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A word of caution for Investors, Nifty's downside targetsin.tradingview.com Nifty has been performing poorly since the last three months, even if we leave the index constituents aside, the situation is even more dire in midcap and small cap indexes some of which can be attributed to the Adani stocks. Adani stocks, put pressure on the banking index and banking index constituents especially SBI collapsed due to the grenade explosion orchestrated by Hindenburg's report. Meanwhile Nifty IT, Nifty metals, Nifty AUTO did try to give support to the market, despite these sectors performing there was a broadway midcap sell off conducted in the last 3 months. Recently China opened its borders and said it was ready to shrug off covid(finally!) and open its borders for business. This news set the Chinese markets blazing and were up nearly 40% from their near time lows. Moreover the valuation comfort in the chinese markets which were nearly half as expensive as their Indian counterpart, gave fuel to the FIIs sell off. As Indian markets was the place where FIIs could book their yearly profits and pocket their fat bonus cheques. Now coming to the mother market, US. DOW Jones had been a failure for the 5th time last week to give a weekly close above 34k levels.(link to the explanation below). The inflation numbers had been blazing hot, new mortgage applications at a 25 year low, fed's target rate 4.5-4.75 % already high enough to give US residents a headache and further talks to increase it by 50 bips, phew ! It is now becoming highly probable that there might not be any soft landing now and the fall, consuming many , will be a hard one. Since US would be raising rates further, despite the situation being fine in India, Indian RBI governor will have to raise rates in India to arrest any declines in Rupee vs US dollar, which will ultimately put pressure on Indian equity markets too. Many Indian banks are already offering fixed deposit rates as high as 7-8.5%(and further high if you are a senior citizen). If you look deeper, soverign gilt funds are offering good options too and Indian treasuries are offering yields as high as 7.4%, imagine what the equity markets have to compete with ! Alas, I would like to say, overall macros and micros do not look good for the equity markets across globe. For all the investors/traders who entered the markets post covid, and "BUY on dips", was their holy sentence, my suggestion to hold your horses for the time being , take a step back and assess what the markets are trying to convey. My targets for Nifty over the next 6 months might seem to be disturbing but I have tried to chalk out the scenari that Im able to foresee. Let me know in the comments what do you think about market future.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by TanmayAggarwal
4
What should I look at in the Income statement?The famous value investor, Mohnish Pabrai , said in one of his lectures that when he visited Warren Buffett, he noticed a huge handbook with the financial statements of thousands of public companies. It's a very dull reading, isn't it? Indeed, if you focus on every statement item - you'll waste a lot of time and sooner or later fall asleep. However, if you look at the large volumes of information from the perspective of an intelligent investor, you can find great interest in the process. It is wise to identify for yourself the most important statement items and monitor them in retrospect (from quarter to quarter). In previous posts, we've broken down the major items on the Income statement and the EPS metric: Part 1: The Income statement: the place where profit lives Part 2: My precious-s-s-s EPS Let's now highlight the items that interest me first. These are: - Total revenue The growth of revenue shows that the company is doing a good job of marketing the product, it is in high demand, and the business is increasing its scale. - Gross profit This profit is identical to the concept of margin. Therefore, an increase in gross profit indicates an increase in the margin of the business, i.e. its profitability. - Operating expenses This item is a good demonstration of how the management team is dealing with cost reductions. If operating expenses are relatively low and decreasing while revenue is increasing, that's terrific work by management, and you can give it top marks. - Interest expense Interest on debts should not consume a company's profits, otherwise, it will not work for the shareholders, but for the banks. Therefore, this item should also be closely monitored. - Net income It's simple here. If a company does not make a profit for its shareholders, they will dump its shares*. *Now, of course, you can dispute with me and give the example of, let's say, Tesla shares. There was a time when they were rising, even when the company was making losses. Indeed, Elon Musk's charisma and grand plans did the trick - investors bought the company's stock at any price. You could say that our partner Mr. Market was truly crazy at the time. I'm sure you can find quite a few such examples. All such cases exist because investors believe in future profits and don't see current ones. However, it is important to remember that sooner or later Mr. Market sobers up, the hype around the company goes away, and its losses stay with you. - EPS Diluted You could say it's the money the company earns per common share. So, I'm finishing up a series of posts related to the Income statement. This statement shows how much the company earns and how much it spends over a period (quarter or year). We've also identified the items that you should definitely watch out for in this report. That's all for today. In the next post, we will break down the last of the three financial statements of a public company - the Cash flow statement. Goodbye and see you later!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by Be_Capy
chainlink analysis on daily time frame with supp & resisBased on the daily timeframe analysis of Chainlink (LINK), we can observe that the cryptocurrency is currently facing multiple resistance levels. These levels are located at 8.170, 9.405, and 9.746, and they may pose significant challenges for buyers as the price could encounter selling pressure and struggle to move past them. On the other hand, there are two key support levels at 6.620 and 5.320, indicating that buyers may step in to push the price higher if it falls to those levels. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on the price action near these levels, as they may provide important insights for making trading decisions. However, it is important to note that technical analysis is only one aspect of the market and should be considered alongside fundamental factors and market sentiment before making any investment decisions.
