Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “The support of 22051 will be crucial and N50 has to defend it if we wish to go bullish.” 4mts chart No one would really believe it if we said Nifty50 had an opening low of 21947 i.e. 133 points below the last session close. Well, it was just a blip and we quickly regained the 222051 support/resistance...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty stays in the neutral zone for yet another day. Even when N50 made its 1.36%, BN went up only by 0.9%. NiftyIT was tanking on one side, but BN was holding its ground from falling. I am seriously confused about whether Nifty or BankNifty has the lower beta. Even the profit booking in the last 40mts did not have a...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “Momentum is still something Nifty50 was not able to find so far, mainly because follow-up buying or selling was just not there.” 4mts chart Nifty has become really unpredictable and is taking all the professional traders on a wild ride. We opened Gap-down, and the 3rd candle went through the support of...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty gaps up 422pts ~ 0.91% but doesn't go anywhere. We are neither bullish nor bullish again. One thing was quite clear today, the downside was quite absent today. In fact, our lows of 46651 were protected pretty well. The gaps were because of the outperformance by SPX, NDQ yesterday. Yesterday, the US FED decided to...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “Momentum is a great thing in technical analysis, the trend starts only when the momentum is in favor because if things stay as it is — markets will recover.” 4mts chart Whatever trap was set up by the Bears, it was busted open today with the gap-up. We opened 167 points ~ 0.76% ensuring we are opening...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Once again BN proved to be resilient to the bearish attack. We briefly broke the bearish channel top line, hit a new intraday low of 45828, and then reversed from there. The reversal was a whopping 828pts ~ 1.81% on what we could call a bear market killer. Whatever green candles we had in that recovery were strong and had...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: “Once we breached the support, there was no attempt to retrace. One thing is missing though — momentum. The weak hands still hold the shorts..” 4mts chart Nifty went ahead and broke the recent swing low. The lowest point today was 21710. From the open till 10.47 - the index played as per script, but what...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ The level of reluctance BankNifty shows to crack is really intense. Usually, Banks react badly to any situation. We now have a peculiar case wherein Nifty has been downward facing for the last 3 consecutive sessions whereas BankNifty has stayed neutral. BankNifty has been losing points steadily, eg: it lost 191pts today but...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: “The only thing that could override this W pattern is the lower high, lower low formation. LH, LL will take precedence over a short-duration pattern all the time.“ 4mts chart I can say With 70% confidence that Nifty50’s Lower Low, Lower High (LL, LH) wave formation has taken precedence over the W (double...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty had to fall 400pts to enter the bearish channel. Well, it did not happen today but we had an interesting candle at 11.15, for a brief period BN dips into the bearish channel and then pulls out. Much like testing how deep the water is before taking the jump. The shorts were strong then and the recovery would have...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: “The only reason we pushed through the resistance yesterday was because of NiftyIT. And today NiftyIT started with cuts of -0.9%. Do you agree with me now that the main villain is NiftyIT which is preventing Nifty50 for a smooth directional trend?” 4mts chart Is Nifty above or below 22051? I must change...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty fell 195 points today ~ -0.42%, but that would end up not being sufficient to push it into Bear territory. We might need roughly 400+ points fall to slip into the bearish channel following which both N50 and BN will have the same direction. Over the last 2.5 months rarely did both the indices align in the same...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: “If you look at the higher time frame, today’s price moves might be between 38.2 to 50% Fibonacci retracement levels and what might have formed could be a lower high.” 4mts chart Nifty was not able to sustain the gains yesterday, within the opening 15 minutes itself it breached the support level of 22051...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Banks were performing as expected today, even though we had a neutral view we ended up losing 0.41% for the day. The stance for tomorrow also continues to be neutral as BN did not breach support or resistance today. The starting candle was perfect as per the script, from there we rose 666pts ~ 1.43% to reach the HOD of 47231...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “From the recent top of 48161, BN is falling, but yet to make a lower low or lower high. Unless the 2nd leg starts, we wouldn’t know with clarity what it has in mind. To go bearish, we need to fall below 46176 another 800pts away.” 4mts chart The day did not go as planned, firstly the selling pressure...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BN was calm as a cucumber, on one side the Nifty50 heavyweights were tanking but BN kept its cool. Usually, Banks are the first to react to any news related to “froth”, “valuation” etc. Mainly because the valuation, loan against shares, etc all depend on the underwriters and financial institutions that did the due diligence....
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: “One thing is sure, the sudden price moves we are seeing right now are quite indicative of a massive shift in fundamentals. Technical Analysis cannot detect the directional impact this early, but it would be prudent to keep an eye out for any possible clues.” 4mts chart We got some action today on Nifty...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ The 10.43 candle was more profound on BankNifty, we had a drop of 656pts ~ 1.38% in that single candle. We had a positive swing of 612pts ~ 1.3% between 09.27 to 09.59 and then a negative reaction of 931pts ~ 1.95% between 09.59 to 10.47. If these 2 swings did not take out your stop loss - then I don't know what will. Since...