Orient Refractories: Nice Base Formation At Gap SupportThe stock has slipped from an overbought condition to its support zone at prior gap area. It has been consolidation in a tight range recently. My expectation is a retest of the recent highs if the range breakout happens. Am looking to buy this one today if we manage close near the day's high. Interesting stock !!
Accumulation
Aarti Industries: Nice reakout & RetestThe stock is trading at life-time highs and the recent price action is bullish & interesting. Notice the nice breakout via a gap-up and then a consolidation. There is another breakout today with relatively higher volume. Am long in this stock with a 10% stop loss from entry. Looks good and am expecting upside momentum to pick up. Let's see how this pans out.
Cadila Heathcare: Looks Like a Classic Accumulation. The recent price action has all characteristics of a Wyckoff Accumulation. If the assessment is correct, the price should see a good lift up soon. The rally should be on the back of increasing spread and increasing volume. If this happens. I will be happy to buy the stock. Let's see how it unfolds.
Go Long on ALBK for Target of 110 with a stop loss of 54After the news of recapitalization of about Rupees 2.11 Trilion for Public Sector Banks the NSE:CNXPSUBANK charts were negative to sideways consolidations, Considering this sideways movement this gives an excellent opportunity to invest in PSU BANKS. I choose NSE:ALBK you can do similar analysis in other PSU Banks as well. NSE:INDIANB has actually given a follow up rally after recapitalization rally so that will be kind of different analysis rest most PSU Banks have more or less similar trend.
Now considering my rational, if you see after a big fall from 2015 where NPA issues were discussed the major reason. Stock is in primary accumulation phase which is clearly evident by rising volumes, so this means the stock is due for another rally, so i think it's an ideal opportunity to buy this stock. Plus after recapitalization rally just look at the volumes in the negative to sideways consolidation. So seller weren't strong in this phase which gives another positive rational to buy this stock.
I'm expecting the stock to break this TRIANGLE formation and minimum target I would expect from this would be 110. Keeping a stop loss of previous swing low which was around 57 levels so 54 seems a good level for stop loss. At this point we are getting a minimum 1:2 Risk reward.
Last I want to specify the Bollinger Band Width, this help us identifying momentum, this stock historically has found momentum around 0.149 levels, this is also very important to identify that how soon will we achieve our targets.
So I hope you would find this analysis helpful for your decision making (Please always trade with a stop loss)
Note: Risk Only What You Can Afford to Lose
Prabhat diary is started swing back Prabhat diary is started swing back and short term target can be reached in week to 10 days or even below. and may breakout can also happens due huge volume accumulating from few days.