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RSI and RSI Divergence Part 2RSI (Relative Strength Index) is a momentum indicator that measures recent price changes to assess if an asset is overbought or oversold. RSI divergence occurs when the price of an asset and its RSI move in opposite directions, potentially indicating a trend reversal or weakening trend. There are two main types: bullish divergence (price makes lower lows while RSI makes higher lows) and bearish divergence (price makes higher highs while RSI makes lower highs).
NSE:TATASTEELEducation
by SkyTradingZone
A Long-Term Outlook on Gold and the U.S. DollarTechnical and Fundamental Analysis: A Long-Term Outlook on Gold and the U.S. Dollar 1. Technical Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD): Current Price: Gold is currently trading around the 3,219.39 level, marking a significant high compared to recent price levels. This is seen as a major resistance point that could limit the price in the short term. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: 3,164.62, 3,190.48, 3,219.39 Support: 3,118.98, 3,069.60 Moving Averages (MA): MA 13 (Short-Term) and MA 34 (Medium-Term) both lie below the current price, indicating a bullish trend in the short to medium term. MA 200 (Long-Term) shows that the long-term trend for gold remains strong and stable, with the price currently trading above all these moving averages. Current Situation: Gold is on a strong upward trajectory, supported by economic factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies and overall monetary policies. The current price suggests that gold could continue to rise in the short term, particularly if the U.S. Dollar remains weak. Long-Term Outlook: If the resistance level of 3,219.39 is breached, gold could potentially move towards the 3,250 level and beyond. However, caution should be exercised as profit-taking may occur towards the end of the week. Avoid FOMO and buying at the peak. 2. Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Dollar (DXY Index): The DXY Index is currently in a strong downward trend, trading below 100.554. It may continue to fall towards 99.783 in the upcoming months. Key Support Levels for USD: 99.783 and 97.500. If the DXY continues to drop and breaks these levels, it would put additional pressure on the USD and be supportive for gold. Impact of Monetary Policies: The Federal Reserve has indicated a potential interest rate cut in the future, which would continue to pressure the U.S. Dollar and support gold, especially amid global economic concerns. Economic Situation in the U.S.: With some economic indicators such as CPI and PPI showing weakness, the U.S. economy is facing challenges. This adds further pressure to the U.S. Dollar and provides an advantage to gold. 3. Long-Term Perspective: Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. In the short term, gold may continue to rise as long as the U.S. Dollar remains weak. However, caution should be exercised toward the end of the week due to potential profit-taking. For Gold (XAU/USD): If gold breaks key resistance levels, it could continue to rise in the long term, especially if the U.S. Dollar remains weak. However, caution should be taken at the peaks. As for the U.S. Dollar: The DXY is expected to continue its decline in the short term, which would further support gold. However, if the DXY starts to recover, gold might face some pressure. Trading Strategy: Preferred Buy Zones for gold: 3,118.98 and 3,069.60. But be cautious as profit-taking could occur toward the end of the week. Avoid selling gold unless the major resistance levels are broken and clear signals emerge from the market. Conclusion: With gold continuing its upward trend, supported by favorable monetary policies and economic expectations, gold remains a strong opportunity for both short and long-term investors. However, investors should be cautious about profit-taking towards the weekend. Monitoring future performance of the U.S. Dollar and any changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy will be crucial.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Bull Run: The Market's Wild Ride and the Upcoming Big ShortGold Bull Run: The Market's Wild Ride and the Upcoming Big Short? 💰📉 Introduction: The market is experiencing an intense bull run, with gold (XAU/USD) fluctuating over 100 points daily, from 3080 to 3200. Market sentiment plays a critical role during this time, as a large amount of capital has entered the market, buying the dip across various financial assets. But the burning question remains – is this a strong recovery wave or just a bull trap before the massive BIG SHORT of the century in financial markets? 