XAUUSD 23/06 – Bears Losing Steam as FVG Zone Returns to PlayXAUUSD – Gold Sets Up for a Strategic Bounce Amid Fed Dovish Shift and Yield Retreat
📊 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL INSIGHTS – WEEK AHEAD
Gold enters the final week of June with renewed investor focus amid softening Fed rhetoric and weakening US Treasury yields. Here's what Indian traders need to watch:
🔻 Fed Signals & Rate Cut Bets Rising
Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech and comments from FOMC members will shape the tone. Market now prices in a 65% probability of a rate cut in September, according to CME FedWatch.
If Powell leans dovish, expect renewed demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Conversely, hawkish surprises may pressure prices downward.
📉 US Dollar and Bond Yields Losing Momentum
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is retreating after peaking, while 10-year yields hover near 4.23% but fail to break higher.
Weakening yields and profit-taking on the dollar strengthen the safe-haven narrative for gold, particularly attractive to Indian investors during times of global volatility.
🌍 Geopolitical Tensions & Capital Flow Rotation
Ongoing concerns in the Middle East, Ukraine, and Indo-Pacific increase gold’s appeal as a hedge.
Institutions have started rotating capital from equities to safe-haven assets. ETF inflows and central bank reserves—particularly from China and India—underline long-term accumulation.
🧠 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – STRUCTURE & SENTIMENT
On the H1 chart, XAUUSD remains within a broader descending channel but has printed a potential reversal setup from the BUY ZONE (3327–3325).
The recent drop filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG), offering strong confluence support.
Price action shows early signs of accumulation with bullish divergence on RSI and price holding above the trendline support.
Immediate resistance is seen at 3355–3360, with stronger supply anticipated near the SELL ZONE (3398–3400), aligning with a high-timeframe trendline.
🎯 TRADING PLAN – UPDATED FOR SHORT/MEDIUM TERM
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325
SL: 3320
TP: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → ???
This zone aligns with key structural support and the base of FVG. A break above 3360 may trigger acceleration toward 3375–3390.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3405
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360
Ideal area to fade potential spikes driven by news or sentiment. Look for rejection wicks or RSI divergence before entering.
⚖️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
With central banks tilting toward easing, gold may reclaim dominance as a macro hedge. India’s gold imports are expected to increase if prices consolidate below 3350. Patience and discipline around key zones are critical—let price validate direction.
Analysis
Analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) Weekly ChartHistorical Trend: The chart shows Apple Inc.'s stock price on a weekly timeframe from 2022 to mid-2025. The stock exhibited a strong upward trend from 2022 to early 2025, with notable growth followed by periods of consolidation and correction.
Key Levels:
Resistance: The $201.00-$197.62 range (green line) has acted as a significant resistance level. The price recently broke above this zone, suggesting potential bullish momentum.
Support: The $164.82 level (red line) has served as a major support zone. The stock tested this level during a recent decline and rebounded, indicating its strength.
Recent Price Action: After reaching a peak near $201.00, the stock entered a descending triangle pattern (black trendline). A breakout above the resistance at $201.00 is evident, accompanied by an upward projection (blue arrow), hinting at a possible continuation of the bullish trend.
Projected Movement: The upward projection suggests the stock could target levels around $240.00-$260.00 if the breakout holds. However, a failure to maintain above $201.00 might lead to a retest of the $164.82 support.
Volume and Indicators: The chart includes Bollinger Bands (O197.30 H201.70 L195.07 C201.00) with a -4.55 (-2.22%) change, indicating recent volatility. Specific volume data is not detailed, but the breakout suggests increasing buying pressure.
Outlook: The stock is currently in a bullish phase following the breakout above $201.00.
Maintaining above this level could drive further gains, while a drop below might signal a return to the $164.82 support. Close monitoring of price action around these levels is recommended.
