Following the Fed meeting, gold reached a new all-time high of 2222 last week. However, it failed to stay above 2200 and retraced quickly below the previous high of 2195 within 24 hours. This Friday is a US holiday, but the inflation data(PCE price index) will still be released. Make sure you pay close attention to market volatility at the late Friday session and...
After reaching a new high of 2195, the gold price stayed sideways between 2155-85(1) last week. This week's only major event will be the Fed meeting. Following the slight rebound in US core CPI data last week, expect the post-Fed meeting announcement to lean towards a hawkish stance, which could have a bearish impact on the gold price. 1-hr Chart - The gold price...
The gold price was unstoppable last week. It broke clear the December high of 2088 and surpassed the historical high of 2147. On Friday, even with better-than-expected US non-farm payroll data, it continued to rise before the market closed, reaching a new all-time high of 2195. This week, the US will release core CPI and retail sales data on Tuesday and Thursday,...
A series of US data was released last week. The durable goods orders and 4Q GDP announced early on Tue's and Wed's were both below market expectations. However, the price of gold remained in a narrow range. It wasn't until Thur's release of the core PCE price index that the gold price finally broke clear the resistance zone of 2035-40. On Fri, a new round of...
The expectation of the Fed's interest rate cuts continues to support the fundamentals of the gold price. However, since the market kept delaying the rate cuts schedule without significant economic news, gold was traded sideways above 2020 last week. More news is expected this week, with the US announcing durable goods orders, 4Q GDP, PCE inflation, and...
Gold price rallied from a 3-month low last week. The US core inflation rate came in higher than expected, causing the gold price to break below the critical support level of 2000 and drop close to 1980. However, the release of the disappointing US retail sales data pushed the gold price back above 2000 (1) on Thu., ending the week near 2013. The main event on...
Keep an eye on the gold price for a downward adjustment after the US CPI this week. The gold market was relatively calm last week; the trading volume of COMEX gold futures noticeably declined, dropping from an average daily volume of over 200,000 contracts in Jan. to only 140,000 since the beginning of the week. Adding that no significant economic data was being...
The gold price was under the influence of two major events last week, the FOMC meeting and the non-farm payrolls report, which resulted in significant daily fluctuations; however, the closing price for the entire week resumed its position below 2040, without any clear structural breakthrough. The post-FOMC statement kept the probability of a rate cut in March to...
The gold price was moving within a narrow range last week. The price was bounded by 2020-40 until Wednesday's US better-than-expected GDP data; it cleared the 2020(2) support and dropped to as low as 2010. There are two major economic events to pay attention to this week. First, we have the Fed. Meeting on Wednesday. There is a 95% chance that the interest...
Gold prices have retreated from the high over the past two days. Yesterday, after the release of US retail sales data, it broke below last week's low at 2013 (1), reaching a recent low of 2001 and the day ended at 2005. 1-hour chart - The trading range mentioned on Monday (2015-2065) was completed before yesterday's US session. Influenced by the release of US...
Gold tested the support at 2020 twice last week and officially bottomed out after the release of US inflation data. It then rebounded and reached a high of 2062 before closing the week at 2048. However, it failed to hold above the 2050 level. 1-hour chart - Gold broke through the downward resistance line(1), originating from the 2088 peak during the US trading...
Gold pulled back from its recent high last week, rejected by 2078 early during Monday's US session. It cleared the 2050(1) support on Wed., triggering a round of selling and falling to an early weekly low of 2030. The price stayed within the range of 2035-2050, waiting for the release of US job data. When the data was announced, there was an increase in...
Expect the price to consolidate further in S-T before the trading volume returns from the holiday. 1-hour chart - Gold prices reached a recent high of 2088 in early trading last Thu. However, it failed to hold above 2080. After the price escaped from the uptrend channel(1) at the end of last week, gold formed an S-T downward channel(2) in the past 48 trading...
The US dollar strengthened yesterday, making significant adjustments in all major currencies. GBPUSD retreated from its recent high of 1.2763. Before the US session opened, it broke below the upward trend support(1) originating from mid-November, triggering a round of selling. It has gone all the way to a low of 1.2612, breaching last week's low of 1.2640...
Gold cleared the key resistance level of 2050(1) last Friday, triggering a new round of buying and retesting the high @ 2070. However, the price quickly retreated before the market closed. The session ended at 2052, above the key level of 2050 before the holiday weekend. 1-hour chart - After breaking through the level of 2050(1) last week, the upward trend in...
After the Fed. Meeting last week, gold climbed above 2000, while the market refocused on an early rate cut next year. Powell's dovish comments further tuned the market's sentiments; the latest CME FedWatch tools indicate that there is currently a close to 70% chance of a 1/4 basis point rate cut next March, while there is almost 95% chance of a 1/4 basis point...
The downward trend is still dominating. Keep an eye out this week for the US CPI and the Fed. Meeting. Gold took advantage of better-than-expected employment data in the US market last Friday, finally escaping the 2020-40(1) zone. The price hit a daily low of 1994 and closed at 2004 before the weekend, experiencing a $24 drop throughout the day. 1-hour chart -...
Not able to stay above 2080, gold retraced quickly. Yesterday's market opened with a continuation of the upward momentum trend from the previous Friday's closing; it reached a historic new high of 2147 during the relatively weak volume Asian session but then started to decline. During the European session, the momentum officially reversed after gold lost the...