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GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND?📉 GOLD PRICE PLUNGES ON WEEKLY OPEN – RETRACEMENT OR NEW BEAR TREND? Gold started the week with a sharp gap down, breaking below key levels after weekend developments signaled easing geopolitical tensions and positive progress in US-China trade talks. This calm has dampened safe-haven demand, triggering an aggressive selloff in early Asian hours. 🔍 Technical Outlook – M30 Parallel Channel Gold is currently respecting a descending parallel channel on the M30 chart. Price is pushing lower and has yet to fill the weekend’s gap around the 3326–3328 zone. This remains a critical Key Level for any potential short-term recovery. 🗓️ This Week’s Macro Focus Traders should brace for high volatility as the US economic calendar is packed with top-tier releases: Tuesday: CPI (Consumer Price Index) Thursday: PPI (Producer Price Index) Thursday Night: Fed Chair Powell speaks Meanwhile, ongoing tariff policy updates and geopolitical headlines will continue to stir price action unpredictably. 📌 Trading Bias For now, the dominant trend is bearish. Unless we see a strong bullish reversal pattern or key breakout confirmation, the preference remains selling on rallies. Only if buyers reclaim control around the gap zone (3326–3328) should we look for long setups. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3288 – 3308 – 3328 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3262 – 3246 – 3236 – 3200 🎯 Trade Setups 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244 SL: 3240 TP: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3326 – 3328 SL: 3332 TP: 3322 → 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3306 – 3308 SL: 3312 TP: 3300 → 3296 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3270 ⚠️ Final Thoughts Gold remains highly reactive to macro news and liquidity traps, especially with so many risk events this week. Trade with caution, follow your TP/SL rules, and stay flexible with your strategy. The market may deliver unexpected volatility—manage your risk smartly. 🟡 Let price guide you — not emotions. 🚨 Stay disciplined. Stay profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
EURGBP (2H) Technical AnalysisPair: EUR/GBP Timeframe: 2H (2-hour) Bias: Bearish Structure: Bear Flag / Descending Channel Current Price: ~0.8456 📐 Chart Breakdown 1. Bearish Descending Channel Price has been respecting a clear descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. The current move is a bearish breakout below the channel support line. This shows strong selling pressure. 2. Breakout & Retest Structure A breakout has already occurred, and price is now attempting to retest the broken support (which is now acting as resistance). This is a textbook bearish continuation setup. 3. Key Supply Zone: 0.8485–0.8495 There's a strong supply zone above, confirmed by multiple rejections and wicks. This acts as an ideal stop-loss zone. 4. Clean Target Zone (Demand): 0.8320–0.8375 A wide demand zone is seen around 0.8320–0.8375. Previous bullish impulsive move originated from this area. Perfect level to take profit as buyers may return here. 🧾 Trade Plan – Short Setup Entry Stop Loss Take Profit Risk:Reward 0.8450–0.8465 (retest area) 0.8495 (above supply) 0.8375 (or partial at 0.8400) 1:2.5 to 1:3+ ✅ Confluences Supporting the Bearish Setup Confluence Details ✅ Descending Channel Market consistently making lower highs and lows. ✅ Breakout + Retest Price broke structure and is retesting the neckline. ✅ Supply Zone Above Perfect invalidation level at 0.8495. ✅ Momentum Shift Clean bearish candles and lack of bullish follow-through. ✅ Wide Clean Target Area 0.8320–0.8375 demand area visible and untested. 🚫 Invalidation If price closes above 0.8495, bearish setup is invalid. A strong bullish engulfing from here may signal a reversal back into the channel. 📊 Trade Management Tips Aggressive Entry: Enter at 0.8455–0.8465 (current retest zone). Conservative Entry: Wait for rejection candle (bearish engulfing or pin bar). Trail SL after hitting 1:1. Partial TP at 0.8400, final at 0.8375–0.8320.
