100 → confirms short-term bullish structure
Follow-up CHoCH signals continuation of the intraday uptrend
Price is moving toward the upper FVG + Supply Zone (4160–4162)
🔸 Orderflow Notes
Strong reaction at the 4140 area → clear presence of passive Sell Limit absorption
Demand POI at 4091–4089 held exceptionally well → main bullish mitigation zone
3. Trading Zones (POI)
✅ BUY Zone (Discount Area)
4091 – 4089
Demand + previous CHoCH + fib 1.272 confluence
Ideal low-risk long setup within Discount
Suggested SL: 4087
BUY Scenario:
Price retraces to POI → shows bullish reaction → long toward Premium.
❗️ SELL Zones (Premium Area)
Aggressive Sell Zone:
4143 – 4145
SL: 4147
Optimal Sell Zone:
4160 – 4162
Major supply + imbalance + fib 2.618 extension
Highest probability for reversal
SL: 4165
4. Trade Scenarios
📌 Primary Scenario (High Probability)
Price retraces into 4091–4089 Demand
Look for CHoCH/BOS confirmation on lower timeframe
Enter BUY → target 4143 → 4160
→ Classic SMC model: Buy from Discount → Sell from Premium.
📌 Alternative Scenario
If price rallies straight into 4143–4162 without retracement:
ONLY enter SELL when a clear bearish CHoCH or strong rejection forms
Target: 4100 → 4090
5. Intraday Bias
→ Bullish in Discount zones – Bearish in Premium zones.
Trade based on orderflow → Do not chase price in the middle range.
6. Summary
BUY: 4091–4089 (SL 4087) → TP: 4140 – 4160
SELL:
• 4143–4145 (SL 4147)
• 4160–4162 (SL 4165)
Wait for confirmation at each POI; avoid mid-range entries.
XAUUSD | Bulls Hold Control Above 4070 - Eyes on 4090–4100 ZoneGold (XAUUSD) continues to show strong bullish structure, and price action above the 4070 key support reinforces buyers’ dominance.
If price sustains above this level, the next upside liquidity area sits at 4090–4100 , a zone where previous reactions have occurred.
Bullish Scenario:
Holding above 4070 keeps momentum pointed toward 4082 and then the 4090 zone.
The bullish outlook remains valid as long as price stays above 4059, which currently acts as intraday invalidation.
What I’m Watching:
A clean intraday consolidation above 4070
Momentum strength into 4082
Whether buyers can break into the 4090–4100 resistance pocket
This setup highlights how the market could behave, not financial advice—just educational analysis.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your trading plan.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (18 November 2025)1️⃣ Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
D1 momentum is approaching the oversold zone, signaling that a potential reversal may be forming.
Although this does not confirm a daily reversal yet, it is an early warning that bearish momentum may be weakening soon.
H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is also nearing the oversold zone, suggesting that a reversal or recovery bounce could appear shortly.
H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is beginning to turn upward, indicating that in the short term we can expect a bullish pullback on the H1 timeframe.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Wave Structure
D1 Wave Structure:
Price is currently still moving inside wave Y.
With D1 momentum entering the oversold zone, we do not have a confirmed reversal yet, but it alerts us to the rising probability of one forming soon.
Wave W previously took 8 days to complete. Since momentum cycles often form in 5–8 daily candles, this time structure can be used as a reference when observing the development of wave Y, as waves W and Y tend to share similar timing characteristics.
________________________________________
H4 Wave Structure:
On H4, a 5-wave sequence (blue) has completed, and price is currently in wave 5.
Combined with D1 momentum nearing oversold, this leads to three possible scenarios:
1️⃣ Scenario 1:
This 5-wave decline is wave (1) of a larger 5-wave structure inside purple wave Y.
If so, once wave (5) finishes, we will see a wave (2) pullback, aligning with the upcoming D1 momentum reversal.
2️⃣ Scenario 2:
Wave Y may end earlier than expected, failing to reach the 3746 target.
If this occurs, a new trend could begin sooner, coinciding with the next D1 momentum reversal.
3️⃣ Scenario 3:
D1 momentum enters the oversold zone but remains compressed there, dragging price lower for a deeper extension before any reversal happens.
These three possibilities help guide our chart observation and prepare for multiple outcomes.
________________________________________
H1 Wave Structure:
On H1, price is also forming a 5-wave decline (blue) and is currently in wave 5.
The projected target for wave 5 is around 3958, which is where we expect a Buy setup.
