Analysis
DALBHARAT LONG READY FOR BIG MOVE 3000NSE:DALBHARAT
SAFE ONE CAN BET AFTER RETEST
FEW CHECKLIST-:
1. ALL MA AND EMA BULLISH.
2. RSI NEED LITTLE PULLBACK OR CONSOLIDATION.
3.FUNDAMENTALS STRONG.
4.FII AND DII ARE BUYING AND PUBLIC EXITING.
READY TO MAKE NEW HIGHS
CAN BE A GOOD BET.
BUY AND JUST RIDE AND HAVE PATIENCE FOR ATLEAST 3-6 MONTHS FOR BIG GAINS.
I research both fundamental and technical to be on safe and lowrisk script.
Indraprastha Gas: Breakdown or potential rise ?Hello guys I am back with another Interesting Analysis.
This time we will discuss about Indraprastha Gas Ltd. in a very easy to understand and end of the section I will reveal my personal opinion on this stock.
Current Chart Pattern:
Currently, the stock is in an uptrend, following an ascending parallel channel pattern. When we examine the daily timeframe, it's evident that the stock has been consolidating within this pattern for the past 1.5 years.
Previous Price movement:
Looking at the weekly timeframe, the stock was previously moving in a rising wedge pattern. However, in 2021, it experienced a breakdown and underwent a correction of 50%.
Current price movement.
>>Since that decline, it has initiated an uptrend movement while forming the current channel pattern.
>>Recently, the stock experienced a 15% decline again from its peak and moved outside of its parallel channel pattern.
My Commentary on "will it fall or Rise".
So, When we look at how this stock behaved in the past, we see that after big drops, it often bounced back strongly. This time, the stock has fallen below its usual support area, which seems like a normal pullback. Interestingly, it found support at Fibonacci S3 (420 level) and started rising again.
Now, Looking at its Financial data everything looks great, The company is currently undergoing its highest-ever sales and profits.
To cut the Long story short, I'm still positive about this stock, considering this level as good opportunity. But when it comes to entry it is better to wait for a strong confirmation. Ideal entry would be when it breaks the 450 level with comparatively big green engulfing candle, we can take a small stop loss at 415 level to capture atleast 25%.
Do consider pressing the boost button🚀🚀, It helps me bring more interesting analysis. And if you've any question and suggestion please feel free to post in comment section.
Note: This is for informational purposes only. Do your own research before investing.
Is IRCTC ready to burst ?Hello, guys. I hope you are doing well. Today, we will take a deep dive into IRCTC. Please read until the end to gain a complete understanding of this stock and its potentiality.
The chart is self-explanatory, so we will keep the technical analysis brief. The stock had been consolidating in a descending triangle pattern for the past two years. After a really big move It has corrected by 50%. Recently, it broke out of this pattern and has started forming a new ascending triangle pattern, indicating a potential upcoming breakout.
Fundamental:-
In terms of fundamentals, it's needless to say that it is a government owned company, authorized exclusively by the Indian government to provide online railway tickets, catering services, and packaged drinking water at railway stations and on trains in India.
Revenue Breakout As per 2022 data:-
Internet Ticketing: Approximately 54%
Catering: Approximately 27%
Railneer (Packaged Drinking Water): Approximately 9%
Tourism: Approximately 8%
State Teerth: Approximately 2%
Future Planes:-
>>Company plans to enter the budget hotel service industry.
>>Company intends to establish an e-marketplace offering services such as bill payment, recharges, and other third-party services, including online insurance purchases.
>>The company has plans to explore segments such as Helicopter Travel and medical tourism.
>>The company also plans to expand its non-rail based tourism offerings, including corporate travel business, cruise packages, river packages, and air ticket services.
Financials:-
>>The company is almost debt-free.
>>It's anticipated that the company will perform well in the upcoming quarter.
>>Over the last 5 years, the company has consistently achieved a strong profit growth of 34.9% annually.
>>The company has a solid track record of return on equity (ROE) with a 3-year ROE of 34.6%.
>>The company has consistently maintained a healthy dividend payout of 43.0%.
>>FII, DII holdings are still increasing.
