Indus Towers Analysis(Double Bottom)!!INDUS TOWERS WEEKLY ANALYSIS
Indus Towers has made double bottom at Support Level on Weekly Timeframe
Indus Towers is trading near it's 82 Week resistance trendline
Keep an eye on Indus Towers
Indus towers is trading at it's crucial levels. We can see the price is taking resistance at 82 Weeks resistance Trendline. Now Indus Towers made has Double Bottom Patter at it's support level. If Indus Towers succeeds to break 82 Week trendline then we can see the further bull move towards our projected Target. I did all my analysis on the chart. Please do study it thoroughly, do your all the analysis, explore all the trading platforms, Compare the analysis because no one is 100% accurate but we will have a broader view of trend if we do study all the analysis and explore all the available platforms.
Trading Psychology and Setup=
Entry = Aggressive Entry after Resistance Trendline Breakout, Conservative entry after candle closes above 174.65 after retest
Target = Projected Target will be 234.35
Stop Loss = Below 165.15
Disclaimer = All my analysis are for Educational Purpose only. Before entering into any trade - 1) Educate Yourself 2) Do your own research and analysis 3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio 4)Don't trade with full capital
Analysis
Hindalco Here, we have attached the Technical analysis chart for Hindalco,
Hindalco is in the range which have drawn in the chart and once it tried to break but unfortunately it couldn't and many SL got hit and so that we have noticed huge sell off then, and the price moving between range continued again ....
In the chart we have mentioned support and many important levels which will definately help you ...
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Gateway Distriparks-An investment pick!Gateway distriparks is India’s leading Integrated Multimodal Logistics company.
As Make in India is growing, India needs experienced logistics provider and Gateway fits rightly in it.
Stock has recently given ATH breakout with a rounding bottom pattern.
Company has sales growth of over 55% in last 3 years.
We can expect big returns in the stock once the trendline breaks. Positional traders can enter with trendline as the target.
LIC: Poised for a Breakout?Key Points:
LIC is currently trading at ₹906, near its IPO price of ₹906.
A breakout above ₹906 could signal a bullish move.
A pullback to ₹728 could offer a good entry point for long positions.
Technical Analysis:
The stock is testing a key resistance level.
A breakout would confirm a bullish trend reversal.
Volume is increasing, indicating growing interest.
The RSI is in the bullish zone, suggesting momentum is building.
Strategy:
Bullish:
Buy LIC if it breaks above ₹906 with a stop-loss at ₹880.
Target a move to ₹1050 and ₹1150 in the medium term.
Neutral:
Wait for a pullback to ₹728 to initiate a long position.
Risk Management:
Set a stop-loss to protect your capital.
Monitor the stock's price action and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Disclaimer:
This idea is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Trident Breaks Above Support - Time to Go Long?echnical Analysis Update (18 January 2024):
Trident stock has found strong support around the 43 level, as we anticipated in our previous analysis. After a brief dip below this zone, the price has bounced back convincingly, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
Bounce Confirmation: The recent price action shows a clear bullish engulfing candlestick pattern, confirming the rejection at support and suggesting further upside potential.
Entry: Consider entering a long position above the immediate resistance level around 43.50 to 44
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order below the support level at 43 to limit potential losses.
Target: Potential upside targets could be near the recent swing highs around 61 or higher, depending on market momentum
Remember:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Market conditions can change rapidly, so be sure to monitor the stock closely and adjust your trading plan as needed.
Metal Stocks Nifty Metal index which represents the metal stocks has already given a very good move and in last few months, now as we mentioned and projected it need to retest the lower levels and so that we can see pull back like that so you can plan your trading or investing accordingly ...
Disclaimer - views are just for education purpose only, make all your decisions independently..
GSFC Analysis(Descending Triangle)!GSFC Analysis on Weekly Timeframe
Descending Triangle Pattern Formation in GSFC on Weekly Timeframe!
Descending Triangle Pattern Breakout on Upper Side!
Bullish view on GSFC!
GSFC has made Descending Triangle Pattern on Weekly Timeframe. GSFC has given a huge breakout on the upper resistance trendline. We should wait for retest because we don't want to buy it at higher price so we are waiting for a decent retesting. We can see a huge breakout volume so we need to wait for the volume adjustment for avoiding the breakout trap.