by nawaab001
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 17 FEB 2023So today's price action confirms the move that we had yesterday was not fake. How many traders & investors would have been trapped on the long side when the 41629 resistance broke out? The prevailing trend was bearish, but when an important resistance gave away, it would have prompted lot of buyers into action. And once they deployed their funds we got the reversal. The dip could even be short term, may be it will negate in the coming week itself - but imagine the amount of money you would have lost over the last 2 days? Today's move in NSE:BANKNIFTY was nothing dramatic, agree that many would call it unexpected. But for analysts who have been following the series of events after the meltdown in Adani stocks - this should have been a not so difficult picking. Open was gap down at 41514 and the first 2 candles were in red - already doing the damage in opening 10mts. This set the trend rolling, we had a single leg of consistent fall of 1.57% ~ 652pts till 13.40.  The selling stopped near the 1st support level of 40868 and we also had a brief pull back of 0.65% ~ 267pts from 13.45 to 15.10.  This pull back ensured that the total fall of NSE:BANKNIFTY was only 1.2% ~ 499pts which is not so bad either. But there are some interesting things that happened The spike in volume of CE options traded, showing intense writing. The volumes spiked just after NSE:BANKNIFTY made the pull back ensuring the option sellers got good premiums too. The drop in options premium on the PE side after 14.50 aiding the view that the dip may not have further deep legs. If today's fall was that dramatic then the PE options should have retained their higher premiums. It can also be true that the premiums could spike on monday or tuesday if we have continuation pattern. And most of you would have seen the % spikes PE premiums hit. --- 15mts TF has negated the small bullish view that it had on 15th. From there we had 1 support break & retest of the 2nd support level. --- 1hr TF may be showing the range widening possibilities in the coming weeks. This could be because the selling came in only when NSE:BANKNIFTY went over the resistance - a common phenomenon associated when sellers are in control.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Nationalum - looks good this weeknationalum - national aluminium company limited In Monday’s (13-feb-2023) session, the stock formed a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern on the daily chart which is pointing to a bounce against the current downtrend, at least for the time being. A counter-trend rally to 81.15 can be seen in this week, from the 78.90. disclaimer: note this is just for education purpose to analyze the candle stick pattern, rsi and expected next levels as per fibonacci levels. this is not buy or sell call, any trading on this counter will be at your own risk.
