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DXY Building Momentum — "Cash is King" Narrative Returns?📌 DXY is showing clear signs of recovery on the H4 timeframe — and that tells us something deeper: risk sentiment is shifting. Investors are pulling capital from risk-on assets and moving to cash. Yes, "Cash is King" might be making a comeback. 🔍 What’s Driving the Move? As fear ripples through global markets: 📉 Equities are shaky. 🟡 Gold dropped sharply under profit-taking pressure. 🪙 Crypto lacks new capital. Now, capital is rotating back into USD — not necessarily because of strong fundamentals, but due to defensive positioning. 🔺 On the geopolitical side, Trump’s aggressive tariff threats are shaking confidence. As import/export tension rises, the global appetite for USD-denominated assets (especially U.S. bonds) is also climbing. 🧭 Key Technical Levels (4H Chart) Support Zones: 🟦 101.467 – historical structure low 🟦 102.113 – minor intraday demand 🟦 102.660 – neckline & retest zone (key area to hold) Resistance Zones: 🟧 103.803 – consolidation top 🟥 104.506 – key resistance and EMA crossover zone 🟥 105.632 / 106.157 / 106.622 – higher-timeframe targets if momentum continues 🔮 Outlook by AD | Money Market Flow The market is on the edge right now. If U.S. equities fail to bounce and global risk sentiment continues to deteriorate, we could see: ✅ A strong USD breakout ✅ DXY bottoming and reclaiming the 104–106 zone ✅ Major asset correction across risk-on markets (Gold, Stocks, Crypto) “When markets panic, smart money rotates to USD. It’s not bullishness — it’s protection.” — AD | Money Market Flow 🔁 What to Watch: Fed’s next steps (Will they ignore Trump’s tariffs and focus on growth?) Global equity market reactions Bond yields (demand for U.S. debt could rise again) 📌 Stay sharp and follow the money. DXY is giving early signals — don’t ignore the shift. 🧠 Manage risk. Protect capital. Let the market come to you.
TVC:DXYLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sellers Hit Early, But Market Psychology🟡 GOLD WEEKLY OPEN – Sellers Hit Early, But Market Psychology Will Lead the Way Gold kicked off the new week with a sharp drop during the Asian session, falling over 40 points from the previous highs (around 3018) down into the 297x zone. This reflects lingering sell pressure from the previous week’s volume. However, gold quickly bounced back by nearly 40 points, confirming strong buy interest around 297x — a key level on the higher timeframes. 📌 This 297x zone is a critical support on H4/D1. A confirmed break below it could open the door for a deeper sell-off into 295x and beyond. 🔍 Technical Overview: The broader trend on H4 and D1 still leans bullish. However, psychological reactions from market participants are currently stronger than clean technical patterns. On H1 and H2, price is now reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. A close below 3030 could trigger a renewed bearish move toward the 295x target. 🧠 Sentiment Will Drive Direction: So far, only Asian and Australian sessions have participated. We’ll need to monitor the London & US sessions closely to confirm directional conviction. This is a sentiment-led market, not one purely ruled by structure → only trade from key zones with clean reaction signals. 🧭 KEY PRICE LEVELS: 🔺 Resistance: 3055 – 3076 – 3107 🔻 Support: 3024 – 3005 – 2970 – 2952 🎯 TRADE PLAN 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2980 – 2978 SL: 2974 TP: 2984 – 2988 – 2992 – 2996 – 3000 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3076 – 3078 SL: 3082 TP: 3072 – 3068 – 3064 – 3060 – 3056 – 3050 📅 Important this week: Major data coming: CPI – PPI – FOMC Speeches → Expect potential spikes midweek. Stay alert, and I’ll update key reaction zones as the sessions unfold. Stick to clear plans and always use TP/SL — capital protection comes first. Good luck team, — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD Holding Above $3,050 – Breakout or Pullback Next?XAU/USD Update 📊 Gold just touched $3,061 and is now hovering around $3,056. Price is holding within the ascending channel, showing signs of consolidation. 🟢 Bullish Scenario: If buyers defend this level, we could see another push toward $3,100+, with $3,153 still in play as a key resistance. 🔴 Bearish Risk: A break below $3,050 - $3,020 could trigger a deeper correction toward $2,980, where stronger demand may step in. 📉 Watching price action closely—let’s see how it reacts from here! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
