Analysis
Falling wedge pattern reversal in CONCORCONCOR
Key highlights: 💡
✅On 1D Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Falling wedge Pattern .
✅ It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 735+.
✅There have chances of Breakout of resistance level too.
✅ After Breakout of resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 828+ .
Assets I prioritizeIn the previous post Balance sheet: taking the first steps , we began parsing the balance sheet of the imaginary workshop and focused on assets. Today, I suggest looking at what types of tangible and intangible property are classified as current assets and what types are classified as non-current assets.
Current assets contain the following items:
- Cash and cash equivalents - in our case we can include a safe with money, which, in general, corresponds to the company's cash in its current bank accounts.
- Net receivables - here we would include the IOU from a friend. That is everything that clients owe the company for goods or services.
- Inventory - this includes a bag with leather, rubber and thread. That is all raw materials, from which goods are made, as well as stocks of finished goods in warehouses.
- Other current assets - this can include other current assets that do not belong to the previous items.
Non-current assets include the following items:
- Net property, plant and equipment - we include a garage, table, chair, sewing machine and tools. Depreciation is deducted from the original cost of the property when reporting it. Depreciation is the cost to repair and renew the property.
- Equity and other investments - in our example, this would include oil company stocks (and in general, any company investment in stocks or bonds of other companies).
- Goodwill - let's say our company wants to buy another company and is willing to pay $11 million for it. The assets of the other company are $10 million, and the debts that our company will have to pay for the other company are $2 million. So the assets net of debt are $8 million. After the purchase, the assets and debts of that company will become the assets and debts of our company. So, the difference between the purchase amount of $11 million and the net assets of $8 million is a goodwill equal to $3 million. For our workshop, this item is not relevant, as it didn't buy any company. Nevertheless, remember that goodwill is the difference between the purchase price of another company and its net assets.
- Intangible assets - this can include the value of the customer base in the master's phone book, as well as any other assets that have no tangible basis (such as purchased trademarks).
- Other long term assets - this item includes other non-current assets that don't belong to the previous items.
Once we understand which asset belongs to which item, its value (or rather, the sum of the values of all assets belonging to this item) is written in the balance sheet. For example, let's say we've determined that the Inventory item includes leather, rubber, and thread. The accountant adds up the value of the leather, rubber, and thread and writes the total amount in monetary terms against the Inventory item. This is how the numbers appear in the balance sheet.
Now let's discuss which balance sheet items we should pay attention to during the fundamental analysis of assets. I have formulated the following rule for myself: pay attention to the assets that are directly related to the sale of the company's goods or services .
If a company does not sell its goods or services well, its bank account balance will shrink, huge inventories of unsold goods and raw materials will accumulate in its warehouses, and accounts receivable (customers debt) will grow. The fact is that when sales are bad, the company is ready to lend out goods as debt.
If sales are going well, then, on the contrary, the money in the account will grow, and accounts receivable and inventory will start to shrink. All other assets can influence sales only indirectly, so I don't consider them.
Thus, I have identified my priority assets :
- Cash and cash equivalents;
- Net receivables;
- Inventory.
As you can see, they are all quick current assets. Non-current assets only indirectly affect sales, so they are not a priority benchmark for me.
In the next post, we'll start looking at the right side of our disclosed book, called the Balance sheet. That's where the company's liabilities and equity belong. See you next time!
Falling wedge pattern breakout in BALRAMCHINBALRAMCHIN
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of falling wedge Pattern .
✅ Strong Bullsih Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 430+.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss above 390-.
Descending triangle pattern Reversal in COLPALCOLPAL
Key highlights: 💡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Descending triangle Pattern .
✅ It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 1515+.
✅There have chances of Breakout of resistance level too.
✅ After Breakout of resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 1610+ .
Just think about those didn't follow my analysis yesterday🤣🤣Yesterday i told that my long position is still active which i analyzed day before yesterday now think who didn't care about my analysis. I am holding my position today also but booked half quantity as 70% target achieved. So guys trade with my analysis to be smart retailer not normal retailer whom are always trapped. But remember consistency with risk managment is the only key of success in market no luck will work and Market is supreme.
