Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar - Cup and Handle (Weekly Chart)A cup and handle pattern on a stock chart is an pattern which resembles a cup with a handle, where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift or consolidation.
The cup and handle is considered a bullish signal, with the right-hand side of the pattern typically experiencing lower trading volume.
A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and it is used to spot opportunities to go long.
Target Measurement - The depth (which is the bottom price of the cup till neckline) is measured and placed on the neckline to get the final target
Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy at the bottom of the handle on closing basis
Cup And Handle
Cup & Handle BreakoutCup and Handle pattern on weekly chart has formed and Breakout with high volume has occurred above the neckline. This stock has the potential to double in no time.
Cup and Handle chart patternThis chart pattern is shaped like and resembles like a cup and handle that's why its named the same as cup and handle chart pattern.
Shape:
A “U” shaped bottom is preferred over a “V” shaped bottom as it indicates more consolidation. Ideally, the highs on either side of the cup should be equal.
Duration of formation:
The cup can take anywhere from 1 to 6 months to form, while the handle should take 1-4 weeks.
Confirmation:
The pattern is confirmed as bullish when the price breaks above the previous highs (the neckline) with strong volume. A buying opportunity arises when the price moves above the old resistance level (right side of the cup).
Volume:
Volume should decrease as prices fall to form the base of the cup and remain below average. As the price begins to rise again, volume should increase.
Target:
The profit target is calculated based on the depth of the cup. Measure the distance from the bottom of the cup to the neckline and extend that distance upward from the breakout level.
Also it can give sometimes three times of depth of the cup.
Risk Management:
A stop-loss can be placed at the bottom of the handle or below a swing low within the handle if there were multiple price oscillations.
I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
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RK💕
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The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Few Most Profitable Chart Patterns1) Double Top, a Bearish reversal chart pattern
It is a trend reversal chart pattern formed after good bullish price movement (a continuous upward price movement for a good duration) where the upward price movement loses its steam (formed a first top) and it retraces a bit (to neck line or mid point).
Then again it moves in direction of original trend and reaches the first top level there by forming second top . It again cannot move above first top and start moving to neckline (NL).
Once the neck line is broken its fall in price is steep. There starts a downtrend.
Target
The Height of the tops will be taken as a target.
Stoploss
It is recommended to keep a stop loss of 1.5% above the neck line.
2)Double Bottom, a Bullish Reversal Chart pattern
It is a trend reversal chart pattern formed after good bearish price movement (a continuous downward price movement for a good duration) where the downward price movement loses its steam (formed a first bottom) and it retraces a bit (to neck line or mid point).
Then again it moves in direction of original trend and reaches the first bottom level there by forming second bottom . It again cannot move below first bottom and start moving to neckline (NL).
Once the neck line is broken its rise in price is steep. There starts an uptrend.
Target
The Height of the bottoms will be taken as a target.
Stoploss
It is recommended to keep a stop loss of 1.5% below the neck line.
3)Cup & Handle, A Bullish Continuation pattern
It is a pattern where the Price movement of a chart resembles a teacup .
It consist of two parts:
1) A cup:
A cup formation happens when the price moving in a uptrend shows a pull back followed by a consolidation period which makes the bottom of the cup and finally the reverse back to upside continuing the uptrend.
Usually the pattern looks like a 'U' to round bottom. The deeper the 'U' or round shape the reliable the pattern is.
2) A Handle :
After the formation of right highs of a round cup, there is a pull back before continuation of the trend which forms the handle of this pattern. It is formed in the right hand side of the cup.
Entry:
A Neckline breakout supported by huge volumes is the confirmation of this pattern that the previous trend has resumed. Trade should be taken only after the neckline Breakout
Target :
The height of the cup will be taken as a target.
Stoploss:
Stop loss should be placed under the handle low
The Cup & Handle patternHey everyone! 👋
Today we are going to share an informative write-up about the “Cup and Handle” pattern along with a few exhibits that may help you solidify your understanding of this chart pattern.
Please remember this is an educational post to help all of our members better understand concepts used in trading or investing. This in no way promotes a particular style of trading!
The post will shed some light on the following topics:
→ Basics and identification of the pattern
→ Components
→ Important aspects
What is a Cup and Handle pattern?
• The Cup and Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that resembles a cup with a handle.
• The cup is visualized as the alphabet "u" and looks like a rounding bottom pattern.
• The handle is formed as a range or a smaller “u”.
• The cup marks a consolidation phase whereas the handle has a slight downward move, which marks a retest phase.
• The handle is meant to signal a buying opportunity. When this part of the price formation is over, the stock may reverse the course and resume the prior uptrend.