GAIL (INDIA) - Possible Reversal on the corner...GAIL (India) Ltd – 1H Chart Analysis (NSE) | June 21, 2025
Spotted a potential setup with key institutional footprints on the 1H chart:
🟥 Liquidity Pool Grab: Price dipped into the liquidity zone (SL sweep of previous buyers), potentially clearing weak hands.
📉 Shakeout Sell-Off: A sharp decline hints at a textbook shakeout—classic Wyckoff-style distribution at work.
✅ Daily POI + No Supply Bar: Price tapped into a higher timeframe (Daily) Point of Interest, accompanied by a low-volume no-supply bar—suggesting buyer strength.
🔁 Possible Reversal Brewing: Early signs of bullish intent emerging. Watching this zone for confirmation.
🎯 Targets in Sight:
Target 1: ₹190
Target 2: ₹200
Patience pays !!! —waiting for a break of structure and strength to follow through.
Compression Before Expansion: Market Awaits Its Next MoveBTCUSD – Compression Before Expansion: Market Awaits Its Next Move
Bitcoin is trading within a compressed structure after rejecting key resistance and retesting support. While the overall sentiment remains cautious, the technical setup is beginning to show signs of strength — if buyers can reclaim control.
🧭 Macro Check-In: Calm Before the Crypto Storm?
No rate cut from the Fed yet, but markets are starting to price in the possibility of a pause in Q3 or Q4.
ETF inflows slowing, but institutional positions are not closing — suggesting long-term conviction remains.
Political momentum in the US is shifting towards crypto adoption, with Bitcoin emerging as a talking point in election debates.
Dollar index (DXY) continues to chop, giving crypto room to breathe if inflation data remains mild.
In short: liquidity is building, but the trigger hasn’t fired — yet.
📊 Chart Structure (H1–H4): Levels That Matter
BTC is holding just above 103,100, a key level where previous demand stepped in.
The mid-range resistance lies at 104,184 — this needs to break for bulls to gain short-term control.
Above that, eyes are on 106,047, then 107,586 (top of the descending channel).
EMA alignment is still bearish → wait for structure shift, not FOMO.
📌 Trade Map
🔵 Buy Setup
Zone: 103,100 – 103,300
Condition: Bullish reaction + rejection wick / engulfing
SL: 102,600
TP: 104,184 → 106,047 → 107,586
🔴 Sell Setup (Only if trap triggers)
Zone: 107,500 – 107,800
Condition: Rejection + volume fade
SL: 108,200
TP: 106,000 → 104,500
🧠 Trader Insight
“When the chart compresses, smart money positions early.”
Bitcoin is not trending — it's accumulating or distributing. Retail is waiting for breakout. Smart traders are preparing for both scenarios.
Watch the reaction, not the prediction.
Stay objective. Let levels lead the logic.
Institutions Option Database Trading Part-5 Risk Management in Option Trading
Even with data, risk control is key:
Max 2% capital risk per trade.
Hedge with opposite option.
Avoid low liquidity options.
Always track IV, PCR, OI live.
Building a Custom Option Scanner
With databases and logic, you can create a personal scanner for:
High IV options
OI breakout zones
PCR + Max Pain alert
Theta-rich expiry trades
Long Term Database TradingHow Institutions Use Option Databases
🔍 Institutional Insights:
Banks & HFTs (High-Frequency Traders) run option strategies over petabytes of data.
Real-time arbitrage opportunities are found using option databases.
They model Vega, Theta & IV impact per stock and expiry.
Example Institutional Workflow:
Pull 10 years of NIFTY options.
Train ML model to predict next-day IV.
Execute based on high-probability straddles/strangles.
Exit before expiry using trailing delta hedge.
Database Trading Introduction to Database Option Trading
Database Option Trading is an advanced strategy where traders use massive historical and real-time market data stored in structured databases to identify profitable option trades. Unlike conventional trading, this approach focuses on data-driven decision-making—leveraging algorithms, statistics, and pattern recognition rather than pure technical/fundamental analysis.
