Analysis
ALICON - 2.5 Years Consolidation Breakout / All Time HighAlicon Castalloy Ltd
1) Time Frame - Weekly.
2) The Stock has been in a Consolidation since (August, 2021). Now It has given a Huge Consolidation breakout & Closed at it's All Time High with good bullish momentum candle & with good volume in weekly Time Frame.
3) The next resistance would be around the price (1400 - 24.85% from the price 1121.10). Also It may perform well in the long term.
5) Recommendation - Strong Buy
NZDUSD jumps on RBNZ’s hawkish halt, 0.6140-45 hurdle tests bullNZDUSD prints the biggest daily jump in more than a week, as well as snaps a two-day losing streak, on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) hawkish halt. That said, the RBNZ held the benchmark rates unchanged, as expected, but upwardly revised the forward rate guidance. The same pushed back the rate cut and signaled expectations of a rate hike during the year. As a result, the Kiwi pair rallied to the 2.5-month high after the RBNZ announcements before retreating from 0.6152, up more than half a percent intraday by the press time.
In addition to the hawkish RBNZ concerns, the NZDUSD pair’s successful trading beyond the previous resistance line stretched from late December 2023, bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI (14) line also keeps the buyers hopeful. However, a daily closing beyond a downward-sloping resistance line from January, near 0.6140 by the press time, becomes necessary for trading conviction. Adjacent to the 0.6140 hurdle is the previous weekly high and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s late 2023 upside, near 0.6145. Hence, the bulls need validation from 0.6140-45 to keep the reins. Following that, the double tops marked in February and March around 0.6220 and 23.6% Fibonacci ratio near 0.6230, followed by the 0.6280-85 resistance region, will become the upside targets.
On the contrary, a convergence of the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a three-week-old rising trend line, around 0.6075-70 at the latest, restricts the NZDUSD pair’s short-term downside ahead of the previously stated resistance-turned-support line near 0.6060. In a case where the Kiwi pair remains bearish past 0.6060, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near the 0.6000 threshold, will act as the final defense of the bears before directing the prices toward the yearly low of near 0.5850.
Overall, the Kiwi pair is likely to remain firmer unless declining back beneath the 0.6060 level. However, fresh buying should wait for a clear upside break of 0.6145.
Heg is readyThere is a one more stock Which is showing a great opportunity, stock is near resistance this stock is doing well when market is doing a correction and all stock are drooping this stock is rising. what is your view please comment it down. We are NISM Certified. All views shared on this channel are my personal opinion and is shared for educational purpose and should not be considered advise of any nature.
BO of Cup & Holder Pattern and Fib Ret 1.618 LevelCompany results are good and fundamentally strong.
Breakout of Cup and holder pattern in daily frame,
Long term - Very positive.
Potential upside of 13% in short term and 27% in Med-Long term from the current levels.
Fib Retracement level of 1.618 broken and stock is trading at ATH levels.
ASIANPAINTASIANPAINT
bottom fishing stock . strong buy for long term
this time is Recommendation ACCUMULATE
my study point
Asian Paints is the largest home decor company in India.
1) Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3
Years ROE 26.1%
2) Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of
58.4%
3) good support zone
holdings :-)))
a) Promoters 53%
b)FIIs & DIIs 28%
c) Public 19 %
main ponit is Government hold 0.06% stakes
Sector: Paints/Varnish - Top one
Industry: Paints / Varnishes - Top one
A) Sharekhan recommended Hold rating on Asian Paints with a target price of Rs 3490 in its research report dated January 17, 2024.
B)Motilal Oswal recommended Neutral rating on Asian Paints with a target price of Rs 3340 in its research report dated January 18, 2024.
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Amrutanjan Health Care Ltd | Momentum stockAmrutanjan Health Care Ltd
AHCL has been manufacturing ayurvedic balm for pain management since 1893, and is currently managed by the third-generation of promoters. The company is more than 120 years old and is into OTC products in the segments of pain management, women's hygiene, and packaged fruit juice drink.
Fundamentals: strong
Market Cap₹ 2,238 Cr. Current Price₹ 774 Stock P/E 50.8
ROCE 19.3 % ROE 14.3 % Debt to equity 0.00
Promoter holding 50.6 % Industry PE 29.3
Quick ratio 2.86 Current ratio 3.22 Piotroski score 5.00
Profit Var 3Yrs 16.6 % Sales growth 3Years 13.2 % Return on assets 11.2 %
This stock is fundamentally strong stock as well as its in momentum with high volume.
keep eye on it and do more research on it.
