USD/JPY pair and asking for a target...USD/JPY pair and asking for a target, here’s what the technicals suggest — but keep in mind: this is not financial advice — my responsible for my trades.
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✅ What the technicals are showing
The pair is trading above its 50-week SMA, which suggests a longer-term bullish tilt.
A key resistance level is around 153.26. A breakout above that opens the way to higher targets.
If the breakout happens, one target cited is 158.80 (via a 161.8% projection).
On the flip side, if support fails (specifically ~145.47), the bullish case weakens.
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🎯 My suggested target
Primary target: ~ 158.80 — with the caveat that my need a clean breakout above ~153.26 to justify it.
Alternate scenario: If the pair fails to break convincingly and support breaks ~145.47, the target becomes a drop toward the support zone instead.
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🧠 Things to watch / trade‐management points
Confirm breakout: Look for a daily / 4-hour close above ~153.26 and increased momentum.
Risk management: If my entering now, consider placing your stop-loss below support (e.g. 145-147 zone) because a break there weakens the scenario.
Measure rewards vs risk: If my risk is large (large stop), the target must justify it.
Be aware of fundamentals: Events from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) or Federal Reserve (Fed) can shift this quickly.
#usdjpy#forex
USD/JPY SD + OTE + PD Array AnalysisStandard Deviation Entry Model on FOREXCOM:USDJPY
1. Inducement on 15min TF
2. Targets + Mini reversal zones marked out
3. 1H PD Array (FVG) Equilibrium tapped
4. Entry Triggered
5. 1st Target HIT
6. Waiting for Standard Deviation ultimate target to hit
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USDJPY – Is the Downtrend Taking Shape?On the H4 chart, USDJPY shows signs of weakening as it repeatedly fails to break above the long-term descending trendline. Despite a recent recovery toward the 147.000 level, buying momentum appears to be fading. The price structure suggests the possibility of a false breakout before a reversal toward the 144.300 support zone—an area with multiple unfilled FVGs.
From a news perspective, traders are awaiting today’s upcoming U.S. CPI report. If inflation data comes in hotter than expected, the USD may gain short-term strength. However, a weaker CPI reading could trigger a quick reversal in USDJPY, confirming the bearish setup. The 147.000 level remains the critical zone to watch for any potential rejection or breakout.
USDJPY: Weak Rebound, High Downside RiskUSDJPY remains under bearish pressure as price continues to be rejected at the descending trendline resistance. The 145.000–145.100 zone acts as a strong resistance area where price has repeatedly reversed.
The recent upward move appears to be a weak pullback, lacking the momentum to break the previous bearish structure. If price continues to be rejected at this zone, a likely correction towards the 142.100 support area is expected.
USDJPY – Momentum Fades Near 146 BarrierUSDJPY is approaching the significant resistance level at 146.020 following a parabolic rebound. This area previously triggered a sharp sell-off, and a minor double top pattern may be forming. If price gets rejected here, the support zone around 144.470 (EMA89 + demand zone) becomes a likely target for a pullback.
The recent upside was supported by hawkish comments from BoJ Governor Ueda, but the main market focus remains on the U.S.–China trade talks. If tensions ease, the USD could weaken, supporting the bearish scenario for USDJPY.
USDJPY – Buying momentum builds, uptrend in sightUSDJPY has just bounced strongly from the key support zone around 142.510 – a level that has acted as a “fortress” over the past two weeks. Price action is gradually regaining momentum, forming a potential double bottom and heading toward a retest of the long-term descending trendline.
Currently, the 144.800–145.000 area is the nearest resistance, aligning with both the EMA and the descending trendline. If buyers maintain control, a breakout above this zone could pave the way for the next leg up toward 145.750 and beyond.
In terms of news, the latest U.S. ISM Services data came in weaker than expected, reducing rate hike expectations. While this puts mild pressure on the USD, the reaction from USDJPY suggests the market is leaning toward a rebound rather than a breakdown.
USDJPY – Downtrend Continues, 143.500 Is the Key ZoneUSDJPY is moving within a clear descending channel and is now approaching the strong resistance area at 143.500 – where the EMA 34, EMA 89, and the upper trendline all converge.
Historically, each time price touched this zone, a strong rejection followed. If the same happens again, we could see a move back down to 142.000 and potentially 140.500.
On the fundamental side, the recently released U.S. ISM Services data disappointed, fueling expectations that the Fed might cut rates sooner – adding bearish pressure to the USD.
Preferred scenario: watch for price reaction around 143.500 to enter a short position in line with the downtrend.
USDJPY – Rebounding from Support after Positive PMI DataIn the latest session, USDJPY is gradually regaining its upward momentum after the US released a better-than-expected manufacturing PMI. The data suggests that the US industrial sector remains strong, reducing pressure on the Fed to ease policy. As a result, the US dollar benefited, lifting USDJPY off its recent technical bottom.
On the H4 chart, the pair is trading within a sideways range between 142.200 and 144.800. Each time it approaches the 142.200 level, buying pressure returns, forming a solid support zone. Although EMA 34 and EMA 89 are slightly sloping downward, the signals are not strong enough to break the current accumulation structure.
