Based on the detailed information from Sheela Foam Ltd.'s investor presentation for Q2 & H1 FY25, here’s a breakdown of reasons to buy or avoid this stock:
1. Strong Market Presence: - Sheela Foam holds a ~30% market share in India's mattress segment, with trusted brands like Sleepwell and Kurlon. - It also has a 40% market share in Australia, highlighting its international strength.
2. Diverse Global Footprint: - Operations in India, Australia, and Spain with significant manufacturing capacity in each region. - Backward integration ensures a wide product basket and cost efficiencies.
3. Revenue Growth: - Consolidated revenue grew 29% YoY in H1 FY25, indicating strong operational performance. - Expanding distribution network with a growing number of exclusive brand outlets (EBOs).
4. Focus on High-Margin Products: - Strategic shift towards premium and high-margin products to improve profitability.
5. Trusted Brand Value: - Recognized as India’s No.1 mattress brand by TOI and has a strong digital presence with over 86.9M total reach.
Reasons to Avoid:
1. Declining Margins: - EBITDA margin decreased to 8% in H1 FY25 from 11% YoY. Profit after tax (PAT) margin also dropped from 7% to 3%.
2. Rising Costs: - Finance costs surged 3.5x YoY in H1 FY25, affecting net profitability.
3. Increased Debt Levels: - Borrowings have significantly increased, which may pressure the balance sheet.
4. Competitive Industry: - The mattress and foam markets face stiff competition, which could compress margins further if price wars intensify.
5. Stock Performance: - The stock is trading near its 52-week low, and its market cap has been under pressure, indicating potential investor concerns.
Key Technical Insights: - The current price (CMP) is INR 919.95 with a 52-week high of INR 1,285.4 and low of INR 874.1. It suggests consolidation near the lower range, which could offer a rebound opportunity if fundamentals improve.
Inside News: - Recent launches like the foldable mattresses TARANG (Sleepwell) and AARAM (Kurlon) cater to rural and budget segments, potentially driving growth. - A collaborative initiative with the Indian Society of Sleep Research enhances brand visibility and positions the company as a thought leader in the health and wellness space.
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