basics of technical anylasisTechnical analysis seeks to predict price movements by examining historical data, mainly price and volume. It helps traders and investors navigate the gap between intrinsic value and market price by leveraging techniques like statistical analysis and behavioral economics.
Analysis
overview of financial marketsFinancial Markets include any place or system that provides buyers and sellers the means to trade financial instruments, including bonds, equities, the various international currencies, and derivatives. Financial markets facilitate the interaction between those who need capital with those who have capital to invest
GOLD SURGE CONTINUES – FEAR, WAR & END-OF-MONTH VOLATILITYGold opened this week with a strong upside gap, once again reminding us of how unpredictable Mondays can be following highly volatile weekends.
As always, when the market gaps significantly after the weekend, it's best to wait for price to absorb the remaining volume before locking into new setups.
As mentioned in previous outlooks, the current BUY pressure is still high, driven by a global wave of FOMO and fear, caused by:
Rising geopolitical tensions,
Global economic instability,
And even natural disasters now hitting parts of Asia.
Asian stock markets dropped sharply this morning after weekend developments escalated — with the Russia–Ukraine war showing no signs of de-escalation. In fact, new reports suggest a broader regional impact, further boosting risk-off sentiment.
💡 Safe Haven Flows Are Back in Full Force
Right now, gold is the #1 asset investors are paying attention to.
It's being treated as the ultimate flight-to-safety amid global panic and uncertainty.
And with this momentum, new ATHs may still be ahead.
📅 End-of-Month Candle Close – Expect Whipsaws
Today also marks the final trading day of the month, meaning we could see aggressive stop hunts and liquidity sweeps as large players look to close their monthly books.
➡️ Be extra cautious today — sharp moves up or down may occur due to end-of-month positioning.
Whether BUY or SELL, it’s best to trade tight, scalp smart, and respect your SL/TP.
Key Levels for 01/04:
🔺 Resistance: 3116 – 3132
🔻 Support: 3092 – 3085 – 3076 – 3066
🎯 Trade Plan:
SELL ZONE: 3130 – 3132
SL: 3136
TP: 3125 – 3120 – 3115 – 3110 – 3105 – 3100
BUY ZONE: 3066 – 3064
SL: 3060
TP: 3070 – 3075 – 3080 – 3085 – 3090 – 3095 – 3100
Stay sharp and trade with discipline.
End-of-month volatility is not for the weak hands.
— AD | Money Market Flow
GOLD – Unshaken Through Chaos - 50 new all-time highs🟡 GOLD – Unshaken Through Chaos | A Structural Bull Run Backed by Global Repricing
Gold isn’t just rallying — it’s sending a message.
Over the past 12 months, gold has set over 50 new all-time highs, a breakout sequence unmatched in over a decade. This is now officially the longest bullish streak in 12 years, and the third longest in modern history, only behind the volatile 1979–1980 period — a time when the global economy was grappling with runaway inflation, stagnant growth, and widespread unemployment.
But what makes this current bull cycle unique is not just the price action, but the structural shift behind the move.
📈 The Numbers Speak for Themselves:
YTD 2024 performance: +16%
12-month gain: +39%
Price range: From ~$1,200 to nearly $1,600/oz
3rd consecutive bullish year
These gains are not speculative pumps — they are a response to systemic instability. The macro backdrop is screaming uncertainty:
Sticky, structural inflation
Slowing global economic growth
Real interest rates still hovering around zero or negative
Geopolitical risk escalating in nearly every region of the world
This isn’t a short squeeze. It’s a capital migration.
🏦 The Central Bank Bid: The Silent Giant
What separates this rally from past cycles is who’s buying.
Unlike the 2011 gold run — driven heavily by retail FOMO and speculative ETF flows — today’s surge is institutionally anchored.
The strongest force in the current trend? Central banks.
Led by China, Russia, Turkey, and several BRICS nations, central banks have been accumulating gold at a record pace, shifting reserves away from USD exposure and hedging long-term geopolitical and economic risks. This isn't just diversification — it's a statement of monetary sovereignty.
Their consistent demand is forming a strong floor under price, insulating gold from violent retracements even during short-term corrections.
🔍 The Psychology of this Bull Market
This isn’t the kind of rally that fades on CPI noise.
The capital flow is defensive, not aggressive.
Funds are rotating into gold not to chase yield, but to preserve value. In times when fiat devaluation, sovereign debt instability, and political fragmentation are on the rise — gold doesn’t just shine, it leads.