Components of a Cup and Handle pattern:
The cup and handle chart has 3 main components:
• Cup
• Handle
• Neckline
Important aspects:
1. Prior Trend: The cup and handle pattern is a bullish continuation pattern, hence the prior trend should be an uptrend.
2. Cup length : In general, the cups with longer and more "U" shaped bottoms that resemble a rounding bottom, provide a stronger signal. This ensures that the cup is a consolidation pattern with valid support at the bottom of the “U”. The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this is not always the case. In general, cups with sharp "V" bottoms should be avoided because there is almost no consolidation in this case.
3. Cup depth: Normally, the cup should not be overly deep. In practice, the cup depth can be up to 60-70% of the last swing move. (This can vary widely, though.)
4. Handle: The handle can occur in the form of a flag, a pennant, or a rectangular consolidation. This is the final retracement phase before the impulsive move higher. By and large, the handle can retrace anywhere between 40-60% of the depth of the cup.
5. Breakout: Bullish confirmation comes when the pattern breaks above the neckline (made using the prior highs) with a good volume.
6. Volume: In general, the volumes should decrease during the formation of the base of the cup as well as during the formation of the handle. Conversely, the volumes should pick up when the stock begins to make its move higher, back up to test the previous high.
7. Target: Using the measurement objective, the target comes out to be equal to the depth of the cup. It can be measured by calculating the distance between the bottom of the base and the neckline.
8. Stop-loss: Ideally, the stop loss is placed at the lowest point of the handle. But if the price oscillated up and down a number of times within the handle, the stop-loss can also be placed below the most recent swing low.
Exhibit: Cup and Handle pattern with a failed breakout
Thanks for reading! As we mentioned before, this isn't trading advice, but rather information about a tool that many traders use. Hope this was helpful!
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CUP AND HANDLE - FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE EFIUSDT is forming cup and handle in 4hr time frame. Let’s see how it is going to play out.
INFORMATION ABOUT CUP AND HANDLE:
1. A cup and handle is a technical chart pattern that resembles a cup and handle where the cup is in the shape of a "u" and the handle has a slight downward drift.
2. A cup and handle is considered a bullish signal extending an uptrend, and is used to spot opportunities to go long.
3. Technical traders using this indicator should place a stop buy order slightly above the upper trendline of the handle part of the pattern.
(source : www.investopedia.com)
Indicator Free Analysis of Rounding Bottom Pattern- A Case StudyThe above chart is that of a Weekly Timeframe. Here we can see that a Rounding Bottom is formed at the top of Reliance when it is trading at all time high.
Why a Rounding Bottom is formed?
A rounding bottom marks a struggle between buying demand and selling pressure that is almost equal. In the first part of the formation, the sellers overpower the buyers thus bringing down the prices sharply until both buying and selling pressures equalize giving rise to a flat horizontal bottom. Eventually the buyers reappear and the stock edges higher. However the upward movement is not smooth and is riddled with several sharp upspikes accompanied by down spikes. As the stock reaches the previous high/ resistance, the selling pressure resumes and pushes the stock a little bit lower giving rise to a small handle i.e. forming a cup and handle pattern. However a cup may not be always formed.
What does the Rounding Bottom Represent?
A Rounding bottom can generally be seen as a form of consolidation after a strong bullish or bearish trend.
What does the Rounding Bottom lead to?
A Rounding Bottom can signal 2 changes in the stock: Continuation or Reversal. In most cases, it signifies continuation of the trend. Rounding bottom as a continuation pattern is mostly true for bull run. It signals reversal mostly in cases of bear run. However reversals are rare in Bull runs.
How to Trade a Rounding Bottom? (Trading Psychology and Strategy)
We shall discuss about the Trading Strategems keeping the above example as focus.
We can observe that the previous trend was a bullish trend. Hence the Rounding Bottom formed in the chart is most probably a period of consolidation. The Rounding Bottom formation has formed over a period of 1 year. The recent weekly candle was a strong bullish green candle (Marubozu Candle) which has closed above the left lip of the rounding bottom/ previous high of the pattern. This shows a clear breakout scenario.
Where to Enter?
We can enter at the present market price of 2380-2400 .
Where should be our Stop Loss?
Our ideal Stop Loss should be below the recent swing i.e. around 2000-2100 . If the stock forms a handle, then our stop loss should be below the handle.
What should be our target?
In case of a Rounding Bottom Pattern or a Cup & Handle Pattern, the target can be gauged from the depth of the cup or rounding bottom. Here the depth of the rounding bottom comes to around Rs 550- Rs 600. Hence the target should be Rs 550- Rs 600 from the breakout levels of 2385 i.e. our target should be between Rs 2850-3000.