2. The Role of Data in Option Trading
Types of Data Used:
Option Chain Data: Strike prices, premiums, LTP, OI, IV, volume.
Historical Data: Past price action, volatility, Greeks, PCR.
Sentiment Data: FII/DII positions, news sentiment.
Real-Time Market Feeds: Tick-by-tick updates.
Macroeconomic Data: Interest rates, inflation, events.
XAUUSD – Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend?XAUUSD – Goldman Sachs Issues a Storm Warning: Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend?
As gold continues to trade in a narrow range for the sixth week, one major catalyst could be on the horizon — Goldman Sachs has issued a bold warning about the US debt crisis. Indian traders, this may be the signal we’ve been waiting for…
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US DEBT SET TO BREAK WWII RECORDS
US public debt is approaching historic highs, with interest payments projected to exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — surpassing even defense and healthcare spending.
Goldman warns that if urgent action isn’t taken, the US may face aggressive fiscal tightening, which could shrink GDP without lowering the debt-to-GDP ratio.
Root causes: overspending, rising interest rates, and deep political division.
📌 For Indian investors, such instability in the US economy tends to weaken the USD and increase demand for gold, which has always been a trusted asset in Indian households and institutional portfolios alike.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (Updated – M30/H1)
Gold remains within a strong descending channel, and price action is currently showing signs of a bearish continuation setup.
The zone at 3,338.422 is acting as a mid-pivot. A pullback to the upper trendline (around 3,368.048) is expected before the next leg lower.
EMA ribbons are stacked downward, confirming short-term bearish momentum.
If the bounce toward 3,368 fails to break out, we expect price to revisit the FVG zone near 3,325.783, and possibly extend toward 3,309.256.
✅ TRADING PLAN (Unchanged Zones)
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308
SL: 3303
TP: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323
SL: 3318
TP: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → ???
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420
SL: 3424
TP: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398
SL: 3403
TP: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370
💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS
As we close the trading week, market liquidity may spike suddenly after Thursday’s US bank holiday. This could trigger a decisive move — either a breakout or a trap.
✅ Stick to your SL/TP, avoid emotional trading, and let the market confirm the direction.
Gold remains structurally bearish, but any shift in global sentiment — especially driven by US debt concerns — could flip the script fast.
Watch. Plan. Execute. Let the market come to you.
Learn Institution Trading Part -6Introduction to Institutional Option Trading
Institutional option trading refers to the sophisticated strategies used by hedge funds, mutual funds, insurance companies, proprietary trading firms, and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) to manage portfolios, hedge risks, and generate consistent alpha from the derivatives market. Unlike retail traders, institutions operate with large capital, access to advanced technology, and deep market insights, allowing them to structure complex trades.
2. Why Institutions Trade Options
Institutions don’t usually trade options for quick profits. Their trades are designed to meet broader objectives:
Hedging Equity Portfolios
Volatility Trading
Generating Yield on Holdings
Market Making and Arbitrage
Directional or Non-directional Speculation
3. Core Institutional Option Strategies
Let’s explore the most popular strategies that institutions use with real-world logic behind them.
A. Covered Call (Buy-Write)
Use: Income generation from long-term stock holdings
Structure: Buy stock + Sell Call Option (OTM or ATM)
Institutional Use Case:
A mutual fund holding Reliance shares might sell monthly call options against its holdings to generate monthly income (premium), enhancing total returns.
Option Trading How Institutions Operate:
Use Option Greeks (Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega) for precise positioning
Follow OI (Open Interest) data for liquidity zones
Monitor FIIs/DII data from NSE reports
Combine options with futures arbitrage or cash segment hedging
🔹 Tools Used by Institutions:
Bloomberg Terminal
Custom-built Quant Models
NSE Option Chain + IV Analysis
Algo-driven trading based on volatility signals
Learn Institution Trading What is Institutional Option Trading?
It refers to large-scale option strategies used by hedge funds, banks, and FIIs to manage risk, hedge portfolios, or create directional bets with high precision.