Short
by Trade_With_Niraj
ETHUSD 1D (Daily) chart: Long Setup🔍 Chart Overview Asset: Ethereum / US Dollar (ETHUSD) Timeframe: 1D Pattern: Bullish Breakout from a Falling Channel Bias: Strong bullish reversal in progress Current Price: ~$2,414.80 Major Resistance Zone: ~$3,800–$4,000 Key Support Zones: ~$2,000 and ~$1,510 📈 Technical Breakdown 1. Falling Channel Breakout (Reversal Signal) ETH had been trading in a downward-sloping channel since late 2024. Recently broke above the descending channel with a large bullish candle. This breakout indicates the end of the bearish trend and start of a potential long-term bullish phase. ✅ Classic bullish reversal signal with volume spike. 2. Strong Bullish Impulse After the breakout, ETH created a powerful bullish impulse candle with almost no upper wick. Indicates aggressive buyer momentum. Price is now above multiple key resistance levels (now turned to support). 3. Key Demand Zones (Support) Zone Description ~$2,018 Retest zone from structure + previous consolidation ~$1,510 Major historical support, origin of last major rally If ETH pulls back, $2,018 zone is ideal for re-entry, as it's the most probable demand zone buyers may defend. Second option for long-term reaccumulation is around $1,510 if a deeper correction occurs. 4. Bullish Rejection + Projection Path The chart shows two possible bullish paths drawn with arrows: One is a shallow pullback into the $2,000–$2,200 zone before rallying higher. The second shows a deeper retest into the lower demand before heading up. Both reflect valid bullish continuation setups. 🎯 Target Zone Target Area: ~$3,800 to ~$4,000 This zone aligns with: Previous high resistance Liquidity pool / order block from last major drop Psychological round number 📌 Ideal area to take profit or start reducing exposure on swing positions. 🧠 Confluences for Bullish Bias Confluence Description Break of falling channel ✅ Strong trend reversal signal Clean bullish engulfing candle ✅ High momentum confirmation Price broke structure highs ✅ Market structure shifted bullish Retest zones clearly defined ✅ Logical risk-managed entries Major resistance ahead ⚠️ Profit-taking zone (plan ahead) 🛠️ Possible Trading Plan Option 1 – Aggressive Entry (Now) Enter after breakout confirmation SL below $2,000 (structure) TP at $3,800–$4,000 RRR: ~1:3+ Option 2 – Conservative Entry (Retest) Wait for pullback to $2,000–$2,100 SL below $1,900 TP at $3,800–$4,000 RRR: ~1:4 or higher 🚩 Caution Points If ETH drops below $2,000 and closes below the demand zone, bullish setup weakens. If Bitcoin drops sharply, it can drag ETH down too — watch BTC for confirmation. Always manage risk — avoid FOMO entries after a strong impulse move. ✅ Conclusion This is a textbook bullish reversal with a clear falling channel breakout, strong momentum, and well-defined support zones. Two bullish projections show smart trading ideas, and the ultimate target around $3,800–$4,000 is logical.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Trade_With_Niraj
BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025🟢 BTC/USD – Daily Trade Plan | 10 May 2025 "Breakout Incoming? Price Coiling Tighter Near Key Resistance!" 🔍 Market Overview: Bitcoin has shown strong upward momentum after breaking past the $99,000 mark, reaching a short-term high at $104,269.47. Since then, price has consolidated within a narrowing range. The daily structure remains bullish, but short-term selling pressure is visible — especially ahead of the weekend and macro uncertainty. 🧭 Technical Landscape: 🔺 Resistance Zones: $104,269.47 – Local top, price has failed to break this level several times. $105,765 – $106,917 – Previous rejection zone + Fibonacci confluence. $108,045 – Possible extension target if breakout confirms. 