Trade Psychology and setup =
Entry = After Retesting between 147.10 - 153.30
Target = Target will be 241.40
Stop Loss = Below 122.35
Disclaimer = All my analysis are for Educational Purpose only. Before entering into any trade - 1) Educate Yourself 2) Do your own research and analysis 3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio 4)Don't trade with full capital
Kotak Mahindra Bank - Range ConsolidationKotak Mahindra Bank Limited offers a range of banking services covering commercial and investment banking on the wholesale side and transactional/branch banking on the retail side.
Book Value Per Share: 562.55
Dividend Yield: 0.08
TTM EPS: 86.40
TTM PE: 21.12
P/B: 3.25
Sector PE: 25.38
Positives:
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
Effectively using Shareholders fund - Return on equity (ROE) improving since last 2 year
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ)
Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 4 Quarters
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
Companies with current TTM PE Ratio less than 3 Year, 5 Year and 10 Year PE
Brokers upgraded recommendation or target price in the past three months
Decrease in NPA in recent results
Mutual Funds have increased holdings from 9.45% to 9.63% in Sep 2023 qtr.
Negatives:
Declining Net Cash Flow: Companies not able to generate net cash
Seems to be overvalued vs the market average
Lagging behind the market in financials growth
Net Profit TTM Growth % - Low in industry
Price to Book Ratio - High in industry
Promoters have decreased holdings from 25.94% to 25.93% in Sep 2023 qtr
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION.
DEN Network - Multiyear BreakoutDEN Networks Limited is a cable television distribution company. The Company is engaged in distribution of television channels through analog and digital cable distribution network and provision of broadband services.
TTM EPS: 5.71
TTM PE: 8.25
P/B: 0.75
Face Value: 10
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 2,247
Sector PE: 30.81
Book Value Per Share: 63.15
Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
Growth in Quarterly Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (YoY)
Company with No Debt
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Near 52 Week High
Stock with Low PE (PE < = 10)
RSI indicating price strength
High Volume, High Gain
Negatives:
Inefficient use of capital to generate profits - RoCE has declined in the last 2 years
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
Vedanta Ltd. - Demand ZonesNSE:VEDL is a global diversified natural resource company operating across segments which are Copper; Aluminium; Iron Ore; Power; Zinc, Lead and Silver; Oil and Gas, and Others.
TTM EPS: 23.65
TTM PE: 8.84
P/B: 0.94
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 77,689
Dividend Yield: 48.56
Sector PE: 6.57
Book Value Per Share: 222.49
My Opinion: Vedanta, once soaring at an all-time high of 298, now faces a significant decline. The immediate demand zone lies between 175 and 150, where investors are eyeing a potential rebound. However, the next crucial support level stands at 122, serving as a critical turning point. As the stock navigates these challenging waters, investors must exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making decisions. Market sentiment and company fundamentals will play a crucial role in determining Vedanta's future trajectory. Keep a close watch, as opportunities may emerge amidst the volatility.
Recommendated: I do recommend reading about Vedanta's Bond Repayment which is due in January 2024. Vedanta is still exploring the ways for the repayment. Also Moody's downgrade of Vedanta Resources' corporate family rating to Caa2 is a factor to consider before making any decision.
Here I would like to reflect upon some learning aspects that can help in decision-making:
Accumulating volume near a demand zone suggests that there is increasing buying interest and potential support for the stock in that price range. When traders and investors perceive a particular price range as a demand zone, they anticipate that the stock's price may find support and possibly reverse its downtrend.
If the volume of trading activity is increasing within this demand zone, it indicates growing investor confidence in the stock's value at that price level. This can be seen as a positive sign, as it suggests that buyers are accumulating shares, possibly with the expectation of a price increase in the future. However, it's essential to consider other factors such as market sentiment, news, and overall market conditions before making investment decisions solely based on accumulating volume.
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
CESC - Cup and Handle BreakoutCESC Limited is an integrated electrical utility and holding company. The Company is engaged in the generation and distribution of electricity across approximately 570 square kilometers of licensed area in Kolkata and Howrah, West Bengal.