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Balaji Amines formed big positive candle after Q4 ResultsWithing 15 mins, the stock formed a significant candle of 12%
Increased volatility around stock earnings is a common phenomenon in financial markets.
As companies release their quarterly or annual earnings reports, big investors eagerly anticipate the results, which can lead to heightened trading activity.
Positive earnings surprises may cause a surge in buying activity, driving up stock prices, while negative surprises can trigger selling pressure, leading to price declines.
Consequently, during earnings seasons, markets can experience sharp movements in stock prices therefore short term trading becomes Risky around imp events.
Digvijay cement-A multibagger in making?Digvijay cement has given a beautiful cup and handle pattern breakout.
Recently, sock has also retested the breakout and formed huge bullish marubozu candle in weekly time frame.
Stock is looking very strong for a big bull run ahead.
Stock has good fundamentals as well and can be held for long term as well.
It is a good stock for multibagger investment as cement sector will definitely grow with growing infra and realty sector.
Ratios at CMP are attractive
PE ratio is around 18, Dividend yield is above 3%.Zero debt company.
ROE, ROCE is above 20.
Current ratio is above 1 and Price to sales is just around 2.
Crude Oil Week April 29 to May 03
Time Frame: 1 Day
1. Rejection candles from Support zone and 50 EMA. Price has not allowed to break these key levels
2. Previous trend is bullish. Level breakout and under retracement
3. 50 and 200 EMA golden crossover
Time Frame: 4 Hr
Crude oil has bounced from previous key level(Resistance converted to support zone)
1. Trend is Bullish
2. Filled FVG and taken support for 50 EMA
3. Bounced from 200 EMA.
Entry above : 7046
Target: 7257 ( 211 Points)
Stoploss:6916 (130 Points)
Vodafone has no Idea for BullishnessVodafone Idea attempted twice to break the resistance zone but unfortunately it couldn't and fall from around 18 Rupees so it becomes strong reistance in bigger time frame but after that in shorter time frame we can see that around 15 is became strong resistance which means whether it is bigger or Shorter timeframe it looking negative overall
Team Lease Services Ltd | Momentum Swing IdeaTeam Lease Services provides employment related services. It provides solutions for staffing, recruitment, training, payroll processing and regulatory compliance.
Market Cap ₹ 5,371 Cr. Current Price ₹ 3,195S tock P/E 50.4
ROCE 13.9 % ROE 14.4 % Debt to equity 0.14
Promoter holding 31.6 % Quick ratio 1.36 Current ratio 1.36
Piotroski score 5.00 Profit Var 3Yrs 45.9 % Sales growth 3Years 14.8 %
Pledged percentage 1.59 % Return on assets 6.54 %
This is momentum stock with unique business and future growth perspective great stock.
RSI also in positive trend ,if it sustained stock makes new high. This stock is make rounding bottom on top . so keep this stock in your watch list.
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D P Wires Ltd| Momentum Swing IdeaD P Wires Ltd is engaged in the manufacturing of Steel Wires, Plastic Products, Laying of Plastic Films, Acting as a Commission Agent and Generation of Power through Wind Mill
Financial:
Market Cap ₹ 830 Current Price ₹ 535S tock P/E 20.0
ROCE 32.0 % ROE 23.9 % Debt to equity 0.15
Promoter holding 74.8 % Quick ratio 2.42 Current ratio 2.82
Profit Var 3Yrs 35.2 % Sales growth 3Years 62.4 %
Piotroski score 7.00 Return on assets 18.3 %
This stock is in momentum as well as strong fundamental. keep in your watchlist.as well as unique business. This stock is based on Indian growth theme.
Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation.
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Thanks and comment freely
Endurance Tech is experiencing robust growthEndurance Tech (ENDU), India's top aluminum die-casting company, is showing consistent improvement in its performance metrics.
This is fueled by increasing domestic demand, a recovery in the international market, and lower raw material costs.
ENDU is highly preferred among automotive ancillary firms due to its advanced product range and strong presence in the two-wheeler segment.
Outlook:
ENDU's robust order book is being driven by the recovery in demand. The company primarily focuses on the two-wheeler (2W) segment in the domestic market, benefiting from its advanced product range. This positions ENDU advantageously to capitalize on the expected growth in the 2W industry.