The market is re-pricing systemic risk.
Investors are no longer reacting to inflation headlines. They are positioning for longer-term fragility in global monetary policy. That’s why even when inflation prints soften temporarily, gold still holds ground.
📌 What Comes Next?
Yes, technically, a pullback is healthy — even expected.
Extended breakouts are often followed by short-term consolidations. But the medium- to long-term structure remains intact.
Gold is not in a bubble. It’s in rotation.
In a world full of uncertainty, inflation volatility, and central bank crossfire — gold remains the most trusted asset for capital protection. And this rally? It’s not the end of something.
It’s just the beginning of a new monetary cycle.
— AD | Money Market Flow
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Gold silver update next Our Spot #Gold Range Prediction from 31/03/2025 to 04/04/2025 is as under.
Gold Spot : 3023$-3126$
Gold INR : 88100-91050
Our Spot #Silver Range prediction from 31/03/2025 to 04/04/2025 is as under.
Silver Spot: 33.44$-35.05$
Silver INR: 98400-103200
It must be remembered that price of precious metal depends on so many world wide factors like inflation, Fed interest rate, trade barrier, geopolitical tension, demand, supply, bond yield, dollar index , GDP, payroll data, CPI, currency fluctuation, debt ceiling , expected tax & duty changes, other commodity price crude oil etc. etc. and hence there can not be any accurate barometer of predicting precious metal price.
Gold INR has been calculated taking Gold Spot international price and converting the same assuming fixed Indian rupee rate. However, this is not accurate method as change in rupee value to dollar can substantially impact Gold INR price. Pl. note that price of commodity doesn't depend upon performence of company but depend upon performence of world economy, hence it is extremely risky to trade in commodities. Commodities market also become more volatile during contract expiry.
These are not a recommendation for buy or sell. This view is only for educational purpose. You are requested to consult your financial advisor before entering in to any trade.
Gold silver update Our Spot #Gold Range Prediction from 31/03/2025 to 04/04/2025 is as under.
Gold Spot : 3023$-3126$
Gold INR : 88100-91050
Our Spot #Silver Range prediction from 31/03/2025 to 04/04/2025 is as under.
Silver Spot: 33.44$-35.05$
Silver INR: 98400-103200
It must be remembered that price of precious metal depends on so many world wide factors like inflation, Fed interest rate, trade barrier, geopolitical tension, demand, supply, bond yield, dollar index , GDP, payroll data, CPI, currency fluctuation, debt ceiling , expected tax & duty changes, other commodity price crude oil etc. etc. and hence there can not be any accurate barometer of predicting precious metal price.
Gold INR has been calculated taking Gold Spot international price and converting the same assuming fixed Indian rupee rate. However, this is not accurate method as change in rupee value to dollar can substantially impact Gold INR price. Pl. note that price of commodity doesn't depend upon performence of company but depend upon performence of world economy, hence it is extremely risky to trade in commodities. Commodities market also become more volatile during contract expiry.
These are not a recommendation for buy or sell. This view is only for educational purpose. You are requested to consult your financial advisor before entering in to any trade.
Good silver next wives Our Spot #Gold Range Prediction from 31/03/2025 to 04/04/2025 is as under.
Gold Spot : 3023$-3126$
Gold INR : 88100-91050
Our Spot #Silver Range prediction from 31/03/2025 to 04/04/2025 is as under.
Silver Spot: 33.44$-35.05$
Silver INR: 98400-103200
It must be remembered that price of precious metal depends on so many world wide factors like inflation, Fed interest rate, trade barrier, geopolitical tension, demand, supply, bond yield, dollar index , GDP, payroll data, CPI, currency fluctuation, debt ceiling , expected tax & duty changes, other commodity price crude oil etc. etc. and hence there can not be any accurate barometer of predicting precious metal price.
Gold INR has been calculated taking Gold Spot international price and converting the same assuming fixed Indian rupee rate. However, this is not accurate method as change in rupee value to dollar can substantially impact Gold INR price. Pl. note that price of commodity doesn't depend upon performence of company but depend upon performence of world economy, hence it is extremely risky to trade in commodities. Commodities market also become more volatile during contract expiry.
These are not a recommendation for buy or sell. This view is only for educational purpose. You are requested to consult your financial advisor before entering in to any trade.