🔻 Support Zones: $102,301 – Immediate intraday support; likely first retest. $99,379 – Strong mid-range support, aligned with Moving Average & FVG. $97,093 – Long-term trendline & high-demand zone. 📊 Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Continuation If BTC holds above $102,300 and breaks H4 resistance: 🔵 Buy Entry: $102,500 – $102,300 🎯 Targets: $104,000 → $105,700 → $106,900 → $108,000 🛑 Stop Loss: $101,800 📉 Scenario 2: Liquidity Grab & Deep Pullback If BTC loses $102,300 support, expect a move to collect liquidity around $99K: 🔵 Buy Entry: $97,200 – $97,000 🎯 Targets: $99,000 → $101,000 → $102,500 🛑 Stop Loss: $96,400 ⚠️ Key Market Considerations: 🧊 DXY Recovery: Short-term USD strength may cap BTC upside. 🏦 Fed Policy Tone: Remains hawkish. Any USD volatility can shift crypto sentiment. 🔼 Long-Term Trend: Still bullish. Focus on buy-the-dip setups rather than chasing highs. 📝 Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is entering a coiled zone, awaiting high-volume confirmation. Breakouts or sharp rejections from the current range will decide the next leg. 🚀 Stay patient — Wait for clean candle closes (H4 preferred) 🔒 Stick to your SL/TP — Discipline defines success 💡 Avoid mid-range FOMO. Let price tell the story.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MMFlowTrading
AUDNZD 2H Chart Analysis – Trendline Break + Supply Zone Rejecti🧾 Market Context: Pair: AUDNZD Timeframe: 2H (2-Hour) Overall Bias: Bearish Setup Type: Trendline Break → Lower High Formation → Supply Zone Retest → Bearish Continuation 📊 Technical Breakdown: 🔸 1. Trendline Break: A steep ascending trendline has been broken decisively, marking a clear end of bullish structure. This shift indicates that buyers have lost control and bears are stepping in. 🔸 2. Retest of Supply Zone (Breaker Block): After breaking the trendline, price retraced into a supply zone (highlighted in grey). This zone also acts as a breaker block – price broke support, and now it’s acting as resistance. Rejection from this area confirms institutional selling pressure. 🔸 3. Lower High Formation: The price failed to break back above the supply zone, forming a lower high, which is a classic bearish market structure signal. Trendline retest + supply zone rejection together give confluence. 🔸 4. Bearish Projection Path: Your chart outlines a clear path of expected price movement: Minor bounce from intermediate demand (1.0780–1.0790) Continuation downward toward final target zone at 1.0650–1.0660 🔽 Entry & Trade Plan: Parameter Details Entry Area 1.0820 – 1.0840 (confirmed rejection) Stop Loss Above 1.0855 (above the supply zone high) Target 1 1.0770 – 1.0780 (intermediate demand zone) Target 2 1.0650 – 1.0660 (major demand zone) RR Ratio Around 1:3 to 1:4 depending on entry ✅ Bearish Confluences: ✅ Trendline break + retest ✅ Supply zone rejection ✅ Lower high formation ✅ Bearish engulfing candle post-retest ✅ Clear break of structure (BOS) ✅ Liquidity sweep above previous high before dumping ⚠️ Invalidation Criteria: If price closes above 1.0855 on a 2H/4H candle, it invalidates the bearish setup. In that case, reanalyze for potential continuation or false breakout. 📈 Visualization Path: 🔹 Current price is consolidating slightly below the retest zone. 🔹 You anticipate a drop to intermediate support, possible small bounce, then continuation to major target. 🧠 Professional Summary: This is a textbook bearish trend reversal setup: Break of bullish trendline Supply zone retest and rejection Structure shift to lower lows/lower highs Bearish order flow developing If momentum follows through, your TP at 1.0650 is very realistic.
