AUDUSD bulls eye 0.7370 on inverse head-and-shouldersUpbeat Aussie jobs report and hawkish moves of the Fed, as well as the BOE, pushes RBA towards a rate hike, favoring AUDUSD prices to consolidate losses posted since late October. To convince the buyers, the Aussie pair recently confirmed an inverse head-and-shoulders bullish chart pattern with a clear upside break of 0.7180. As per the theory, the breakout directs the run-up towards the mid-November peak surrounding 0.7370. However, 200-SMA and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of November-December moves, respectively near 0.7240 and 0.7290, will precede the 0.7300 threshold to offer intermediate halts during the quote’s further advances.
Alternatively, pullback moves remain elusive beyond 0.7170, a break of which will dash the bullish formation. However, AUDUSD sellers will wait for a clear downside past the shoulder 2, around 0.7100, for fresh entries. Following that, 0.7060 and the yearly low near 0.6990 may entertain the bears before highlighting the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level of 0.6945. Overall, AUDUSD is up for further advances during the rest of 2021, unless no surprises pop up.
AUDUSD
AUDUSD Retracement ShortLogic
Good Momentum , prices undergoing retracements
All Levels Mentioned On Chart
How to trade the setup?
When the chart says Long or Short at particular level, Put a Stop Order at those levels, Levels are strict
T1 : is Target 1
T2 : is Target 2
When you achieve your first target, book profits of 50%
and shift the stops to the cost
The term Catastrophe Stop, is a maximum movement of price that can happen in opposite direction of trade
so that the setup remains valid, Its basically used, to give some breathing space to the trade,
I may call for a recovery if the setup becomes invalid as the market progress.
As we all know anything can happen in the market and we should respect that
At Last, do your own analysis, before trading your money!
AUDUSD drops back to key support on RBA’s YCC pauseAUDUSD slumps 60 pips on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) end to the Yield Curve Control (YCC) measures. In doing so, the Aussie pair extends pullback from the 200-DMA, challenging a two-month-old broad horizontal support area between 0.7475 and 0.7450. Given the downward sloping RSI and hawkish hopes from the Fed, the quote may conquer the 0.7450 support to signal further declines targeting the late October’s swing low around 0.7380. In a case where the bearish impulse remains intact below 0.7380, September 24 bottom surrounding 0.7315 will be in the spotlight.
On the contrary, September’s peak near 0.7480 guards immediate recovery ahead of the 10-DMA level surrounding the 0.7500 round figure. In a case where AUDUSD bulls keep reins past 0.7500, the 200-DMA and the latest peak close to 0.7555 should gain the market’s attention. Overall, AUDUSD bears need validation from the Fed to extend the RBA-led downside momentum.
AUDUSD teases bullish triangle breakout around 0.7500Upbeat sentiment helps AUDUSD bulls to battle the key upside hurdle around July highs. The buyers are likely to gain from a firmer RSI line, not overbought, as well as bullish MACD signals but 20-SMA and the upper line of the weekly falling triangle’s resistance line, near 0.7500. In a case where the quote rises past 0.7500, the recent top near 0.7545 and the late June’s swing high near 0.7620 should lure the buyers.
Meanwhile, an ascending support line from October 10 precedes the stated triangle’s support line, respectively around 0.7470 and 0.7450, to restrict short-term AUDUSD declines. In a case where the Aussie pair drops below 0.7450, the 0.7400 threshold and October 18 low near 0.7380 should return to the chart. Overall, AUDUSD remains on the front foot but a pullback can’t be ruled out.
AUDUSD: Inverse H&S with Leading diagonal with Third waveAfter falling near the level of 0.74800 AUDUSD has found its bottom near the level of 0.717000. If we observe carefully we can see an inverse Head & Shoulder pattern whose neckline has been broken decisively in today's session. From the perspective of Elliottwave analysis , we can see a Leading Diagonal & a three wave correction followed by a rally above the neckline. It clearly suggest that AUDUSD is rising in its third wave of an impulse 12345. The measured target of the Inverse H&S is coming about to be near the zone of 0.74200-0.74400 which can also be treated as a target for wave 3 .
Trading strategy:
As long as AUDUSD is maintaining above the level of 0.72270 , one should look for buying opportunity on any minor dip or on cmp for the target zone of 0.74100-0.74400.