Gold Rallies Ahead of Critical PCE Report – Is a Reversal ComingAs expected, Gold reached a new all-time high (ATH) following the bullish momentum we anticipated yesterday.
However, this upside move seems to have arrived earlier than projected — potentially a pre-positioning move before a major correction triggered by tonight’s PCE inflation data and profit-taking ahead of the weekend.
With current momentum, Gold could easily target $3100 as global stock markets — from the US to Asia — are sharply declining.
This reflects rising concerns over a global economic slowdown, and highlights the growing demand for safe haven assets like Gold.
📰 Tonight’s PCE data will offer key insights into inflation in the current macro context.
If PCE inflation decreases, Gold is likely to continue its rally.
However, if PCE shows higher inflation, we could see heavy sell pressure enter the market — leading to a sharp drop in XAUUSD.
That said, recent CPI and PPI data suggest that inflation may already be easing, supporting the bullish case — or at least explaining the early price surge.
🟡 Strategy for Today:
Look for early BUY entries during Asia & London sessions at key lower supports.
Avoid SELL positions for now — wait for price to reach major psychological resistance levels like $3100 before considering a short setup.
🧭 Key Levels:
🔻 Support: 3064 – 3055 – 3048 – 3040 – 3032
🔺 Psychological Resistance: 3090 – 3100 – 3106 – 3110
🎯 Trade Zones – 29/03:
BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054
SL: 3050
TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080 – ???
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3100 – 3102
SL: 3107
TP: 3096 – 3090 – 3086 – 3082 – 3078 – 3074 – 3070
🧠 Final Reminder:
It’s Friday — and PCE inflation data tonight is crucial.
If you feel unsure or your trading psychology is shaky, stay out and wait for clarity post-news.
As always, respect your SL/TP levels and protect your capital at all costs.
Good luck, homies! Let’s trade smart.
— AD | Money Market Flow
DXY Monthly Analysis: Key Support Holding, Bullish Move Ahead?📊 DXY Monthly Chart Analysis (March 27, 2025)
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 104.267, with notable resistance ahead.
Price is consolidating within a key demand zone (~102.5–104) after rejecting higher levels.
Technical Levels:
Support Zone: 100.2–104 (Highlighted in purple)
Resistance Zone: 112.5–114.7 (Highlighted in purple)
Major Resistance: 114.77 (Previous high, acting as a supply zone)
200-MA Support: Located below current price, offering a long-term bullish confluence.
Market Structure:
Price remains in a higher time-frame bullish trend but is experiencing a correction.
The "BOSS" level (Break of Structure) suggests a prior bullish breakout.
If the demand zone holds, a bullish continuation towards 112.5–114.7 is possible.
Projected Move:
A bounce from 102–104 could trigger a rally toward the upper resistance zone (~112.5).
A break below 100.2 could indicate a shift in trend and further downside.
Conclusion:
DXY is at a critical decision point. Holding the current support zone (~102–104) could fuel a bullish continuation toward 112–114, while a breakdown below 100.2 would weaken bullish momentum.
Hudco: price analysisHudco respects the resistance of 210 as the continuation of further bearish sentiment. The support of 197 will be the bullish invalidation, which means if the price supports this, then there are chances of reversal and retest of 210 for a breakout and a bull run.
Prices breaking down 197 will continue to fall till 181 and 163.
Gold Awaits – A Major Move Is Just Around the CornerGold has shown consistent structure since the start of this week.
Today, there are no major economic events, so price is likely to continue moving sideways within the current range, as previously analyzed in AD’s plan.
📌 Important Events Coming Up:
🔸 Thursday: US Quarterly GDP data
🔸 Friday: PCE Inflation Report (Key inflation indicator)
👉 These are the two most impactful news releases this week, and essentially wrap up Q1/month-end flows.
→ Global traders will be closely watching Thursday & Friday, so stay extra cautious during these two sessions.
🔄 Today’s Market Behavior:
Gold continues to range within the same channel shared earlier this week.
There is no clear breakout or strong directional move yet.
The market is essentially waiting for Thursday & Friday's data — which could act as the catalyst for a stronger bearish correction, in line with AD’s mid-term outlook.
🔍 Current Trading Strategy:
As shared from the beginning of the week, AD continues to trade reactions at key support and resistance zones.
Without a confirmed breakout, the approach remains:
→ Trade the range. React to both ends of the zone.
