AUDUSD bears keep reins with eyes on 0.6800AUDUSD broke a one-month-old bullish channel after witnessing a downbeat Aussie Wage Price Index. The south-run also gained support from the softer jobs report for July. Even so, a convergence of the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement of the July-August upside, near 0.6900, restricts the immediate downside of the pair. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) is near the oversold territory and suggests limited declines before the bounce. Should the quote breaks the 0.6900 round figure, the monthly bottom surrounding 0.6870 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.6850 could entertain the bears before directing them to the mid-July swing high close to 0.6800.
Meanwhile, corrective pullback needs to cross the stated channel’s support line, around 0.6970 by the press time, to convince the buyers. Following that, the weekly resistance line near the 0.7000 threshold could try stopping the upside moves. In a case where AUDUSD bulls cross the 0.7000 hurdle, the month-start peak around 0.7050 might become the last defense of bears before directing the prices towards the monthly high of 0.7136.
Overall, AUDUSD has signaled a bearish trajectory after the downbeat employment numbers and is ready to reverse the bounce off the yearly low marked during July.
AUDUSD
AUDUSD bulls flex muscles with eyes on RBABe it a weekly ascending trend channel of the bull cross, AUDUSD flashes upside signals ahead of the key monetary policy meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). That said, the bulls may retreat from the upper line of the stated channel, around 0.7040 by the press time. Even if the quote rises past 0.7040, the mid-June swing high near 0.7070 could challenge the additional run-up. It’s worth noting, however, that the pair’s run-up beyond 0.7070 enables it to challenge June’s peak of 0.7282, with the 0.7100 and the 0.7200 round figures likely to offer intermediate halts during the expected rise.
Meanwhile, the 50-SMA and the channel’s support line together restrict the short-term AUDUSD downside to around 0.6930. following that, the 200-SMA, close to 0.6880, could challenge the pair bears. In a case where the prices remain weak past 0.6880, the 0.6760 and 0.6710 may act as the last defenses for the buyers, breaking which the south-run towards the yearly low of 0.6751 can’t be ruled out.
Overall, AUDUSD is on the bull’s radar ahead of the key RBA. However, further upside may witness a pullback before challenging June’s peak.
AUDUSD bulls run out of steam after Aussie GDPAUDUSD struggles to remain beyond a three-week-old support line, having reversed from a multi-day high the previous day, even as Australia’s Q1 2022 GDP rises past the market’s downbeat forecasts with 0.8% QoQ figures. That said, the Aussie pair bears need validation from the immediate support line, near 0.7145, to challenge the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of April-May fall, around 0.7025. The quote’s downside past 0.7025, however, could struggle as the broad 0.6965-50 support area appears a tough nut to crack for the pair sellers, a break of which won’t hesitate to refresh the yearly low, marked in May around 0.6830.
Meanwhile, recovery moves need validation from the 100-DMA level surrounding 0.7230, as well as May’s peak near 0.7265. Following that, a run-up towards 61.8% Fibo level close to 0.7345 becomes imminent. However, tops marked in March and late April, respectively around 0.7440 and 0.7455, will challenge the AUDUSD bulls before directing them to April’s high, also the yearly peak, near 0.7660.
Overall, AUDUSD recently flashed the much-awaited pullback signals and hence further downside is brewing. However, the US NFP is left to propel prices, which in turn requires the trader’s discretion.
AUDUSD Buy trade opportunitiesAUDUSD Buy trade opportunities
AUDUSD was running in support & resistance channel It has recently broken the Resistance trendline and closed above its a good opportunity for a long with very good risk-reward target point also mention in the chart
‘Always trade with Stop Loss
AUDUSD:CASE OF ENDING DIAGONAL Theory:
DIAGONAL:
Diagonal are the motive waves like an impulse wave, but diagonals are different from impulse wave in that they do follow the first two Sutras (rules of impulse wave) for wave analysis, but it does not follow the third one i.e. Wave 4 should not intervene the territory of the wave 1. In a diagonal wave 4 always enters into the price territory of the wave 1.