Long
by Trade_With_Niraj
Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut FOMC Storm Incoming?Gold Plunges from 3435 After China Rate Cut – FOMC Storm Incoming? 📅 May 7, 2025 | XAU/USD Intraday Outlook Gold faced a sharp decline in early sessions today, dropping nearly 800 PIPS from 3,435 down to the 3,36x range. While the fall appeared aggressive, the macro backdrop may provide clues — especially ahead of tonight's high-stakes FOMC meeting. 🔍 What Triggered the Sell-off? 1️⃣ China Cuts Rates by 10bps Unexpectedly: Just ahead of U.S.–China trade talks, China slashed its benchmark interest rate by 10bps. While the move supports Chinese markets, it also boosts the U.S. Dollar (DXY), creating headwinds for gold. 2️⃣ Investors Awaiting FOMC Clarity: Traders are hesitant to buy gold near recent highs, especially with the Fed expected to signal rate direction tonight. There’s growing speculation that today's events are part of a broader setup for potential Fed easing. 3️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions Not Helping Gold – Yet: Despite renewed tensions between India and Pakistan, and a volatile global climate, gold hasn't responded bullishly — a sign that technicals and macro shifts are temporarily outweighing news-based fear. 📈 Technical Analysis – Dual Scenarios in Play Gold is now moving in a wide, volatile range. Liquidity grabs at both ends are likely, and traders should adopt a flexible, confirmation-based approach rather than sticking to one directional bias. 🔺 Key Resistance Zones: 3,390 3,402 3,416 3,432 3,444 3,468 🔻 Key Support Zones: 3,365 3,356 3,332 3,314 🎯 Trade Plan – May 7, 2025 (Pre-FOMC Strategy) 🔵 BUY SCALP • Entry: 3,355 • SL: 3,350 • TP: 3,360 → 3,364 → 3,368 → 3,372 → 3,376 → 3,380 🔵 BUY ZONE • Entry: 3,332 – 3,330 • SL: 3,326 • TP: 3,336 → 3,340 → 3,344 → 3,348 → 3,352 → 3,358 → 3,365 📌 KEY BUY LEVEL to Watch: → 3,314 – 3,312 ⚠️ This is a critical Fibonacci zone. If broken, trend structure may be compromised. Use wide SL (~6 PIPS) with open TP structure. 🔴 SELL SCALP • Entry: 3,430 – 3,432 • SL: 3,436 • TP: 3,425 → 3,420 → 3,415 → 3,410 → 3,400 🔴 SELL ZONE • Entry: 3,468 – 3,470 • SL: 3,474 • TP: 3,464 → 3,460 → 3,455 → 3,450 → 3,445 → 3,440 → 3,430 ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Today’s FOMC statement will likely dominate market direction for the rest of the week. Volatility is expected to increase sharply. With both macro and geopolitical catalysts in play, risk management is non-negotiable. 🔐 Stick to key zones. Avoid trading the news blindly. Wait for price action confirmation — and remember: capital protection beats every setup. 📌 Follow this post to get real-time updates after FOMC and new breakout zones for Thursday.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
BTC at Key Inflection Zone – Breakout or Rejection Ahead?Asset: BTC/USD Timeframe: 4H or Daily (based on visual pattern structure) As of: May 6, 2025 Indicators: 50 EMA (Red): $91,615.79 200 EMA (Blue): $89,305.75 Key Technical Zones: 🔴 Resistance Zone: ~$104,000 – $108,000 This area has historically acted as a major supply zone. Price has been rejected from this level multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure. 🔁 Flip Zone (Resistance turned Support/Support turned Resistance): ~$95,500 – $100,000 The current price ($95,234.23) is testing this zone from below. A confirmed break and hold above could signal continuation toward the higher resistance. 🟢 Strong Support Zone: ~$88,000 – $91,000 Confluence of 50 EMA and 200 EMA adds strength to this demand zone. Previous breakout level and accumulation area. EMA Outlook: 50 EMA > 200 EMA: Short-term bullish crossover is active, indicating bullish momentum. Both EMAs are sloping upward slightly, suggesting trend strengthening. Price is currently above both EMAs, which acts as dynamic support. Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If price reclaims the $95,500–$100,000 resistance-turned-support zone: Expect upward momentum to continue. Target: $104,000–$108,000 zone. Break of $108K could lead to a macro bull continuation. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario: If price rejects the current zone and fails to hold above the $91,000 support: Look for retest of $88,000–$89,000 area (confluence with EMAs). Breakdown below that zone would invalidate bullish structure and signal potential deeper correction. Summary: Bias: Bullish above $91K, Neutral between FWB:88K –$91K, Bearish below $88K. Key Confirmation Needed: Daily close above $100,000 for strong bullish continuation. Risk Management: Watch for fakeouts within the $95K–$100K range due to past volatility.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
