BALRAMPUR CHINI ANALYSIS 20.04.2022BUY 411 TO 436
TARGET 660 TO 680
Reason For Buying This Script :
In this script it forming Elliott wave in monthly time frame. Now the price in 3'rd to 4'th wave which indicate selling. Once the price come at above given level means try to accumulate.
Note :
Above given levels are based on monthly & weekly time frame . So be patience it will take some months to achieve the target.
ALL THE BEST ..
AUDUSD
AUDUSD sellers attack 0.7365-60 support zone on China dataAUDUSD renews its monthly low during early Monday as mixed data from the biggest customer China joins the risk-off mood. However, a five-week-old horizontal support area surrounding 0.7365-60 tests the pair sellers. Adding to the downside filters is an upward sloping trend line from late February, around 0.7310 by the press time. It should be noted, however, that a clear downside break of the 0.7310 will need validation from the 0.7300 threshold before directing bears toward the early March swing low.
On the contrary, the 200-SMA level of 0.7410 guards the quote’s recovery moves ahead of the 100-SMA, at 0.7485 at the latest. During the quote’s successful break of 0.7485, AUDUSD could aim for 0.7540 and the 0.7600 resistance level. Moving on, successful trading past-0.7600 enables the Aussie pair to renew the yearly top close to 0.7665 by approaching the 0.7700 round figure.
It should be noted that oversold RSI and multiple key supports to the south can challenge the bears going forward. However, sour sentiment and a clear break below the key SMAs keep sellers hopeful.
AUDUSD rebound remains elusive below 0.7500AUDUSD keeps the bounce off 200-SMA despite mixed jobs report as market sentiment improves during early Thursday in Asia. However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and one-week-old horizontal resistance, around 0.7500, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers. In a case where the pair rises past the 0.7500 hurdle, 0.7540 and 0.7580 may act as intermediate challenges for the buyers before fueling the quote towards the monthly high of 0.7660.
On the contrary, a clear downside break of the 200-SMA, near 0.7400 by the press time, will allow AUDUSD sellers to aim for an upward sloping support line from February, near the 0.7300 round figure. During the fall, the early March swing high near 0.7365 may act as a buffer. That said, the pair’s sustained declines past 0.7300 won’t hesitate to challenge the previous monthly low near 0.7165.
It’s worth noting that a clear bounce off the key moving average joins firmer RSI and bullish MACD signals to keep short-term buyers hopeful.
AUDUSD is ready to bounce off short-term key supportBe it double tops marked in March or the oversold RSI conditions, AUDUSD bears have a tough time keeping the reins. That said, the 0.7425-20 horizontal area puts a floor under the pair’s immediate downside, a break of which will direct bears toward the 0.7380-85 support confluence including the 200-SMA and 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the February-April upside. In a case where the pair sellers refrain from stepping back from 0.7380 support, a six-week-old upward sloping trend line near 0.7275 will be on their radars.
Meanwhile, the AUDUSD pair’s rebound remains elusive until crossing multiple hurdles around the 0.7535-40 area. Following that, the 0.7600 threshold and 0.7640 level may entertain buyers. It should, however, be noted that the pair’s run-up beyond the 0.7640 level will enable it to aim for the 0.7700 round-figure while easing crossing the recent high surrounding 0.7660.
Overall, AUDUSD prices are likely to recover but the bulls need validation and hence this week’s data/events will be the key.
AUDUSD pullback remains elusive beyond 0.7550Despite refreshing a 10-month high the previous day, AUDUSD failed to provide a daily closing beyond the monthly resistance line, around 0.7600 by the press time. The resultant pullback moves currently battle October 2021 high while teasing the bears. That said, overbought RSI conditions add strength to the latest retreat, which in turn suggests the quote’s further downside in a case where it provides a daily closing below the late 2021 peak surrounding 0.7550. Following that, 10-DMA and 21-DMA, respectively around 0.7520 and 0.7430, will lure the sellers. However, a convergence of the 50-DMA and an ascending trend line from January, near 0.7285-80, acts as a tough nut to crack for the bears.
Meanwhile, the Aussie pair’s sustained trading beyond the aforementioned resistance line, close to 0.7600, will need validation from the latest high around 0.7660 to convince buyers. In a case where AUDUSD buyers dominate past 0.7660, June’s top near 0.7780 and May’s peak of 0.7890 will gain the market’s attention during the pair’s further upside. It’s worth noting that the RSI conditions do signal a pullback before the further upside.
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in AUDUSDTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (0.7494).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. AUDUSD is in a range bound, and the beginning of a downtrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 44.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 0.7453
TP2= @ 0.7415
TP3= @ 0.7375
TP4= @ 0.7321
TP5= @ 0.7283
SL: Break Above R2
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AUDUSD bulls running out of steam at five-month-old hurdleAUDUSD extends pullback from the 0.7430-40 horizontal area comprising multiple tops marked since October 2021. Given the recently steady RSI and the volatile MACD signals, not to forget Ukraine-led risk aversion and downbeat comments from RBA Governor Lowe, the upside momentum is likely to fade again. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.7440 hurdle, the late October swing low surrounding 0.7455 will act as another hurdle to probe the buyers. It should be noted, however, that a successful rise past 0.7455 enables the quote to challenge the 2021 peak of 0.7554.