Two Fundamentals Ideas: EIL and IGL EIL : Engineers India Ltd (# NSE:ENGINERSIN ): CMP: 83.25
DVM (Durability - Valuation - Momentum) score: 60-43-68.
Consensus Price target for 1 year: 100 (19% upside).
Reasons:
1. Engineers India Ltd.'s Revenue was higher than average estimate 2 times in past 3 years
2. EPS is expected to grow by 4.2% in FY23
3. The consensus recommendation from 5 analysts for Engineers India Ltd. is STRONG BUY
IGL : Indraprasthe Gas ( NSE:IGL ): CMP: 416
DVM (Durability - Valuation - Momentum) score: 60-40-57.
Consensus Price target for 1 year: 500 (20% upside).
Reasons:
1. EPS is expected to grow by 12.2% in FY23
2. The consensus recommendation from 30 analysts for Indraprastha Gas Ltd. is BUY
3. Only concern: Indraprastha Gas Ltd.'s Revenue was lower than average estimate 2 times in past 3 years
What the markets are going to be going forward?As we can see in the monthly charts of Nifty 50, the overall market is consolidating in a range of 15000-19000 and I think it will continue to do so for some time.
Previously valuations have fallen to their lows and currently, we can say that the market is fairly valued. From hereon we can see the valuations consolidating for some time which will also reflect in the prices before they break out for another adventure.
Large-cap stocks are not severely hit by these market movements yet compared to stocks in small, micro & nano-cap categories.
Overall, valuations have increased slightly and banks rules, regulations and frameworks for providing easy loans to medium and large enterprises are also getting strict with the decrease in market momentum & strength.
Seeing this, it’s very healthy for the markets to rest for a bit from the long-term perspective and growth.
Falling wedge pattern reversal in JUBLFOODJUBLFOOD
Key highlights: 💡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Falling wedge Pattern .
✅ It can give movement upto the Reversal target of above 505+.
✅There have chances of Breakout of resistance level too.
✅ After Breakout of resistance level this stock can gives strong upside rally upto above 555+ .
Balance sheet: taking the first stepsToday we are going to start learning about fundamental analysis of companies. In my opinion, this is the basic skill you should have when picking stocks to invest in.
Once again, the main principle of the strategy I follow is to pick outstanding companies and buy their stocks at a discounted price.
You may have noticed that first-class products are occasionally discounted in stores, but not for long, because such products are quickly swept off the shelves, and almost the next day the price is again without a discount. Exactly the same strategy is applicable to the stock market. Now, fundamental analysis is a method for picking outstanding companies (that is, companies with strong fundamentals).
How can we tell if a company has a strong foundation or not? There is only one way - by analyzing its financial statements. Every listed company has to disclose this information publicly on its website. In other words, we don't have to extract that information - it is publicly available. You can also find it on TradingView and see the data in dynamics.
What is the content of this information? The company publishes three reports : balance sheet, income statement and cash flow statement.
The balance sheet, like the order book , can be presented as an open book. The left side of the book lists the company's assets and their valuation in monetary terms, and the right side lists the company's liabilities and equity , and their valuation in monetary terms.
What are company assets? These are everything that belongs to the company: buildings, equipment, trademark, shares of other companies, cash in the cash register. In general, all tangible and intangible property of a company are assets.
What are liabilities and equity of a company? These are the sources of funds that gave rise to the assets. For example, if you bought a computer for $1000 with your savings, then the computer is an asset, and your own savings are equity. If a friend lent you $100, and you put the money in your pocket, the money in your pocket is an asset, and the debt to your friend is a liability. Based on these examples, you can make an imaginary balance sheet:
As you can see, the entry in the balance sheet is the name of the asset, liability or equity and their monetary value. Assets, liabilities and equity are inextricably linked, so the sum of assets is always equal to the sum of liabilities and equity .
If we were to write every asset in this way on the balance sheet of a large company, it would turn into an endless book of hundreds of pages. However, if we look at the balance sheets of huge corporations, they can fit on a single sheet of paper. This is due to the fact that over time invented to group the same type of balance sheet items. Let's look at how the company's balance sheet items are grouped:
Don't be frightened. Now we will try to digest this table with the help of an example we are already familiar with. Let's think back to our master cobbler , specifically to the period when he was just starting out.
