WEEKLY GOLD OUTLOOK – BIG PICTURE VIEW FOR THE HOMIES!🔍 Let’s take a quick look at Gold on the higher timeframes (W1 & D1) —
The weekly and daily candles are showing long upper wicks, indicating strong rejections from the highs due to last Friday’s correction.
📉 Gold dropped more than 50 points toward the end of the week, but later bounced back with a late-session recovery.
Looking at the W1 and D1 candles, there are early signs of a possible reversal, but momentum still seems not strong enough, as prices retraced over 20 points into the close, making the candle bodies close above 50% of the full D1/W1 range.
🧭 From AD’s perspective, price has now reacted at the all-time high zone, and we need to wait for Monday to confirm whether the bulls can push higher again — only then can we establish a full directional bias for the upcoming week.
We're now stepping back to get a broader view of price action and macro sentiment, reviewing all the latest news & market developments before entering the final week of the month...
📈 Current View from AD:
Gold is still moving inside its main bullish channel on the higher timeframes. However, in order for a true reversal to form, strong selling pressure must come in, triggering larger volumes and pushing price down into low-liquidity zones.
That said, buyers stepped back in near the weekly close, so we’ll need to closely watch:
Possible weekend gaps
Price action around the Sunday night open
This will help us determine the most accurate direction heading into Monday.
⚠️ There’s a chance we’ll see another drop, as this current bullish retracement is reaching the 0.5 – 0.618 zones on H1 and H2.
But like AD said, the real story unfolds on Monday once the leftover weekend volume gets absorbed and clean market structure reveals itself.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3025 – 3033 – 3040 – 3046 – 3056
Support: 3014 – 3005 – 3000 – 2993 – 2986
📊 Based on the MA indicators AD uses, short-term moving averages are starting to cross over mid- and long-term MAs, indicating a potential major trend shift on higher timeframes.
💡 If this structure holds into early next week, we might get early SELL opportunities, so stay alert and stick close to candle structure.
📍AD has already marked the key levels on the chart —
These are high-probability zones for entry or breakout traps, so don’t miss out on golden opportunities. Save them. Watch them.
💬 Wishing everyone a warm and joyful weekend with your family and loved ones.
AD will drop a post tomorrow on market psychology — if you’re interested, drop a boost and leave a comment!
GOOD WEEKEND HOMIES! 💛
Analysis
Gold Analysis -MMF- Profit-Taking Signals Opportunity🚀 Critical Levels Today! 📊
✅ Yesterday’s Recap: Our previous analysis hit around 90% accuracy 🎯, with gold responding perfectly at historical highs, prompting traders to book profits early in the European session. The bearish momentum is continuing into today's Asian session. 📉
📌 Market Sentiment:
Profit-taking is the primary driver at these historic highs. Investors are carefully eyeing lower liquidity zones for re-entry, positioning themselves strategically for future gains as global economies lean towards rate-cut cycles and an era of cheaper money. Historically, such cycles strongly favor gold prices. 🌟💰
📌 Technical View:
Technical signals align closely with fundamentals: reversal signals at recent highs are mild, suggesting cautious profit-taking rather than aggressive short-selling. Gold traders are merely scouting temporary peaks cautiously, not heavily bearish yet. ⚠️🔍
📉 Critical Levels:
🛑 Resistance: 3038 | 3046 | 3056 | 3070
🟢 Support: 3030 | 3025 | 3014 | 3005
Currently, gold has broken the bullish H1 channel, testing immediate support at 3025. A strong breakdown below this level could trigger deeper bearish moves, especially today—Friday volatility could drive intense movements targeting lower liquidity zones. 🔻🔥
🎯 Strategic Trading Zones:
🚨 BUY ZONE: 📈
Entry: 3006 - 3004
Stop Loss (SL): 3000 🛡️
Take Profit (TP): 3010 | 3015 | 3020 | 3025 | 3030 🎯
🚨 SELL ZONE: 📉
Entry: 3056 - 3058
Stop Loss (SL): 3062 🛡️
Take Profit (TP): 3052 | 3048 | 3044 | 3040 | 3035 | 3030 🎯
⚡ Today’s Action Plan:
Focus closely on Asian & European sessions. Updates will be provided ahead of the US session, anticipating high volatility and profit-booking activities. Stay disciplined, strictly adhere to your TP & SL to protect your account! 🙌💼
Advanced Technical Analysis 'Support' and 'resistance' are terms for two respective levels on a price chart that appear to limit the market's range of movement. The support level is where the price regularly stops falling and bounces back up, while the resistance level is where the price normally stops rising and dips back down.