TTM EPS: 10.92
TTM PE: 8.99
P/B: 1.20
Face Value: 1
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 13,017
Dividend Yield: 4.58
Sector PE 17.62
Book Value Per Share: 82.30
Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long-term moving averages
New 52-week high today
Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 2 quarters
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Negatives:
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Inefficient use of capital to generate profits - RoCE declining in the last 2 years
Inefficient use of shareholder funds - ROE declining in the last 2 years
Inefficient use of assets to generate profits - ROA declining in the last 2 years
Poor cash generated from core business - Declining Cash Flow from Operations for last 2 years
Declining Net Cash Flow: Companies not able to generate net cash
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
KCP - Breakout CandidateThe KCP Limited is engaged in cement, engineering, power and other businesses.
Market Capitalization Cr: 1,726.3
Price to Book: 1.1
PE TTM: 30.9
PEG TTM PE to Growth: -0.51
Price to Book Value: 1.14
Oper Rev Qtr Cr: 31.4%
Net Profit Qtr Cr: 21.4%
1Yr Beta: 1.14
RSI: 69.1
Positives:
Quarterly Net profit rose 21.47% YoY to Rs 30.31 Crores. Its sector's average net profit growth YoY for the quarter was 56.47%.
Quarterly Revenue rose 31.38% YoY to Rs 757.27 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth YoY for the quarter was 16.43%.
Price to Earning Ratio is 30.95, lower than its sector PE ratio of 53.86.
Annual Revenue rose 6.77%, in the last year to Rs 2,292.08 Crores. Its sector's average revenue growth for the last fiscal year was 19.46%.
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Company with Low Debt
Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 3 quarters
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
Near 52 Week High
Negatives:
Inefficient use of shareholder funds - ROE declining in the last 2 years
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash
Major fall in TTM Net Profit
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION.
Thanks
CHENNPETRO - Multi-year BreakoutChennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CPCL) is a company, which offers high speed diesel (HSD) and motor spirit (MS). The Company operates in the downstream petroleum sector.
TTM EPS: 116.21
TTM PE: 4.12
P/B: 2.39
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 7,126
Dividend Yield: 5.64
Sector PE: 30.01
Book Value Per Share: 200.57
Some Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
Strong Annual EPS Growth
New 52 week high today
Effectively using its capital to generate profit - RoCE improving in last 2 years
Effectively using Shareholders fund - Return on equity (ROE) improving since last 2 year
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Company reducing Debt
Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation for last 2 years
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Stock gained more than 20% in one month
Some Negatives:
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
Decline in Quarterly Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (YoY)
Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash
Major fall in TTM Net Profit
Fall in Quarterly Revenue and Net Profit (YoY)
Recent Results: Declining Operating Profit Margin and Net Profits (YoY)
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
The Jan to Dec of Technical Analysis - 1 strategy per month1. January - The Value at Play
Before we start discussing the different technical chart patterns, we need to have some clarity on how buying and selling happens on stocks and options. Every trade has a buyer or seller. That means at a specific point in time, for a specific price there are 2 conflicting thoughts
Someone who thinks the price is too cheap
Someone who thinks the price is damn expensive
The guy who thinks the stock/option is cheap is ready to buy and the guy who thinks it is expensive and it is a good time to sell.
Just think, how is it that two people can have conflicting mindsets about the same instrument at the same time? I am 100% sure that both of them cannot be right, one of them is making a wrong decision. Over time - 5 minutes, 50 minutes, 5 hours, 50 hours, 5 days, 50 days, or 500 days - whatever the period be, that particular instrument will tick away from the quoted price - either move up or move down.
This leads to the important question - what is the fair value? If you have an internal price gauging mechanism - you can quickly calculate if the price quoted is below or above the fair value. Wow, that looks exciting - can you give me the shortcut to calculate the fair price?
Unfortunately, there is no holy grail that does it for you, over time you need to develop that tool or spreadsheet. Have you heard the saying, “Veterans are good stock pickers” - It is mainly because of their experience in the markets. They have developed the intuition to guess the fair value when they see the ticker tape without relying on a spreadsheet or calculator.