Let's assume what exactly he had at that time: a garage, a table, a chair, a sewing machine, tools, a bag with leather and rubber, thread, a safe with money, a phone book with clients' contact information, a IOU from his friend, and oil company stocks.
I have now listed the assets of our master, or should I say, of his workshop. I should note that what is listed here is exactly what is directly related to his business. Even the money in the safe, the debt from his friend, and the oil company shares came about because of the existence of the business. Let's say the master's apartment or the bicycle he rides in the park are not assets, because they don't belong to the workshop. They belong to the master, but not to his business.
Let's categorize the workshop's assets into groups. There are two big groups: Current assets and Non-current assets .
How should you distinguish them? The general rule is this: Current assets are what a company's product is made of, and what can turn into money in the near future, so they can be called quick assets . Non-current assets are where and with what we create the product, and what can turn into money not so soon (so they can be called long-term assets ).
So, here we go:
- A garage, a table, a chair are where we create a product, so a long-term (non-current) asset.
- A sewing machine, tools - this is what we use to create a product - a long-term (non-current) asset.
- A bag with leather and rubber and thread is what a product is made from - a quick (current) asset.
- A safe with money is already real money - a quick (current) asset.
- A phone book with customer numbers - it's hard to sell it to someone quickly, such assets are also called intangible assets and are placed in long-term (non-current) assets.
- IOU from a friend, i.e. a friend bought boots from a master, but can pay only after receiving his salary - a quick (current) asset.
- Shares of an oil company - let's assume that a customer once paid for the boots with them - a long-term (non-current) asset.
So, we've just categorized the master's assets into two groups: current assets (quick assets) and non-current assets (long-term assets). In the next post, we'll break down the components of these two large groups. See you then!
NIFTY --TREND ANALYSIS -JAN 2023 NIFTY --DAILY CHART SETUP --TREND ANALYSIS --11 JAN -- 31 JAN 2023
1. AS seen on daily chart nifty was trading at upper channel and hit all time high 18900 sub level on Dec 2022
2. Since then nifty seen fall around 1000 point from overbought level and breakdown of upper channel seen at 18250 sub level .
3. nifty trading current level around 17900 sub level today and 17800 level double bottom formation seen.
4. 17750-17800 will be strong support now. if this support hold few days then nifty will hit target 18300-18400 upside
5.. if 17750-17800 level breaks then nifty will be hit downside target 17400-17500.
6. for upside confirmation nifty should close above 18000 level on daily candle formation above 44, 100 HMA .
THIS IDEA IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ... trade at own risk,
HAPPY TRADING !! HAPPY NEW YEAR. !!
Inverted head and shoulder pattern in NAVINFLUORNAVINFLUOR
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Breakout of Inverted Head and shoulder Pattern .
✅ Strong Bullsih Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakout target of 4115+.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss above 3950-.
✅ breakdown this can give risk:reward upto 1:5+
Long term vision for D-MartAvenue supermarkets Ltd. has been proven to be a vital business for country's consumer and it will continue to be.
Coming under 'necessary retail' I expect it to get hit lesser in any black swans from here-on.
Fundamentals are healthy and the chart is in the process of looking better, good amount of correction is over.
Expecting a fall from here of ~10% in the weekly block. Expecting it to run to new highs in the coming year.
A gain of over 90% is what I aim for if we get to buy in low 3400s
NFA--DYOR--GL
Rising wedge pattern breakdown in WHIRLPOOLWHIRLPOOL
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Breakdown of Rising wedge Pattern .
✅ Strong bearish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakdown target of 1455-.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss above 1515+.
✅ breakout this can give risk:reward upto 1:5+
intradayonly for short side. time frame :15min . a great closing then you can enter for short by putting a logical stop loss.
follow your risk management
Rising wedge pattern breakdown in IGLIGL
Key highlights: 💡⚡
✅On 1Hr Time Frame Stock Showing Breakdown of Rising wedge Pattern .
✅ Strong bearish Candlestick Form on this timeframe.
✅It can give movement up to the Breakdown target of 390-.
✅Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss above 422+.
✅ breakout this can give risk:reward upto 1:6+