Nikhil_Tripathi

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Any stock can not sustain it's bullish behaviour, without a correction. Reliance has to correct, before going up again. It is the proved nature of markets. Why selling any stock is a good idea. 1. To buy it back at a lower prices, 2. To full-fill urgent needs of money, 3. To let the weak hands enjoy the euphoria and not to stay in the markets when...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Walt Disney is the biggest media company by market cap in the world. It has multiplied around 70 times (to date) since the IPO. Talking around the current scenario, it had acquired Marvel for 4 billion dollars a decade ago which made 18 billion dollars to Disney. The point here is that it is taking good management decisions to adapt to changing business...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Currently, Nifty is trading near very important levels. This was the important resistance (because of lot of consolidation happening between Jun-July 2021), which became a support after the breakout. It has been tested twice since the July breakout. S&P 500 fell into bear market yesterday as far as daily close is considered. But, I am not convinced 100%...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! I have been tracking ITC for quite some time. Now, I see an upcoming bearish momentum in the coming weeks. Q: Why am I saying this? A: Well, all time high of ITC was Rs 367.70. It broke it's multiyear lows (of Rs 178.65) on 09 March 2020. So, it can be a long term pattern of "lower lows and lower highs". This price can be the next lower highs. Profit...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Amazon has corrected enough to look attractive to value investors. VI basically mean they will look for: 1. Low P/E ratio, 2. An long term up-trending stock (Amazon is that), 3. Fear in the markets, Etc. Investors like Warren Buffet doesn't buy when the market is at all time high and people think it will keep going up in a straight line. He and other...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Muthoot Finance is one of my favourite stocks in the finance sector. The formulae I use to calculate intrinsic value suggests this stock, whereas it somewhat fails in the valuation of Bajaj Finance, SBI Cards, etc. It is trading at a PE (Price to earnings ratio) of 11.62, whereas Bajaj Finance is 51.29 and SBI Cards is 45.53. In most cases, the lower PE...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Wipro has been sold off (down 47% from the ATH) because of technology sector (NASDAQ 100) being selling off since the start of the year. Buying good companies at a discount is always a good idea. So, I see a very good investment opportunity in this stock. Remember, investing is different from trading. There are only two scenarios in my opinion, either a...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! You must have heard the words of great investor of all time. Mr. Warren Buffett once said, “The first rule of an investment is don't lose . And the second rule of an investment is don't forget the first rule." Losing money means, in simple terms means, selling at a loss . People get fearful and sell when the stock starts falling. There can be unlimited...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! 1) BCG is a very good mid-cap stock for investing, based on my analysis. It has average EPS of Rs 4.40 for the last 6 years. It also has corrected enough to look good to value investors. 2) It's intrinsic value (IV) is Rs 184, if India 10Y Treasury yield of 6.1% is considered. I personally use Sir Ben Graham's formulae, in which he has put 10 Year...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! For the people who has conviction in Zomato's future, this is the best time to buy shares (based on my analysis). You can consider investing 5% of your capital only. Never ever sell your investments at a loss. Zomato can be considered as a "beaten dog". One of the reason it has fallen so much, is due to sell-off in US Tech companies (Netflix, FB, Etc)....

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! TCS has been one of the stocks which didn't corrected much in the "corona crash", dropping only similar to 30%. The main reasons for this stability was:- 1. IT sector still offered it's employees a work from home opportunity, so it's business didn't affected that much. 2. TCS is the biggest company in the IT sector today, and it's share price has been...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Netflix has corrected almost 74% from the all time (swing) highs. This isn't new for Netflix. It had happen in the year 2011-12, when it corrected 82% from swing highs. It had moved >9000% since then (up to the latest swing high from Rs 7-8 price). Investing after a correction is a good idea, because it gives us more room for potential gains. And, there...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

I have been tracking Nifty since months, to exploit investment opportunity. It is always better to invest (in the market) after a correction. You get competitive prices which results in potentially more upside (returns). The indicator ploted here is Bollinger bands in weekly time frame. You may see that every time Nifty hit lower Bollinger bands, eventually it...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Bikaji Foods and Haldiram's control 50% of the organized namkeen market in India. The people, mostly retail would have thought this would be a blockbuster IPO considering whopping 80.63 times by QIBs (Qualified Institutional Buyers). Generally this kind of oversubscription leads to very good listing gains, but this time it didn't happened. The reasons...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Yes Bank has been a favourite stock for retail public. Due to it's penny price, it attracts a lot of retail attention. I think it is a good time to invest in Yes Bank because of following reasons. 1. According to me, any retail person will think of Yes Bank and Idea, if he has given a choice to buy some large-cap stocks. Generally, businesses like...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Adani group is in a bubble, if I consider the following points. 1. Rs 400 to Rs 4000 in a matter of 2 years. This isn't a behaviour of a large-cap stock. 2. The Adani group companies have borrowed hugely. Just look at the debt to equity ratio of Adani companies:- Adani Enterprises: 1.31 Adani Ports: 1.04 Adani Transmissions: 3.16 Adani Total Gas:...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! As you can see in the following chart, the stock has been in a strong downtrend in weekly chart. You can witness that it didn't break the highs of any weekly candles except the one. There is always a resistance at the highs of red candles. But, if the resistance get's hit many time, it become weak and there is a good probability of price moving...

Nikhil_Tripathi Updated 

Namaste! Bitcoin is currently in a medium-term downtrend in weekly charts. Bitcoin has faked-out many bullish people in this daily candle. If 29240 level is broken here, then there will be a massive sell-off, according to my analysis. There is also a news supporting this, "CBDCs could 'kill' case for private cryptocurrencies, says RBI Deputy Governor". I...