Additionally, RSI is showing bullish divergence across the lows, reinforcing the probability that price is completing wave 5 and preparing for a short-term bounce.
________________________________________
3️⃣ Trade Plan
• Buy Zone: 3959 – 3957
• Stop Loss: 3938
• TP1: 4000
• TP2: 4096
• TP3: 4145
XAUUSD Repricing MoveXAUUSD Repricing Move
Gold continues to trade inside a broader corrective cycle, with price action showing a clear transition from prior strength into a short-term distribution phase. The chart highlights repeated breaks in market structure and shifts in order flow, signalling a controlled decline built on institutional rebalancing.
After the recent downside sweep, price is now hovering around a key reaction zone where liquidity has already been absorbed. Sellers dominated the previous swing, but the latest candles show a slowdown in bearish momentum, indicating that the market may be preparing for a corrective repricing attempt.
The volume footprint on the left side of the chart reflects previous heavy activity from major participants, and the current area sits beneath an inefficiency pocket that remains unmitigated. This opens the door for a short-term bullish rotation if buyers defend this accumulation region. The marked arrow in your chart aligns with a potential internal shift where gold could attempt a short retracement toward the mid-range of the prior move.
Momentum indicators embedded in the structure show reduced volatility, meaning the market may be positioning itself for a liquidity-driven bounce rather than continuing straight lower. The next sessions will reveal whether this zone becomes a launch point for a recovery leg or if the broader trend resumes its downward trajectory.
GOLD 30 Min chart analysis1. Trend : Price was in a downtrend with continuous lower highs and lower lows. Now the chart is showing a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal pattern. Breakout candle is visible with strength, indicating trend reversal from bearish to bullish on the 30-minute timeframe.
2. Volumes: Volumes remained average during the fall.
At the breakout zone, you can see volume expansion, which confirms buyers are stepping in.
This supports a valid bullish breakout.
3. Momentum (Price Action + EMAs): Price is crossing above the 10 EMA and 20 EMA, and both EMAs are starting to turn upward. This shows momentum shift from sellers to buyers. Momentum candles at breakout confirm the start of an upward move.
4. RSI Divergence: Price made lower lows, but RSI made higher lows.
This is a classic bullish divergence, indicating selling pressure is weakening. RSI has now moved above 60, confirming momentum is picking up strongly.
Buy above 4075 after the breakout candle closes above falling wedge.
This ensures confirmation and avoids a false breakout.
Keep SL just below wedge support: SL = 4025
Target : The major horizontal resistance shown on the chart is:
Target = 4246 This is also the measured move of the wedge, matching the resistance zone.
Risk–Reward: RR is approximately 1:3 to 1:3.5, which is ideal for breakout trades. This is a high-probability trend-reversal breakout setup with a clear target and safe stop loss.
XAUUSD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting ...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold on a downward trend, hitting strong support around 4005 🎯
Gold has plunged from its peak, currently “visiting” the 4005–3990 zone, where trendline + POC/OB + high liquidity converge. This is a zone where a technical rebound might occur, but the short-term trend remains bearish, so any BUY orders need to wait for clear confirmation.
🔍 Fundamental Analysis
Goldman Sachs forecasts that during 2025–2026, central banks will purchase an average of ~80 tons of gold per month, a significant driver that could push gold towards 4,900 USD/oz by the end of 2026.
This keeps the long-term trend of gold bullish, but in the short term, deep corrections like the current one are normal to “shake off” positions before big money returns.
📊 Technical Analysis
Current trend:
H1 is still in a short-term downtrend phase (lower high – lower low), with prices below the 4080–4100 resistance zone and below the nearest descending trendline.
Main support zones:
4005–3990: intersection of long-term rising trendline, POC – OB, old VAH/VAL zone → crucial support, potential for bottom-fishing buying force.
3975–3977: deeper support, coinciding with liquidity zone & recent low.
Key resistance zones:
4098–4100: confluence of resistance + trendline test → ideal zone to watch for SELL retracement.
Above is the cluster 4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 4098–4100 acting like “steps” for scalping orders.
Volume Profile:
Heavy trading volume around the 4000–4020 zone → prices tend to revisit this area multiple times before moving away.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenarios
SELL – following the downtrend (priority)
Entry: 4098–4100
SL: 4105
TP: 4082 → 4060 → 4035 → 4012
Price retraces to resistance + descending trendline.
Only trigger when M15–H1 shows clear rejection candles (pin bar/bearish engulfing) around 4098–4100.