Expected scenario: if the price continues to hold above the 142.200 support zone and forms a solid accumulation pattern, USDJPY is likely to bounce toward the 144.800 area – which may act as the next short-term resistance. On the contrary, if the support breaks, the structure could shift into a more bearish outlook.
USD/JPY 15-Minute Chart AnalysisKey Observations:
1. Trendline Break:
- A potential break below the upward trendline indicates bearish momentum.
2. Supply Zone:
- The price is trading within a highlighted supply zone.
3. Short Trade Setup:
- A short position will be active after breakdown, with the following targets and stop-loss:
- Stop-Loss: Above 157.440
- Target 1: 156.76
- Target 2: 156.493
- Target 3: 156.100
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Trading Scenarios:
1. Bearish Continuation:
- If the price sustains below 157.030, bearish momentum is likely to accelerate toward 156.100.
2. Invalidation of Bearish Setup:
- A move above 157.6 would invalidate this bearish setup, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
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Trading Plan:
- Entry (Sell): Below 157.030, targeting 156.810, 156.500, and 156.090.
- **Stop-Loss**: Above **157.436**.
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This trade setup is in line with bearish market structure, but closely monitor price action around support levels and trailing stop-loss adjustments as the trade progresses.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Trade responsibly.
USDJPY: Approaching Key Support at 150.000USDJPY is trading around 150.038, testing the critical support level at 150.000 after a sharp decline. The EMA 34 (152.215) and EMA 89 (150.899) act as strong resistance, limiting recovery momentum. If this support level is breached, the price may continue to drop toward the 148.000 zone, a significant previous low.
Conversely, if the 150.000 level holds and the pair breaks above the EMA 34, USDJPY could target the 152.000 resistance level. News of the ceasefire in the Middle East has reduced safe-haven demand, putting pressure on the Japanese Yen, while the US Dollar remains strong due to high US Treasury yields. Traders should closely monitor these levels to adjust their strategies accordingly.
USDJPY Awaits a Breakout at 155.878
USDJPY is currently trading in a short-term uptrend but is being held back by a descending trendline and the resistance level at 155.878. After bouncing from the strong support at 153.350, the price is now fluctuating around EMA 34 (154.850) and EMA 89 (153.995), reflecting a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers.
Rising U.S. bond yields and the Bank of Japan's dovish policies continue to support the USD, while the Japanese Yen remains under pressure.
The RSI at a neutral level of 51.52 indicates unclear market momentum. If the price breaks above 155.878, the uptrend could strengthen with a target near 157.000. Traders should closely monitor key levels to make informed decisions.
USDJPY: Uptrend Faces Challenges at 156.65 ResistanceUSDJPY is currently trading at 155.68, reflecting a significant upward momentum in recent sessions. After successfully testing the strong support area at 153.40—a confluence of the 89 EMA and an ascending trendline—the pair surged sharply toward the key resistance zone at 156.65.
However, the 156.65 – 157.00 zone is considered a "pressure area," with the potential to trigger a short-term correction. If the price fails to break above this resistance, USDJPY could pull back to test support at 154.70 or even deeper at 153.40.
On the news front, the USD remains strong, driven by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, while the Bank of Japan continues its accommodative policy. Investors should pay close attention to key U.S. economic data, such as PMI figures and speeches from Fed officials this week, as these factors will strongly influence USDJPY's price action.
Strategy: Monitor price reactions at the 156.65 resistance zone. A breakout could target 157.50, while rejection at this level increases the likelihood of a pullback toward support levels.
USDJPY: Near Resistance 156.70, Consolidation Awaits DirectionUSDJPY is currently trading around 154.62, approaching the key resistance level of 156.70 after recovering from strong support at 152.24. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are near the current price, acting as dynamic resistance and hindering further upward momentum.
The RSI indicator is hovering at a neutral level of 48, indicating a consolidating market with no clear trend. If the price fails to break through the resistance at 156.70, it is likely to pull back to the support levels at 153.70 or even 152.24.
The primary driver of USDJPY's trend is the strengthening USD, supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, along with easing signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, any significant economic data from the US, particularly inflation figures or statements from the Fed, could strongly influence price action this week.
USDJPY Strengthens: Support at 154.43 & Target 157.80 USDJPY continues its strong uptrend, currently trading around 154.649 within an ascending price channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines lie below the current price, acting as dynamic support to sustain the bullish momentum.
The key support level at 154.43 will be crucial if a pullback occurs. If the price holds above this level, USDJPY is likely to continue rising toward the next resistance at 157.80. However, a break below 154.43 could increase bearish pressure.
The USD's strength is supported by expectations that the Fed will maintain high interest rates, while the BoJ's loose monetary policy weakens the JPY. Investors should closely monitor U.S. economic data this week to assess USDJPY's next move.
USD/JPY: Break Through $143.593 or Face a Deep Correction?The USD/JPY chart reveals an intense battle between buyers and sellers as the price hovers around $142.215. The support level at $141.682 acts as the final "shield" against any deeper declines.