GOLD CRASHES HARD — BUT THE BIG SHORT VIEW WAS ALREADY 🟡 GOLD CRASHES HARD — BUT THE BIG SHORT VIEW WAS ALREADY IN PLAY Gold dropped — and dropped even harder than expected. But for those following closely, this wasn’t a surprise. From the start of April, we had been watching for signs of reversal after gold kept printing new ATHs. The candlestick behavior on the higher timeframes was already hinting at exhaustion — and today’s move validated that broader view. 🔍 Why I’ve Been Calling for a BIG SHORT — Not Just in Gold This isn’t just about XAUUSD. Zoom out and you’ll see the signs across the board: US, EU, and Asian stock markets are in a steep decline Crypto is stagnant, with no new capital inflow and little investor interest And gold — after a historic run — is now facing intense profit-taking pressure, especially under growing geopolitical and global trade risks In this environment, many investors are moving to cash and staying on the sidelines. 📉 DXY: A Potential Comeback? The USD Index (DXY) has been heavily sold off in recent months. But if you look closely — it's now testing a multi-year support zone that's held strong for nearly 3 years. AD’s view? If this level holds — and if recent tariff policies + international pressure from Trump continue — we could see a real USD recovery in the coming weeks. Trump appears to be playing hardball — not just for his own benefit, but strategically for the U.S. His aggressive trade moves are forcing nations to reconsider tariff terms. And in the short term, that puts Trump in a position of power — globally. 🤔 The Fed’s Dilemma Even as Trump escalates trade pressure, the Fed remains cautious. They’ve held back from rate cuts — waiting for clearer outcomes from these global negotiations. All eyes are now on Trump’s next moves — and how other major economies will respond. 🔮 Strategy Moving Forward Many investors are still in risk-off mode, hoarding cash and waiting for further declines. AD still expects further downside in gold next week, alongside a potential short-term bounce in DXY. → After that, once the trade talk dust settles, we could very well see Gold resume its climb, while USD retests major supports on the D1 timeframe. 📌 I’ll be back with a full weekly outlook tomorrow, but for now — absorb this Gold/USD landscape and build your strategy for the new week. Stay sharp & protect your capital. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
USD/JPY BREAKS DOWN USD/JPY BREAKS DOWN – SAFE HAVEN YEN STRENGTHENS AS GLOBAL MARKETS REACT After the latest U.S. tariff announcement, global financial markets went into risk-off mode, with U.S. Treasury yields dropping sharply. As investor fear rises, money quickly rotates into safe-haven assets — and the Japanese Yen is taking the spotlight. 🔻 USD/JPY just hit its lowest level in over 3 weeks, reflecting both global sentiment shifts and domestic tailwinds for the Yen. 🔍 What's Fueling Yen Strength? Risk-off sentiment: Global equities declined after the U.S. tariff update. Investors are fleeing risky assets, favoring traditional safe havens like the Yen. Yield dynamics: U.S. bond yields fell, dragging the dollar down. If the Fed begins cutting rates to counteract trade impacts, it would further narrow the U.S.–Japan yield gap, supporting JPY. BoJ policy outlook turning hawkish: With inflation on the rise, expectations are growing that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may continue rate hikes, reinforcing the Yen’s appeal. Japan’s political stance: Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced intentions to revisit tariff policy negotiations with the U.S., potentially shaping Japan’s economic roadmap and investor confidence. 📈 Market Outlook: If trade tensions persist and the Fed moves toward rate cuts, we could see further downside on USD/JPY, with JPY demand accelerating in both fundamental and technical terms. This setup offers key opportunities for traders watching: Safe-haven flow dynamics Central bank divergence (Fed vs BoJ) Potential macro breakout zones on JPY crosses 💬 What’s your view on USD/JPY heading into the next Fed and BoJ meetings? Drop a comment and let’s discuss the bias! ✍️ Follow @MoneyMarketFlow for daily macro + technical insights across majors and metals.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