Properties Of Diagonals:
Diagonals can be contracting or expanding type being expanding diagonal a rare one.
In contracting type, wave 3 is shorter than wave 1, wave 5 is shorter than wave 3, and wave 4 is shorter than wave 2.
In expanding type, wave 3 is longer than wave 1, wave 5 is longer than wave 3, and wave 4 is longer than wave 2.
Types Of Diagonals:
LEADING DIAGONAL
ENDING DIAGONAL
LEADING DIAGONAL: In a leading diagonal , waves 1,3, and 5 are all impulsive in nature or all in corrective form of zigzags. Wave 2 and wave 4 are always present in a zigzag form. A leading diagonal suggests the starting of a new wave & that is why it can develop wave 1 of a impulse wave and a first wave of a zigzag pattern.
ENDING DIAGONAL : This is the most common diagonal that can be found out at the ending of a main trend or main correction. It consists of all the waves 1-2-3-4-5 in a single or multiple zigzags. They can be found placed at 5th wave of an impulse wave or can been seen as a wave ‘C’ of a corrective waves zigzags or flat. After the termination of the ending diagonal , a swift & a sharp reversal takes place which bring the prices back to the level from where the diagonal began.
TRADING STRATEGY:
Buy AUDUSD with SL of 0.66800 (clbs) and look for the upside targets of 0.7000/ 0.71000/ 0.71800
INVERTED HEAD AND SHOLDER PATTERN ANALYSIS ON HINDPETRO 17.07.22BUY : 239 TO 211
FIRST TARGET : 330
Reason For Buying This Script :
In this script it is forming inverted head & shoulder patter in monthly time frame . Now the price is in right shoulder. Once the price close above 330 in monthly time frame and the next target 489. It has good potential to go life time high. Try to accumulate in lower levels.
Note :
Above given levels are based on monthly & weekly time frame . So be patience it will take some days to achieve the target.
ALL THE BEST ..
AUDUSD stays inside short-term bearish channel at yearly lowAUDUSD justifies its risk-barometer status aptly as it remains near the two-year bottom, inside a 12-day-long bearish channel. The quote’s further downside, however, appears limited in the short-term due to the nearness to the stated channel’s lower line, close to 0.6690 at the latest. That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of June 16 to July 05 moves, near 0.6705, could offer immediate support to the Aussie pair. In a case where the bears refrain from stepping back from 0.6690, the 78.6% FE level near 0.6650 could gain major attention.
Alternatively, the 50-SMA level surrounding 0.6800 guards the immediate recovery moves ahead of the immediate descending channel’s upper line, around 0.6840 by the press time. It’s worth noting that a clear upside break of the 0.6840 hurdle isn’t a call to the AUDUSD bulls as the 100-SMA level of 0.6855 could challenge the advances afterward. Should the quote rises past 0.6855, the odds of its run-up towards the late June swing high near 0.6965 and then to the 0.7000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out.
Overall AUDUSD remains in a bearish trajectory, despite the recently firmer Aussie jobs report and increasing calls about the RBA’s aggression. However, the downside room appears limited.
AUDUSD rebound appears overdue on RBA rate hike dayAUDUSD holds onto its bounce off a downward sloping support line from late January, as well as the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of April-June moves as traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) third rate hike. Nearly oversold RSI also hints at the quote’s further recovery, in addition to the hawkish hopes from the Aussie central bank. The upside momentum, however, remains elusive unless crossing the late January swing low surrounding 0.6965-70. Also likely to challenge the pair buyers is the 50-day EMA level of 0.7050 and the 200-day EMA close to 0.7210. In a case where the quote rallied beyond 0.7210, the odds of its run-up beyond June’s top of 0.7282 can’t be ruled out.