BUY – catching the rebound at strong support
Entry: 3975–3977
SL: 3970
TP: 3995 → 4025 → 4050 → 4080
Confluence support zone at channel bottom + POC/OB + liquidity.
Only BUY when there is strong rejection or a clear reversal pattern (M15–H1).
⚠️ Price zones to watch for scalping
4011 – 4053 – 4077 – 3939
These zones are suitable for short scalps, prioritising the main trend (currently bearish), quick exits – do not hold positions too long.
🧠 Risks & Invalidations
H1 closes above 4105 → reduces SELL priority, wait for new structure.
H1 closes below 3970 → bad structure for BUY side, potential for further decline to lower zones.
Are you watching to BUY or SELL gold in this zone?
👉 Comment your perspective & Follow LiamTrading channel for daily XAUUSD plans.
GOLD DAILY TRADING 17/11: BUY TODAY🦁 THE GOLDEN ARENA – 17 NOV, 2025
“Rebound or Trap? Let the Orderflow Decide.”
A visually striking TradingView plan – part narrative, part tactical map. This is not just a bias, it’s a battlefield strategy.
🧭 MARKET CONTEXT SNAPSHOT
Price currently consolidating around 4076 – 4084, after clean breaks of structure (BOS) and a deep retracement.
Significant supply zones confirmed at 4157 – 4180, where POC clusters, FVG imbalances, and volume absorptions align.
Orderflow on M5–M30 shows fading buy pressure and aggressive sells into lower highs.
🎯 CORE STRATEGIES FOR TODAY
🔺 Scenario 1: Breakout Trap SELL (High Conviction)
Target Zone 4178 – 4180 (Main Supply)
Stop Loss (SL) 4185
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4155 (Low volume node)
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4100 (Local support)
Take Profit 3 (TP3) 4040 (Structural SSL level)
🔍 Why this setup?
Clear liquidity pool above 4178 being targeted.
Volume tapering off into the move → classic reversal signal.
Footprint shows absorption candles at key supply.
🪙 Scenario 2: FVG Scalping SELL (Secondary)
Entry Zone 4157 – 4158
SL 4163
TP 4100 – 4105
✅ Perfect for short-term scalpers looking to ride the intraday rejection from the imbalance zone.
🟢 Bullish Reversal INVALIDATION (Failsafe Plan)
Trigger Break and hold above 4185
Entry Breakout Buy above 4190
SL 4175
TP 4220
Only flip bullish if aggressive buyers step in + strong delta + profile breakout.
🧱 KEY PRICE ZONES TO MONITOR
Level Description
4185 Stopline – invalidates Sell
4178 – 4180 Main SELL Zone (POC + FVG)
4157 – 4158 Minor FVG Scalping Area
4100 Micro support + Bull trap
4040 SSL – liquidity target
📊 VOLUME & ORDERFLOW INSIGHT
M5–M30 Footprints:
Massive seller imbalances from 4175+
Footprint at 4084 shows buyer exhaustion
Volume Profile:
High-volume node at 4178 acting as strong resistance
Low-volume gap below 4155 → fast price travel zone
Delta:
Negative delta buildup confirming sell bias
💡 EXECUTION CHECKLIST
✅ Wait for entry trigger at marked zones – don’t pre-empt.
🚫 Avoid FOMO buy into supply unless 4185 is cleanly broken.
🔔 Set alerts at 4157 and 4180 for rejection signs.
🧠 TRADING MANTRA OF THE DAY
"The chart speaks in structure,
The volume whispers the truth,
But the orderflow shouts the conviction."
📌 Bias: SELL on retracements toward supply → hold for 4100–4040
📌 Watchlist: Footprint aggression, absorption blocks, spoof traps
Gold H1 – Sideway or Preparing for a Bigger Break?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (20/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to move inside a tight consolidation as markets digest fresh headlines:
Treasury markets just erased hopes for a December rate cut and now even a January cut is doubtful, following hawkish tones revealed in the latest Fed minutes.
This shift reinforces USD strength in the short term and pressures gold’s bullish momentum, keeping price trapped between well-defined liquidity zones.
Key implications from the news:
• The 6-month Treasury yield jumped back to 3.83%, aligning with hawkish expectations.
• Rate-cut bets evaporating → USD stays firm, limiting gold’s upside.
• Institutions are engineering both-side liquidity sweeps ahead of upcoming Fed speakers.