Important Points to Remember:
1. Use or prefer weekly charts for identification of rounding bottoms since these patterns are formed over a long period of time.
2.Prefer trading the roundin bottoms in a bull market of if the previous trend of the stock is bullish since there is a higher rate of success and
lower chances of breakout failure.
3. Try to select patterns whose breakouts are near all time high or year high.
4. The target is generally reached between 4 to 5 weeks into trade. Thus profit should be booked timely. However one can wait for long term targets to be achieved.
5. Prefer those patterns where the breakout occurs with good volume in a bull market with a clear cut breakout (like here the breakout was given with a strong Marubozu candle with good volume).
Contribute to my efforts with cheers and coins (lol) if you learnt something valuable.
Hope you guys learn and trade responsibly only after understanding the mechanics behind the pattern. Always try to keep the analysis simple and devoid of indicators. Indicators should only be used as supplementary tools for additional confirmation and not absolute trading tools. Maintain a strict SL to restrict and minimize your losses.
Credits - Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns (2nd Edition) by Thomas N. Bulkowski
Thank you.
Indicator Free Trading of Cup and Handle Pattern - A Case StudyThe above chart is the daily chart of Bharat Electronics . Here we can observe that the stock has formed a Cup and Handle Pattern. Now I shall elaborate in detail on how to trade the Cup and Handle Pattern with appropriate Trading strategy and Psychology.
In the above chart, we can observe a stiff resistance at 160 levels for the stock. Hence it needs to be hit multiple times to make it weak and finally give a breakout. In case of a Cup and Handle Pattern, the resistance is hit a minimum of 3 times, before giving a breakout. In this case, we observe an ideal scenario which may not be the case always.
How to Trade Cup and Handle Pattern?
Trading Strategems:
When to enter?
There can be 2 fundamental ways to trade the stock.
1. Take Entry as as soon as stock breaks out of the pattern (Entry 1) i.e. at 161-163. Generally an experienced trader or a trader with good risk appetite takes entry here.
Trading Tip - Even if you have good risk appetite, do not take trade as soon as the breakout occurs. Wait for a daily green candle to close above the breakout levels and enter the next day when the previous breakout candles's high is taken out.
2. Wait for Retest of previous resistance and then take an entry (Entry 2) i.e. at 173. Generally a beginner or a safe trader takes entry here.
Trading Tip - Wait for a green bullish candle (ideally a bullish green hammer candle with a good tail) to form at the retest levels. Take entry on the next day, only when the previous bullish green hammer's candle's high is taken out.
Where should be the Stop Loss?
In every trade, we should give utmost and primary importance to Stop Loss rather than target. Only after calculating our Stop Loss, we can assess our Risk and accordingly plan the Reward or Profit. In this case, there can be 2 different SL levels for above 2 strategies:
1. For Entry 1, the stop loss should be a little below the handle i.e. 140.
2. For Entry 2, our stop loss becomes a bit less i.e at 160
Trading Tip - Do not give SL at exact levels from where the stock has bounced back. For example - In entry 1, it is better to give SL at 138 rather than 140 so that minor fluctuations do not hit our SL and then move upward. Similarly in entry 2, it is better to give Sl at 160 rather than 162.
What should be the Target?
In general, the target is calculated by calculating the depth of the cup. In this case, the depth of the cup ranges from Rs 120 - 160 i.e. Rs 40. Hence the stock will move up by Rs 40 from breakout ( or retest levels) i.e. from Rs 160 - 200. Hence our ideal target should be Rs 200
Trading Tip - In the present times, all traders use digital charts. Hence the whole world can see that a Cup and Handle Pattern has formed. Every trader knows the ideal target is Rs 200. Thus all FIIs, DIIs, automated trading systems, retail traders, etc. would have put huge sell orders at 200 levels. Hence the stock may fall sharply as soon as it touches Rs 200 due to heavy selling or heavy supply.
Thus it is better to book profits at just below the target i.e. between Rs 195-198 so that you may not lose money.
Thank you. Please like and share the idea if you learnt something..Cheer me up!
How to make a winning trade through Cup and Handle !!!
Infoedge the owner of Zomato has been consolidating for 7 months.
- The stock has formed a cup and handle formation
- Cup pattern took 7 months &
- Handle pattern took 1 month for the formation
- The stock has given a breakout and moved out of the range with good volume.
- Additionally, the stock is trading above 50 SMA.
-Globally markets are choppy and the pattern can fail with the market. Thus one should keep a stop loss.
-The post is for educational purposes. :)
Happy trading.
PVR LongWith India recording lower cases day by day and peak of 2nd wave left far behind, entertainment stocks like PVR can show some good uptrend in coming months.