TRADE WAR STORM BREWING – IS A GLOBAL BIGSHORT COMING?🚨 TRADE WAR STORM BREWING – IS A GLOBAL BIGSHORT COMING? In the past 24 hours, global financial markets have been rocked by the shock announcement of Trump’s aggressive global tariff policy. This isn’t just a geopolitical maneuver — it’s a potential trigger for massive systemic volatility, affecting everything from U.S. equities to Gold, DXY, crypto, and major global indices in Asia and Europe. 🔍 What Just Happened? We saw Gold crash over 100 points, a move that caught many traders off guard. Under normal circumstances, a weakening USD would be bullish for Gold. But here’s the twist: the Dollar also dropped sharply, yet Gold was still aggressively sold off. Why? 👉 A plausible explanation is that major funds and investors liquidated their Gold positions to cover equity losses or to meet margin calls from collapsing positions across other markets. This is no ordinary move — it may well be the beginning of a “BIGSHORT” phase across global assets. 🧨 This Is Just the Beginning The market reaction suggests that we are not in a routine correction. Instead, we may be witnessing the early stages of a coordinated risk-off movement — one sparked by fears of a new global trade war with far-reaching implications. Tariffs on aluminum, steel, manufacturing goods, and industrial inputs have already disrupted entire supply chains. Industry-specific disruptions (e.g. construction, healthcare, utilities, wholesale) are beginning to show — this is not a drill. 📉 U.S. Macro Data Is Getting Worse The headline inflation data in the U.S. continues to fall, but other economic indicators are flashing red: ISM Services PMI (Mar): 50.8 (vs. 53.0 expected) Employment: 46.2 (prev: 53.9) — a sharp drop New Orders: 50.4 Export Orders & Backlogs: Both declined significantly 👉 The ISM Services sector represents more than 70% of U.S. GDP. A reading this weak suggests that the U.S. economy may be slowing faster than expected. 🧠 Market Sentiment Is Shaky Fear is back. And worse: FOMO and panic are driving decisions, not logic. Retail and institutional traders alike are struggling to digest the overlapping risks: tariffs, inflation uncertainty, interest rates, and recession fears. Tonight brings another major catalyst: 📆 Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) — a key employment report that could reinforce or break the current narrative. 🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Earlier Than Expected? Here’s what markets are now pricing in: Rate cuts may start as early as May or June 2025 Probabilities have risen for 2–4 rate cuts this year, compared to 2 cuts expected previously Odds of a summer pivot are now well above 50% If the Fed sees continued weakness in labor and services, it may have no choice but to cut earlier — regardless of inflation progress. ⚠️ Strategic Takeaway: Watch, Don’t Chase Before looking for entries, take a breath. This is a time when doing nothing might be the smartest trade. “Sometimes, staying on the sidelines is how you survive the storm.” Let the volatility play out — and prepare for high-probability setups, not emotional trades. 📊 TECHNICAL LEVELS TO WATCH 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167 🔻 Support Levels: 3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054 SL: 3050 TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150 SL: 3154 TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120 💬 Final Thoughts The combination of geopolitical tariffs, recession fears, and Fed policy uncertainty has created a perfect storm across global markets. We’re entering a phase where any careless trade can wipe out weeks of progress. Be cautious. Stay informed. Wait for clarity before going big. 📌 As for Gold: Are we seeing just a pullback — or is this the calm before an ATH breakout? Stay sharp. Set clear SL/TP. Follow the macro, respect the chart — and most importantly, don’t trade scared. 🧠 Patience is profit. Let the market come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold (XAU/USD) : Bullish Setup with Key Demand Zone🔹 Trend Line & Demand Zone 📈 * The trend line shows an upward trend. 🚀 * The demand zone 🟦 acts as strong support, where buyers are likely to step in. 🔹 Price Action 🔍 * Price is bouncing off the demand zone ➡️ Bullish Signal 📊🔥 * Higher lows forming, indicating potential upward momentum. 🔹 Trade Setup 🎯 ✅ Entry Point: Near the demand zone 🟦 ❌ Stop Loss: 🔽 3,099.26 (Below demand zone) 🎯 Target Point: ⬆️ 3,148.58 (Key resistance area) 🔹 Expected Movement 🏆 * A slight pullback 📉 before a strong push up 📈💪 * If price holds the demand zone, 🚀 potential rally ahead! 🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio ⚖️ * Favorable trade setup ✅ High reward, controlled risk 🎯 🔹 Final Verdict 🔥 📊 Bullish Bias ✅ As long as demand zone holds! 🚨 Warning: If price breaks below 3,099.26, expect further downside!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Jameshead007