🧐 Technical Analysis: From a technical standpoint, gold is currently very unpredictable, as both the upward and downward movements have been swift and strong. We saw gold lose 200 points in a week, but it took only two days to regain and set a new all-time high (ATH). Currently, the ATH sits at 3200, and it looks like it could continue climbing today, especially with the PPI data expected to be released. 📈 Yesterday, the U.S. economic data came in negative, validating the strong rise in gold prices. This might indicate that history could repeat itself, with the upcoming CPI and PPI numbers also being lower, which would negatively impact the U.S. economy and lead to a weaker USD, causing gold to surge further. 📊💡 In the short term, consumer spending in the U.S. is decreasing, but in the long run, these economic figures are positive for the USD (DXY). This could be preparing the stage for a major BIG SHORT in the near future, possibly in June, with the first rate cut by the FED this year. 🏦 Short-Term Strategy: For now, we will prioritize a BUY strategy based on the news and the market's strong momentum. The FOMO BUY (Fear Of Missing Out) is stronger than ever. In the Asian session, we might see a minor pullback to the 317x range, followed by a rally during the European session. I will be looking for BUY entries rather than SELLing at this point. Key Support Levels: 3200 3188 3174 3157 3130 3120 Key Resistance Levels: 3265 3302 Trading Plan: BUY ZONE: Buy Zone: 3175 - 3173 SL (Stop Loss): 3168 TP (Take Profit): 3180 - 3184 - 3188 - 3192 - 3196 - 3200 - Open SELL ZONE: Sell Zone: 3301 - 3303 SL (Stop Loss): 3308 TP (Take Profit): 3296 - 3292 - 3288 - 3284 - 3280 - 3270 - Open Risk Management: Given the significant volatility and unpredictability in gold’s movement, traders should carefully consider their entries before taking a position. Be sure to stick to your TP/SL levels to protect your account and manage risks effectively. 🛡️ Conclusion: Gold’s recent bull run has created a very volatile environment, and while there’s a lot of excitement and momentum, caution is key. Stay vigilant and always prioritize risk management when trading in such volatile conditions. Let’s see how the market moves in the next few days as we wait for critical economic data. What do you think? Are we in a bull trap or just getting started? Share your analysis and thoughts below! 💬👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK Continuation of Bearish Structure Ahead FOMC🟡 GOLD MARKET OUTLOOK – Continuation of Bearish Structure Ahead of FOMC The market continues to follow the bearish view we’ve held since the start of the week. As of today, price action is forming a descending triangle pattern toward the tip on M30–H1, within a compression zone between a declining trendline and a minor rising trendline. 🔍 Zooming out, the broader chart context shows a clear bear flag formation, and I remain biased toward a further drop into the 294x–293x zone in the coming sessions. ⚠️ Tonight’s US session brings the FOMC meeting, which may trigger high volatility and liquidity sweeps toward unfilled zones below current price. Be cautious! 📌 As long as price fails to break above 3075, there’s no confirmed shift in trend. The 307x zone remains a key level for sellers — if unbroken, panic selling may intensify and buyers will remain sidelined. 🧠 Global equities are seeing a light rebound — led by late US session gains and some recovery in Asia & India today — but this seems more like a dead-cat bounce than true capital inflow. → Remember: CPI & PPI data are still due this week, so don’t rush to FOMO. 🧭 Key Technical Zones: 🔺 Resistance: 3026 – 3045 – 3074 🔻 Support: 2974 – 2957 – 2944 – 2930 🎯 Trade Plan: 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3044 – 3046 SL: 3050 TP: 3040 – 3036 – 3032 – 3028 – 3024 – 3020 – 3010 – 3000 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2976 – 2974 SL: 2970 TP: 2980 – 2984 – 2988 – 2992 – 2996 – 3000 💡 The market remains sensitive — stick with the dominant trend and don’t chase emotional trades. Always follow your TP/SL rules and be patient — let the market come to you. Stay safe & trade smart, — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
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