Key Risks:-
I have mentioned all the positive aspects of the company, but there are some key risks associated with the company that you should be aware of:
1.The company is government-owned, which means it can be highly sensitive to both positive and negative news. Any adverse news can lead to a significant decline in its stock price.
2.This stock also experienced price manipulation in 2021.
3. If any pandemic situation comes it can experience a substantial correction.
My commentary:-
We have recently observed that railway-based companies have started to gain momentum. Now, the question is, will IRCTC follow the same? My answer would be that it's possible because if the price breaks the recent pattern with strong volume, then it can potentially make a significant move.
Do consider pressing the boost button🚀🚀, It helps me bring more interesting analysis. And if you've any question and suggestion please feel free to post in comment section.
Note: This is for informational purposes only. Do your own research before investing.
Long bet in West Coast Paper Mills.Financial highlights.
Over the past five years, the company has achieved an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.9% in terms of its profit.
Company has a good return on capital employed (ROCE) of 61.5 %.
Stock has negligible debt to equity of 0.09. /list
Technicals.
Currently price is at somewhere between support and resistance level of the trend line, some position can be made either it gives a breakout, or it comes back to support.
My commentary
West Coast Paper Mills Ltd is one of the oldest and the largest producers of paper for printing, writing, and packaging in India.
Paper consumption expenditure is expected to double from $1.5 trillion in 2020 to $3 trillion by 2030.(Source: The Hindu).
We can long on this, if it falls as it is more likely to happen, more quantity can be added.
This is only for an educational purpose, Don't take it as a trade calls. I am not a Sebi registered
WELSPUN INDIA LOOKS GREAT ON CHART.Welspun India has been forming a rectangle pattern for a year. It broke out recently, went up, and then retraced to its old resistance. This is a good chance for me because that resistance could now become support. The company's earnings and sales have been impressive, making it a promising option for a swing trade.
We can target a 12% gain from the current level while setting a 10% stop loss. This setup offers a balanced risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1 for the trade.
Note- Do your own analysis, I am not SEBI registered.
Why am i Bullish in KPR MILL ?
Technical.
*Entry can be initiated if it is closing above 650 level for the day, As it is very close to give multipattern Breakout.
Targets: -
1. 695
2. 765
Stoploss: -
610
Fundamental.
*Stock has given good profit growth of 23.0% CAGR over last 5 years.
*company has increased its net profit from 33cr to 815cr YOY basic in just 10 years.
*Stock is available at 27 PE ratio, which indicates consistence growth.
MY commentary
It is one of India’s largest knitted garment manufacturers with total capacity of 157 million pieces. Two major capex projects worth 750 crore towards garmenting ( 250
crore) and ethanol facility ( 500 crore) expected to be ramped up in FY23E. Recent FTA with Australia to benefit KPR as the region contributes 11% to
sales.
Filatex - Bullish divergence RSI and PriceA bullish divergence happens when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a low reading indicating oversold conditions, followed by a higher low in the RSI, while the price continues to make lower lows. This pattern may indicate that bullish momentum is building, and when the RSI breaks above the oversold level, it could be an opportunity to enter a new long position.
Above statement has been explained in the chart with invalid setup, when to enter and target to achieve.
Note: This chart is just for educational purpose.
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KSB Ltd Technical AnalysisKSB ltd is looking good for Swing trading.
Buy @2683
SL 2547
Target Open
You can easily get 10-15% return within 15 days.
Analysis : •Increasing in FIIs holdings
•Very good promoters holdings with zero pledge
•Increasing in net profit
• Bullish Engulfing pattern at daily Timeframe
EURUSD Long Wave Analysis:
The EURUSD pair is showing signs of a favorable long opportunity based on wave analysis. An ABC correction pattern appears to be forming, with the market completing the A and B waves. The C wave, which typically follows, presents a potential long setup.
Wave Pattern: A completed A-wave followed by a corrective B-wave suggests an imminent C-wave rally.
RRR: This setup offers an appealing risk-reward ratio, as the C-wave often covers a substantial distance compared to the B-wave.
Support Confluence: The C-wave's projected starting point aligns with key support levels, enhancing the trade's probability.
Fibonacci Retracements: The C-wave's target aligns with common Fibonacci retracement levels, adding to the technical confluence.
