BankNifty Analysis — Stance Bullish ⬆️ The stance on BN also revised to bullish not because we took out the resistance, but due to the 707pts ~ 1.5% intraday rally that came right from the support level. Usually, powerful moves like this will have extended legs that could start appearing in days to follow. We only need to know whether the move came out from a...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%." We started today right at the resistance level of 22295 and then started falling. We went below yesterday's low and took interim support at...
BankNifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ BN ended the day with cuts of -172pts ~ -0.36%. We went neutral after the price action on 13th May. After that, we had one up day (14th) and a down day (15th) — the result, we are back in the neutral territory. BN did not even go to the 48115 levels which came as a surprise. Ideally, on 16th there may be an attempt to...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "I am hard-guessing it should be a short covering. The moment we get past 22295, we will be forced to go long." The open was good and we started climbing quickly but at 22295 levels we got our first rejection. Four strong red candles between 09.51 and 10.27 brought N50 down by almost 143 points. If 22295 was...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ The definition of a neutral stance was much more suited for BN rather than N50 today. See the short-range in which BN operated today and notice the slow grind. Even then the volatility was very high, take a look at the HDFC Bank price moves today. How does the elephant move like that? BankNifty may not go bullish even if...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "The recovery was more than fast and furious, it even took out the 22051 resistance level. This nudged me to change the stance from bearish to neutral just for tomorrow." Nifty started the day inline and then started climbing almost steadily. There were no visible drops, pullbacks, or attempts by the Bears...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Just when we thought the 47465 was getting broken for good, we got a pullback. We fell 527pts ~ 1.11% by 10.39 and then the pull back was a whopping 858pts ~ 1.83%. The final close was almost the midpoint of 48115 and 47465 which prompted me to change the stance to neutral for tomorrow. The bulk of the heavy lifting came from...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "On the 63mts TF, the bearishness continues. The next target of 21913 is still in our watchlist and if we fall below that - the real action begins." The day took me by surprise, not with the inline opening and a 248pts ~ 1.12% downward fall, but the reversal of 310pts ~ 1.42%. The downside was in the cards,...
BankNifty had a better kind of retracement than Nifty, but it was not able to break away from the 47465 today. More importantly, it was not even able to break down either. That signifies the importance of 47465 as a critical SR level. The behavior from open to 10.07 was quite exactly as we wrote about yesterday. This market is held by weak Bears and they run for...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "On the higher timeframe, N50 has made a massive double top, see the black dotted line. If it materializes, it could even be a real shocker to the bulls out there. Just like we discussed this week, if 21913 is getting taken out, the inverse H&S pattern will get negated." Nifty was unable to take out the...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ The bearish call on the BN was spot on, but we ended the day less bearish than N50, for me that is not good enough. Most importantly, BN did not breach the support of 47465, this was very crucial for the momentum to build. I am not exactly sure if we will start negatively tomorrow or not, a huge gapup or gapdown may work in...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "On a closing basis, N50 finished the day above 22295 at 22302. Ideally, I should change the stance from bearish to neutral, but let me give the benefit of the doubt to the Bears for one more day." If you look at the horizontal lines, it may appear like I drew them today after the Nifty's move. Thankfully...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ BN was unable to defend the 48115 support resistance today and it was an advantage Bears. The overall price action was neutral and that might be related to the expiry trades. There were a couple of instances where BN moved 100+ pts in minutes - this really had an impact on the algo trades, but happy that major damage was not...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "Also in the 63mts TF we did not really break it, if you are a conservative trader, it is a good idea to wait for one full candle to form below 22295." Today the entire action was around the 22295 levels. The open was a gap down and N50 spent time till 11.47 underwater. The 22295 level was broken by 12.07 and...
BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ BankNifty also fell in a single legged manner right from the open till 11.35. The fall totally unchecked by the Bulls and in a way came as a surprise as the BTFD people usually do not let the markets fall in this fast and furious manner. BN showed more weakness than N50, partly because NiftyIT was in great GREEN shape today....
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "Our markets not rallying as against the recovery in US markets - speculating something to do with the re-election and taxation. Since I do not have any data points, will wait for more clarity." After having an inline opening, Nifty50 started falling quite aggressively. Without a real struggle, 22295 was...
BankNifty Analysis — Stance Neutral ➡️ 48947 is a support/resistance level after this recent run, I have still not drawn the line as the price action was in uncharted waters for some time. If we hang on to these levels, I will get the SR added by tomorrow. BN was quite strange today, Kotak after a good show of quarterly results went up 5%. That was quite...
Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "The stance has been revised to neutral as the support is broken. For Monday we wish to go neutral if 22295 is broken and go long if 22519. Nifty Algos ended the day with a loss of -2374 INR." How do we explain the relevance of support and resistance more clearly than today? Just see the 3 encircled regions...