AUDUSD Short idea-The price makes the higher low and lower high in HTF.
-As the structure suggested, there should be a slight bounce back for the supply area for the further downside
-The sell setup is invalid if the price breaks the near-demand zone.
-The demand and supply zone is marked on the chart
AUDUSD
AUSDUSD shortFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
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Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
AUDUSD stays bullish beyond 0.6650 resistance-turned-supportAUDUSD edges higher past 0.6700 after posting the biggest weekly gains since the mid-November. In doing so, the Aussie pair defends Wednesday’s upside break of descending trend line stretched from early February, now immediate support near 0.6650. The resistance break joins upbeat RSI (14) to keep the buyers hopeful. However, the MACD signals appear less bullish and RSI line also nears the overbought conditions. The same suggests limited upside room for the buyers to cheer, which in turn highlights May’s high of around 0.6820 as an immediate upside hurdle to trace. Following that, a 10-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 0.6900-6920 will be a tough nut to crack for the bulls.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the previous resistance line near 0.6650, now immediate support, could quickly drag the AUDUSD prices to the 200-SMA support surrounding 0.6575. It’s worth noting, however, that tops marked in late August and early September, as well as comprising December’s bottom, will challenge the Aussie pair’s downside past 0.6575 near 0.6525-20. Additionally, a seven-week-old rising support line near 0.6480-75 will act as the final defense for the buyers before giving control to the bears.
Overall, AUDUSD is likely to revisit the mid-2023 peaks during the year-end trading. The pullback moves, which are less likely, remain unimportant beyond 0.6475.
AUDUSD bears have bumpy road ahead, 0.6460 is crucialAUDUSD remains pressured on early Monday, after snapping a three-week uptrend by the end of Friday. In doing so, the Aussie pair justifies its risk-barometer status as traders await this week’s key data/events comprising the US inflation, multiple PMIs and top-tier central bank meetings. In addition to the market’s anxiety, the bearish MACD signals and a downward-sloping RSI (14) line also favors the Aussie pair sellers in targeting a four-month-old horizontal support surrounding 0.6520-15. However, the quote’s weakness past 0.6515 appears difficult unless the bears manage to conquer the 0.6460 support confluence comprising the 100-SMA and a six-week-old rising support line. Following that, the pair becomes vulnerable to decline towards an area near 0.6360 that includes multiple levels marked since the mid-August.
Meanwhile, the AUDUSD pair’s recovery needs validation from the 0.6600 and the scheduled catalysts to convince buyers. Even so, the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of the pair’s June-October downside, close to 0.6660, will precede the monthly high of 0.6690 and the 0.6700 to test the Aussie bulls before giving them control. In a case where the quote remain firmer past 0.6700, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around 0.6770 and June’s peak near 0.6900 will be in the spotlight.
Overall, AUDUSD is likely to remain pressured during the key week but the road toward the south appears long and bumpy.
AUDUSD extends pullback from 100-SMA despite RBA rate hikeAUDUSD drops nearly 50 pips even after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) matches expectations of announcing a 0.25% rate hike. In doing so, the Aussie pair extends the previous day’s pullback from the 100-day SMA while poking a five-month-old horizontal support. It’s worth noting that the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the nearly overbought territory also suggests the quote’s further declines past the multi-month-old horizontal support surrounding 0.6460. In that case, the 50-SMA support of 0.6390 will act as the final defense of the buyers before dragging the pair toward a one-month-old horizontal support zone nearing 0.6290 and then to the yearly bottom of 0.6270.
On the contrary, the AUDUSD’s corrective bounce off the immediate horizontal support of near 0.6460 will need validation from the 100-SMA level of 0.6500 to convince the bulls. Even so, the monthly high of around 0.6525 and June’s low close to 0.6600 will challenge the Aussie pair’s upside. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 0.6600, a nine-month-old falling resistance line near the 0.6700 round figure and the late July swing high of around 0.6740 will be on the buyer’s radar.
Overall, the AUDUSD pair’s latest decline shows the market’s lack of belief in the RBA’s hawkish move, which in turn joins the bearish signals to keep the sellers hopeful.
Audusd boosts the trend of increasingGreetings, beloved companions! Following a prolonged period of lateral movement, AUDUSD has at last regained its upward momentum. This resurgence is attributed to the weakening of the USD, which in turn provides substantial support for this particular currency pair.
Having effortlessly surpassed the 0.644 peak, there is potential for it to establish itself as a robust support level. Should there be a retest of the breakout area, it would further reinforce the significant progress made by this currency pair.
AUDUSD begins eventful week on a front foot, 0.6380 eyedAUDUSD prints a three-day winning streak on upbeat Australia Retail Sales for September during the initial trading hours of an eventful week comprising the FOMC and US NFP. In doing so, the Aussie pair extends the previous week’s rebound from a monthly support line while also justifying the bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI (14) line. With this, the pair buyers are confident while planning the battle with the 0.6380-85 resistance confluence comprising the 200-SMA and descending trend lines stretched from late September, as well as from early October. Also acting as the upside filter is the previous weekly high of around 0.6400 and the monthly peak surrounding 0.6450, a break of which will give control to the bulls.