Momentum Indicator: Positive divergence on a momentum indicator supports the idea of a potential upward move.
Dollar Weakness: Considering potential dollar weakness, the EURUSD upward movement could be amplified.
News Impact: Upcoming positive economic releases may further support the long thesis.
Time Horizon: The projected C-wave duration aligns with a medium-term trading horizon.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss below the recent B-wave low to mitigate downside risk.
Monitoring: Continuously monitor price action and adapt to any changing market dynamics.
Remember that trading involves risks, and analysis is based on historical patterns. Stay updated with market developments and adjust the trade plan accordingly.
dxy analysistargets green
entry point blue
sl red
..RRR 1:2 , 1:4
Considering the ABC correction wave in DXY, a potential short opportunity arises during the B-wave's rebound. This setup offers an attractive risk-reward ratio, targeting the expected C-wave decline. Caution: Monitor closely for any sudden changes.
Swingtrade in CESC.Over the past 14 years, the price has been moving within a rectangular channel pattern. It goes up and then comes back down to a support level, creating a significant demand and supply zone.
Currently price trading at 25% down from its all time peek. As visible price has formed another parallel channel pattern inside the bigger pattern. It seems all set to give a breakout in daily timeframe.
If the price breaks out with high trading volume and stays above the line, it's a good signal to start trading. We can go long (buy) and aim for at least a 18% gain from our entry point.
Buy- 79
Targets- 94, 96.5
Stoploss- 74
Please note I am not SEBI registered. Do consult with your Finance adviser before investing.
#SwingTrading #technicalAnalysis
A clear breakout in Poly Medicure.A clear breakout has been seen in Poly medicure. But as we can see it's already given 15 % move within two trading days. So, we have to wait and see if it is sustaining above the resistance level, if it does then we are ready to go.
Fundamentals Analys.
If we talk about the fundamentals, this stock has covered good profit growth of 20.5% CAGR over last 5 years and ROCE is almost 19%. It has been observed that Promotor holding has increased by 8% which is a healthy sign. One could consider for long term as well.
EUR/USD Wave Analysis:LONG
📈🌍 Uncover the intricacies of EUR/USD price action through an insightful wave analysis. We dissect the evolving wave patterns to reveal the potential opportunities that lie ahead. Join us as we delve into the afterwaves of 12345 and prepare for the upcoming correction wave, setting the stage for a profitable journey through Wave ABC!
🔍 Key Points:
Deconstructing Wave Sequence: Embark on a journey through the recent EUR/USD price movements, meticulously breaking down the quintessential five-wave pattern (12345). Gain a comprehensive understanding of each wave's characteristics and its contribution to the overall market trend.
Approaching the Correction Wave: Unveil the significance of corrective waves within the realm of forex trading. We examine the various scenarios and projections for the impending Wave ABC, shedding light on potential price levels, patterns, and timing.
Profitable Potential: Learn to harness the power of correction waves for profitable trading. We lay out strategies that empower traders to identify optimal entry and exit points, enabling them to capitalize on the market's risk-reward dynamics.
Capturing Wave BC: Dive into the heart of Wave BC, the second phase of the corrective pattern. Understand the external factors influencing its formation and acquire the insights needed to align your trading strategy for potential gains.
Risk Management Mastery: Master the art of risk management during correction waves. Explore effective techniques to safeguard your trading capital while maximizing profit potential, ensuring a balanced approach to your trading endeavors.
Leveraging Technical Indicators: Discover an arsenal of technical indicators and tools that bolster your EUR/USD analysis. Utilize these tools to validate your insights and fine-tune trading decisions during this pivotal phase.
Real-life Case Studies: Immerse yourself in historical instances of correction waves within the EUR/USD pair. Draw parallels between past patterns and outcomes to enhance your decision-making prowess.
📊💰 As EUR/USD takes center stage, equip yourself with the knowledge and strategies required to navigate these exciting waves of opportunity. Embark on a journey of profit potential during the correction wave – Wave ABC has the potential to unlock lucrative trades. Stay informed, trade with confidence, and make well-informed decisions with our comprehensive analysis!
(Note: Trading carries inherent risks, and historical performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for educational purposes and should not replace professional financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking guidance from financial experts before executing trading decisions.)