The first rule is “Never buy anything at a premium and never sell anything at a discount”. This rule does not guarantee that you will not lose money - but it is a filter that weeds out poor decision-making. The question arises - how do I calculate the fair price of a stock or options strike?
A good place to start would be to start reading “The Little Book of Valuation: How to Value a Company, Pick a Stock and Profit (Little Books. Big Profits) by Aswath Damodaran” - you can even finish the book in 2 straight hours. It gives some insights into valuation techniques.
Most valuation methods available in the markets are part of “Fundamental Analysis”, you might ask me - “What does that have to do with Technical Analysis?”. My answer is everything. Technical Analysis is the process of guessing the future price by looking at the historical data. But what the stock/option has to do with the price today is mostly due to fundamental reasons. A mix of fundamental + technical study is much better than pure fundamental or pure technical analysis.
These days lot of people have turned to options trading as a side gig to make some extra money. Someone would have told them, that it is easy to make money in options trading. The biggest mistake they make would be to short-sell a strike too cheap and buy a strike too pricey. Option premiums do not move in a linear pattern and are totally different from the valuation techniques used to gauge the underlying. If you are able to calculate the fair value of a particular strike with some level of accuracy - then you can avoid selling it cheap and buying it pricey. More often than not, not taking a trade would be the best trade there is. If something is way above your price level, choose not to buy. If way below, choose not to sell. Have faith that a better opportunity will come and gather the courage to skip the trade.
There are 2 option types - CALLS and PUTS. The option strikes above the current trading price are called CALLS and the strikes below the price are called PUTS. The premiums of these far-away strikes are not that easy to calculate or guess, mainly because the prices are derived by a few factors like price movements, time, level of uncertainty & the interest rates in the markets.
This makes options trading like a double-edged sword. You get it right - it will reward you more than you can imagine. You get it wrong - it will take away what you have and more. I think hard guessing the fair value of a particular strike of a stock or index is 10 times more complicated than assessing the intrinsic value of that index/stock. This means if you took 15mts to find out the fair value of say “PQR” stock, you might take 150+ minutes to assess the price of a strike say 2600 CE when PQR is trading at 2500. The challenge here is that, once you calculate the fair price - the goal post would have shifted. A change in time will affect the strike prices as “time” is a variable that contributes to its value - so it is a moving target.
Now tell me, what would you call someone when they say “Options trading is easy”, “You can make 100000 in 1 month with just Rs1000 capital”, “100% guaranteed success in options trading…” etc.
The next thing to know is the difference between trading and investing. Both are tools intended to make money but the main difference is the “time” component. Investing is usually done with no particular “time” value in mind whereas trading is done for a specific “time period”. That is why you hear people say, I have bought “XYZ” stock for the long term - Even if it appreciates in price say 10% in 10 days, the investor may not sell it. Partly because they do not want to miss out on further gains after selling.
On the other hand, trading is done with a specific time frame in mind. The trader is only worried about the prices during that window. What happens after that is none of this botheration. The fear of missing out seldom affects the trader because they know their next opportunity will come if they keep looking.
Time has more relevance & weightage than you can possibly imagine. In fact, price is relative to time and it is not the other way around. You can physically measure this concept in options trading wherein strikes go to zero value on the expiry date. The major index options have weekly expiry and the stock options have monthly expiry. So a particular strike will go from “X” value to “0” value in a week. Also important to note that during this lifecycle the strike could swing between X to 4X to 100X to 0.5X to 0.2X and end at 0 after the expiry. The prices of a strike are much more volatile than their underlying - this is the main reason options trading is a double-edged sword.
Generally, people do not respect time. Most of them respect money more than time. The decisions they make are usually to save money even if it means to waste time. If you are into stock markets - that should change. Even though your purpose is to make money - you should give the due credit to the “time factor”. Let me explain with an example. A trader buys 100 qty of ABC at 1500 intending to sell it at 1600 once the results are out. If on the results day the prices drop to 1400 - that trader will say “Let me not book the loss, I will hold it for some more time for the prices to recover”. In this particular instance, the trader is not ready to book the loss but hoping that his money will recover. Most long-term investors are traders who forget to close their trades.
