APCOTEX - Double bottom setup - 40%+ upside possiblePrice Overview & Analysis:
1. Need more volume support.
2. Double bottom support.
3. RRR is favourable
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Anubrata Ray
APCOTEXIND
APCOTEXIND | Swing Trade📊 DETAILS
Sector: Speciality Chemicals
Mkt Cap: 2,688 cr
Apcotex Industries Ltd is engaged in the production of various types of synthetic latex and synthetic rubber.
It was started in 1980 as a division of Asian Paints, manufacturing synthetic latex and was later spun-off as a separate company under the leadership of Mr. Atul Choksey, former MD of Asian Paints Ltd.
TTM PE : 37.85 (High PE)
Sector PE : 38.54
Beta : 0.61
📚 INSIGHTS
Mid range performer
Stock with medium financial performance with average price momentum and valuation. These stocks may be affordable and are showing some investors interest.
11.80% away from 52 week high
Underperformer - Apcotex Industries down by -1.12% v/s NIFTY 50 down by -0.38% in last 1 month
📈 FINANCIALS
Piotroski Score of 4/9 indicates Weak Financials
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, and I'm not a SEBI registered analyst.
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🔍 More Analysis & Trade Setups 🔍
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how to trade apcotex industries?The price seems to have reached the end of a period of "accumulation" at the bottom of a major downtrend; the break up through resistance signals a reversal to a new uptrend.
The Head and Shoulders Bottom pattern is observed after a significant downtrend, characterized by three consecutive price declines. The middle decline forms the lowest point, known as the "head," while the other two declines form the "shoulders" at approximately the same level, but higher than the head. The pattern's volume is highest during the initial two price declines, decreasing through the right shoulder. Ultimately, the pattern confirms a reversal to a new uptrend when the price breaks above the neckline, drawn between the two highs, accompanied by a surge in volume. This breakout marks the end of a period of accumulation at the bottom and signals a shift in the trend direction.
expected targets has been marked in chart.
Request everyone to share, like, comment this chart for educational purpose.
Note for everyone who came across this study:
This chart is only for educational purpose.
This is not buying or selling recommendations.
I am not SEBI registered.
Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
YR 2022 Idea #76: Long on APCOTEXIND This is a public swing trade idea and is only for Learning and observational purpose. Please understand your risk and take full responsibility of your actions. I might trail my stoploss after I get an entry but even if my original Stoploss hits, i exit the trade with pre-planned loss (risk). At target, I book usually 75% positions and trail stoploss for rest. Our objective to help anyone who wants to learn technical analysis using charts by demonstrating my real trade entries. You can post your queries in comment section here and we will try to answer them asap.
Apcotex Breakout, Pullback and Bounce1. Buy or Sell at your own risk
2. Don't risk more than 1%-2% of your capital as stop loss
3. Position Size formula:- Stop Loss Amount/(Buy Price-Initial Stop Loss Price)
4. Sell on initial stop loss hit or daily RSI closing below 40
5. Some other ways to sell stocks can be
a. 25% or 50% up in three weeks or less
b. Weekly tailing tops with high volume
c. Exhaustion gaps
d. Heavy daily volume without further upside
e. Largest one day price drop
After the consolidation since September 2021, NSE:APCOTEXIND gave a high volume breakout on 19th April. On 20th April it pulled back to the support level and gave a bounce on Friday. It's a buy with a stop at ₹404.
Other fundamentals:
1. TTM sales growth of 85% and TTM profit growth of 267% (December quarter).
2. Average Roe for last ten years at 15%.
3. Debt to equity at 0.10 (less than 1 is good), Interest Coverage at 36.6 (greater than 3 is good), Current ratio at 1.73 (greater than 1.5 is good).
4. FII steak increased since September 2021 from 0.40% to 0.91% in March 2022.
5. About the company:
Apcotex Industries Ltd is engaged in the production of various types of synthetic latex and synthetic rubber. It was started in 1980 as a division of Asian Paints, manufacturing synthetic latex and was later spun-off as a separate company under the leadership of Mr. Atul Choksey, former MD of Asian Paints Ltd.
6. The company is a leading producer of Synthetic Rubber and Synthetic Latex in India :-
a. Synthetic Rubber :- Nitrile Rubber, High Styrene Rubber, Nitrile Rubber, Nitrile Polyblends and Nitrile powder.
b. Synthetic Latex :- XSB Latex, BP Latex, Styrene acrylics and Nitrile Latex.
It has one of the broadest ranges of Emulsion polymers in the market and is the only manufacturer of NBR (Nitrile Butadiene rubber) in India.
7. The company exports its goods to 40 countries across various industry segments. During FY21, Domestic sales accounted for 82% revenues and exports accounted for the rest 18% revenues.
8. The company's customer base includes companies like ITC, JK Paper, Pidilite Industries, MRF, SRF, Century Enka, BILT, Paragon, Ajanta, Footwear, Relaxo, Jayshree Polymers, and others.
9. Long term credit rating has been upgraded by ICRA on March 2022.
a. The upgrade of the long-term rating of Apcotex Industries Limited (AIL) factors in ICRA’s expectations that the company will be able to maintain a healthy financial performance, led by consistent revenue growth and a sustained margin profile. While the prices of raw materials have increased substantially in the current fiscal, the company passed on the same to its customers and hence was able to sustain the operating margins in a range of 13-16% in the last four quarters. The company is undertaking sizeable capex, which is likely to drive revenue growth, apart from diversifying the product mix and customer mix.
b. The ratings continue to draw comfort from a healthy capital structure and debt protection metrics due to strong tangible net worth and limited reliance on debt. While the metrics are likely to moderate due to the ongoing planned capex, they are likely to remain comfortable. The company’s liquidity profile has remained strong due to healthy operational cash flows and availability of healthy cash and investments. The rating draws comfort from AIL’s strong market position in the synthetic rubber and synthetic latex segments in India and its promoter background with an experience of more than three decades in the industry. The ratings factor in the company’s diversified customer base across various end-user industries.
10. Risk:
60-70% of the company's operating cost comprises of raw materials. Its main raw materials are Butadiene, Styrene and Acrylonitrile. These raw materials are petroleum derivates and hence their prices fluctuate with crude prices.
11. Quarterly results are due on 27th April.
FY21-22 Swing Trade Idea #105: Long on APCOTEXINDThis is a public swing trade idea (other private ideas accessible through website) and is only for Learning and observational purpose. Please understand your risk and take full responsibility of your actions. We would comment on any further updates on our entry, targets and stop-loss on this idea, so make sure to follow if you want to get further updates. Our objective to help anyone who wants to learn technical analysis using charts. You can post your queries in comment section here and we will try to answer asap.
ApcoTex Ind - CMP: 209It had given Inverted Head-N-Shoulder pattern breakout and It was under accumulation range. Now it has broken the consolidation range and given breakout on the daily chart. A long-term investor can expect a good return on this stock. We can expect price movement up to 300 in the Mid to Long term time frame. It has also given rounding bottom breakout on weekly chart. We can expect 230/235 price movement in the near term.