The positive outlook for ENDU is supported by the significant increase in demand for two-wheelers, as indicated by monthly wholesale figures from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs).
The management's confidence in the long-term potential of the Indian 2W segment is further reinforced by the company's order schedule, which anticipates a 10-12 percent industry growth in FY24.
During the first nine months of FY24, Endurance Tech secured new contracts worth Rs 941 crore from OEMs other than Bajaj Auto, with approximately 60 percent being new business and the rest replacement orders.
These contracts are expected to peak in FY26. Additionally, the company has obtained orders worth Rs 680 crore in the electric vehicle (EV) segment.
In terms of the European business outlook, Endurance Tech's management highlighted that the easing of supply constraints allowed OEMs to increase production.
Despite recessionary pressures affecting order intake, Endurance Tech successfully secured orders totaling 29 million euros during the same period.
In conclusion, Endurance Tech's strong position in the Indian two-wheeler segment, focus on electric vehicles, and favorable market conditions position it as a compelling player in the automotive industry.
Endurance Tech is expanding its product range by focusing on high-value offerings.
This includes brake-and-clutch assemblies for motorcycles with engine capacities exceeding 200 cc, ABS systems, paper-based clutches, inverted front forks, as well as fully machined and semi-finished castings.
The company has begun supplying ABS and brakes tailored for motorcycles with engine capacities of 200 cc and above, along with clutch plates.
As raw material prices decrease, enhanced margins are expected. The reduction in raw material expenses has already had a positive impact, and the decline in high energy prices in Europe has further strengthened the company's operating margin.
Additionally, management is actively working to improve cost efficiencies, introduce more valuable products, and replace imports, all of which are expected to contribute to further improvement in the operating margin.
Valuation:
Endurance Tech (ENDU) is currently trading at a valuation of 29.8 times the estimated earnings for FY25, which represents a discount of approximately 10 percent compared to its six-year average valuation of 32.7.
This discounted valuation suggests significant potential for an upward movement in the stock price. We recommend that investors gradually accumulate the stock.
There are several risks to consider:
1. Deceleration in demand: A slowdown in demand could negatively impact the company's financial performance.
2. Unfavorable commodity prices: Higher raw material costs, due to unfavorable commodity prices, could affect operational profitability.
NIFTY MARCH MONTH EXPIRY ANALYSISThe market (NIFTY50) is Trading at 22150.
Do not blindly go with the buy or call side. First Market will re-test with the S4 area (21950) and then it will move towards our Target which is 22300.
It's a clear Reverse Head and Shoulder Pattern but don't go blindly in any direction. Let's wait for a retest and then enter the rally.
Another 2 Conditions:
1. If it breaks 22215 then 22300 will be scalping in Intraday.
2. If 21800 Break then more selling expected
Long opportunity in DMart There is pole and flag pattern break in DMart, looks good for longs above 4340 with stoploss at around 3020 levels for the target of 5600 (there may be some resistance at around 4980 levels) then 6200.
--This is for educational purpose only, do your own analysis before investing and do not put more than 5 to 10% of your capital in one stock.
CHF Loses Ground After The SNB Rate CutToday, the Swiss National Bank cut its interest rate, dropping from +1.75% to +1.50%. Last time we saw any changes made in the rate were back in June 2023, when the Bank lifted the rate from +1.75% to +1.50%. After the release of the news CHF devalued against all of its major counterparts, even against the currently-weak USD.
Looking at the technical picture of EASYMARKETS:USDCHF on our daily chart, we can see that the pair popped higher today after the SNB release. The rate rose above a key resistance barrier, at 0.8886, which is the highest point of February. As long as EASYMARKETS:USDCHF continues to trade above that barrier, we will stay positive, at least with the near-term outlook.
Given that the pair had already reached and overshot one of our key resistance areas, at 0.8954, we will continue aiming higher. That's when we will target the 0.9052 obstacle, or even the 0.9113 level, marked by the highest point of November 2023.
In order to shift our attention to some lower areas, a break of a short-term tentative upside support line taken from the lowest point of December 2023, is needed. This way a directional change of the current uptrend may occur, possibly inviting more sellers into the game. EASYMARKETS:USDCHF could then fall to the current lowest point of March, at 0.8730, a break of which may set the stage for a move to the 0.86500 area. That area is marked near the inside swing highs of January 29th and February 1st.
EURUSD 4H ANALYSISFOREXCOM:EURUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
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Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!