🔹 Key Institutional Strategies:
Buy-Write (Covered Call):
Holding stocks and selling calls to earn premium.
Protective Put:
Buying puts as insurance to hedge stock positions.
Multi-leg Spreads (Iron Condor, Butterfly):
Neutral strategies to profit from range-bound markets.
Put-Call Ratio Analysis (PCR):
Gauging market sentiment from institutional flow.
Advanced Divergence Trading What is Divergence?
Divergence happens when the price moves in the opposite direction of an indicator (like RSI, MACD, or Momentum). It signals a possible trend reversal or trend weakening.
🔹 Types of Divergence:
Regular Divergence (Trend Reversal):
Bullish: Price makes lower lows, but indicator makes higher lows → Reversal up
Bearish: Price makes higher highs, but indicator makes lower highs → Reversal down
Hidden Divergence (Trend Continuation):
Bullish: Price makes higher lows, indicator makes lower lows → Trend continuation up
Bearish: Price makes lower highs, indicator makes higher highs → Trend continuation down
🔹 Advanced Tips:
Use on higher timeframes for accuracy
Confirm with volume, trendlines, or price action
Combine with support/resistance or Fibonacci zones
🔹 Pro Tools to Use:
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
Stochastic Oscillator
OBV (On Balance Volume)
Support and Resistance ExplainedWhat is Support?
Support is a price level where a stock tends to stop falling due to increased buying interest. Traders view it as a demand zone where bulls often enter the market.
Example: If Reliance repeatedly bounces from ₹2,700, that level is acting as support.
🔹 What is Resistance?
Resistance is a level where a stock tends to stop rising due to selling pressure. It's a supply zone where bears usually take control.
Example: If Nifty keeps failing to cross 23,500, it's a resistance level.
🔹 Why They Matter:
Help in identifying entry and exit points
Show where trend reversals may occur
Aid in setting stop-loss and targets
🔹 How to Spot Them:
Look for price bounces or rejections
Use tools: horizontal lines, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements
Confirm with volume spikes
🔹 Key Strategy:
Buy near support (low risk)
Sell near resistance (high probability)
Trade breakouts or reversals with confirmation
Support and Resistance Support Level:
A price level where demand is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. It's like a floor—buyers enter here expecting prices to rise.
Example: If Nifty falls to 22,000 repeatedly and bounces back, 22,000 becomes a support level.
🔹 Resistance Level:
A price level where selling pressure overcomes buying, preventing prices from rising. It's like a ceiling—sellers dominate at this level.
Example: If Bank Nifty rises to 50,000 but fails to move above, 50,000 is resistance.
📊 How to Identify Them:
Historical price charts
Trendlines
Moving averages
Fibonacci levels
Volume analysis
📈 Use in Trading:
Buy near support
Sell near resistance
Use breakout strategy when price breaches either level
GOLD GEARS UP FOR THE NEXT MOVE? All Eyes on Middle East & FedXAUUSD – GOLD GEARS UP FOR THE NEXT MOVE? All Eyes on Middle East & Fed
🌐 MACRO VIEW – WHAT'S MOVING GOLD?
🔺 Fed stays on hold, but Powell remains hawkish – His recent speech signals that inflation may persist due to ongoing geopolitical risks and rising commodity costs...
🔥 Middle East tensions could be the game-changer for gold prices:
If the US steps in as a mediator to de-escalate tensions between Israel and Iran, gold could see a deeper correction toward the 3,357–3,345 support zone, possibly lower...
On the other hand, Trump’s reported alignment with Israel and possible airstrikes on Iran would likely send gold soaring back to 3,417–3,440 levels, acting as a safe haven trigger.
📉 TECHNICAL SETUP (M30)
Gold is moving inside a descending channel, compressing within key EMAs (13–34–89–200).
A potential inverse head & shoulders pattern is forming at the bottom, signaling possible bullish breakout if confirmed.