🧭 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
🔺 Resistance: 3,010 – 3,036 – 3,046 – 3,057
🔻 Support: 3,010 – 3,001 – 2,988
🎯 TRADE ZONES:
BUY ZONE: 2988 – 2986
SL: 2982
TP: 2992 – 2996 – 3000 – 3004 – 3008 – 3015
SELL ZONE: 3045 – 3047
SL: 3051
TP: 3042 – 3038 – 3034 – 3030 – 3026 – 3020
🧠 Final Reminder:
There is no breakout confirmation yet → market is still in accumulation mode.
Be patient, avoid FOMO, and watch price reaction closely at each zone.
➡️ Trade clean levels. Enter only when setups are clear — stay out if not.
Protecting your capital always comes first.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4H Chart Analysis: Bullish Breakout Ahead?📈 Ascending Channel:
🔹 The price is moving upward within a parallel trend channel.
🔹 Blue arrows (🔵) indicate resistance points where the price struggled.
🔹 Red circles (🔴) highlight support areas where the price bounced.
🟦 Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone:
🔸 The blue-shaded area (FVG zone) suggests a possible retracement before a bullish move.
🔸 If the price dips into this zone, it may find liquidity and bounce back up.
📊 Projected Price Movement:
⚡ Expected pullback → into FVG zone (🔽), then a bullish push (🚀) towards $90,686.72 🎯.
🟡 Yellow arrow shows the anticipated price path.
📉 Support & Resistance Levels:
✅ Support: Around $86,000 - $86,500 (FVG zone).
🚀 Target: $90,686.72 (next major resistance).
📌 Exponential Moving Average (DEMA - 9):
🔹 The blue line (DEMA 9) at $87,414.57 is acting as dynamic resistance.
🔹 A break above this could confirm further upside movement.
💡 Conclusion:
🔸 Bullish bias remains strong 📈.
🔸 Watch for a dip into the FVG zone before a potential rally 🚀.
🔸 If Bitcoin holds support, it may reach $90K+ soon 🎯🔥.
Advanced Technical ConceptOn the other hand, hidden divergence occurs when the price makes a lower low, but the RSI indicator makes a higher low, signaling a potential trend continuation. RSI Divergence occurs when the price movement and the RSI indicator move in opposite directions, signaling a potential reversal in the current trend.
Divergence within RSI through price movements is a powerful indication that there will be reversals in the market. There are two types of divergences: bullish divergences and bearish divergences. 1. Bullish divergence
Financial Markets Financial Markets include any place or system that provides buyers and sellers the means to trade financial instruments, including bonds, equities, the various international currencies, and derivatives.
Some examples: bank or credit unions, for loans or savings accounts. securities markets, such as the New York Stock Exchange or the American Stock Exchange, for businesses to acquire investment capital, mutual funds, or bonds.
Video For Traders Options trading is a type of financial trading that allows investors to buy or sell the right to purchase or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price, at a future date. Options trading operates on the basis that the buyer has the option to exercise the contract but is not under any obligation to do so.
Trading options offers a number of benefits for an active trader: Options can offer high returns and do so over a short period, allowing you to multiply your money quickly if your wager is right. With options, it can cost less to get the same exposure to a stock's price movement than it does to buy the stock directly.
Advanced Patterns Trading Chart patterns are visual representations of price movements used in technical analysis to predict future market behavior, categorized as continuation, reversal, or bilateral, and can signal potential trend continuation, reversal, or volatility.
Top Picks: The Most Successful, Profitable, and Reliable Chart Patterns
Head and Shoulders Pattern.
Double Tops and Double Bottom.
Cup and Handle.
Ascending/Descending Triangles.
Bullish and Bearish Flags.
Wedge Patterns (Rising/Falling Wedges)
Triple Tops and Triple Bottoms.
Symmetrical Triangles.
Gold (XAU/USD) – Possible Reversal from Resistance XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 1-day timeframe and shows an ascending channel with key price levels and technical annotations.
Key Observations:
Trend Direction:
The price has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024.
It is currently near the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Liquidity & Market Structure:
INT.LQ (Internal Liquidity): This suggests an area where liquidity is expected to be taken before a potential move.
MB Unfilled (Market Balances Unfilled): These indicate inefficiencies in price movement that the market may revisit.
Projected Price Action:
The chart shows a potential short-term pullback from the upper boundary.
Expected retracement towards the "fair value range" around $2,800–$2,850.