2
XAUUSD Bullish Continuation Setup 📊 Chart Overview: Asset: Unspecified (likely XAUUSD or a crypto asset). Timeframe: Looks like 4H or Daily. Tools Used: EMA 50 (🔴 Red Line) — 3,283.978 EMA 200 (🔵 Blue Line) — 3,185.603 Resistance & Support Zones (🔴 Highlighted boxes) Price: 3,335.415 🔍 Technical Analysis: 🟩 Trend Direction: 📈 Uptrend Confirmed: Price is above both EMA 50 and EMA 200 → Strong bullish momentum. ✅ Golden Cross: EMA 50 is above EMA 200, confirming long-term bullish bias. 📌 Key Levels: 🧱 Main Support Zone (🟥 Bottom Box - ~2,950–3,050): Historical strong bounce zone. Acts as a bullish base in case of a deeper pullback. 🔄 Mid Resistance/Support (~3,180–3,260): Now acting as support after price bounced above it. Also aligns with EMA 200 ➕🟦 – adds confluence. 📌 Main Resistance Zone (~3,300–3,380): Current area of consolidation. If broken, price likely to retest upper resistance. 🚧 Top Resistance Zone (~3,450–3,500): Target area if bullish breakout continues. ✈️ Next take-profit zone for bulls. 🧭 Market Forecast: 🔁 Retest Expected: Price might pull back slightly to the main resistance area (~3,300), retesting previous resistance as support. 🚀 Upside Potential: Upon successful retest, price is projected to head toward the upper resistance (~3,480). 📉 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks back below 3,260 and EMA 50, expect a dip toward 3,180 or even the main support zone. 📈 Summary: Bias: ✅ Bullish Watch for: 🔍 Retest of 3,300 zone ✅ Breakout above 3,380 ❌ Breakdown below 3,260 invalidates bullish scenario
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
3
"Silver – Bearish Move Toward Support"🧠 Market Overview: Instrument: Likely Silver (based on file name). Chart Context: The price is currently trading below both the 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), indicating bearish momentum and a possible shift in market structure. 📊 Key Technical Components: 🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): 50 EMA (32.614) is above the 200 EMA (32.526) but both are above the current price. This crossover is recent and could indicate the beginning of a larger downtrend if confirmed by continued price action below both EMAs. 🔹 Market Structure: POI (Point of Interest) marks a previous swing high where selling pressure emerged. The chart shows internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps both above and below consolidation areas, hinting at smart money manipulation to grab liquidity before making a move. 🔹 Resistance Zone: Clearly defined between approx. 33.4–34.0, where price was rejected after a failed attempt to break higher. Multiple rejections from this zone show strong selling pressure. 🔹 Support Zone: Sitting between approx. 30.8–31.2. Price previously consolidated here before a bullish move, making it a likely target for a return test or a potential bounce. 📉 Bearish Scenario & Projection: The price broke below a short-term structure and failed to hold above EMAs. The current price action shows a bearish pullback likely to form a Lower High (LH). The projected path shows a pullback to previous support-turned-resistance, followed by a breakdown targeting the support zone. ✅ Bias: Short-term bias: Bearish Medium-term bias: Bearish, unless price reclaims the 200 EMA and consolidates above the resistance zone. 🔍 Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook: Price below EMAs (dynamic resistance). Failed higher highs with liquidity sweeps (indicating smart money selling). Clear market structure shift to the downside. Anticipated retest of support zone around 30.8–31.2.