Support remains firm around 3,345–3,357, while price struggles to break above the upper trendline.
✅ TRADING PLAN
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,345 – 3,357
Entry: Look for bullish rejection and confirmation
SL: Below 3,342
TP: 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403 → 3,417 → 3,440
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,417 – 3,440
Entry: Wait for rejection and bearish confirmation near resistance
SL: Above 3,445
TP: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,373 → 3,357
💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS
Even though the broader trend remains bullish, gold is not yet ready for a breakout – consolidation continues. Smart traders should stay patient, watch for clean setups, and manage risk well. Keep an eye on political developments, especially involving Iran, Israel, and the US, as they could trigger sharp moves in gold.
Trade smart. Let the market come to you.
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 5Institutional Tools & Platforms
Bloomberg Terminal / Reuters Eikon: Institutional-grade data
FIX Protocols: For high-frequency option order routing
Quant Models: Statistical arbitrage using Python/R
Option Analytics Engines: Measure IV Skew, Smile, Surface modeling
Institutions don’t just trade options—they engineer risk-managed portfolios using AI and predictive analytics.
Option Chain Analysis for Traders
Option Chain provides a list of all available option contracts for a stock/index.
Key Elements:
Strike Prices
Call & Put Prices
Open Interest (OI)
Volume
Implied Volatility (IV)
Change in OI
Interpretation:
High OI + Rising Price = Strong Trend
IV Surge = High Volatility Expectation
PCR (Put-Call Ratio) = Market Sentiment Indicator
PCR > 1: Bearish sentiment
PCR < 1: Bullish sentiment
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 3Why Trade Options?
Hedging against portfolio loss
Leverage with limited capital
Income generation through strategies like covered calls
Directional trading using strategies like long calls or puts
Investment Strategy using Options
LEAPS (Long-Term Equity Anticipation Securities): Investing in long-term call options
Covered Calls: Generate income while holding stocks
Cash-Secured Puts: Earn premium while waiting to buy a stock at lower price
These are often used by investors to add flexibility and income to portfolios.
Advanced Institutions Option TradingFinancial Market is a marketplace where assets such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and derivatives (like options) are bought and sold.
Key components:
Equity Markets – Shares of companies
Debt Markets – Government or corporate bonds
Derivatives Market – Futures, Options
Currency and Commodity Markets
Options are financial contracts giving the buyer the right (not obligation) to buy/sell an asset at a set price before a specific date.
✅ Types of Options:
Call Option: Right to Buy
Put Option: Right to Sell
✅ Key Terminologies:
Strike Price: Agreed price to buy/sell
Premium: Cost of the option
Expiration Date: Validity of the contract
ITM/ATM/OTM: In-the-money / At-the-money / Out-of-the-money
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS – BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRO📈 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 1H ANALYSIS – BULLISH STRUCTURE HOLDING STRONG! 🚀✨
🔍 Overview:
Gold is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel 📊, showing clear bullish intent. Price action has respected the lower channel support, bouncing strongly from a key demand zone highlighted in blue.
🟦 Support Zone:
The price is consolidating just above the $3,385–$3,390 support zone 🛡️, which has acted as a springboard multiple times in the past. This area aligns perfectly with the lower trendline, increasing its reliability.
📍 Key Price Targets:
🎯 $3,402 – First breakout confirmation and minor resistance.
🎯 $3,422 – Mid-level target, possible resistance.
🎯 $3,452 – High-probability target if bullish momentum continues.
🎯 $3,460+ – Extended target aligning with the channel top.
📈 Technical Structure:
Price is respecting higher lows and higher highs, maintaining bullish momentum.
A breakout above $3,402 could trigger the next leg up.
Market is forming a bullish flag/pennant consolidation—potential breakout pending ⏳.
⚠️ Risk Zone:
A break below the demand zone and the channel could invalidate the bullish setup ❌. Close monitoring of lower structure is essential.
✅ Conclusion:
As long as price holds above the key support zone and within the ascending channel, bullish continuation remains the favored scenario. A breakout above interim resistance levels could send Gold toward $3,450+! 🌟📊
🔔 Watch for bullish confirmation candles or volume spikes before entry!
📅 Chart published: June 18, 2025 | XAU/USD | 1H timeframe
🧠 Strategy: Bullish breakout play 📈
💡 Sentiment: Moderately Bullish ♻️
Gold Consolidates Ahead of Fed: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?🟡 XAUUSD 18/06 – Gold Consolidates Ahead of Fed: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?
🌐 MACRO & SENTIMENT OVERVIEW
The US Dollar Index (DXY) gained 0.7% to start the week, as markets anticipate the Fed may keep rates higher for longer due to rising oil prices and global geopolitical uncertainty.
However, with the upcoming FOMC meeting and US retail sales data, there is a strong potential for a shift in tone if growth shows signs of weakness.
Geopolitical tensions – particularly in the Middle East (Israel–Iran conflict) – continue to support gold’s defensive appeal, even as short-term profit-taking creates volatility.
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – M30 Chart
Gold is currently trading inside a descending channel, but price structure remains above EMA 13–34–89, keeping the potential for a bullish reversal alive.
Liquidity has been absorbed multiple times near 3,345, aligning with dynamic support from trendline and horizontal structure → a key decision zone for bulls.
On the upside, resistance between 3,440 – 3,445 remains a critical distribution zone, likely to trigger sell reactions if price fails to break convincingly.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343
SL: 3339
TP: 3350 – 3354 – 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3380 – 3400 – ???
📌 This zone overlaps with trendline and recent demand areas. Watch for bullish price action confirmation (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) before entering. If confirmed, we expect a strong bounce targeting the upper channel and beyond.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444
SL: 3448
TP: 3438 – 3434 – 3430 – 3425 – 3420 – 3410 – 3400
📌 This is a strong supply area that has rejected price multiple times. Look for reversal signals like bearish divergence or rejection wicks to consider short entries.
✅ SUMMARY
Gold is caught in a critical reaccumulation zone ahead of the FOMC statement. Patience is key: allow the market to react at liquidity zones and follow price behavior instead of chasing moves.
Stick to your zones – protect your capital – and let the setups come to you.
Gold Consolidating at Key Support: Is the Next Move a Reversal?XAUUSD 17 June – Gold Consolidating at Key Support: Is the Next Move a Reversal?
After a strong rally to 3,448 – the highest level in 8 weeks – gold faced profit booking and pulled back sharply towards 3,385. However, price is now sitting at a critical confluence of technical zones, and smart money may be preparing for the next strategic leg. Let’s decode the structure...
🌐 Macro & Market Sentiment
Geopolitical heat remains: Israel–Iran tension is far from cooling. Trump's statements about evacuating Tehran and pushing for a new nuclear deal are fueling safe-haven demand.
Fed policy meeting + US Retail Sales ahead: These upcoming events will shape inflation expectations and rate path clarity. Traders are cautious but alert.
Capital rotation: Large funds may be temporarily exiting gold and shifting into oil and stocks—triggering short-term volatility, not trend reversals.
📊 Technical Breakdown (M30-H1 Confluence)
Trend channel: Gold is currently trading within a descending short-term channel after failing to hold above the 3,440–3,448 supply zone.
EMA alignment (13-34-89-200): Squeezing closer, indicating momentum exhaustion and possible bullish crossover if support holds.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) + historical support + ascending trendline align near 3,345 → strong liquidity pocket forming here.
🎯 Trade Setups for Today
✅ BUY Setup (Liquidity Rebound)
BUY ZONE: 3,344 – 3,342
SL: 3,338
Targets:
→ 3,348 → 3,352 → 3,356 → 3,360
→ 3,364 → 3,368 → 3,372 → 3,380+
🧠 Ideal entry if price forms bullish rejection candle in this zone, especially during London open. Look for long-tail or inside bar confirmation.
⚠️ SELL Setup (Scalp-Only if Rejected)
SELL ZONE: 3,440 – 3,442
SL: 3,446
Targets:
→ 3,436 → 3,432 → 3,428 → 3,424
→ 3,420 → 3,415 → 3,410
📌 Only short if there's strong rejection from this supply zone. No blind entry—wait for clear bearish momentum or reversal wick with high volume.
🧭 Market Psychology
Retail traders were trapped on the breakout—smart money likely unloading at highs.
Price is now retracing to gather liquidity. If the 3,344 zone holds, we could see a powerful impulsive recovery.
Don’t trade the noise — trade the zones. Volume behavior around these levels will reveal market intention.
📌 Final Thoughts
This is a classic case of controlled retracement after a breakout. If gold finds support at the BUY ZONE, the next bullish wave could target 3,400+ again. But if the 3,345 area fails, deeper correction toward 3,320 is possible.
🧘♂️ Stay patient. Let price come to you.
✅ Follow structure, respect SL, and trade with clarity.
Gold Drops After Asian FOMO: Bull Trap or Liquidity Grab?🟡 XAUUSD 16/06 – Gold Drops After Asian FOMO: Bull Trap or Liquidity Grab?
After a strong bullish rally in the Asian session driven by fear-based headlines and war news, gold (XAUUSD) suddenly reversed sharply — confusing many retail traders who jumped in late. But when we look deeper into price behavior and volume, the story becomes clearer...
📌 Key Fundamental Insights
🔸 Geopolitical headlines (war tensions, assassination attempts) triggered a FOMO rally in gold early in Asia.
🔸 However, the lack of follow-through volume suggests this may have been a bull trap—a smart money strategy to unload positions into emotional buying.
🔸 Big funds could be reallocating capital temporarily from gold into:
🔹 Stocks (tech & value sectors are correcting attractively)
🔹 Oil (Middle East tension = higher oil price = strong institutional interest)
🔍 Technical Outlook (M30 Chart)
The technical structure shows a textbook liquidity play:
🔻 Price spiked into resistance at 3456, then reversed
🧊 EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening → signs of potential bearish crossover on M15–M30
📉 Volume has been declining → confirms exhaustion of the FOMO move
📦 A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) sits below current price, acting as a magnet for liquidity
🎯 Strategy Setup
Scenario 1: BUY from FVG (Liquidity Reclaim)
Entry: 3383 – 3385
SL: 3377
TPs: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+
Structure favors a bounce from this zone if confirmed by price action during London or NY sessions.
Scenario 2: SELL if price re-tests 3456–3458
Entry: Only on clear rejection
SL: 3462
TPs: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430
⚠️ Avoid shorting blindly — only trade confirmed rejections with strong candle setups.
Market Psychology Right Now
Big players may be unloading gold to rotate into oil and equities
Asian FOMO = retail got trapped
Volume profile shows imbalance: market likely seeking liquidity lower before moving higher again
📝 Final Thoughts
Gold is in a volatile reaccumulation zone. Rather than chasing price, it’s better to let the market come to your planned zones. The 3383–3385 zone will be critical. If it holds, we may see a solid bounce into next week.
Discipline beats emotion. Respect your SL and stick to the zone logic.
📌 Follow for intraday updates. Will post re-entry plan during London session if price reacts early.
Option Trading Master class Part -7Fundamentals of Stock Investing
Types of Investors:
Value Investors: Focus on undervalued companies
Growth Investors: Target high-growth potential stocks
Dividend Investors: Prefer regular income from dividends
Research Parameters:
Earnings per Share (EPS)
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
Return on Equity (ROE)
Debt-to-Equity Ratio
Industry Trends
Tools for Investing:
Demat and Trading Account
Research Platforms (e.g., TradingView, Screener.in)
Portfolio Tracker (e.g., Zerodha Console)