#Nifty directions and levels for December 13th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for December 13th.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones only), while our local market also exhibits a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a slightly gap-down start, as the Gift Nifty is showing a negative 90 points at 8:00 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty closed in negative territory, and the Gift Nifty is also maintaining this sentiment, showing a 90-point negative start
What can we expect next?
> If we take note of the previous movements, we see a range-bound structure.
> However, my expectation is that if the market sustains the decline and consolidates, we can expect a continuation of the correction because the RSI is showing a bearish bias.
> The range will continue only if it pulls back from the initial movement and breaks the 38% Fibonacci level in the minor swing. If that happens, it will re-enter the range. This is the basic structure; let’s look at this in the charts.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market opens with a gap-down, it could reach a minimum of 24,416. After that, if it sustains or breaks the level of 24,416, then the correction will continue to the minor demand zone. Usually, both levels are major support in a range-bound market, so if it finds support there, we can expect a minimum bounce back of 23% to 38% in the minor swing. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market takes a solid pullback around the immediate support level and breaks the 38% level in the minor swing, it could re-enter the range-bound market, which means we can expect targets of a minimum of 78% to the channel top. This also indicates that until it breaks the 38% level, it could remain a bearish market.
Community ideas
Be a LONG TERM WINNER Think Like a Casino Owner: Master the Psychology of Trading
If you want to win in trading, stop thinking like a gambler and start thinking like the casino.
Here’s why:
Casinos lose money to players all the time, but do they panic? No.
Why? Because they know one thing: the edge is on their side.
They don’t care about a single hand, a single spin, or a single bet. Over thousands of outcomes, the casino always wins.
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What Does This Mean for Traders?
Most traders treat the market like a gambling table.
- They want instant wins.
- They take losses personally.
- They throw discipline out the window when emotions take over.
But successful traders? They act like the house.
Here’s how you can think like a casino owner and win consistently:
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1. Focus on Your Edge
The casino’s “house edge” might be as small as 1-2%, but that tiny edge ensures massive profits over time.
For traders, your edge could be:
- A tested strategy with a positive risk-reward ratio.
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Your job is to keep executing the edge without worrying about short-term outcomes.
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2. Losses Are Part of the Game
Imagine a casino manager losing Rs.10,00,000 to a lucky player. Does he close the casino? Of course not.
He knows the house edge will win that money back over the next hundred players.
You must treat losses the same way.
- Every loss is a cost of doing business.
- A single losing trade means nothing when your system works over 100 trades.
As long as you follow your plan, you’re still the house—and the house always wins.
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3. Control Your Risk Like a Pro
Casinos never allow a single player to bankrupt them. There are table limits, checks, and balances.
Traders need the same safeguards:
- Position sizing: Never risk more than 1-2% of your capital on a single trade.
- Predefined stop losses: Know where to exit before you even enter a trade.
- No exceptions: Follow your rules no matter what the market does.
The key? Never let a single trade decide your future.
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4. Think in Probabilities, Not Certainties
Casinos don’t “hope” to win. They rely on probabilities.
Similarly, trading is not about predicting the market; it’s about managing probabilities.
- You will lose some trades.
- You will win some trades.
What matters is the overall outcome:
- If your wins are bigger than your losses, you’ll be profitable.
- If your process is repeatable, the odds will play out in your favour.
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5. Detach Emotionally from Outcomes
A casino owner doesn’t get emotional when they lose a bet—they’re focused on the big picture.
As a trader, you need to detach from:
- The thrill of a winning trade.
- The pain of a losing trade.
Instead, focus on:
- Following your system.
- Sticking to the process.
- Executing your trades like a business, not a gamble.
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The Big Takeaway
If you want to succeed in trading, stop thinking about this trade.
Start thinking about 100 trades.
- Losses are inevitable.
- Wins are inevitable.
What matters is how you manage the edge and the risk.
Like a casino, you’re not here to win every spin—you’re here to make sure the numbers work in your favor over time.
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Remember:
- Amateurs chase wins.
- Professionals chase consistency.
The market doesn’t reward gamblers—it rewards those who think like the house.
So, ask yourself:
Are you playing the market, or are you running it like a business?
Drop your thoughts below.
Let’s talk about building a trader’s mindset.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Trendline Breakout in VIDHIING
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Is Bank Nifty forming Head and Shoulder Top?Bank Nifty appears to be forming the Right Shoulder of the Head and Shoulder Pattern with neck line around 49,000 - 50,000 zone.
The text book target of this pattern comes to ~ 44,500 - 45,000, which is ~9,000 points decline from todays closing price. This area is just above the 45,500 - 46,000 zone that has acted first as resistance in July-September 2023, and then as support in March - June 2024
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Cup and Handle Breakout in SUNFLAG
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
Natural Gas - Bearish DivergenceAs per my study and Elliott wave pattern analysis that Natural Gas peaks at end of its Impulse Wave. It is also found that it makes bearish divergence between Wave 3 and Wave 5 as shown in the chart attached, Price makes Higher high and MACD makes higher low or equal low, that indicates NG loses its bullish momentum to start its corrective wave of ABC. Kindly validate my understanding and correct me if i am wrong.
Bank nifty trades and targets - 12/12/24continuation of trend. If it opens gap up then we need to see the resistance level to break before looking for CE trades. If it opens gap down then look for PE trades after support zone is broken. Let the market settle in first 15 to 30 minutes then look for directional trades. Book profits every 60 points as we are getting very few trending moves.
Advance database trading Advanced trading strategies usually involve multiple technical indicators and more complicated instruments, such as options and futures. Why Not Buy Before the Dividend and
Results show that migration to a MongoDB database would be most beneficial in terms of cost, storage space, and throughput. In addition, organisations wishing to take advantage of autoscaling and the maintenance power of the cloud should opt for a cloud native solution.