1
GOLD ANALYSIS – NEW ATH AFTER TRADE TARIFF SHOCK!📊 GOLD ANALYSIS – NEW ATH AFTER TRADE TARIFF SHOCK! Former U.S. President Donald Trump has officially announced a comprehensive global tariff policy, targeting multiple countries and regions. This unexpected move triggered strong risk-off sentiment, resulting in: 📉 Massive asset sell-offs 💵 A sharp decline in USD strength 🪙 And another all-time high (ATH) for GOLD Gold broke out aggressively from a long-standing sideways triangle pattern, confirming strong bullish momentum. The counter-tariff reactions from other countries were far more aggressive than forecast, further fueling gold’s safe-haven appeal. 🔍 Technical Perspective Yesterday, we successfully identified and traded within the triangle pattern by connecting recent highs and lows. The breakout came exactly as expected, especially nearing the end of the consolidation range — a classic price behavior traders should always watch for! Now that the breakout has occurred, our focus shifts to BUYING on a retest of the breakout zone. Early entries during the Asian and European sessions are preferred, while we’ll reassess during the U.S. session due to upcoming economic data. 🔔 Note: With major events like Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) coming soon, stay alert for volatility and unexpected moves. 📌 Key Resistance Levels: 3167 (ATH) - 3175 - 3185 - 3198 - 3206 (psychological/Fibonacci extensions – wait for candle confirmation) 📌 Key Support Levels: 3140 - 3132 - 3120 🎯 Trade Setups BUY ZONE: 3132 – 3130 Stop Loss: 3126 Take Profits: 3136 – 3140 – 3144 – 3148 – 3152 – 3156 – 3160 SELL ZONE: 3185 – 3187 Stop Loss: 3191 Take Profits: 3180 – 3176 – 3172 – 3168 – 3160 ⚠️ Final Notes: The uptrend is clearly dominant — no need to FOMO sell at current highs. Be patient, wait for the market to reach key resistance zones (psychological or Fibonacci-based), then reassess. 📌 Avoid overtrading or aggressive selling — the tariff announcement is a global macro driver with deep market impact. We’ll wait for Friday’s NFP to reassess broader sentiment. As always: Respect your TP/SL levels to protect your capital. Stay safe & trade smart! 💼📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD MARKET – Early Asian Spike Meets Resistance Ahead of ADP🟡 GOLD MARKET UPDATE – Early Asian Spike Meets Resistance Ahead of ADP Gold saw a strong early move during the Asian session, rallying back into the 313x zone — largely supported by consistent buying flow from Asian and Middle Eastern investors, as seen in the bullish momentum early in recent Asian sessions. However, price quickly reacted to the key resistance zone at 3130–3135, which was highlighted in yesterday’s plan. With selling pressure reappearing at this level, my view remains to look for sell setups in both the Asian and London sessions if price retraces upward again. 📉 Technical Structure: Gold is approaching the tip of a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting an imminent breakout. → As always: wait for the breakout, then trade the retest in the breakout direction. 📰 Fundamental Watch: All eyes will be on tonight’s ADP Non-Farm Employment data from the U.S. Expectations are fairly optimistic — if the data comes in near or better than forecast, this could strengthen the USD and push gold lower, aligning with my bearish view toward the 308x–307x target zone. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Resistance: 3128 – 3135 – 3142 – 3148 🔻 Support: 3110 – 3100 – 3080 – 3070 🎯 Trade Setup: 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3102 – 3100 SL: 3096 TP: 3106 – 3110 – 3114 – 3118 – 3122 – 3126 – 3130 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150 SL: 3154 TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120 📌 Caution: Watch out for increased volatility during the US session with ADP release. In Asia and Europe, stick to the technical zones above and always manage your TP/SL properly to protect your capital. Good luck, stay sharp. — AD | Money Market Flow