Meanwhile, pullback moves may initially aim for the March 10 peak of 0.7366 before retesting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of October 2021 to February 2022, close to 0.7325. Should the AUDUSD bears dominate past 0.7325, the 200-DMA surrounding the 0.7300 may challenge the further downside, a break of which will make the quote vulnerable to declines towards 0.7215-10 support confluence, including 100-DMA and ascending trend line from late January.
To sum up, AUDUSD approaches a crucial hurdle to the north with fewer supportive catalysts.
AUDUSD pullback battles 200-DMA with eyes on 0.7425-40 retestHaving successfully crossed the 200-DMA burden during the last week, AUDUSD rose to the four-month high on Monday. However, a broad horizontal area between 0.7425 and 0.7440, also comprising the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2021 to January 2022 downside, challenged bulls. Amid the overbought RSI conditions and a likely caution ahead of RBA Governor Philip Lowe’s speech on late Tuesday, the Aussie pair witnessed a pullback towards the 200-DMA retest, around 0.7320 at the latest. However, January’s peak of 0.7315 and early February’s swing high, close to 0.7250, will challenge the quote’s further weakness before highlighting an upward sloping support line from late January, near 0.7150 at the latest.
That said, the latest rebound eyes the 0.7440 hurdle before challenging October’s swing low near 0.7455. Following that, AUDUSD bulls may aim for the 0.7500 threshold and the 0.7555-65 region, comprising the late 2021 peak and troughs marked during early 2021.
Overall, AUDUSD bulls face a challenging task ahead of this week’s key events, which in turn can allow them to take a breather. However, bears have a long road before taking control.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS ON H4 CHART.Overall, AUD/USD is trending upwards. Recently, AUD/USD broke the resistance zone of 0.73000.
The Australian Building Approvals m/m data (Actual: 1.8%, Forecast: -2.9%, Previous: 8.2%) released last Friday indicated that consumer spending continues to increase at the same rate during February.
Currently, AUD/USD is trading up towards the key level of 0.74. Its next support zone is at 0.73000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.75000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of AUD/USD if it breaks above the key level of 0.74.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS ON H4 CHART.Overall, AUD/USD is trending upwards.
The Australian Retail Sales m/m data (Actual: 1.8%, Forecast: TBA, Previous: -4.4%) released yesterday indicated an increase in consumer spending.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will be announcing their monetary policy decision later at 1130 (GMT+8). It is expected that the central bank will keep interest rate unchanged at 0.10%. Focus on RBA’s view on the economic recovery in Australia and whether the ongoing geopolitical tension between Russia and Ukraine will have an impact on the Australian economy.
The Australian GDP q/q data (Forecast: 3.0%, Previous: -1.9%) will be released tomorrow at 0830 (GMT+8).
AUD/USD’s next support zone is at 0.71000 and the next resistance zone is at 0.73000.
Look for short-term buying opportunities of AUD/USD.
AUDUSD defends 100-DMA breakout with eyes on RBAAUDUSD holds onto Friday’s recovery moves from a three-week-old support line around the 100-DMA as Aussie traders brace for the RBA monetary policy meeting. Although Australia’s central bank has been dovish of late, any hints of a tighter monetary policy for the future may allow the AUDUSD prices to extend the latest run-up beyond the 100-DMA level of 0.7240. Even so, a downward sloping trend line from January 12 near 0.7280 and February’s high surrounding 0.7285 will act as extra hurdles to the north. Should the quote remain firmer above 0.7285, bulls will be confident in crossing the January month’s high near 0.7315.
Alternatively, RBA’s downbeat comments and fears of softer wage growth could weigh on AUDUSD prices, which in turn highlight the short-term support line, around 0.7140 by the press time. It should be noted, however, that a clear downside break of 0.7140 will make the quote vulnerable to drop towards February’s bottom close to 0.7050. In a case where AUDUSD bears keep reins past 0.7050, the year 2021 low near 0.6990 and the bottom marked in January around 0.6965 will be in focus.
Overall, the AUDUSD rebound approaches the key hurdles ahead of impending downbeat catalysts.
AUDUSD eyes further gains on upbeat sentiment, Aussie employmentAUDUSD justifies its risk-barometer status, also backed by an upbeat Aussie jobs report for January, during Thursday. The Aussie pair stays above the 50-DMA amid upbeat RSI and MACD conditions, suggesting further advances. However, the 100-DMA and a downward sloping trend line from mid-November 2021, around 0.7240-45, becomes a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers. Should the quote manage to cross the 0.7245 hurdle, January’s peak of 0.7313 will test the upside momentum before confirming the bullish trend towards the late 2021 high surrounding 0.7555.
Meanwhile, the 50-DMA level of 0.7170, the 0.7100 round figure and the weekly bottom of 0.7085 restrict the short-term downside of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, 0.7050 and December 2021 low near 0.6990 will question the bears before directing them to the last month’s trough close to 0.6965. It’s worth noting that the RSI conditions may turn oversold and trigger the pair’s bounce off 0.6965, failing to do so will make the quote vulnerable to drop towards June 2020 swing low close to 0.6775.