Support is a price point below the current market price that indicate buying interest. Resistance is a price point above the current market price that indicate selling interest. S&R can be used to identify targets for the trade. For a long trade, look for the immediate resistance level as the target.
Advanced Candlesticks Part -2Candlestick patterns provide insight into price action at a glance. While the basic candlestick patterns may provide some insight into what the market is thinking, these simpler patterns often generate false signals because they are so common. Below, we will look at more advanced candlestick patterns that offer a higher degree of reliability.
The Tweezer Top candlestick pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that signals a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend, characterized by two consecutive candlesticks with nearly identical highs, suggesting buyers are losing control and sellers are gaining ground.
Technical Analysis Advanced candlesticks These advanced candlesticks are associated with strong price moves, and often gaps, which cause sharp shifts in direction. Traders can participate by noticing these patterns and acting quickly to get in as the price moves in the new direction. Candlestick patterns do not have price targets, which means traders shouldn't get greedy.
GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Plan: Will Gold Break $3100? 🚀Published by MMFlowTrading on March 20, 2025
Overview 📊
Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong uptrend on the H1 timeframe, with price action moving within a clear ascending channel 📈. The recent breakout above the $3000 psychological level signals robust bullish momentum 💪. However, key resistance levels are approaching, and upcoming economic events might influence the next move. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental factors to craft today’s trading plan! 🧠
Technical Analysis 🔍
Ascending Channel:
Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel (highlighted in orange on the chart) 📉📈. The price has respected both the upper and lower boundaries, indicating a healthy uptrend. Currently, the price is near the upper channel resistance at $3070.612 🚧.
Key Resistance Levels (VPOC High):
The nearest resistance is at $3070.612, a high-volume node (VPOC) where sellers might step in 🛑.
If this level is broken, the next targets are $3081.053 and $3097.774, with a potential push toward the psychological $3100 mark 🎯.
Key Support Levels:
The closest support is at $3031.774, aligning with the lower channel boundary and a previous VPOC level 🛡.
A deeper pullback could test $3024.254 or even $3017.197, where buyers previously stepped in (marked by yellow circles on the chart) 📍.
Additional Key Levels:
Resistance: $3054 - $3061 - $3070 🚧
Support: $3044 - $3038 - $3031 - $3026 🛡
Fundamental Analysis 🌍
US Dollar Strength:
Gold has an inverse relationship with the USD 💱. On March 20, 2025, the market is awaiting the US Jobless Claims data and Fed speeches, which could impact the USD 📅. If the data indicates a weaker US economy, the USD might weaken, supporting Gold’s rally toward $3100 🚀.
Geopolitical Tensions:
Ongoing global uncertainties (e.g., Middle East tensions, US-China trade talks) continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like Gold 🛡. This fundamental factor supports the bullish bias in the short term.
Interest Rates:
The Fed’s recent dovish stance on interest rates (as of early 2025) has reduced the opportunity cost of holding Gold, further fueling its uptrend 📉.
Trading Plan 📝
Buy Setup (BUY ZONE: $3032 - $3030) 🟢
Stop Loss (SL): $3026 ⛔️.
