Many people and retail investors are very bullish in btc but they don't look up a history data . Historical data is btc rech bull rallly 0.5 .68 fib zone then started a crash avarage crash every bear market is 50 % but we have two strong support first is 30000$ and second 25000$ High probability of chance is btc toch again 30k and 40% chance is btc can toch 25k$ again .I think according to wave theory first wave is complete and second wave is bearish wave this wave can go down arround first wave golden fib zone then started a new bullish wave