Nifty 50: Bearish Sequence Intact

Oct 26, 2016

The blue lines in the chart represent major swing high and low in the 75-minute time frame. Unless the price moves above a prior swing high, it would make sense to look for shorting opportunity at resistance. This is the basic logic behind trading.

People tend to get into trouble when they focus on a lower time frame, without having the context of the higher time frame. In a downtrend, there would be opportunities to go long and make money in a lower time frame. But, do not get greedy and hang around on such trades as they are counter-trend in nature.

Notice the red flag in the chart which represents swing low that has been breached this week. This is a sign that the downtrend is still in force.

Unless the price clears the swing high at 8807, there would be a strong case for a slide to a new low below the recent low of 8,506.

Nov 2, 2016

Note

The bearish sequence of lower highs and lower lows is pretty much intact. Have a look at the ellipse in the chart.

The buying interest in that ellipse has been consumed. What this means is that price will have little trouble in plunging through this zone. The next major support is also highlighted in the chart.

Let's see what is in store.

Nov 6, 2016

Note

Here is the updated chart of the Nifty 50 index.



Wasn't that move smooth and accelerated through that blue ellipse? Price has reached the anticipated support zone mentioned earlier.

As always, let's wait for the price to give us its inclination and we can follow suit.

The context remains bearish as the sequence of lower highs and lower lows is still intact. Until this sequence is broken, it makes sense to look for the next selling opportunity on any rally.