A trader has to have a 180-degree opposite mindset of an investor because we are playing with limited resources. If your money is blocked on a particular trade for a period longer than your calculation - then it is 100% true that you will not be able to take another trade when there is an opportunity. No trader in the world has unlimited resources and unlimited leverage but all of them have got the exact same amount of time per day. If you know how to manage the time - the money will find a way.
This comes to the final segment of this chapter - “Value at Play”. It means the amount of money adjusted for the time factor to the reward it brings in. You might be familiar with the word “Value at Risk” (VaR). Value at Play is something similar but not measured in the same way.
.... to be continued...
EURUSD licks its wounds at fortnight-low ahead of Fed MinutesEURUSD dropped the most in three weeks on Tuesday after a downside break of an ascending trend line from mid-November and the 50-SMA. Adding strength to the downside bias are the bearish MACD signals. However, the nearly oversold RSI (14) line joins the 100-SMA support of 1.0935 to restrict short-term declines of the Euro pair. Even if the pair slides beneath 1.0935, the bottom line of a two-month-long bullish channel, close to 1.0840 at the latest, acts as the last defense of the pair buyers. Following that, the bears will be able to aim for the previous monthly low surrounding 1.0725.
Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair’s recovery hinges on the quote’s ability to stay beyond the 1.1020-25 resistance confluence comprising the 50-SMA and previous support line stretched from December 18. In a case where the Euro bulls keep the reins past 1.1025, the previous monthly high near 1.1140 and the aforementioned channel’s top line, around 1.1160 by the press time, will gain the market’s attention ahead of the year 2023 peak surrounding 1.1275.
Overall, the EURUSD pair is likely to recover unless the Fed Minutes bolster the US Dollar strength, which is least expected. It’s worth noting, however, that the upside room appears limited.
NIIT Learning Systems Ltd | A investment pickNIIT Learning Systems Ltd | A investment pick
NIIT Learning Systems Limited offers Managed Training Services to companies across 30 countries. The NLSL has comprehensive suite of Managed Training Services includes Custom Content and Curriculum Design, Learning Delivery, Learning Administration, Strategic Sourcing, Learning Technology, and L&D consulting services. The company also offers specialized solutions including immersive learning, customer education, talent pipeline as a service, DE&I training, digital and IT trainings well as leadership and professional development services.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap = ₹ 5,538 Cr. ROCE = 36.5 % ROE = 31.8 %
Debt to equity = 0.15 Promoter holding = 34.8 % Return on assets = 15.8 %
its almost debt free learning solution based company its upcoming future is bright .
good financial . we will closely track financial in upcoming years .
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note: I am not SEBI registered financial adviser. pls do your own research first.
Swing trade for 6-12 months🚀 Exciting News for #WiproStock 🚀 After 540 days of consolidation, Wipro is set to soar! 📈 Reverse from the 0.61 Fibonacci zone, breakout of the supply zone, and breaking the 0.5 Fibonacci level. 🌐 This looks like a promising setup for a 6-12 month swing trade with a solid risk-reward ratio. 🎯 Don't miss out on this potential winner! 💹 #StockMarket #TradingOpportunity #SwingTrade #Wipro #Investing 📊
🚨 Disclaimer: Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This information is for educational and informational purposes only. Make informed decisions and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment. #InvestResponsibly 🚨
Laurus Labs Ltd | Pharma multibagger momentum stockLaurus Labs Ltd | Pharma multibagger momentum stock
Founded in 2005, Laurus Labs is a research-driven pharmaceutical and biotechnology company having a global leadership position in select Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs)
Financial: excellent
Market Cap = 23,185 Cr. ROCE = 22.2 % ROE = 20.4 %
Debt to equity = 0.45 Promoter holding = 27.2 % Piotroski score = 5.00
Quick ratio = 0.64 Current ratio = 1.31 Profit Var 3Yrs = 41.6 %
Sales growth 3Years = 27.3 % Return on assets = 11.2 %
in sector rotation now its pharma time to move up.
big player heavily buying in pharma sector.
this stock is big one momentum stock. since long consolidation RSI up move in momentum zone.
we have to ready for participate and grab the opportunity . moreover financially also stable pharma company.
Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation.
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Thanks and comment freely