Take Profit (TP): $3038 - $3042 - $3046 - $3050 - $3060
Sell Setup (SELL ZONE: $3069 - $3071) 🔴
⛔️Stop Loss (SL): $3075
Take Profit (TP): $3065 - $3060 - $3055 - $3050
Market Note ⚠️
The market has been hitting all-time highs (ATH) after the FOMC storm early this morning 🌪. Traders, please stay cautious and strictly follow your TP/SL to keep your accounts safe! 🛡💡
Conclusion 🏁
Gold is at a critical juncture near $3070. A breakout above this level could pave the way to $3100, driven by strong technicals and supportive fundamentals 🚀. Alternatively, a rejection might lead to a pullback to the $3032 - $3030 buy zone. Stay disciplined and trade smart! 💪
What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 For more daily trading ideas, follow me on TradingView
XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone?📊 XAU/USD (Gold) 1H Analysis – Bullish Continuation Setup
🔹 Market Structure: Gold has been in a strong uptrend, with price currently consolidating near a key demand zone.
🔹 Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance: $3,050 - $3,060 (Potential target)
🟣 Demand Zone: $3,030 - $3,035 (Support area)
🟠 Deeper Support: $3,025 (Break below weakens bullish bias)
📈 Potential Trade Setup:
1️⃣ A possible pullback into the demand zone could attract buyers.
2️⃣ Price may wick below liquidity before reversing.
3️⃣ If support holds, we anticipate a move toward $3,050+.
✅ Entry Zone: $3,030 - $3,035
🎯 Target: $3,050 - $3,060
🚨 Stop Loss: Below $3,025
⚠️ Watch for price action confirmation before entering. A strong bullish candle from support could signal entry. Let the market show its hand! 🚀✨
XAUUSD Analysis: Bearish Reversal with Potential for Liquidity📉 XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) Analysis - 3H Chart
🌟 Shooting Star Pattern Detected: The market has formed a shooting star, a bearish reversal candlestick, signaling potential weakness at the top.
📍 Key Resistance Zone (Purple Box): Price action has been rejected from this area, showing strong selling pressure.
🔍 If Break Scenario: Should the price break below the 2,949 support zone (🔵), we can expect a bearish drop 📉 with potential liquidity grab before a pullback for a new all-time high (ATH) 🚀.
🧐 Market Sentiment: Bearish bias for now, but watch for a potential reversal after liquidity is swept.
✅ Trader's Tip: Wait for a clean break and retest before entering a short position. 🎯
XAU/USD Bullish Outlook: Wyckoff Accumulation & Breakout PotentXAU/USD (Gold) - 2H Chart Analysis 🏆📈
🔹 Wyckoff Structure Insight
The chart shows signs of a Wyckoff Accumulation phase.
UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution) at the previous highs suggests a liquidity grab.
Test of the resistance level before a strong rejection downward.
SOW (Sign of Weakness) was observed, but buyers regained control.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
Fair Value Range marked below, showing a potential area of demand.
Unfilled Imbalance (EMB unfilled) signals an area where price might revisit before continuing upward.
Gap below indicates a previous liquidity sweep before the bullish reversal.
🔹 Trend & Price Action
Current price action is showing higher lows and bullish structure development.
Projected bullish move 📈 is expected to test the $2,940+ region.
🔹 Trading Bias: Bullish ✅
A retracement to the EMA or minor pullback could offer re-entry opportunities.
Invalidation level: Below $2,900, where momentum could shift bearish.
🚀 Gold remains strong; watch for breakouts above $2,940!
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Rejection – Bearish Move Incoming?📉 Key Observations:
Resistance Zone (Purple Box): Price has tested this area and faced rejection.
Bearish Projection (Gray Box & Arrow): The chart anticipates a drop towards the $76,800 - $77,000 range.
Liquidity Grab? Price might consolidate before a sharp decline.
⚠️ Possible Scenarios:
Rejection Confirmation 🔻: If BTC fails to reclaim $84,470, selling pressure could increase.
Breakout Fakeout? 🤔: A deviation above resistance followed by a dump remains a risk.
🎯 Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $84,470 - $85,078
Support: $80,000 and $76,825
🔥 Final Take: If BTC struggles below resistance, a short setup could play out. Confirmation is key!