• Gold is currently hovering around ~$4,070 inside a neutral zone where no clean premium/discount imbalance exists.
Until the market receives fresh macro catalysts, price is likely to sweep liquidity at the edges of the range before choosing direction.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Structure: Price remains inside a short-term sideways distribution after the recent CHoCH + BOS sequence.
• Premium Sell Zone: 4145–4147, aligning with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs.
• Discount Buy Zone: 4004–4002, sitting inside last clean demand with previous sell-side sweep.
• Liquidity Map:
→ Buy-side liquidity: above 4145–4150 (equal-high cluster).
→ Sell-side liquidity: below 4004–3997, where earlier long positions were cleared.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4145 – 4147
• Stop-Loss: 4155
• Take-Profit:
→ 4085 (minor imbalance)
→ 4045 (range midpoint)
→ 4004 – 4002 (discount demand)
📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into zone + bearish CHoCH M5–M15 before entering.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
• Entry: 4004 – 4002
• Stop-Loss: 3997
• Take-Profit:
→ 4040 (short-term range high)
→ 4075 (inefficiency fill)
→ 4140 (premium retest)
📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4000–3997 liquidity pocket and shows strong bullish displacement.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect increased volatility as markets reposition after the sharp decline in rate-cut expectations.
• Avoid trading inside the 4030–4080 chop zone unless a clear structure break occurs.
• Reduce risk size during sudden USD spikes caused by Treasury-yield moves.
• Trail stops progressively as each liquidity level is taken.
📝 Summary
Gold is currently stuck in a clean intraday range as hawkish Fed minutes remove hopes for early rate cuts, pushing USD up and holding gold below premium supply.
SMC structure favors liquidity-sweep setups at both edges:
• Sell Zone: 4145–4147 (premium supply)
• Buy Zone: 4004–4002 (discount accumulation)
Expect classic manipulation → reaction → continuation patterns until the market resolves the new macro pressure.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 17-18✅ From the 4-hour chart, after gold topped at 4245, the price continued to break downward and is still trading below all short-term moving averages (MA5 / MA10 / MA20). This indicates that the larger-cycle bearish trend remains intact.
MA5 < MA10 < MA20 — the bearish alignment is clear, and every rebound has been suppressed near MA10 (4110).
💹 Bollinger Bands:
The lower band continues to extend downward, the middle band (around 4146) is sloping lower, and the lower band has moved down to 4035.
Gold is currently oscillating weakly near the lower band, suggesting that the market is still releasing downside momentum and the lower support has not stabilized.
✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold has been unable to hold above MA20 (around 4084).
MA5 and MA10 are pressing downward, while MA20 and MA60 act as strong resistance. Each rebound candle shows an upper wick, indicating heavy selling pressure.
The 1-hour timeframe is a weak consolidation and there is no valid sign of bottoming or reversal.
💹 Bollinger Bands:
The bands are narrowing at the lows, with the middle band (around 4084) moving sideways.
The market is consolidating at low levels and may choose a direction soon — with a higher probability of continuing downward in line with the main trend.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4110–4120 / 4140–4150
🟢 Support Levels: 4060–4050 / 4032–4035
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4110–4120 and meets resistance, consider light short positions. The target can be set at 4050–4030. If the decline continues, further targets are 4000 and 3930–3887.
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4140–4150 and faces rejection, high-position shorts can be taken, targeting 4100–4080.
🔰 If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes, consider low-position longs, targeting 4060–4080.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
XAUUSDTrading is easy, but trading with convection is only possible after you have 5-6 years of experience trading in every market.
It is this experience that can tell you how high the market can go, if you are tracking the stock correctly, and only then can you estimate how much profit booking can happen.
This is possible only with experience. Its the time to book profit in gold. gold ready for create a new lower high formation.
XAUUSD: Likely continuation following pullbackXAUUSD has surged into a strong uptrend, and I predict that this momentum will continue, with a potential target around 4,150, as shown on my chart.
The current price level may be a critical turning point. Here, the price could find support and continue to rise, or if it breaks below, we might see an extension of the downward trend.
If I had to choose a direction, I would lean towards more upside, but the final decision should be based on price action to determine the next move.
However, if the price breaks decisively below the trendline, it would invalidate the bullish scenario, indicating that the uptrend could pause or even reverse in the short term.
These are just my personal views based on chart analysis, not financial advice. Always verify your setups and manage your risk carefully.