If this scenario plays out, it would align with price rebalancing and a healthier uptrend continuation.
Key Levels:
Resistance: Around $3,050, which aligns with the upper trendline.
Support Zones: Around $2,950 and deeper at $2,800.
Potential Trading Strategy:
Bearish Case: If rejection occurs at $3,050, short opportunities could exist targeting $2,900–$2,850.
Bullish Case: If price retraces and finds strong support in the fair value range, it could resume its uptrend.
XAU/USD Analysis: Bearish Pullback Towards $3,000 SupportXAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) Technical Analysis - 1H Chart
1. Price Action & Trend Analysis
The market has been in a strong uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Recently, the price faced resistance near the $3,040 level, leading to a rejection.
A pullback is currently in progress, suggesting a possible retracement to a demand zone.
2. Key Levels
Resistance Zone (Supply Zone): Around $3,040 - $3,045 where price has been rejected multiple times.
Support Zone (Demand Zone): Around $3,000 - $3,005, a previous accumulation area.
Current Price: $3,023.695
3. Market Structure & Expected Move
The price tested the resistance zone, failed to break above, and is now reacting downward.
A bearish projection (as shown in the chart) suggests a potential move toward the $3,000 - $3,005 support zone.
If the price reaches this level and finds buying pressure, we could see a reversal or continuation of the uptrend.
4. Indicators & Confluence Factors
Support-Resistance Flip: The previous support at $3,000 could act as a strong support again.
Bearish Momentum: Short-term price action suggests sellers are gaining control after rejection at resistance.
Liquidity Zones: The highlighted purple zones represent institutional order blocks where significant buy/sell orders exist.
5. Trading Plan & Strategy
Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below $3,000, we could see further downside pressure.
Bullish Scenario: A bounce from $3,000 could provide buying opportunities for another attempt at breaking $3,040.
6. Conclusion
The market is currently retracing from resistance, and a short-term bearish move is expected toward $3,000.
Traders should watch for price reaction at $3,000 to determine if it holds as support or breaks for further downside.
Advanced Swing Trading Strategy with Pcr Part-1So, an average put-call ratio of 0.7 for equities is considered a good basis for evaluating sentiment. In general: A rising put-call ratio, or a ratio greater than 0.7 or exceeding 1, means that equity traders are buying more puts than calls. It suggests that bearish sentiment is building in the market.
The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
Divergence Trading With ProfessionalsDivergence in an uptrend occurs when price makes a higher high but the indicator does not. In a downtrend, divergence occurs when price makes a lower low, but the indicator does not. When divergence is spotted, there is a higher probability of a price retracement.
Divergence signals tend to be more accurate on the longer time frames. You get fewer false signals. This means fewer trades but if you structure your trade well, then your profit potential can be huge. Divergences on shorter time frames will occur more frequently but are less reliable.
Advanced Swing Trading Strategy with Pcr Part-2The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) is a popular technical indicator used by investors to assess market sentiment. It is calculated by dividing the volume or open interest of put options by call options over a specific time period. A higher PCR suggests bearish sentiment, while a lower PCR indicates bullish sentiment.
So, an average put-call ratio of 0.7 for equities is considered a good basis for evaluating sentiment. In general: A rising put-call ratio, or a ratio greater than 0.7 or exceeding 1, means that equity traders are buying more puts than calls. It suggests that bearish sentiment is building in the market.
All Financial MarketIn India, there exists broadly two types of Financial Markets which are further classified : Money Market is a market that deals with short-term funds. The capital market is a market that deals with long-sighted funds. Lenders and borrowers can trade funds through the financial system.
Different types of financial markets include stock markets, bond markets, forex markets, and commodities markets. Stock markets facilitate the buying and selling of company shares, while bond markets deal with debt securities. Forex markets enable currency exchange, and commodities markets trade physical goods.29 Aug 2024
Trading with Professionals Identifying the trend. This is the first step in technical analysis for traders because trading strategies can either follow the trend or go against the trend. ...
Drawing support and resistance levels. ...
Establishing entry and exit points. ...
Position sizing and risk management.
What exactly are the two types of technical analysis? Chart patterns and technical (statistical) indicators are the two main types of technical analysis. Chart patterns are a subjective type of technical analysis in which technicians use certain patterns to indicate regions of support and resistance on a chart.






















