Actual Success Rates of Ascending and Descending TrianglesActual Success Rates of Ascending and Descending Triangles
Here is an analysis of the actual success rates of ascending and descending triangles in trading, based on the information provided:
Success Rates
Ascending and descending triangles generally have fairly high success rates as continuation patterns:
-The ascending triangle has a success rate of approximately 72.77%.
-The descending triangle has a slightly higher success rate of 72.93%.
These numbers come from a study that tested over 200,000 price patterns over a 10-year period.
Factors Influencing Success
Several factors can influence the success rate of these patterns:
-The trader's ability to execute the strategy correctly
-Market conditions at the time the triangle formed
-Market liquidity
-Overall market sentiment
Important Points to Consider
-Triangles are considered reliable continuation patterns, especially in trending markets.
-The ascending triangle in an uptrend is statistically more reliable than the descending triangle.
-To validate the pattern, the price must touch at least twice each of the upper and lower lines.
-An increase in volume during the breakout is an important confirmation sign.
Strategies to improve the chances of success
-Wait for the triangle to fully form before entering a position1.
-Confirm the breakout with a close above/below the resistance/support level.
-Use additional technical indicators to confirm the signal.
-Pay attention to the volume, which should increase during the breakout.
Conclusion
Although ascending and descending triangles have relatively high success rates, it is important to use them in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and to take into account the overall market context to maximize the chances of success.
Ascending Triangle
Ascending Triangle and it's meaning - understand using HALHow to identify an Ascending Triangle on chart and what does it mean?
Let’s understand this with current chart of NSE:HAL (dated 21-Aug-2023).
• Ascending Triangle is a bullish formation that generally gets formed during the uptrend and confirms the continuation of uptrend.
• Ascending Triangle pattern indicates the accumulation and gives bullish buy indication before breakout.
• NSE:HAL during its uptrend journey created break out from its uptrend channel on 7-Jun-2023.
• However, post that it has gone sideways and started forming an Ascending Triangle.
• Ascending triangle is created when price consolidates in the uptrend direction for some time by facing resistance at same level on the upper side of the triangle. Whereas the bottoms keep increasing.
• Volume starts getting decreasing from the starting point of the triangle.
• At one point, we will get Break Out from triangle with huge volume and uptrend will continue.
Ascending Channel Pattern 1. What is the Ascending channel pattern?
- Price trade within the range in an up trend, it forms a higher high and higher
low.
- The channel provides support and resistance
- Until prices continue to advance trade within the channel
- Volume Activity turns stagnant
2. How to trade it?
- If it breaks above the resistance line, extrapolate the channel range from point of the breakout point.
- If it breaks down the support line, extrapolate the channel range from point of breakdown point.
How to Trade an ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUTSTRUCTURE
--> ASCENDING TRIANGLE is a type of consolidation pattern formed after an Uptrend ( Markup Phase).
--> ASCENDING TRIANGLE is a triangular pattern with a flat horizontal Resistance on the top and a Trendline that connects atleast two Higher Low swings from the bottom to the top of the Triangle.
--> ASCENDING TRIANGLE is considered to be a Bullish Pattern because the Swing Lows are getting shifted Higher signifiying the Sellers loosing the strength .
LOGICAL REASON BEHIND THE PATTERN
--> As the ASCENDING TRIANGLE is having the flat horizontal Resistance on the top , There are stack of STOP-LOSS-ORDERS just above the horizontal Resistance. When some Strong Buyer punches a heavy buying order, The order Triggers all the STOP-LOSS-ORDERS which were placed above the horizontal Resistance turning the sellers as buyers.
--> Seeing the Breakout various New Traders and Algo's place more buying orders and the price tend to move higher.
Example
--> Take the example of the crypto GMTUSDT .
--> Initially the crypto was in the Mark-Up phase.
--> Later this crypto entered into the Consolidation phase by making ASCENDING TRIANGLE as the consolidation pattern.
--> $0.82 was the horizontal resistance established by this stock.
--> The Lows started shifting up from $0.5 to $0.7 to $0.75 showing loss in seller strength .
--> The Price started sustaining above the POC (Point of Control) showing buyers strength.
--> When Price Breached $0.82 all SL orders were Trigerred and the crypto gave the breakout with volume .
--> The price moved higher as new Traders and Algo's placed more buying orders .
Target and Stoploss
--> Target would be the Depth of the Ascending Triangle, Projected above the Resistance Breakout as mentioned in the Example Screenshot.
--> Stoploss would be placed below the Breakout Candle LOW .