CAPITALCOM:SILVERShort
by MrStellanSight
3
NASDAQ Eyes Higher Highs Bullish Reversal in Play 📈 NASDAQ Outlook: Bullish Momentum Builds Up ✅ Breakout Confirmed: Price action has broken above the descending channel, signaling a reversal from the previous downtrend. 📊 EMA Crossover: The 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA (a golden cross), historically a bullish indicator. 🔼 Momentum Strong: Price is accelerating above EMAs with a steep upward trajectory, suggesting buyers are in control. 🔮 Potential Target: With sustained momentum, price could aim for the 21,000+ region in the short term. If the price sustains above the 19,500 zone, dips could be considered buying opportunities in the current bullish structure.
IG:NASDAQLong
by MrStellanSight
1
"EUR/AUD Bearish Channel with Key Support Ahead"📉 Market Structure Analysis (Bearish Bias) Current Trend: The pair is trading within a well-defined descending channel, indicating a bearish trend. Price action is forming lower highs and lower lows, adhering to the channel boundaries. Moving Averages (EMA): EMA 50 (Red) at 1.77491 is above the price, acting as dynamic resistance. EMA 200 (Blue) at 1.73338 is close to current price, likely to act as a support area in the short term. The bearish crossover between the 50 EMA and current price supports the continuation of downward momentum. 🔍 Key Zones: Weak Resistance Zone: Located around 1.7740 – 1.8000, previously a support area, now acting as resistance. Price rejection from this zone multiple times indicates sellers' strength. Support Zone: Located around 1.6950 – 1.7100, where demand may return. This zone coincides with the lower boundary of the descending channel, making it a likely reaction zone. 📊 Forecast / Expectation: The chart projects a bear flag / corrective pullback before another leg downward toward the support zone. If price breaks and sustains below the EMA 200, it will likely accelerate bearish pressure. The descending channel suggests potential continuation to the downside unless price breaks out of the upper boundary with momentum. ✅ Trade Implications: Bearish Setup: Look for short opportunities on intraday pullbacks near the resistance or EMA 50. Bullish Invalidations: A breakout above the descending channel and sustained move above 1.7800 would invalidate the bearish outlook. Conclusion: This chart presents a technically clean bearish setup. The confluence of a descending channel, EMA rejection, and defined resistance/support zones suggests the EUR/AUD may continue lower, especially if it loses the 1.7300 level decisively.
Short
by MrStellanSight
1
XAU/USD Market Outlook – Key Levels & Scenarios (May 2025)📊 Market Overview Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – likely Timeframe: 🕒 4H or Daily EMAs: 🔴 50 EMA = 3,281 (short-term trend) 🔵 200 EMA = 3,179 (long-term trend) 🧱 Key Zones 🔺 Main Resistance Zone (🚫 Supply Area) 📍 ~3,320–3,400 🔍 Observation: Strong rejection zone with multiple failed attempts. 🚧 Price struggles to break and hold above here. ⚖️ Mid Support & Resistance Zone 📍 ~3,200–3,250 🧭 Current Action: Price is consolidating here. This is a key decision zone. A bounce or breakdown will likely decide the next big move. 🤔 🟦 Main Support Zone 📍 ~2,980–3,030 🛑 Observation: Major demand zone. If price falls here, it might attract buyers 👥 for a potential rebound. 📉 EMA Analysis 🔴 50 EMA is above 🔵 200 EMA → Trend still technically bullish ✅ 🟡 BUT: Price is currently below 50 EMA, showing short-term weakness ⚠️ ⚡️ 200 EMA is nearby (~3,179): Acting as dynamic support — a critical bounce zone! 🛡️ 🔮 Scenarios 🐂 Bullish Path ✅ If price bounces from 3,200 support zone and reclaims 🔴 50 EMA: 🎯 Target: Retest of 3,320–3,400 🔺 zone 📈 Confirmation: Strong candle closing above 3,281 🔴 EMA 🐻 Bearish Path 🚨 If price breaks below 3,200 & 200 EMA: 🕳️ Expect drop towards 2,980–3,030 🟦 zone 📉 Confirmation: Candle closes below 3,179 with weak retest ✅ Conclusion 📍 Key Level to Watch: 3,200 ⚖️ Market Sentiment: Neutral → Bearish bias unless price reclaims 50 EMA 🔒 Risk Tip: Avoid longs until price confirms bullish structure again 🔐
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
1