XAG/USD (Silver) 4H Chart Analysis – Bearish Setup📉 XAG/USD (Silver) 4H Chart Analysis – Bearish Setup 🚨
🔍 Key Observations:
Supply Zone (POI - Point of Interest) 🟪: The price is approaching a strong resistance area around $33.23 - $33.50.
Liquidity Grab (LQ) & Rejection Expected ❌: The previous major liquidity zone (LQ) suggests a possible fake breakout or rejection.
Bearish Projection ⬇️: The chart outlines a potential reversal after reaching resistance, leading to a drop towards $31.00 - $30.50.
📌 Trading Plan:
Short Entry 🎯: Around $33.20 - $33.50 (if price rejects this area).
Target 🎯: Major demand zone at $31.00.
Stop Loss 🚨: Above $33.60 (to avoid fakeouts).
Confirmation Needed 📊: Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing, wicks, or double top formations).
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
Bearish Bias ⚠️ unless price breaks and holds above $33.50.
Monitor market conditions 🧐—news and fundamentals could shift momentum.
🔥 Trade smart! What do you think?
Database Trading# **Database Trading**
Database trading leverages **historical market data, AI, and quantitative analysis** to identify high-probability trade setups.
✅ **Data-Driven Approach:** Uses past price action, volume, and indicators.
✅ **Backtesting & Optimization:** Tests strategies on historical data for accuracy.
✅ **Automated Execution:** Uses algorithms for fast, precise trading decisions.
### **Conclusion**
This method enhances **consistency, precision, and risk management**, making trading more systematic and efficient. 🚀
advanced option chain pcr# **Advanced Option Chain PCR**
The **Put-Call Ratio (PCR)** from the option chain helps analyze market sentiment and potential reversals.
✅ **High PCR (>1.3):** Excessive put buying → **Contrarian bullish signal**.
✅ **Low PCR (<0.7):** Excessive call buying → **Contrarian bearish signal**.
✅ **Neutral PCR (0.7 - 1.3):** Market in equilibrium → Watch for breakouts.
### **Advanced Strategies**
✅ **PCR with Open Interest (OI):** High OI + extreme PCR = **stronger trend confirmation**.
✅ **PCR Divergence:** If the market rises but PCR increases → **Weak rally signal**.
✅ **Intraday PCR Shifts:** Sudden changes indicate **smart money activity**.
### **Conclusion**
Advanced **option chain PCR** helps traders **gauge market sentiment, confirm trends, and refine entry-exit points** for better trading decisions. 🚀
advanced level pcr trading# **Advanced PCR Trading**
Put-Call Ratio (**PCR**) helps traders gauge **market sentiment and reversals** by analyzing option volumes.
✅ **High PCR (>1):** More puts than calls → **Bearish sentiment** (possible reversal up).
✅ **Low PCR (<0.5):** More calls than puts → **Bullish sentiment** (possible reversal down).
✅ **Neutral PCR (0.5 - 1):** Market indecisive → Watch for breakouts.
### **Advanced PCR Strategies**
✅ **Trend Confirmation:** Use with **support & resistance** for accuracy.
✅ **Divergence Analysis:** If price rises but PCR increases, **weak rally signal**.
✅ **PCR with Open Interest (OI):** High OI + PCR extremes = **stronger trend signals**.
### **Conclusion**
Advanced PCR trading helps **spot reversals, confirm trends, and refine market timing** for better decision-making. 🚀
support and resistance part 2# **Database Trading**
Database trading uses **historical data, AI, and algorithms** to find high-probability trades. It removes emotions, making trading systematic.
✅ **Data-Driven:** Uses price action, volume, and indicators.
✅ **Backtesting:** Tests strategies on past data for accuracy.
✅ **Automation:** Executes trades efficiently with algorithms.
### **Conclusion**
This method enhances **consistency, precision, and risk management**, making it ideal for modern traders. 🚀
support and resistance part 1# **Support and Resistance (Part 1)**
Support and resistance are **key price levels** where buying or selling pressure is strong, influencing market movements.
