Since August 15 the downtrend is dominant - the momentum is still bearish as long we trade in this trend. (Red 1-2-3 counting) SInce the index has tested the downtrend`s bottom edge in February 16 a new shortterm uptrend established itself. (green 1-2-3 counting) Within this trend you can exspect a new run to the trend`s upper edge at ~ 1790.
If the market really will reach this Niveau the Situation is getting much more interesting. 1. Breakout of the BIG DOWNTREND 2. Confirmation of the BIG DOWNTREND ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1.) Procyclical Stoppbuy when Price > 1790/1800. Here are based the last 2 Highs and the SMA 200 as a longterm buying Trigger. The possible TP`s could be @ 20.000/21.000 2.) Anticyclical Shortposition with Entry @17.465-18.000 near the down-and uptrend`s uper edges with TP 16.170 3.) Procyclical shortterm Shortposition when the Price is below the last (green) valid "3". TPs are 15.400 / 14.750 4. Procyclical longterm Shortposition when the Price is below the last valid (red) "2" --> TP could be 12.800
In my Chart i illsutrate all the thinkable positions
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3.) Procyclical shortterm Shortposition when the Price is below the last (green) valid "3". TPs are 15.400 / 14.750 - fictive position is triggered and opened
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