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 19-20✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold experienced a strong rebound yesterday, releasing some short-term bullish momentum. However, the price encountered significant resistance near 4132 (previous high + upper Bollinger Band).
The latest candle shows a large bearish candle with a long upper wick, which is a classic signal of bulls failing to break higher and profit-taking pressure intensifying.
MA5 and MA10 have started to turn downward, indicating weakening short-term momentum.
MA20 (around 4089) still provides partial support, but it has already been broken through quickly.
The upper Bollinger Band (around 4130) remains a strong resistance level, with price quickly falling below the mid-band after the spike.
The lower wick touched 4055, suggesting that short-term buying interest exists in this area.
The short-term rebound structure has been damaged, and the 4-hour timeframe has entered a corrective phase turning weaker again.
If gold breaks below 4058–4050, bearish momentum will strengthen further.
✅ On the 1-hour chart, gold formed a short-term high at 4132, followed by a sharp sell-off.
Two consecutive large bearish candles broke below MA5 / MA10 / MA20 / MA60, forming a classic one-sided reversal signal.
The bullish structure is completely broken, and moving averages have shifted back into a bearish alignment.
Key support lies at 4050–4049, a strong confluence support zone. Breaking below this area will open further downside potential.
The current small rebound is weak and only a technical correction, showing that bears still dominate the short-term price action.
The rebound only reached below MA20 (around 4085), showing that selling pressure above remains strong.
Short-term structure is bearish, and any weak rebound is unlikely to break above 4085–4090. After the rebound, price is still likely to retest the 4050 area.
🔴 Resistance Levels:4085–4090 / 4100–4110 / 4125–4132
🟢 Support Levels:4058–4050 / 4030 / 3998
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Strategy 1: Short at 4085–4090 (Main Idea)
If gold rebounds to 4085–4090 and shows resistance:
Light short positions
Stop-loss: 4098
Targets: 4060 / 4050
👉 Current trend is bearish; selling rebounds is the main logic.
🔰 Strategy 2: Short again at strong resistance (Aggressive Short)
If gold rebounds to 4100–4110:
Medium-sized short positions
Stop-loss: 4118
Targets: 4065 / 4050
👉 This area is strong resistance; short-term breakout probability is low.
🔰 Strategy 3: Breakout shorts below 4050 (Trend-following)
If price breaks 4050:
Bearish momentum will accelerate
Targets: 4030 / 4000
👉 4050 is the key level determining whether bears will continue the downward move.
📌 Summary
4H rebound was rejected; structure turning weaker
1H shows a sharp breakdown; bears dominate short-term price action
4085–4090 is the main zone for selling rebounds
4050 is the most important support today—breaking it will open deeper downside
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold Holds 0.618, Bullish Scenario Preferred for Wednesday 🎯
Gold continues to recover after the previous decline and is currently sitting right at the 0.618 Fibonacci level on the H1 timeframe — indicating buyers still have the upper hand. Price is also holding above the rising trendline and the thick Volume Profile area around 407x, so for today’s session, I continue to prioritise BUY setups in line with the trend.
📰 Macro – News Context
After the U.S. government reopened, the market is preparing for a series of economic data today and tomorrow → both USD and Gold may experience strong volatility.
President Trump attacked Fed Chair Powell, calling him “stupid and incompetent,” saying he once wanted to fire him immediately but was stopped by advisors.
👉 Because of this, market sentiment is very sensitive: if data leans towards a rate-cut scenario, Gold could gain additional support.
📊 Technical – H1 with Fibonacci, Trendline & Volume Profile
Fibonacci 0.618: Price is holding at the 0.618 level of the latest downswing; if this level holds, the natural target will be the upper FVG + resistance zone 4120–4150.
H1 Uptrend Line: The trendline from the recent low is supporting price very well; each retest generates a bullish reaction → an ideal area to wait for BUY entries.
Volume Profile & Liquidity:
The 4075–4080 zone is Buy Liquidity — thick volume, lots of order flow → suitable as an entry point if price retests.
VAL ~4040 and the Support + FVG area around 4020 are the next defence zones if the market sweeps deeper.
Upside liquidity:
Past H1 FVG remains unfilled up to at least 4150, so if the bullish scenario plays out, Gold can easily extend into this zone.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (LiamTrading)
1️⃣ Primary Setup – BUY with Trend
Entry: 4078–4080 (trendline retest + strong volume cluster)
SL: 4073
TP: 4094 → 4120 → 4140 → 4175
💡 Notes:
Wait for a clean M5–M15 bullish reaction (long lower wick, pin bar, or bullish engulfing) around 4078–4080 before entering.
