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AUDUSD

AUD/USD: Resistance Barrier and Breakout OpportunityAUD/USD is steadily climbing on its upward path, with a solid "wall" of support at 0.67365, well "guarded" by the EMA 89 and EMA 34. However, the biggest "obstacle" lies at the 0.68310 level – if it can't break through, the market might see a strong correction back to support. But if this level is breached with sufficient momentum, the sky could open up for further gains. Key factors like interest rates and inflation from the US and Australia will be the "big waves" impacting this trend. This is the time for traders to watch for clear market signals: sell if resistance holds or buy during a strong pullback to support!
by Romio_pro
AUDUSD ANALYSIS 15M TIMEFRAMEFOREXCOM:AUDUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Short
by Phinics
AUDUSD Declines, Watch 0.6640 and 0.6690The current AUDUSD chart shows a short-term downtrend as the price trades below the EMA 34 and EMA 89, indicating that selling pressure remains dominant. The key support level is at 0.6640 USDT, while the nearest resistance is at 0.6690 USDT. The price is expected to correct towards the support before potentially rebounding, but failure to break resistance may result in a retest of the support level. The market is also heavily influenced by factors such as the Fed's interest rate decisions and economic data from Australia, which could cause significant short-term volatility.
Long
by Romio_pro
Resistance at 0.67415: AUDUSD at Risk of a Deep DeclineThe 4H chart of AUDUSD shows the price facing a significant resistance zone around 0.67415, where the EMA 34 acts as a dynamic resistance. EMA 34 and EMA 89 play crucial roles in the short-term trend, with the price fluctuating between these levels and possibly facing downward pressure if it fails to break through the resistance. A key support zone is clearly marked at 0.66800, and if the price breaks this level, it is likely to continue its deeper decline. In terms of news: The Australian Dollar is often affected by economic indicators from China, especially production and export data. Any negative factors from China's economy may further weaken the AUD.
Short
by Romio_pro
AUDUSD Testing Support: Resistance at 0.6750AUDUSD is testing the support level around 0.6680, an important level previously validated. If the price holds above this support, it may rise towards the 0.6750 resistance, though the EMA 34 and EMA 89 could limit the upward move. If the price holds above 0.6680 and rebounds, traders may consider opening buy positions with a target of 0.67097. Regarding news: PMI reports, unemployment data, or interest rate decisions from the RBA and FED could impact AUDUSD. If the U.S. economy shows positive signs, the USD could strengthen, putting pressure on the AUD.
Long
by Romio_pro
Rising wedge confirmation, PBOC rate cut lure AUDUSD bearsAUDUSD drops to a three-week low early Monday while printing a six-day losing streak as the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) announced a surprise rate cut. The Chinese central bank’s action pushed the Aussie pair to confirm a 3.5-month-old rising wedge bearish chart formation. However, the 50-SMA support of 0.6670 challenges the sellers of late. That said, the bearish MACD signals and the rising wedge confirmation tease bears ahead of the US/Australia PMIs for July and the US Q2 GDP, not to forget the US Core PCE Price Index that is also known as the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge. Hence, a daily closing beneath 0.6670 appears necessary to convince the bears to target the 0.6600 threshold. Following that, the 200-SMA support of 0.6581 can test the downside momentum, along with downbeat RSI conditions, before allowing the sellers to aim for 0.6500 and 0.6400, as well as challenge the yearly peak surrounding 0.6360. On the flip side, the AUDUSD pair’s recovery remains elusive unless it stays beneath the aforementioned rising wedge’s lower line, now immediate resistance around the 0.6700 round figure. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of December 2023 to March 2024 upside, near 0.6765, and the monthly high of 0.6798 could test the buyers. It’s worth observing that the rejection of the bearish chart formation, by a daily closing beyond 0.6815, appears a strong signal for the Aussie bulls to challenge the yearly peak of 0.6839. Overall, AUDUSD appears ready to welcome the bears but a slew of top-tier data/events will be decisive to watch.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD stays on the way to 0.6850 hurdle despite downbeat ChinaAUDUSD prints mild losses while snapping a four-day winning streak and paring the previous gains from a five-week uptrend after China reported downbeat Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Industrial Production, and Retail Sales early Monday. Even so, the Aussie pair defends last week’s upside break of a four-month-old ascending resistance line, now immediate support at 0.6750. The RSI (14) line’s retreat from overbought territory suggests the quote’s additional weakness, but the bullish MACD signals can join the trend line breakout to keep buyers hopeful past 0.6750. It’s worth noting, however, that the pair’s daily closing beneath 0.6750 will direct bears toward May’s peak of 0.6714. Following that, a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the June-October downside, near 0.6660, will precede the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level of 0.6605 to act as the final defense of the buyers. On the contrary, the AUDUSD buyers keep the reins beyond 0.6750 and can aim for the 0.6800 threshold for the short term. However, a downward-sloping resistance line from June 2023, close to 0.6850, quickly followed by the late 2023 high of 0.6870, appears tough nuts to crack for the bulls. In a case where the Aussie pair remains firmer past 0.6870, the odds of witnessing a run-up beyond the mid-2023 peak of 0.6900 will be certain, which in turn highlights the 0.7000 psychological magnet for the bulls. Overall, AUDUSD buyers can ignore the latest retreat unless the quote stays beyond 0.6750.