## **1️⃣ Understanding Support & Resistance**
✅ **Support:** A price level where demand increases, preventing further decline.
✅ **Resistance:** A price level where selling pressure increases, stopping further rise.
## **2️⃣ Why Are They Important?**
✅ **Trend Reversals:** Price often bounces from these levels.
✅ **Breakouts & Retests:** A break of resistance turns it into support and vice versa.
✅ **High-Probability Trade Entries:** Used for setting stop-loss & profit targets.
### **Conclusion**
Mastering support and resistance helps traders **identify trend changes, entry points, and risk management levels**, making it a crucial trading tool. 🚀
overview of financial markets# **Overview of Financial Markets**
Financial markets facilitate the **buying, selling, and exchange of financial assets**, driving economic growth and investment opportunities.
## **1️⃣ Types of Financial Markets**
✅ **Stock Market:** Trading of company shares (e.g., NSE, BSE).
✅ **Bond Market:** Governments & corporations issue debt securities.
✅ **Forex Market:** Global currency trading with high liquidity.
✅ **Commodities Market:** Gold, oil, and agricultural products.
✅ **Derivatives Market:** Futures & options for hedging and speculation.
## **2️⃣ Key Functions**
✅ **Capital Formation:** Helps businesses raise funds.
✅ **Liquidity:** Ensures smooth asset transactions.
✅ **Risk Management:** Hedging through derivatives.
### **Conclusion**
Financial markets play a **crucial role in wealth creation, economic stability, and investment diversification**, making them essential for traders and investors. 🚀
divergence secrets of RSI# **Divergence Secrets of RSI**
RSI divergence helps traders identify **hidden market momentum shifts** before price movements occur, making it a powerful tool for **reversals and trend continuations**.
## **1️⃣ Types of RSI Divergence**
✅ **Regular Divergence (Reversal Signal):**
🔹 **Bullish:** Price ↓, RSI ↑ → **Trend reversal upward**.
🔹 **Bearish:** Price ↑, RSI ↓ → **Trend reversal downward**.
✅ **Hidden Divergence (Trend Continuation):**
🔹 **Bullish:** Price ↑, RSI ↓ → **Trend continuation up**.
🔹 **Bearish:** Price ↓, RSI ↑ → **Trend continuation down**.
## **2️⃣ Advanced RSI Divergence Trading**
✅ **Multi-Timeframe Analysis:** Stronger signals when confirmed across different timeframes.
✅ **Volume Confirmation:** Divergence + high volume = stronger trade setups.
✅ **Support & Resistance Zones:** Combine RSI divergence with key levels for precise entries.
### **Conclusion**
RSI divergence is a **highly effective strategy** for spotting early trend reversals and continuations, improving trade accuracy and risk management. 🚀
Lecture for option trader# **Lecture for Option Traders**
Options trading provides **flexibility, leverage, and risk management**, making it ideal for traders seeking strategic market exposure.
## **1️⃣ Understanding Option Basics**
✅ **Call Options:** Right to **buy** at a fixed price (bullish).
✅ **Put Options:** Right to **sell** at a fixed price (bearish).
✅ **Strike Price & Expiry:** Determines profitability based on market movement.
## **2️⃣ Key Option Trading Strategies**
✅ **Directional Strategies:** Buying calls/puts based on market trends.
✅ **Hedging Strategies:** Using options to protect against losses (e.g., protective put).
✅ **Income Strategies:** Writing covered calls or selling cash-secured puts for steady returns.
## **3️⃣ Advanced Concepts**
✅ **Implied Volatility (IV):** Affects option pricing & premiums.
✅ **Option Greeks:** Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega help manage risk & profitability.
### **Conclusion**
Mastering **option strategies, risk management, and market analysis** helps traders enhance returns and minimize losses effectively. 🚀
Database Trading# **Database Trading**
**Database Trading** is a strategy that uses **historical market data, quantitative analysis, and AI-driven algorithms** to identify high-probability trading opportunities.