Learn Intestinal Level TradingIf you're looking for a simple options trading definition, it goes something like this: Options trading gives you the right or obligation to buy or sell a specific security on or by a specific date at a specific price. An option is a contract that's linked to an underlying asset, such as a stock or another security. Several factors contribute to this high failure rate: Lack of Knowledge and Education: Many traders enter the options market without a thorough understanding of how options work. Options can be complex financial instruments, and trading them without proper education can lead to significant losses Option trading is largely a skill requiring knowledge of market trends, strategies, and risk management techniques. While there is an element of uncertainty in the markets, successful traders rely on analysis, planning, and discipline rather than luck.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
GOLD - Will FOMC and Tariff Talks Decide the Next Big Move?💥 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOK – Will FOMC and Tariff Talks Decide the Next Big Move? As we head into a critical trading week, gold is at a crossroads, navigating through conflicting macro signals and important structural levels. Last week’s developments — ranging from strong US NFP data to China’s unexpected SGX:40B tariff waiver — have significantly reshaped sentiment in the precious metals market. 🌐 Macro Backdrop – Shift in Global Risk Tone 🔹 China’s Tariff Waiver on selected US goods hints at improving trade ties. This eases geopolitical risks and reduces the urgency for safe-haven assets like gold. 🔹 Stronger-than-expected NFP (Nonfarm Payrolls) further solidifies a hawkish bias for the Fed. A robust labor market may push the Fed to maintain higher rates for longer. 🔹 DXY & Bond Yields are holding firm. A stronger USD and rising yields typically weigh on gold — unless major risks re-emerge. 📌 FOMC Meeting This Week – Traders are now watching the Fed’s next move closely. Any dovish tone could fuel gold’s rebound. A surprise hawkish tone? Expect further selloffs. 🔍 Technical Landscape (H4 + Daily Focus) Gold is currently forming a descending wedge pattern, with lower highs and solid support holding around the 3,224 – 3,204 zone. Last week’s rejection at the 3,277 resistance aligns with macro-driven selling pressure. However, price continues to respect key Fibonacci levels and internal trendline dynamics, suggesting a potential for large breakout movement after FOMC. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3,240 3,250 3,264 3,277 3,311 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3,224 3,210 3,204 🎯 Trade Plan – Week of May 6th, 2025 🔵 BUY ZONE A: 3,204 – 3,202 SL: 3,198 TP: 3,208 → 3,212 → 3,216 → 3,220 → 3,225 → 3,230 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,276 – 3,278 SL: 3,282 TP: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250 → 3,240 ⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor This Week: 🏛 FOMC Statement & Powell’s Press Conference → Any hint of rate cuts = Gold bullish → Any reaffirmation of higher for longer = More downside 💼 Trade Developments (US–China) → Further easing of tariffs = Negative for gold → Any new friction = Potential rebound 📉 DXY & Bond Yields → Keep an eye on Dollar strength. If DXY breaks above 106.5, gold may face deeper pressure. 🧠 Final Thoughts: The gold market is no longer driven by one-sided risk-off flows. As macro tensions ease, gold is transitioning into a more range-bound, news-driven phase. This week is all about reaction, not prediction. Let the market come to your zone. Wait for confirmation before executing. The best trades come from discipline — not prediction. 📌 Follow this account for real-time updates during FOMC and Friday’s CPI preview.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