NSE:NATIONALUM
by hardeepssethi
My precious-s-s-s EPSIn the previous post , we began looking at the Income statement that the company publishes for each quarter and year. The report contains important information about different types of profits : gross profit, operating income, pretax income, and net income. Net income can serve both as a source of further investment in the business and as a source of dividend payments to shareholders (of course, if a majority of shareholders vote to pay dividends). Now let's break down the types of stock on which dividends can be paid. There are only two: preferred stock and common stock . We know from my earlier post that a stock gives you the right to vote at a general meeting of shareholders, the right to receive dividends if the majority voted for them, and the right to part of the bankrupt company's assets if something is left after paying all debts to creditors. So, this is all about common stock. But sometimes a company, along with its common stock, also issues so-called preferred stock. What advantages do they have over common stock? - They give priority rights to receive dividends. That is, if shareholders have decided to pay dividends, the owners of preferred shares must receive dividends, but the owners of common shares may be deprived because of the same decision of the shareholders. - The company may provide for a fixed amount of dividend on preferred shares. That is, if the decision was made to pay a dividend, preferred stockholders will receive the fixed dividend that the company established when it issued the shares. - If the company goes bankrupt, the assets that remain after the debts are paid are distributed to the preferred shareholders first, and then to the common shareholders. In exchange for these privileges, the owners of such shares do not have the right to vote at the general meeting of shareholders. It should be said that preferred shares are not often issued, but they do exist in some companies. The specific rights of shareholders of preferred shares are prescribed in the founding documents of the company. Now back to the income statement. Earlier we looked at the concept of net income. Since most investments are made in common stock, it would be useful to know what net income would remain if dividends were paid on preferred stock (I remind you: this depends on the decision of the majority of common stockholders). To do this, the income statement has the following line item: - Net income available to common stockholders (Net income available to common stockholders = Net income - Dividends on preferred stock) When it is calculated, the amount of dividends on preferred stock is subtracted from net income. This is the profit that can be used to pay dividends on common stock. However, shareholders may decide not to pay dividends and use the profits to further develop and grow the company. If they do so, they are acting as true investors. I recall the investing formula from my earlier post : give something now to get more in the future . And so it is here. Instead of deciding to spend profits on dividends now, shareholders may decide to invest profits in the business and get more dividends in the future. Earnings per share or EPS is used to understand how much net income there is per share. EPS is calculated very simply. As you can guess, all you have to do is divide the net income for the common stock by its number: - EPS ( Earnings per share = Net income for common stock / Number of common shares issued). There is an even more accurate measure that I use in my analysis, which is EPS Diluted or Diluted earnings per share : - EPS Diluted ( Diluted earnings per share = Net income for common stock / (Number of common shares issued + Issuer stock options, etc.)). What does "diluted" earnings mean, and when does it occur? For example, to incentivize management to work efficiently, company executives may be offered bonuses not in monetary terms, but in shares that the company will issue in the future. In such a case, the staff would be interested in the stock price increase and would put more effort into achieving profit growth. These additional issues are called Employee stock options (or ESO ). Because the amount of these stock bonuses is known in advance, we can calculate diluted earnings per share. To do so, we divide the profit not by the current number of common shares already issued, but by the current number plus possible additional issues. Thus, this indicator shows a more accurate earnings-per-share figure, taking into account all dilutive factors. The value of EPS or EPS Diluted is so significant for investors that if it does not meet their expectations or, on the contrary, exceeds them, the market may experience significant fluctuations in the share price. Therefore, it is always important to keep an eye on the EPS value. In TradingView the EPS indicator as well as its forecasted value can be seen by clicking on the E button next to the timeline. We will continue to discuss this topic in the next publication. See you soon!
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by Be_Capy
4
Banknifty Possible Trade for Friday Banknifty Support and Resistance For Day Trading 17 feb 2023 Support Zones Frist Support Level For For Long Banknifty - 41645 -41690 Second Support Level For Long Banknifty - 41240 - 41280 Third Support Level For Long Banknifty - 40760 - 40800 Resistance Zones First Resistance Level For Short Banknifty - 41920 -41970 Second Resistance Level For Short Banknifty - 42235 -42275 Third Resistance Level For Short Banknifty - 42675 -42700 Importent Signal for Banknifty Trading from Option Chain Data Analysis Max Pain As per Option Chain Analysis – 41700 PCR ratio as per Option Chain Analysis – 0.76 ( Bullish ) Major Support as Per Banknifty Open Interest Analysis – 40800 Major Resistance as Per Banknifty Open Interest Analysis – 42300 Conclusion For Next Trading Days Bankifty is given Bulish Move Rejected From Budget Day High , If closes above Budget Day High ,then you can go long with Stoploss of budget day High Try To Buy Future Conract or Call Option Near Support Zone and Book Profit At Rsistance Zone Try to Short Banknifty at every Resistaance and Book Profit Near Support Zone Adani Group issue is major concern for market for now . Stock Market Confirm News Edelweiss Mutual Fund raises stake in Yes Bank shares in Jan 2023 Govt cuts windfall tax on crude oil, ATF, export of diesel Indian Railway Finance Corporation (IRFC) stock of Indian Railways fell 2 per cent , It is a Finance Providing Company for Indian Rail .
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by manojshinde27