Dabur India RSI Divergence on Daily BasisDabur India 25% down from its top.
FMCG Sector searching for its base formation.
Can form a double bottom type of structure along with its peers and Sector.
On Monthly basis risk can be taken with a small Stop Loss.
Continuous RSI Divergence for Fourth time means something is cookingsooking.
Hammer Candlestick Pattern Seen at bottom in Axis BankHello everyone i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought axis bank analysis which is has formed Hammer candlestick pattern at bottom of Important support zone, Axis Bank Limited is a private sector bank. It has the third-largest network of branches among private sector banks and an international presence through branches in DIFC (Dubai) and Singapore along with representative offices in Abu Dhabi, Sharjah, Dhaka and Dubai and an offshore banking unit in GIFT City
Market Leadership
- 3rd largest private sector bank in India
- 4th largest issuer of credit cards
- 19.8% market share in FY24
Branch Network
In FY24, Bank added 475 branches (125 in Q4FY24) to its network. At present, it has a total of 5377 branches, 16,026 ATMs and Cash recyclers. The region-wise breakup of branches is as follows:
Metro - 31%
Semi-urban - 29%
Urban - 23%
Rural - 17%
Loan Book
Retail loans account for 60% of bank's loan book and corporate 29% & SME loans 11%.
Retail Book
Home loans account for 28% of retail book, followed by rural loans (16%), LAP(11%), Auto loans(10%), personal loans(12%) , small business banking (10%), credit cards (7%), Comm Equipment (2%) & others (4%)
Market Share FY24
- Bank has 5.5% market share in assets, 5% in deposits & 5.9% in advances.
- 14% in credit cards circulation in India.
- 5.2% market share in personal loan.
- 4% RTGS, 30% NEFT, 38.9% IMPS Market share (by volume),20% Market share in BBPS.
- 11.4% Foreign LC Market Share.
- 8.4% market share of MSME credit.
Fundamental (Ratio) Analysis
- P/E ratio is 12.69
- P/E ratio is 12.69 which is lower than it's 5 years Average P/E 28.22
- D/E 1.46 has reduced as compared to last year's D/E 1.59
- ROCE is 14.16%
- ROCE 14.16% has increased as compared to last year's ROCE 9.26%
- ROE is 18.51%
- ROE 14.16% has increased as compared to last year's ROE 9.26%
- ROCE 14.16% is higher than 5 years ROCE average 9.19%
- ROE 18.51% is higher than 5 years ROE average 10.03%
- PEG ratio is 0.61
- Operating Profit Margin (EBITDA Margin) 8.82% has improved as compared to last year's OPM - 0.31%
- NPM is 23.4%
- Net Profit Margin (PAT Margin) 23.4% has improved as compared to last year's NPM 12.37%
- Annual Sales has grown by 28.94%
- Annual Profit has grown over by 143.91%
- 3 Years Sales CAGR is 20.96%
- 3 Years Profit CAGR is 142.38%
- Quarterly Sales has grown over by 15.26% YoY
- Quarterly Profit has grown over by 19.16% YoY
- Quarterly Profit has grown over by 14.87% QoQ
- DII have increased their stakes by 1.72% in the latest quarter (29.4% to 31.12%)
- Retail/Public have reduced their stakes by 0.91% in last 3 years
- Promoters + FIIs + DIIs hold 91.18% in the company
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Market Analysis: Nifty 50 Price ActionThe NSE:NIFTY is currently exhibiting a tug-of-war between key levels, retracing from a previous selloff zone that acted as resistance. Notably, it found support at a previous supply turned demand zone. These zones have defined the market's boundaries in today's session, with price movements constrained within them.
For the past three sessions, the index has shown signs of consolidation, reflecting indecision among market participants. A breakout above the resistance zone could signal a continuation of the uptrend in NSE:NIFTY , while a breakdown below the demand zone may suggest a reversal or further bearish sentiment.
Key Scenarios for Tomorrow:
Breakout Scenario: A sustained move above the selloff zone could trigger bullish momentum, attracting fresh buying interest and potentially setting higher targets.
Breakdown Scenario: If the demand zone is broken, it may open doors for further downside, with the next support levels coming into focus.
Continued Consolidation: The market may remain range-bound as it digests prior moves, awaiting clearer cues from global or domestic events.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Market conditions are subject to change, and you should consult with a certified financial advisor or conduct your research before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
Perfect swing or positional trade setup in Kotak Mahindra BankHello Everyone, i hope you all will be doing good in your life and your trading as well. Today i have brought very short term trading analysis in banking stock, stock name is Kotak Mahindra Bank and now it is trading at 1773, i drawn a trendline which called upward support trendline and i found that Kotak mahindra bank is just trading at near to that trendline support range, so i am expecting that it should take a perfect support at these levels and then it shoud fly towards 1850/1890 levels. Reason for this target is previous swing which is almost equal to 6%, so i am expecting same targets as positional where probability is high we can get these levels in next 5-7 trading sessions. 1st and 2nd target can come within today or tomorrow.
So go with given levels, please follow strict stop loss because if something goes against to our analysis it will protect us from huge losses.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Bharati Airtel Ltd view for Intraday 13th Dec #BHARTIARTL
Bharati Airtel Ltd view for Intraday 13th Dec #BHARTIARTL
Resistance 1600 Watching above 1604 for upside movement...
Support area 1570 Below 1590 ignoring upside momentum for intraday
Support 1579 Watching below 1579 or downside movement...
Resistance area 1600
Above 1585 ignoring downside move for intraday
Charts for Educational purposes only.
Please follow strict stop loss and risk reward if you follow the level.
Thanks,