Symmetrical Triangle - Full ExplanationA Symmetrical Triangle is considered a bullish signal, indicating that the current uptrend may continue. It is a bullish continuation pattern. It is a volatility contraction pattern. This means volatility in the market is shrinking and a sign the market is likely to breakout, soon. A Symmetrical Triangle shows two converging trendlines, the lower one is ascending, the upper one is descending. The formation occurs because prices are reaching both lower highs and higher lows. The pattern will display minimum two highs touching the upper (descending) trendline and minimum two lows touching the lower (ascending) trendline. This pattern indicates a phase of consolidation before the prices breakout.
The symmetrical triangle pattern is different from a descending or ascending triangle pattern as both triangles’ lower and upper trend lines slope towards the center point.
A horizontal upper trendline is formed in ascending triangles that predict a higher breakout. With a descending triangle, a horizontal lower trendline is formed that predicts a lower breakout.
Formation Of Symmetrical Triangle
Below is the formation of symmetrical triangle
Identification a Symmetrical Triangle
i) The sides of the triangle slope equally (that’s why it’s symmetrical)
ii) The triangle has lower highs and higher lows – at least two of each
iii) It looks like a funnel, with the price “squeezing” from the left towards the right
iv)The bullish symmetrical triangle should be formed in an ongoing uptrend and the prices should breakout from the upper trend line.
Below is the example of the bullish symmetrical triangle formed on the 15 Min chart of NIFTY.
We can see how it is formed in an ongoing uptrend and prices breakout from the upper trend line in the direction of the prior trend.
Entry
Entry can be done after the breakout.
Sometime, when the price breaks out of the Symmetrical Triangle, it might re-test the previous market structure. So, traders can enter on the pullback also. You should also look for any reversal candlestick pattern like Hammer , Bullish Engulfing in the pullback.
pullback here is very small as it is in a small Time Frame (15 Min)
Stop Loss :-
The stop loss is placed right before the breakout point in a symmetrical triangle chart pattern. Previous low before the breakout is the stop loss.
Trailing Stop Loss :-
No one knows how high or low the market can go. And by trailing your stop loss, you allow the market to reward you as it moves in your favor. You can use the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) or Moving Average (MA) to trail your stop loss. You can use the 50 EMA to trail your stop loss. If the price closes below it, then you’ll exit the trade.
Target :-
The price target is equal to the distance from the high and low of the earliest part of the pattern applied to the breakout price point.
i)Take the distance between the high and the low of the Symmetrical Triangle — the widest point of the pattern.
ii)“Copy and paste it” at the breakout point
iii)Exit your trade at the price projection level
There is also a bearish symmetrical triangle which is a bearish trend continuation chart pattern. The bearish symmetrical triangle should be formed in an ongoing downtrend and the prices should breakout from the lower trend line.
Hope you all learnt from this post. Share with the community if you liked it.
Regards
Omahto
Descending Triangle - Full ExpanationWhat is descending triangle ??
The descending triangle is one of the top continuation patterns that appears mid-trend. Traders anticipate the market to continue in the direction of the larger trend and develop trading setups accordingly.
The descending triangle is a bearish pattern that is characterized by a descending upper trendline and a flat lower trendline that acts as support. This pattern indicates that sellers are more aggressive than buyers as price continues to make lower highs. The pattern completes itself when price breaks out of the triangle in the direction of the overall trend.
Element Of Descending Triangle
The descending triangle is fairly easy to spot once traders know what to look for. The below method can be applied to all financial markets.
1.)Downtrend: The market must be in a downtrend before the descending triangle pattern appears. This is important and emphasises that traders should not simply trade the pattern whenever the descending triangle appears.
2.)Consolidation: The descending triangle then appears while the market enters the consolidation phase.
3.Flat Lows Or Flat Line Lower trendline: The lower trendline acts as support. Price often approaches this level and bounces off until the breakout eventually occurs.
4.)Decsending or Lower Highs: While the market is consolidating, a downward sloping trendline can be drawn by connecting the highs. This downward sloping trendline shows that sellers are slowly pulling the price down – which provides further support for a bearish trading bias.
5.)Breakdown & Trend Continuation: After price posts a strong break below the lower trendline, traders will look for confirmation of the pattern via continued downward momentum.
Calculating Target
The descending triangle, often referred to as the ‘falling triangle’, has an inherent measuring technique that can be applied to the pattern to gauge likely take profit targets.
For the descending triangle, traders can measure the distance from the start of the pattern, at the highest point of the descending triangle to the flat support line. That same distance can be transposed later on, starting from the breakout point and ending at the potential take profit level.
The illustration below shows the distance from A to B can be transferred lower down, from C to D, in order to project a possible take profit level.