by MTradingGlobal
AUD/USD Long Position SetupMarket Overview: In the 15-minute timeframe, the AUD/USD pair has shown a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, indicating a potential bullish momentum. The price has recently broken above the previous high, confirming the BOS. We are now observing a retracement to the demand zone, which aligns with our entry criteria. Entry: 0.67450 (Upon confirmation of price action in the demand zone) Stop-Loss (SL): 0.67313 (Below the demand zone to protect against a false breakout) Take-Profit (TP): 0.67650 (Targeting the next significant resistance level) Recommendation: This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Traders should monitor the price action as it approaches the demand zone for entry confirmation. Ensure to manage risk appropriately and adjust the stop-loss to break even once the trade is in profit. Happy trading!
Long
by JohnnyTranFx
AUDUSD drops within a symmetrical triangle after RBA MinutesAUDUSD extends the week-start losses toward 0.6600 as Minutes of the latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Meeting fail to inspire the bulls despite pushing back the odds of rate cuts, especially backed by the recent upbeat Australian inflation clues. It’s worth noting, however, that the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a fortnight-old rising support line, respectively near 0.6645 and 0.6630, restrict the short-term downside of the Aussie pair within a two-month-old symmetrical triangle formation, currently between 0.6700 and 0.6585. Given the normal RSI conditions and the sluggish MACD signals, the quote is likely to remain chopped within the stated triangle. Even so, increasing odds of the US Dollar’s run-up on hawkish Fed Minutes and the upbeat US jobs report keep the sellers hopeful. That said, a clear downside break of 0.6585 makes the pair vulnerable to slump toward a 2.5-month-old horizontal support zone surrounding 0.6455-65. On the contrary, AUDUSD buyers need validation from the downbeat US data/events, as well as the previously stated triangle’s top-line surrounding the 0.6700 threshold, to retake control. In that case, the yearly high marked in May around 0.6715 acts as an extra filter toward the north before fuelling the Aussie prices toward the late 2023 peak of around 0.6870. It should be observed that the 0.6800 round figure and the mid-2023 tops near 0.6900 will also challenge the quote’s advances ahead of highlighting the 0.7000 psychological magnet. Overall, the AUDUSD pair is likely to remain depressed within a short-term triangle formation ahead of the key US data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls attack six-week-old on strong Australian InflationAUDUSD jumps nearly 50 pips after Australia’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May rose the most in six months early Wednesday, up 4.0% MoM versus 3.8% expected and 3.6% prior. However, a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-May, close to 0.6680 by the press time, joins sluggish MACD signals and unimpressive RSI conditions to challenge the Aussie pair buyers. Even if the quote manages to cross the 0.6680, a 5.5-month-long falling resistance line surrounding the 0.6710 and 0.6730 mark will be the final defenses of the bears before giving control to the bulls targeting the 0.6800 threshold and the late 2023 peak of 0.6870. Conversely, the weekly low of near 0.6625 will challenge the AUDUSD sellers during the pair’s fresh fall. Following that, the 100 and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) might act as tough supports near 0.6590 while the monthly low of around 0.6575 acts as an additional downside filter. Should the quote remain bearish past 0.6575, the previous monthly low of 0.6465 and 78.6% Fibonacci ratio of October-December 2023 upside, near 0.6400, could lure the Aussie pair sellers. Overall, the AUDUSD pair’s further upside appears difficult unless providing a daily closing beyond 0.6730.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD SHORT FOREXCOM:AUDUSD High chance to big fall.....But wait for the 15M reversal confirmation for entry Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Short
by Phinics
1
Softer Australia GDP growth, rising wedge lure AUDUSD bearsAUDUSD picks up bids to consolidate the biggest daily loss in a fortnight early Wednesday even as Australia’s Q1 GDP growth softens to 0.1% QoQ and 1.1% YoY respectively versus 0.3% and 1.6% priors in that order. The Aussie growth numbers also slide beneath market forecasts of 0.2% QoQ and 1.2% YoY. However, prices recover from the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA), close to 0.6635 at the latest, while posting mild gains within a two-month-old rising wedge bearish chart formation, currently between 0.6620 and 0.6750. It should be noted that mostly steady RSI conditions and the downbeat MACD signals join the softer Aussie growth to keep sellers hopeful. That said, the bears need validation from the 200-EMA support of 0.6610, in addition to the rising wedge’s bottom line of 0.6620, to retake control. Following that, the pair will be vulnerable to revisit the previous yearly low of 0.6270 while witnessing 0.6460 and the 2024 bottom surrounding 0.6360 as intermediate halts during the run-down to chase a theoretical target of the rising wedge confirmation. Alternatively, the 0.6700 threshold guards the immediate upside of the AUDUSD pair in case of the quote’s further recovery. Should the bulls keep the reins past 0.6700, the yearly high of near 0.6715 and the aforementioned rising wedge’s top line surrounding 0.6750 will challenge the Aussie bulls. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 0.6750, the late 2023 peak around 0.6870 and the 0.7000 psychological magnet will be in the spotlight. Overall, the AUDUSD pair’s latest recovery could be considered a selling opportunity until the quote stays beneath 0.6750.
by MTradingGlobal
1