The current focus is on the key resistance at $143.593. If USD/JPY can break through this level, the path to $146.010 will open, offering a chance to reach new highs.
However, if buyers fail to maintain momentum and the price falls below the $141.669 support, the pair may face a strong correction, pushing the market into a high-risk zone.
Crucially, major economic news from Japan and unexpected moves from the BoJ will be decisive factors, with the potential to shift the course of this battle at any moment.
Will USD/JPY rise to the challenge or retreat under market pressure?
USD/JPY: The Battle Between Resistance and SupportUSD/JPY is "battling" around the 143.695 level, with a significant "challenge" at 144.435 and a key "support" at 142.053.
The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are acting as "shields" for the current trend. The RSI indicator at 58.71 suggests a balanced market, but a major move could be on the horizon.
If the resistance at 144.435 isn't broken, USD/JPY could reverse and pull back towards 142.053.
In terms of news: The Japanese Yen has depreciated, possibly due to weak trading conditions during Monday's holiday. BoJ Governor Ueda stated that the central bank will continue adjusting the degree of monetary easing as needed.
USD/JPY Braces for a Major Turnaround from the FedUSD/JPY is in a tense phase as it trades at 142.48, close to the key descending resistance line.
After failing to break through the 143.569 resistance level, the pair is sliding down, like a car rolling downhill, aiming for 141.269. But is this the final stop?
If USD/JPY cannot hold at 141.269, we might witness a further drop, potentially sliding down to the deeper support level at 139.786.
With the market heating up ahead of the Fed meeting, uncertainty is on the rise. Traders are holding their breath — will the upcoming Fed meeting provide a push to lift this pair, or will it intensify the downward trend? Get ready for some potential market "shocks"!
USD/JPY Under Pressure, Facing Risk of CorrectionUSD/JPY is facing strong downward pressure, hovering around 141.56, with a downward trendline and key resistance at 142.541.
The EMA 34 (141.56) and EMA 89 (142.97) are reinforcing the short-term bearish trend.
If the price fails to break through this resistance, USD/JPY is likely to correct towards the support area and potentially drop further to 138.37.
In terms of news, USD/JPY earlier dropped to 141.00 during the Asian session as the BoJ forecasted a rate hike, contrasting with the Fed's expected easing. This policy divergence places the pair at risk ahead of the Fed event.
USD/JPY Under Bearish Pressure, Awaiting Fed DataDuring Tuesday's Asian session, USD/JPY is hovering near the 140.50 level, with key support at 139.570.
If the price holds above this level, it could see a recovery towards the resistance at 141.007.
EMA 34 and EMA 89 indicators are reinforcing the bearish pressure, positioned at 141.592 and 143.189, respectively.
If USD/JPY breaks above the resistance at 141.007, the next target could be 142.896.
The RSI is currently at 39.74, indicating that selling pressure remains dominant.
USDJPY Ranging 142-144 Ahead of U.S. CPIOn the 3-hour timeframe of the USDJPY pair, the price is moving within a range between the support level of 142 and the resistance level near 144.
Closest support: 142. This is a key support level, and if it breaks, a sharp decline to lower levels could follow.
Key resistance: 144. If the price surpasses this level, a short-term bullish trend may be triggered.
Traders can sell when the price touches the 143 resistance or breaks the 142 support, targeting the lower support levels of 142.500 and 141.800.
Investors are awaiting tomorrow's U.S. CPI report. A higher-than-expected CPI could boost the USD, aiding USDJPY recovery, while a lower CPI would pressure the USD, causing further declines in USDJPY.
USDJPY Tests 143 USD Resistance, Sell Opportunity AheadThe market is influenced by the monetary policies of the Bank of Japan and the Fed, along with U.S. interest rate updates and global economic conditions, continuing to cause volatility for this currency pair.
On the 4-hour USDJPY chart, the price is trending downwards, moving below both the EMA and SMA 20, signaling strong selling pressure.
The resistance near 143 USD has been tested several times but remains unbroken, indicating strong selling forces at this level.
If the price fails to break the 143 USD resistance, USDJPY is likely to continue its downward movement, heading toward the 140 USD level. This could present a potential selling opportunity if the downtrend persists.
USDJPY Deepens Decline: Support at 144.500, Target 143.000On the 3-hour chart, USDJPY is declining, approaching a key support level at 144.500, a level that has been tested and may react in the short term.
If the price tests this support and doesn't recover strongly, it is likely to continue its downtrend with the next target at 143.000.
The 89 and 34 EMAs act as resistance levels at 145.776 and 145.718, reinforcing the downward trend.
RSI at 42.88, near the oversold zone, indicates the price may drop further before a slight upward correction.
Investors may consider selling if the price breaks the 144.500 support, with a short-term target at 143.000.
Regarding news: Inflation data from Japan and the U.S. will impact USDJPY. If Japan's inflation remains low, the Yen could weaken further.






