On the contrary, the 61.8% FE level, near 0.6770, precedes the aforementioned support line from January, around 0.6750, to limit the short-term downside of the AUDUSD pair. Should the pair stays on the back foot below 0.6750, the March 2020 high near 0.6680 will act as the last defense for the pair buyers, a break of which won’t hesitate to drag the prices towards the April 2020 peak of 0.6569.
Overall, AUDUSD is likely to witness a corrective pullback and the RBA’s rate hike could serve the purpose. However, the Fed Minutes and US NFP may keep sellers hopeful and hence the pair buyers need to remain cautious.
AUDUSD keeps door open for bears targeting 0.6800Despite the recent rebound, AUDUSD holds onto the downside break of fortnight-old support amid an absence of oversold RSI, which in turn hints at the pair’s likely to rush towards refreshing yearly low. However, the latest bottoms surrounding 0.6850 and 0.6830 may act as intermediate halts during the fall. That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of June 03-16, at 0.6800, will be in the spotlight. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 0.6800, the late 2018 lows near 0.6745 could become a buffer before directing the bears towards the 2019 trough close to 0.6670.
Meanwhile, the corrective pullback may poke the support-turned-resistance line from mid-June, at 0.6900 by the press time, a break of which could escalate the recovery towards the weekly resistance line close to 0.6955. It should be noted, however, that the 100-SMA and the 200-SMA, respectively near 0.6990 and 0.7035, could challenge the AUDUSD bulls afterward. Should the prices rally beyond 0.7035, the June 16 peak of 0.7069 might act as the last defense for bears.
To sum up, AUDUSD has already flashed a bearish signal to refresh yearly lows, mainly due to its risk-barometer status.
AUDUSD funnels down to a weekly triangle breakout AUDUSD gyrates inside the one-week-old symmetrical triangle after the RBA Minutes and Governor Philip Lowe’s speech. Given the RBA’s hawkish bias and recently firmer RSI, the Aussie pair is likely to cross the stated triangle to the upside, which in turn highlights 0.7015 as immediate resistance. However, the 200-SMA level surrounding 0.7065, as well as the early June swing low near 0.7140, will act as important hurdles afterward. Should the quote manage to stay firmer past 0.7140, an upside towards the 0.7200 threshold and then to the 0.7230 resistance level can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, AUDUSD bears await a clear downside break of the aforementioned triangle’s lower line, around 0.6920 by the press time. Following that, the monthly low near 0.6850 and May’s bottom of 0.6828 could gain the seller’s attention. In a case where the quote drops below 0.6828, the downside momentum may aim for late 2019 lows close to 0.6680-75.
Overall, the AUDUSD eyes to consolidate the previous two-week downtrend but a clear break of the 0.7015 support is necessary for the pair’s advances.
AUDUSD teases bears ahead of RBA’s rate hikeAfter failing to cross the 200-day EMA, AUDUSD broke a three-week-old support line and the 50-day EMA as traders await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) second rate hike of 2022. Given the steady RSI and recently bullish MACD signals, the quote is likely to rebound towards the 200-day EMA hurdle surrounding 0.7270. However, a clear run-up beyond the previous support line, near 0.7240 by the press time, becomes necessary to recall the pair buyers. The follow-on advances past 0.7270 could aim for a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of April-May, around 0.7345. Should the pair manage to stay firmer past 0.7345, the odds of witnessing a rally towards late April swing high near 0.7460 can’t be ruled out.
Alternatively, a clear downside break of the 50-day EMA level surrounding 0.7170 won’t hesitate to break the 0.7100 threshold while seeking a retest of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.7025. Following that, 0.6945 could act as the last defense for buyers before directing the sellers towards the yearly low near 0.6830.
Overall, AUDUSD bulls appear to run out of steam as traders await the RBA’s rate increase. Given the widely priced-in move, bears could search for any hints of no more rate lifts to retake control.