EUR/USD at Key Inflection Point🔥 EUR/USD at Key Inflection Point – NFP Looms, Volatility Incoming? The euro is pushing back after three days of losses, bouncing from the 1.1265 area with strength — but make no mistake, this is more than just a technical move. With Eurozone CPI holding and US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) right ahead, EUR/USD is poised at the edge of serious volatility. 🧭 Macro Overview – Diverging Paths? Friday’s Eurozone inflation numbers surprised slightly to the upside: Headline CPI YoY: 2.2% vs. 2.1% expected Core CPI YoY: 2.7% vs. 2.5% expected These numbers suggest ECB might not be in a rush to slash rates, despite growing dovish commentary from policymakers. Yet, the market still prices in a likely 25bps cut in July. Meanwhile in the US, expectations are building for a soft NFP print – 130K vs. 228K prior. This, along with recent weak growth data, has fueled speculation of multiple rate cuts from the Fed in 2025. The USD has paused after a 3-day rally — and that makes today’s NFP extremely sensitive. 🔍 Technical Picture (H1 Outlook) Price action shows EUR/USD reclaiming ground above 1.1300 after defending the key 1.1265–1.1279 support zone. A potential short-term reversal pattern is forming, but the move remains fragile until we see confirmation above 1.1350 and 1.1372. Bearish structure remains valid unless bulls can take out 1.1419, the high from April 30. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 1.13520 1.13730 1.13900 1.14190 🔻 Key Support Levels: 1.13000 1.12790 1.12650 🎯 Trade Plan – Friday 3rd May 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.12790 SL: 1.12250 TP: 1.13450 → 1.13850 → 1.14250 🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.13750 SL: 1.14300 TP: 1.13250 → 1.12850 → 1.12450 → 1.12400 ⚠️ Strategy Notes: Euro has room to bounce, but momentum will likely depend on the US jobs report. A soft NFP could weaken the dollar further, triggering a break above 1.1372. On the flip side, strong jobs numbers + hawkish White House language could reinforce bearish continuation below 1.1300. 📣 Final Thoughts: EUR/USD is stuck in macro limbo. Both sides have valid narratives — sticky inflation in Europe, softening labour data in the US. 📊 Today’s close will likely define next week’s tone. 🧠 Be selective. Don’t chase. Let the data lead. 💬 What’s your take ahead of NFP? Breakout or fakeout? Drop your chart ideas below 👇👇👇
Long
by MMFlowTrading
NFP & White House Comments to Spark Heavy Volatility?🚨 Gold Pauses at Crossroads – NFP & White House Comments to Spark Heavy Volatility? Gold is entering the US session with a quiet rebound after an intense selloff phase. Following its historic rally to $3,500/oz, the yellow metal has come under significant pressure — not from fundamentals alone, but from massive profit-taking across Asia, especially from retail investors in China. Such sharp pullbacks are not abnormal after parabolic runs. Instead, this pullback seems like a healthy technical reset before the market processes two major catalysts later today: 1️⃣ The US Nonfarm Payrolls report (May edition) 2️⃣ Official White House comments on tariffs and trade direction Together, they’re likely to dictate where Gold is heading next — either a retracement deeper into the demand zones, or a renewed upside attempt toward recent resistance. 📊 DXY & Macro Lens: The US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded strongly from its base near 98.xx, now reclaiming levels near 100.00. Whether it continues higher depends largely on labor data and economic signals from the White House tonight. For now, traders should remain neutral-biased but responsive — and treat every key level with surgical precision. Use the H1–H2 timeframe for intraday bias and structure-based execution. 🔺 Key Resistance Levels: 3260 3275 3285 3312 🔻 Key Support Levels: 3244 3230 3215 3200 🎯 Trade Plan for Today – May 3rd, 2025: 🔵 BUY ZONE A: 3232 – 3230 SL: 3226 TP: 3236 → 3240 → 3244 → 3248 → 3252 → 3256 → 3260 🔵 BUY ZONE B: 3214 – 3212 SL: 3208 TP: 3218 → 3222 → 3226 → 3230 → 3235 → 3240 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3276 – 3278 SL: 3282 TP: 3272 → 3268 → 3264 → 3260 → 3250 ⚠️ Final Notes: Volatility today could spike sharply during the US session. With nonfarm data + political headlines colliding at once, this is the kind of session where fortunes are made — or lost. 📌 Avoid emotional trades. Let price reach your zones, wait for confirmation, and stick to your TP/SL rules like a professional. 🚀 The real move hasn't happened yet — but it's coming. Be ready. Be sharp. Trade with discipline.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
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