## **1️⃣ Key Concepts**
✅ **Data-Driven Decision Making:** Trades based on **past price patterns, volume, and indicators**.
✅ **Backtesting & Optimization:** Analyzing historical performance to refine strategies.
✅ **Algorithmic Execution:** Automating trades for efficiency and accuracy.
## **2️⃣ How to Trade Using Database Methods**
✅ **Pattern Recognition:** Identifying recurring market behaviors.
✅ **Statistical Edge:** Using probability-based models for trade entries.
✅ **Risk Management:** Adjusting position sizing based on past volatility trends.
### **Conclusion**
Database trading helps traders **eliminate emotions, improve accuracy, and develop systematic trading strategies**, making it a powerful approach in modern markets. 🚀
what is RSI and how to use it ?# **What is RSI and How to Use It?**
The **Relative Strength Index (RSI)** is a momentum indicator that measures the **speed and change of price movements**, helping traders identify **overbought and oversold conditions**.
## **1️⃣ RSI Levels & Interpretation**
✅ **Above 70:** Overbought → Possible **reversal or correction**.
✅ **Below 30:** Oversold → Possible **bounce or trend reversal**.
✅ **50 Level:** Midpoint indicating trend strength (above 50 = bullish, below 50 = bearish).
## **2️⃣ How to Use RSI in Trading**
✅ **Overbought & Oversold Trading:** Look for reversals near **70 or 30**.
✅ **Divergence Trading:**
🔹 **Bullish Divergence:** Price ↓, RSI ↑ → **Buy signal**.
🔹 **Bearish Divergence:** Price ↑, RSI ↓ → **Sell signal**.
✅ **RSI Trend Confirmation:** Use with **support-resistance and moving averages** for accuracy.
### **Conclusion**
RSI helps traders **spot trend reversals, confirm momentum, and refine trade entries**, making it a valuable tool for market analysis. 🚀
Option trading# **Option Trading**
**Options trading** allows traders to speculate on price movements or hedge risks using **call and put contracts**. It provides leverage and flexibility with controlled risk.
## **1️⃣ Key Option Types**
✅ **Call Option:** Right to **buy** an asset at a fixed price.
✅ **Put Option:** Right to **sell** an asset at a fixed price.
## **2️⃣ Option Trading Strategies**
✅ **Buying Calls/Puts:** Directional trades based on market movement.
✅ **Covered Call:** Selling a call against owned shares for premium income.
✅ **Iron Condor:** Profit from low volatility with limited risk.
### **Conclusion**
Options trading helps traders **maximize profits, hedge risks, and trade with leverage**, making it a powerful tool for market participants. 🚀
Advance Divergnce Trading# **Advanced Divergence Trading**
Divergence occurs when **price action and indicators (RSI, MACD, etc.) move in opposite directions**, signaling potential reversals. **Advanced divergence strategies** help traders refine entries and exits.
## **1️⃣ Types of Advanced Divergence**
✅ **Regular Divergence (Reversal Signals):**
🔹 **Bullish:** Price makes **lower lows**, indicator makes **higher lows** → **Buy signal**.
🔹 **Bearish:** Price makes **higher highs**, indicator makes **lower highs** → **Sell signal**.
✅ **Hidden Divergence (Trend Continuation):**
🔹 **Bullish:** Price makes **higher lows**, indicator makes **lower lows** → **Trend continuation up**.
🔹 **Bearish:** Price makes **lower highs**, indicator makes **higher highs** → **Trend continuation down**.
## **2️⃣ Advanced Trading Strategies**
✅ **Multi-Timeframe Divergence:** Confirm signals across different timeframes.
✅ **Divergence with Volume & Price Action:** Stronger confirmation when paired with **support-resistance and breakout levels**.
✅ **Divergence with MACD Histogram:** Early momentum shift detection before major moves.
### **Conclusion**
Advanced divergence trading helps in **predicting reversals, trend continuations, and refining trade entries**, making it a powerful tool for traders. 🚀