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Option and Database tradingTo study an option chain, focus on the current market price, displayed in the centre. Analyse the built-up data to understand market direction based on recent changes in open interest and price. ITM call options are typically highlighted in yellow, making it easier to distinguish them from other options. The put-call ratio measures trading volume using put options versus call options. Instead of the absolute value of the put-call ratio, the changes in its value indicate a change in overall market sentiment.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Gold Kicks Off April with a New ATH – Bulls Remain in Control Gold continued its explosive rally during the early Asian session today, printing yet another All-Time High (ATH) after retesting the 3,12x zone overnight. The U.S. stock market reversed sharply higher in the New York session, and if this bullish momentum continues, gold could see a short-term pullback near current resistance before heading higher again. However, if equities fail to hold and roll over, gold may push further into uncharted territory, eyeing extended targets around 315x – 317x. 📰 Macro Focus: Investors seem to have interpreted Trump’s latest trade stance as more "measured" than previously feared. In his latest comments, he signaled that “tariffs may play a smaller role in the overall economic strategy.” This has calmed markets slightly but hasn’t slowed down the gold rush. 📈 Price Action & Outlook: With current momentum and sentiment, gold still looks likely to print fresh ATHs this week. The next major upside target sits around 316x – 318x, where we may finally see a significant pullback as FOMO cools down. For now, watch the 312x – 311x zones for potential short setups at local resistance — as marked in AD’s key levels. 🧭 Key Technical Levels: 🔻 Support: 3133 – 3122 – 3111 – 3100 🔺 Resistance: 3158 – 3166 – 3172 – 3180 🎯 Trade Zones: 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3122 – 3120 SL: 3116 TP: 3126 – 3130 – 3134 – 3138 – 3142 – 3146 – 3150 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3170 – 3172 SL: 3176 TP: 3166 – 3162 – 3158 – 3152 – 3148 – 3144 – 3140 📊 What to Watch Today: Investors will be closely watching ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS Job Openings during the US session — expect volatility spikes. As gold hovers near new ATHs, stay disciplined: ✅ Respect SL/TP ✅ Manage risk according to your account size ✅ Don’t get caught up in emotional trades Wishing you a powerful and profitable start to the new month. Let’s flow smart. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
GOLD SURGE CONTINUES – FEAR, WAR & END-OF-MONTH VOLATILITYGold opened this week with a strong upside gap, once again reminding us of how unpredictable Mondays can be following highly volatile weekends. As always, when the market gaps significantly after the weekend, it's best to wait for price to absorb the remaining volume before locking into new setups. As mentioned in previous outlooks, the current BUY pressure is still high, driven by a global wave of FOMO and fear, caused by: Rising geopolitical tensions, Global economic instability, And even natural disasters now hitting parts of Asia. Asian stock markets dropped sharply this morning after weekend developments escalated — with the Russia–Ukraine war showing no signs of de-escalation. In fact, new reports suggest a broader regional impact, further boosting risk-off sentiment. 💡 Safe Haven Flows Are Back in Full Force Right now, gold is the #1 asset investors are paying attention to. It's being treated as the ultimate flight-to-safety amid global panic and uncertainty. And with this momentum, new ATHs may still be ahead. 📅 End-of-Month Candle Close – Expect Whipsaws Today also marks the final trading day of the month, meaning we could see aggressive stop hunts and liquidity sweeps as large players look to close their monthly books. ➡️ Be extra cautious today — sharp moves up or down may occur due to end-of-month positioning. Whether BUY or SELL, it’s best to trade tight, scalp smart, and respect your SL/TP. Key Levels for 01/04: 🔺 Resistance: 3116 – 3132 🔻 Support: 3092 – 3085 – 3076 – 3066 🎯 Trade Plan: SELL ZONE: 3130 – 3132 SL: 3136 TP: 3125 – 3120 – 3115 – 3110 – 3105 – 3100 BUY ZONE: 3066 – 3064 SL: 3060 TP: 3070 – 3075 – 3080 – 3085 – 3090 – 3095 – 3100 Stay sharp and trade with discipline. End-of-month volatility is not for the weak hands. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading