Analysis
Learn Institutional options trading Part-5Future of Options Trading in India
What Lies Ahead:
More weekly expiries (e.g., MIDCPNIFTY)
Improved retail education
Stricter compliance and reporting
Rise in algo trading and automation
Integration with global exchanges (GIFT City)
With platforms like NSE IFSC, Indian traders may soon get access to international stock derivatives from Indian soil.
Learn Institutional options trading Part-6Psychology & Discipline in Options Trading
Success in options requires:
Defined trading plan
Strict risk-reward ratio
Avoiding revenge trades
Avoiding overtrading on expiry days
Regular review and journaling of trades
Emotional control and discipline are more important than strategy in consistent profitability.
Option Trading Part-7If you're looking for a simple options trading definition, it goes something like this: Options trading gives you the right or obligation to buy or sell a specific security on or by a specific date at a specific price. An option is a contract that's linked to an underlying asset, such as a stock or another security.
The Indian stock market has witnessed significant growth in recent decades, transforming from a manually operated environment to a digital, highly regulated, and globally integrated system. Among the many financial instruments available, options trading has emerged as one of the most dynamic and potentially rewarding strategies for traders and investors.
Reliance levels for swing tradingAccording to a recent analysis, the important levels are:
Current Price & Context
-- CMP: ₹1,449.4 (up ~0.4%)
-- Technical outlook: Rated a Strong Buy with RSI ≈ 63 and positive MACD signals
Pivot & CPR Levels
Daily (Classic) Pivot Points
Pivot (P): ₹1,444.00
Support: S1 = 1,436.50; S2 = 1,429.50; S3 = 1,422.00
Resistance: R1 = 1,451.00; R2 = 1,458.50; R3 = 1,465.50
Daily CPR:
Bottom Central (BC) = 1,444.25
Central = 1,444.00
Top Central (TC) = 1,443.75
Weekly Pivot Points
Pivot: ₹1,431.27
Support: S1 = 1,407.83; S2 = 1,372.17
Resistance: R1 = 1,466.93; R2 = 1,490.37
Sensex levels for swing tradingAccording to a recent analysis, the important levels are:
Index Level: 82,517 (+0.33% in past 24 hrs)
Weekly High/Low Range: ~82,300 to ~80,984
Previous Swing Support Zone: ~80,500–81,000 (notable bounce area)
Long:
Entry: around 81,350 with bullish candle + RSI rising from oversold
Stop‑loss: ~81,000
Targets: 82,660 → 83,514, aiming for ≥2:1 reward-to-risk ratio
Short:
Entry: around 82,660 if bearish pattern forms and MACD divergence is seen
Stop‑loss: ~83,600
Targets: 81,824 → 81,350
Banknifty levels for swing tradingAccording to a recent analysis, the important levels are:
Trend‑deciding pivot: 56,713
Primary resistance zones: 56,948, 57,184, 57,420, 57,666
Support zones: 56,578, 56,241, 55,706, 55,534
A dip toward 56,578–56,713 is a potential long entry, targeting 56,948 and beyond.
A break below 56,241 opens doors to deeper support around 55,700–55,500.
Waiting for the Breakout: Consolidation or Trend Continuation?XAUUSD – Waiting for the Breakout: Consolidation or Trend Continuation?
Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a narrowing range, building momentum after rebounding from the 3.276 support area. Despite short-term uncertainties, the overall macroeconomic landscape continues to favor bullish scenarios — though key resistance levels must be cleared to confirm continuation.
🌍 MACRO & MARKET SENTIMENT
USD Weakness: The DXY continues to trade under pressure, increasing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold.
US–China Trade Talks: Ongoing high-level negotiations in London could either ease geopolitical tensions or fuel safe-haven demand, depending on outcomes.
Global Risk Appetite: With US debt ceiling concerns still looming and the Fed showing hesitancy to cut rates soon, gold remains in focus as a hedge.
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (30M–H1)
The price has formed a descending wedge structure and is hovering near key EMAs (13–34–89–200).
A breakout above 3,334 could trigger a short-term bullish wave, while failure at this zone would likely lead to deeper correction toward 3,276 or lower.
📍 STRATEGIC KEY LEVELS
Resistance: 3,334 – 3,336 – 3,362 – 3,390
Support: 3,300 – 3,276 – 3,250
🧭 TRADING SCENARIOS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,276 – 3,274
SL: 3,270
TP: 3,280 → 3,284 → 3,288 → 3,292 → 3,296 → 3,300
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3,334 – 3,336
SL: 3,340
TP: 3,330 → 3,326 → 3,322 → 3,318 → 3,314 → 3,310
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,362 – 3,364
SL: 3,368
TP: 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,346 → 3,340 → 3,335 → 3,330 → 3,320
✅ SUMMARY
Gold remains in a critical range, and traders should focus on well-defined zones to capitalize on volatility. Use confirmation-based entries and respect risk parameters — especially as macro headlines and technical patterns align for a potential breakout.
India’s Growth Story & Sectoral RotationTopic: India’s Growth Story & Sectoral Rotation
Slide 1: Introduction to India’s Growth Story
India is one of the world’s fastest-growing major economies. With strong demographics, reform-driven policies, and rising consumption, India is projected to become the third-largest economy by 2030.
Key Drivers of Growth:
Youth population & rising middle class
Government capex & infrastructure push
Tech innovation & digital economy
Global supply chain diversification (China+1)
Slide 2: Macroeconomic Tailwinds
✅ Stable GDP growth (6.5–7.5% range)
✅ Controlled inflation & improving fiscal health
✅ Strong forex reserves
✅ Structural reforms (GST, IBC, PLI schemes)
✅ FDI inflows & domestic manufacturing boost
Slide 3: Understanding Sectoral Rotation
Sectoral rotation is the shift in investor preference from one sector to another based on economic cycles, interest rates, or valuation changes. Smart investors track these rotations to maximize returns.
Why It Matters:
Not all sectors perform at the same time
Aligns portfolio with macro & earnings trends
Helps avoid underperforming sectors
Slide 4: Economic Cycle vs. Sector Performance
Economic Phase = Leading Sectors
Early Recovery = Auto, Capital Goods
Mid Expansion = Banking, Infra, IT
Peak FMCG, = Pharma
Slowdown Utilities, = Healthcare
Rotation typically happens quarterly to annually, often influenced by budget, RBI policy, and global cues.
Slide 5: Recent & Future Sector Trends
2023-2024 Themes:
Capital Goods & Infra: Capex surge
PSU Banks: Balance sheet revival
Defence & Railways: Govt-led spending
IT & FMCG: Facing margin pressure, expect rotation soon
Green Energy & EV: Emerging megatrends
2025 Outlook:
Watch for rotation into Financials, Consumption, Manufacturing, and selective Midcaps as earnings visibility improves.
Slide 6: Smart Investment Strategies
🔹 Use Sectoral/Thematic Mutual Funds or ETFs
🔹 Monitor quarterly earnings and sectoral updates
🔹 Combine with Smart SIP & dynamic asset allocation
🔹 Stay updated with policy announcements (Union Budget, RBI)
Open Interest & Option Chain Analysis Topic: Open Interest & Option Chain Analysis
1: What is Open Interest (OI)?
Simple Meaning:
Open Interest means the total number of active option or futures contracts in the market that haven’t been closed yet.
Easy Example:
If you and your friend enter into a new option trade, the open interest is 1. If someone else joins with a new trade, it becomes 2. But if you close your trade, it becomes 1 again.
What It Tells You:
If OI is increasing, more people are joining the market.
If OI is decreasing, traders are exiting their trades.
Combine OI with Price Movement:
Price going up + OI going up = New buying → Bullish
Price going down + OI going up = New selling → Bearish
Price going up + OI going down = Traders exiting shorts → Short covering
Price going down + OI going down = Traders exiting longs → Profit booking
2: What is an Option Chain?
Simple Meaning:
Option Chain is a table that shows all the call and put options for a stock at different strike prices.
What You’ll See in an Option Chain:
Strike Price: The price you agree to buy/sell.
Calls (CE): Right to buy.
Puts (PE): Right to sell.
Open Interest (OI): How many contracts are active.
Volume: How many were traded today.
LTP: Latest price of that option.
3: How to Read Option Chain Like a Pro
1. Spot the Support Levels:
Look for the highest OI on the put (PE) side → Big money sees this as support.
2. Spot the Resistance Levels:
Look for the highest OI on the call (CE) side → Traders think price won't go above this.
3. Track Market Mood:
If more puts are being written (PE OI going up) → Traders are bullish.
If more calls are being written (CE OI going up) → Traders are bearish.
4. PCR (Put Call Ratio):
PCR > 1 → More puts than calls = Bullish
PCR < 1 → More calls than puts = Bearish
PURVAPURVA has given breakout of resistance after a consolidation.
Moving above 20ema. Now there is probability of an upside move.
✅ If you like my analysis, please follow me as a token of appreciation :)
in.tradingview.com/u/SatpalS/
📌 For learning and educational purposes only, not a recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before investing.
Advance Institutions Option Trading - Lecture 5When it comes to low risk options strategies, selling a call spread and selling a put spread are techniques that traders often utilize. These strategies are characterized by a high probability of profit due to the low probability of loss, and they limit risk in case the trade doesn't go as planned.
While day traders look at minute-to-minute price changes, swing traders look at trends that play out over several days. This is considered one of the most profitable trading types that allows more flexibility, as you don't need to be glued to your computer screen all day.
Advance Institutions Option Trading - Lecture 3Options trading might feel like gambling on a single trade, but informed decisions make it fundamentally different. Reckless trading without a plan can resemble gambling but is not the proper way to trade. With discipline and skill, options trading stands apart from luck-based activities.
Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Certain requirements must be met to trade options. Before engaging in the purchase or sale of options, investors should understand the nature of and extent of their rights and obligations and be aware of the risks involved in investing with options.
Advance Institutions Option Trading - Lecture 4If you're looking for a simple options trading definition, it goes something like this: Options trading gives you the right or obligation to buy or sell a specific security on or by a specific date at a specific price. An option is a contract that's linked to an underlying asset, such as a stock or another security.
Options trading also involves two parties: the holder (buyer) and the writer (sometimes called the seller). Holders are investors who purchase contracts, while writers create them. The holder pays the writer a premium for the right to sell or buy a stock by a certain date.
Advance Institutions Option Trading - Lecture 1Institutional traders are professionals trading for large entities like mutual funds, hedge funds, etc. Oftentimes they will trade options to hedge their positions, but they may also trade options as pure speculation.
Equirus Securities is one of the leading domestic institutional equities brokerage firms in India with more than 180 companies under over coverage and empanelment with almost all domestic institutions and many leading FIIs.
NFP STORM BREWING: WILL GOLD BREAK HIGHER OR DIVE LOWER?XAUUSD – NFP STORM BREWING: WILL GOLD BREAK HIGHER OR DIVE LOWER?
Gold enters a highly sensitive phase ahead of tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release – one of the most influential data points for global financial markets. With US-China trade tensions rekindling and sovereign debt concerns mounting in the US, the yellow metal could experience a major breakout or a sharp reversal during the New York session.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OUTLOOK
US-China trade talks have resurfaced, with concerns around tariffs and strategic metals dominating headlines. China's recent stance signals it may take stronger defensive actions.
The US national debt is projected to hit $55 trillion by 2034, prompting global central banks to ramp up gold purchases as a strategic hedge.
Fed Chair Powell reiterated a “no rush to cut” stance, yet political pressure is mounting – especially with Donald Trump urging immediate rate cuts following the weakest ADP job growth in two years.
Unemployment Claims released today came in slightly better than expected (236K vs. 240K), adding fuel to speculations around a softer NFP print – potentially bullish for gold.
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
The chart shows a clean impulsive wave structure. After hitting the resistance zone at 3408–3410, gold entered a consolidation range.
Price is currently hovering around EMA 89–200, suggesting trend divergence and uncertainty ahead of NFP.
A breakdown below the 3344–3332 support zone could push price down to the FVG (Fair Value Gap) at 3320, which may act as a strong liquidity pool for buyers.
⚠️ KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance: 3380 – 3392 – 3408 – 3436
Support: 3365 – 3350 – 3344 – 3332 – 3320
🧭 TRADE SETUPS
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3408 – 3410
Stop Loss: 3415
Take Profit: 3404 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 → 3350
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
✅ CONCLUSION
Gold is poised for a volatile breakout with NFP acting as the key catalyst. A soft jobs report may trigger a breakout above 3410, while stronger-than-expected numbers could fuel a bearish reversal. In this sensitive phase, traders should stick to defined zones and wait for confirmed liquidity reactions rather than chasing price impulsively.
Cummins India: Technical + Fundamental BreakdownIn this video, I dive into Cummins India, combining technical analysis with key fundamental insights. I cover chart patterns, volume action, support/resistance zones, and recent financial performance to help identify a potential investing & swing trade opportunity.
🔍 Perfect for traders who want both data and conviction behind their trades.
Watch, learn, and trade smarter.
Gold Awaits NFP Data: Will It Explode or Break Down from Range?XAUUSD – Gold Awaits NFP Data: Will It Explode or Break Down from Range?
Gold remains in a consolidation phase, coiling tightly ahead of the highly anticipated Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. With traders on edge, the market is poised for a breakout – but in which direction?
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL INSIGHT
Donald Trump reignited pressure on the Federal Reserve, calling for an immediate rate cut, especially after the recent ADP Employment Report showed the weakest job growth in over two years.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, however, maintains a cautious stance, emphasizing that “no rush” to cut rates unless inflation convincingly trends lower.
Meanwhile, U.S. national debt is projected to hit $55 trillion by 2034, with unchecked fiscal expansion. This is fueling a global central bank gold-buying spree, with many purchases not even officially reported.
💡 This confluence of macroeconomic stress, monetary uncertainty, and geopolitical tension is pushing gold into the spotlight as a safe haven.
🔍 MARKET POSITIONING & SHORT-TERM DRIVERS
Unemployment Claims released today: 236K vs previous 240K – slightly positive, but not strong enough to offset weak labor momentum.
Treasury yields remain high (10Y at 4.55%), suggesting that while inflation fears persist, risk appetite is fragile.
The NFP release will likely serve as the catalyst for gold's next directional move, especially as liquidity builds up in a narrowing technical structure.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
Price is consolidating within a sideways range between 3333–3380, forming a classic liquidity trap just below key resistance.
The 3352–3333 zone is a critical structural support. A break below this level opens the door for a dip toward the FVG liquidity zone around 3320–3318.
On the upside, 3388–3400 remains a rejection zone. A clean breakout could target 3409 and even Fibonacci extension resistance at 3435–3445.
🔑 KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS
Resistance: 3388 – 3392 – 3400 – 3409
Support: 3355 – 3333 – 3320 – 3318
🧭 TRADING STRATEGY
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3320 – 3318
SL: 3314
TP: 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3408 – 3410
SL: 3414
TP: 3404 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3370
✅ FINAL THOUGHTS
Gold is currently at the eye of the storm, with both fundamental and technical indicators aligned for volatility. The coming NFP release could tilt the balance sharply.
Stay disciplined: trade key zones only, wait for confirmation, and prioritize risk management. In markets like these, precision beats prediction.
Gold Stalls Ahead of Key Trade TalksGold Stalls Ahead of Key Trade Talks – Will Price Explode Out of the 3345–3370 Range?
After Monday’s explosive rally, gold is currently consolidating within a tight price range. The market is at a critical juncture, awaiting high-level trade talks between the U.S. and China — an event that could serve as a major catalyst for the next directional move.
🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT
A major trade call between Trump and President Xi Jinping is on the horizon. This conversation could reset global trade expectations and potentially trigger large moves in risk assets.
Last week’s strong U.S. jobs data (NFP) pushed back expectations of Fed rate cuts. Treasury yields remain elevated, which is temporarily capping gold’s upside.
Market sentiment is neutral-to-cautious, with traders waiting for confirmation of a breakout or breakdown before committing capital to new positions.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
Gold appears to be in a wave 4 correction, consolidating after completing wave 3.
EMAs remain aligned to the upside (bullish), suggesting the broader trend still favors buyers.
Key range:
Above 3370 → breakout confirmation → momentum push toward 3400–3410
Below 3345 → breakdown → fast dip to 3310–3300 to complete wave 4 and initiate wave 5 upward
🧭 STRATEGIC ZONES
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3317 – 3315
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profits:
3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3345 → 3350 → 3360
This zone aligns with a strong FVG + EMA89 support. A bullish reaction here could provide a high-probability entry for the next impulsive leg upward (wave 5).
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3372 – 3374
Stop Loss: 3378
Take Profits:
3368 → 3364 → 3360 → 3356 → 3350 → 3345
3370 is a critical resistance zone. Any rejection at this level with weak momentum or divergence could open a short-term bearish correction back toward 331x levels.
✅ SUMMARY
Gold is trapped in a decision zone between 3345–3370. The market awaits clarity from macro headlines and technical breakout signals. Until then, traders should watch key levels closely, stay patient, and position accordingly based on price action confirmation at strategic zones.
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Analysis – Potential Breakout Play🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Analysis – Potential Breakout Play 📈
🔎 Key Levels and Zones
Resistance Zone: Around $3,410 – $3,430.
Midpoint/Key Resistance-Turned-Support: Around $3,360 – $3,370.
Support Zone: Around $3,270 – $3,290.
🔀 Chart Structure & Momentum
The price is in a short-term bullish recovery after finding strong support at the $3,270 – $3,290 level.
The breakout above the midpoint around $3,360 is a significant bullish trigger, suggesting that bulls are taking charge.
📊 Scenario Analysis
Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) 🟢: If the price holds above the midpoint ($3,360), we expect a push towards the resistance zone ($3,410 – $3,430). This aligns with the “resistance-flip-support” concept, where the previous resistance becomes a new support base.
Bearish Scenario (Alternate Bias) 🔴: If the price fails to hold above $3,360, a re-test of the support zone ($3,270 – $3,290) is likely. From there, bulls will likely try to defend the area and launch another attempt upwards.
📌 Conclusion
The path of least resistance currently favors the bulls while the $3,360 level holds.
Watch for consolidation near $3,360 – $3,370 as a healthy retest before potential continuation to the upside target zone ($3,410 – $3,430).
📅 Near-Term Bias
Remain cautiously bullish while above $3,360.
A confirmed breakout above $3,410 opens room for further bullish momentum, while a breakdown below $3,360 can re-test the key support at $3,270.
STOCK :- PCBL (SHORT-TERM VIEW )Hello,
Price has seen breaking out a tight range with potential of 7-8% Upside
Points To Consider
- Downward Trendline Breakout
- Tight Range Consolidation Breakout
- 7-8% Upside Possiblity
- Invalid Level Marked
- EMA Cross 10-20
- Big Bar Breakout
NOTE- Wait For Retest
Tll Then, Stay Focused, Keep Following The Markets
MARKET WAITS FOR TRUMP–XI TRADE CALL XAUUSD PLAN – JUNE 3XAUUSD PLAN – JUNE 3 | GOLD CORRECTS AFTER $100 SURGE | MARKET WAITS FOR TRUMP–XI TRADE CALL
After an explosive $100+ rally earlier this week, gold has entered a sharp correction phase, dropping $30 during the Asian session. This pullback comes as the market anticipates a high-level trade call between former President Trump and President Xi Jinping, which could reshape short-term expectations around US–China relations and global risk sentiment.
🌍 MACRO CONTEXT – POLITICS MEETS FINANCE:
The upcoming Trump–Xi call is expected to guide markets over the next few sessions and may impact trade risk positioning.
Investors have begun profit-taking following the aggressive rally, leading to temporary risk-off sentiment and cash-out flows.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, wave 3 (the strongest wave) may have completed, and price could now retrace into lower FVG zones to gather liquidity for the next upward move.
📈 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE (H1–H4 – EMA 13/34/89/200):
On higher timeframes (H4 and D1), gold maintains a strong bullish structure.
Price appears to have peaked near 3,402 – 3,409, and is now retracing toward the key FVG support zone between 3,320 – 3,310.
EMAs are beginning to compress after a strong expansion – suggesting the market may consolidate or correct further in the short term.
🧭 KEY PRICE LEVELS:
Support: 3,346 – 3,340 – 3,318 – 3,310 – 3,295
Resistance: 3,374 – 3,388 – 3,402 – 3,410
🔍 TRADE SETUPS:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,320 – 3,318
Stop Loss: 3,314
Take Profits:
3,324 – 3,328 – 3,332 – 3,336 – 3,340 – 3,344 – 3,350 – 3,360 – 3,374+
Buy on dips into the liquidity zone or after confirmation candles near EMA13–34 support. Ideal entry for positioning ahead of a potential wave 5 continuation.
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3,388 – 3,390
Stop Loss: 3,394
Take Profits:
3,384 – 3,380 – 3,376 – 3,370 – 3,366 – 3,360 – 3,350
Sell only if there is a strong rejection or bearish divergence near the recent highs – this zone marks the top of wave 3 and potential exhaustion.
📌 SUMMARY:
Gold’s macro structure remains bullish, but short-term corrections are expected. Price may dip into FVG zones to absorb liquidity before launching the next move. Avoid FOMO and follow technical zones with disciplined SL.
NIFTY 50 H1- VIEWPrice has taken a support at crucial zone of 24480-24524
and now price is at a retrachment level at 24691
now two possiblities are seen further
if price slips from 24691 with a dominance candle we can sell move till next support of 24200 zone
or if it breakout above marked trendline of 24800 with retest then will be seen move to 25100++
Thing To Note
- Overall Trend Is Bullish
Till Then, Keep Following Markets