AUDUSD drops back below 20-DMA on RBA dayAlthough the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) matched wide forecasts of inaction on early Tuesday, the Aussie central bank’s concerns over economic growth, due to the pandemic-led local lockdowns, weigh on the AUD/USD prices. Also challenging the quote buyers are the headlines from China and concerning the US stimulus, as well as debt ceiling extension. That said, the pullback from 20-DMA offers a selling opportunity with the 0.7220 acting as an immediate target ahead of six-week-old horizontal support near 0.7165-55. However, any further downside will be challenged by RSI conditions, which if ignored could refresh the yearly bottom that currency stands near the 0.7100 mark.
Meanwhile, an upside clearance of 20-DMA level of 0.7281 isn’t a green pass for the bull’s entry as a horizontal line from late July adds to the upside filters around 0.7320. It should be noted, however, that a clear run-up beyond 0.7320 enables the buyers to aim for a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.7410 before highlighting the September month’s peak around 0.7480. Overall, AUD/USD remains in the bearish trajectory unless crossing the 0.7480 hurdle.
AUDUSDAs I said last weeks ...as I said AU is in a very strong area where it has been in range for a few weeks ... but as long as it is on the trend line , I will keep the SELL idea until the 0.74990 area and from there ... I will reanalyze!
THIS WEEK...as I was saying since April 2021 ... AUDUSD went down and made the 800 pips we were talking about, reaching the 2nd target where it rejected strongly! (see red line)
in the next period I expect to see a range between zone 1 and zone 2 and only a closure even for 1 day below these zones will make me rethink the whole strategy! now I will wait to touch one of these areas and then I will decide an entry with BUY or SELL
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We also recommend avoiding short-term trades during this period because news can appear at any time that can destabilize the market.
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AUDUSD jumps back towards 200-SMA amid firmer sentimentAUDUSD reverses Friday’s pullback from the key moving average while picking up bids to 0.7286 during early Monday. In doing so, the Aussie bulls brace for another battle with the 200-SMA level of 0.7305. However, any further upside needs to cross the previous week’s top surrounding 0.7315 to extend the run-up towards the mid-month peak surrounding 0.7345-50. In a case where market optimism helps the risk barometer pair to remain firmer past 0.7350, the 0.7410 and the monthly high close to 0.7480 will be in focus.
Meanwhile, pullback moves may first retest 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of the late August to early September upside, near 0.7245. Following that, the monthly horizontal support area, near 0.7220, and 78.2% Fibo. level near 0.7185 should probe AUDUSD bears ahead of directing them towards August month’s low, also the yearly bottom, close to 0.7105. Overall, AUDUSD consolidates pullback from early month highs but key supports provide intermediate bounces.
Technical Analysis: Bearish marubozu keeps AUDUSD seller hopefulDespite recently bouncing off a monthly low, AUDUSD remains pressured around 20-DMA during early Wednesday. The risk-barometer pair dropped the most in a week while flashing a bearish candlestick on the daily chart. The anticipated declines also gain support from the absence of the oversold RSI conditions. However, July’s low of 0.7288 acts as a trigger for the fresh fall. Following that, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 0.7225 and 0.7155 could offer intermediate halts during the south-run targeting the yearly low near 0.7105.
Alternatively, 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements of the pair’s late June to August 20 downside, respectively near 0.7360 and 0.7420, can guard the quote’s rebound. Also challenging AUDUSD bulls is the monthly high near 0.7480. Should the Aussie pair rises past 0.7420, odds of its rally towards the July month’s peak near the 0.7600 level can’t be ruled out.
AUD|USD short guyss i am looking at audusd i think its really good to take a short position there let see how that goes if you want any analysis let me know .
AUD|USD based on daily and 4h price look good to take a sell but be carefull when price hit at fib golden zone it can reverse i have seen its making lower high so i think it will go down until it hit stronge support
My personal view how market gonna movethis movements are based on my findings and I strongly suggest you to use SL and a strategy before following anyone.
for this direction use Price Action based on the direction i provided here. if market goes against the direction am expecting, I'll exit from the trade
Also i think this will be equal to GBPJPY, and EURUSD as well.
USDOLLAR - Head & Shoulder Completion This Week?Last week we identified the head and shoulder pattern and we were anticipating XXXUSD shorts which played out well. We are still looking for further strength from USD. Looking for the completion of the right shoulder this week. Correlate this chart with the USD pairs and try and get and entry for the XXXUSD shorts.
Goodluck and trade safe!