DOUBLE TOP 2025?

My absolute bullish FIB fractal target ~ 222K

HOWEVER! Last cycle, the bull run from the bear low lasted 123 weeks. We are already 116 weeks from the most recent bear low. We have six more weeks until BTC made a local top last cycle from the bear low, and we are currently printing a bearish weekly divergence. I copy pastad the remaining candles from the last cycle, and I adjusted the scale to generally assume BTC will continue to face resistance around 110K, price will retrace more than 50% down to the order block, and the double top will happen 29 weeks after the first top like last time.

According to this charting, we will see a local upthrust to 120K mid March. I am assuming prices will retrace to around 58K, which would be such a gift. Sow some seeds in spring for fall harvest, I guess? Although it sounds bearish, we may see a local top of 128K. beginning the bear market the end of September 2025. Again assuming everything, BTC will bottom at around 36K, scaring MSTR investors for sure, early September 2026.

Alright. Enough of this analysis paralysis.

Disclaimer