How to trade Descending triangle
When trading the descending triangle, traders need to identify the downtrend and this can be seen in the BANKNIFTY 15 Min chart below. Thereafter, the descending triangle appears as the candlesticks start to consolidate. The measuring technique can be applied once the triangle forms, as traders anticipate the breakout.
After viewing a strong break below support, traders can enter a short position, setting a stop at the recent swing high and take profit target in line with the measuring technique.
What is Ascending Triangle?What is an Ascending Triangle Pattern?
Ascending Triangle Pattern is a continuation pattern that means when it plays out it will continue the preceding trend. It is created by price moves that allow for an upper horizontal line to be drawn along the swing highs, and a lower rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. These two lines form an ascending triangle . Traders here usually watch for breakouts from upper resistance in ascending triangle patterns.
How does the Ascending Triangle Pattern work?
After the prior uptrend when investors try to book profits it creates a resistance that leads to a high supply zone . But due to the prior uptrend investors are still interested in the asset which leads to picking up in demand slowly, resulting in a rising trendline. Time in this phase is also a crucial element. The longer this pattern consolidates, the more chances it has to give a possible breakout to continue the uptrend.
Why is the Ascending Triangle Pattern Unique?
Ascending triangle patterns usually have a higher breakout success rate than symmetrical triangle patterns. In an ascending triangle , higher lows are constantly being built, which shows there is a strong demand for the asset.
Role of Volume:
Volume plays a major role in the completion of all major patterns. The horizontal trendline which acts as resistance can give spikes in volume . We will call it a breakout when a candle closes above horizontal resistance level with a great volume spike or rise in average volume .
Above Chart Explanation:
This is the 4H chart of FTTUSDT with a clear preceding upward trend. After the uptrend, we enter the second phase where the upper horizontal line becomes resistance 4 times in a row and the lower rising trendline becomes support 3 times in a row. As we have observed here FTTUSDT consolidated for nearly 1 month in an ascending triangle pattern, which finally led to a super bullish breakout.
Two Possible Entries:
Entry 1: On rising support, when the price touches the rising support trendline and if there is rising average volume , it makes a good entry with a stop loss placed below the previous higher low point.
Entry 2: On resistance breakout, we should wait for the 4H candle to close above the resistance to confirm the breakout’s validity. Once the breakout is valid, a potential opportunity would be to enter at the close of the 4H candle with a stop loss placed a little below the breakout level. Usually, we should target the height of the triangle after the breakout.
Comment down your thoughts on Ascending Triangle Pattern in the comment section.
Disclaimer:
This is just an educational post. Never trade just any pattern. And please do your research before making any trades.
Happy Trading!
PS we are posting this again for our Indian Audience.
Ascending Triangle BreakoutOBEROIRLTY: Swing trade
Ascending Triangle Breakout
In Ascending triangle pattern the upper trendline is flat, while the lower line is rising.
This pattern indicates that buyers are more aggressive than sellers. It is considered a bullish pattern and is usually resolved with a breakout to the upside. The pattern is completed on a decisive close above the upper line.
This breakout should see a sharp increase in volume .
The upper resistance line should act as support on subsequent dips after the breakout.
Ascending Triangle Measuring Technique
For the ascending triangle, traders can measure the distance from the start of the pattern, at the lowest point of the rising trendline to the flat support line. That same distance can be transposed, later on starting from the breakout point and ending at the potential take profit level.
The illustration above shows the distance from A to B can be transferred higher up, from C to D, in order to project a possible take profit level.
How to trade Ascending Triangle Pattern
After viewing a strong break above resistance, traders can enter a long position, setting a stop at the recent swing low and take profit target in line with the measuring technique.
Note- False breakouts are possible (traders need to manage risk accordingly )
My advice is to risk only 2% of your trading capital. Buy 30% of your position at CMP & if price respect levels of 676 then execute your 70% position.
The whole idea is to lose less money when you are wrong and to win more money when you are right.
📚Trading Lesson. Triangle Types & How to Read Them📚
Triangle is a classic price action pattern that is applied by technical analysts to make predictions trading different financial markets.
Depending on the shape of the triangle, there are three main variations of this pattern.
Its meaning changes dramatically from one to another so it is crucially important for you to know the difference.
👉 The symmetrical triangle is determined by two contracting trend lines.
The pattern is considered to be indecisive meaning that while the market is stuck within, the directional bias is unknown.
Only the breakout of a boundary of a triangle clarifies the future direction.
👉 In contrast, the ascending triangle (also called a bullish accumulation) is a classic example of a bullish biased pattern.