Once price moves ~1R in profit, move SL to breakeven for account protection.
2️⃣ Short-term Scalping Zones
Support – quick buys: 4048–4023 (VAL + lower FVG zone).
Resistance – quick sells: 4121–4151 (FVG + upper liquidity zone).
These are only for scalping, so:
Enter on smaller timeframes (M5–M15).
Take profits quickly, avoid holding through major news.
✅ Summary
Short-term trend: Bullish bias as long as price holds above the H1 trendline and the 0.618 zone.
Main plan: Wait for BUY at 4078–4080, targeting 4120 → 4140 → 4175.
So, what do you think — will Gold push straight to 4150, or will it sweep down toward 404x first?
👉 Share your view in the comments & Follow LiamTrading to get daily XAUUSD plans on TradingView.
Gold Strategy 11/18: Break this Points gold will more FALL📝 GOLD TRADING PLAN – Nov 18
1. Market Context
Price is moving around 4030–4040 after a bearish BMS break.
Main structure: corrective bounce within a broader liquidity-seeking environment.
Expectation: liquidity sweep → reaction → directional move.
2. Key Trading Zones (from chart)
🔽 BUY ZONES
Primary Buy Zone
3982 – 3980
→ SL: 3977
Strong confluence (trendline + OB + support).
Deep Buy Zone
3927 – 3920 (OB zone)
→ SL below 3920
Only active if price sweeps below 3980 and continues lower.
🔼 SELL ZONE
Primary Sell Zone
4056 – 4058
→ SL: 4061
Strong confluence: FVG + resistance + liquidity sweep zone.
Sell Targets
TP1: 4000
TP2: 3980
TP3: 3930 (only if heavy news-driven volatility)
3. Expected Price Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Most Probable
🔹 Price retests trendline → minor bounce → pushes into 4056–4058
🔹 Sell from that zone → target 4000 → 3980
Scenario 2 – Secondary
🔹 Price drops first → reaches 3982–3980
🔹 Look for bullish reaction → Buy → retest 4040–4050
Scenario 3 – High-volatility Move (News Impact)
🔹 If price breaks below 3980 decisively → drops toward 3927–3920
🔹 Strong Buy zone → expect reversal back into 4000–4030
4. News Impact – Nov 18
High-impact events today:
FED speakers: Waller, Barr, Barkin (10:00pm–11:00pm)
→ Strong volatility expected on gold.
President Trump Speaks – 6:00am
USD Housing Starts – 8:15pm
🔔 Notes:
Avoid large positions before major speeches.
Keep SL tight; gold reacts aggressively to USD news.
GOLD MARKET UPDATE 11/19 – STRUCTURE HAS SHIFTED1. Market Structure
Gold has broken above the H4 downtrend line and completed a successful retest around 4,060–4,070.
The strong push toward 4,100 confirms a transition from bearish → short-term bullish.
Structural Signals:
Buyers are gaining control as price continues forming higher lows
The POC zone 4,072–4,075 has turned into strong support
Intraday structure is leaning clearly toward a bullish recovery
2. Technical Breakdown – H1 & H4
H4 Trend
After the previous strong drop, price is forming a potential bottom around 4,030–4,050
H1 Trend
The short-term bullish trend is confirmed after breaking and retesting the descending trendline
3. Key Levels to Watch
Support Zones
4,072–4,075 → POC – major support maintaining the bullish structure
4,060–4,065 → minor support – quick-reaction area
Resistance Zones
4,108–4,112 → first resistance (H1/H4 confluence)
4,147–4,150 → strong H4 resistance, potential higher target if bullish continuation remains
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Gold 30-Min Chart: Sellers Active Near Resistance!Gold is once again testing its falling resistance trendline, which has already rejected the price several times in recent sessions. Each time the price touches this trendline, selling pressure increases, showing how strong this resistance zone is.
Currently, the price is near $4070–$4080, where short-term traders should stay alert. If the price fails to break above this resistance, a pullback toward the $4000–$3980 support zone looks likely. This area has previously acted as a strong demand zone, where buyers may re-enter.
However, if Gold breaks and sustains above this trendline resistance, we could see a fresh upside momentum building up toward $4115–$4135 levels. For now, the structure looks weak near resistance, and traders should wait for a clear breakout or rejection confirmation before taking any position.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile.
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