With a horizontal trend line serving as resistance and a rising trend line service as support, the market is accumulating volumes for a bullish breakout.
Once the horizontal resistance is broken, bullish continuation follows.
👉 The descending triangle is a bearish biased pattern. Also called a bearish accumulation, the pattern indicates the preparation of the market participants to set a new low after consolidation and contraction within a triangle.
Once the horizontal support is broken, bearish continuation follows.
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Ascending Triangle Chart Pattern (Continuation Pattern)An ascending triangle is a chart pattern used in technical analysis. It is created by price moves that allow for a horizontal line to be drawn along the swing highs, and a rising trendline to be drawn along the swing lows. The two lines form a triangle. Traders often watch for breakouts from triangle patterns. The breakout can occur to the upside or downside. Ascending triangles are often called continuation patterns since the price will typically breakout in the same direction as the trend that was in place just prior to the triangle forming.
Important Points to look at -
The trendlines of a triangle need to run along at least two swing highs and two swing lows.
Ascending triangles are considered a continuation pattern, as the price will typically breakout of the triangle in the price direction prevailing before the triangle. Although, this won't always occur. A breakout in any direction is noteworthy.
Increasing volume helps to confirm the breakout, as it shows rising interest as the price moves out of the pattern.
A minimum of two swing highs and two swing lows are required to form the ascending triangle's trendlines. But, a greater number of trendline touches tends to produce more reliable trading results. Since the trendlines are converging on one another, if the price continues to move within a triangle for multiple swings the price action becomes more coiled, likely leading to a stronger eventual breakout.
A triangle is a type of consolidation, and therefore volume tends to contract during an ascending triangle. As mentioned, traders look for volume to increase on a breakout, as this helps confirm the price is likely to keep heading in the breakout direction. If the price breaks out on low volume, that is a warning sign that the breakout lacks strength. This could mean the price will move back into the pattern. This is called a false breakout.
$ = Liquidity
💡Ascending Triangle in ZECUSD - "Learn More Earn More" With USAscending Triangle Definition:
An ascending triangle is a type of triangle chart pattern that occurs
when there is a resistance level and a slope of higher lows .
It is defined by two lines:
. A horizontal resistance line running through peaks.
. An uptrend line drawn through the bottoms.
The higher lows indicate more buyers are gradually entering the market
and buying pressure increases as price consolidates moving further towards the apex.
An ascending triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern .
If price can break through the resistance level, that level will now act as a support level.
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically,
upward breakouts are more likely to occur, but downward ones seem to be more reliable.
In most cases, the buyers will win this battle and the price will break out past the resistance.
But Sometimes the resistance level is too strong,
and there is simply not enough buying power to push it through.
Therefore you should be ready for movement in EITHER direction.
ENTRY:
We would set an entry order above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows .
TARGET:
Target is approximately the same distance as the height of the triangle formation.
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Nifty Outlook- Ascending Triangle (Trading Plan) (22nd Oct2020)Traditional Chart Pattern- Ascending Triangle Discussed along with trading strategies in Hindi & English both. Thanks for watching the video
Active Currently - Plan A - Sell Below 11955 for 11790-11810 target zone (Stops- 11960)
Plan B- Buy in 11790-11810 with stops below 11750/11760 for target zone 11980-12000
Plan C- Sell Below (Strictly Stops above 12025) for target zone 11870-11880
Plan D- Buy in 11850-11875 with stops below 11790 target 12025 / 12250 +
Ascending Triangular Chart Pattern, Trading is all about skill Ascending chart pattern is a type of Triangle chart patterns . Ascending chart pattern is formed when price has a resistance and is forming continuous higher lows. Adequate buy or short area would be after the price gives a breakout .Ascending pattern you can short or buy as well . Wait for the price to give a breakout and enter in which ever direction the breakout is given .
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Estimated bullish run in USD/INR As per the pattern, dollar might show a steep rise (60-85° angle) in near future. As per the known situations, in long term dollar may face a sharp fall but before that if the pattern breaks out on chart, dollar can witness a sharp bullish rally for a short term.
This explanation is only for educational purpose and isn't any kind of recommendation. Don't take any action based on this explanation itself.
Consider your financial advisor before taking any trades.
Thanks for your time. Happy Trading.
NIFTY - UPCOMING FINAL "DIRECTIONAL BREAKOUT" It is been observed that the markets are consolidating for more than a week and now it has formed and completed an ascending triangle pattern formation and once breakout confirms on either side of the formation then it shall provide a good directional move in the market.
Key Levels: Support 9910 Resistance 9965 (55 points range)