On the contrary, the 0.6300 round figure restricts the short-term downside of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, a slightly rising support line from early October, close to 0.6290 at the latest, will act as the final defense of the Aussie pair buyers. It’s worth noting that the monthly trough near 0.6270 will also challenge the sellers before allowing them to target the previous yearly bottom close to 0.6190.
Overall, the AUDUSD pair remains in the recovery mode but the upside momentum needs validation from the 0.6380-85 hurdle and the scheduled key fundamental data/events.
AUDUSD ShortFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
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Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
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AUDUSD trading strategy on October 20The RBA meeting has been held and we have found the co-governor leaning towards the possibility of additional interest rate hikes and will await economic data in the near term.
In line with the hawkish trend, RBA Governor Michele Bullock spoke at the summit yesterday and pointed to recent back-to-back events that provide a high reward.
All of this makes Wednesday's Australian Q3 CPI the focus of attention for AUD.
A Bloomberg survey expected the full share to come in at 5.2%, well above the RBA's mandated target of 2-3%.
In the near future, US government bond benefits will increase higher than continued USD support and could create AUD/USD at a new bottom.
AUD is gradually forming a double bottom patternAUD/USD continues to recover from the 0.6285 area, gradually forming a double bottom pattern with the neckline at 0.6435. On frame D1, the recovery momentum has weakened after touching the 20-day MA at 0.6380.
On the H4 frame, the currency pair is still maintaining an uptrend. The RSI and MACD indicators signal that the upward momentum is still maintained. The price can still gain momentum if it maintains above the MA 20 line at 0.6330.
Immediate resistance will be at 0.6390 and 0.6435. If the price retraces below 0.6330, the next important support levels will be 0.6310, 0.6285 and 0.6255.
AUDUSD bears again approach 0.6285 key supportAUDUSD extends the previous day’s retreat from the weekly top towards the bottom line of a three-week-old descending triangle surrounding 0.6285, tested twice in October. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI (14) line is nearly oversold and hence challenges the Aussie bears around the key support. The same highlights the probability of witnessing a bounce from 0.6285 support but the recovery remains elusive unless the quote confirms the aforementioned bullish triangle, by crossing the 0.6390 upside hurdle. Even so, the 200-SMA and a downward-sloping resistance line stretched from early August, close to 0.6400 and 0.6440 respectively at the latest, will test the Aussie bulls before giving them control.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the stated 0.6285 key support will need validation from the November 2022 low of around 0.6270 to keep the AUDUSD bears on the table. In that case, the 0.6200 round figure and the previous yearly low of around 0.6170 could lure the pair sellers. In a case where the pair remains weak past 0.6170, it becomes vulnerable to drop toward the April 2020 bottom of around 0.5980.
That said, softer Australia Employment Change and Participation Rate join the broad US Dollar recovery to weigh on the AUDUSD pair. However, the downside room appears limited.
AUDUSUD ShortFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
AUDUSDHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
AUDUSD LongFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
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Hustle hard
AUDUSD stays pressured around yearly low on RBA status quoAUDUSD holds lower grounds near 0.6335, close to the yearly low marked last week, after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left its cash rate unchanged as expected. It’s worth noting that the RBA Rate Statement appeared a bit dovish and hence allowed the Aussie bears to keep the reins, especially amid a broadly firmer US Dollar. Additionally, the bearish MACD signals and an absence of the oversold RSI line also keep the pair sellers hopeful. With this, the quote is likely to revisit a seven-month-old downward-sloping support line surrounding 0.6310, quickly followed by the 0.6300 round figure. Following that, the November 2022 bottom of near 0.6270 may act as the final defense of the buyers before directing the pair toward the previous yearly low close to 0.6170.
Meanwhile, a corrective bounce can aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6380 by the press time, ahead of directing the AUDUSD buyers toward the 50-day SMA level of around 0.6470. In a case where the Aussie bulls manage to keep the reins past 0.6470, a five-week-long descending resistance line near 0.6505 will be the last hurdle for the upside targeting June’s low of near 0.6600. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s successful run-up beyond 0.6600 enables the quote to reverse the 2.5-month-old downtrend by aiming for July’s peak surrounding 0.6900.
Overall, AUDUSD remains in the bearish trend even as the multi-month-old descending resistance line challenges the sellers.
AUDUSD eyes yearly low despite upbeat Australia inflationAUDUSD breaks a three-week-old rising support line even as Australia’s Monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) matches upbeat market forecasts for August with 5.2% YoY figures. The trend line breakdown joins bearish MACD signals to keep the Aussie pair sellers hopeful. However, the RSI (14) line is approaching the oversold territory and hence suggests a limited room towards the south. The same highlights the yearly low marked earlier in September around 0.6360. In a case where the pair bears ignore the oversold RSI and refresh the yearly low, the 0.6300 round figure and November 2022 bottom of around 0.6270 will be on their radars ahead of the year 2022 low of 0.6170.
On the contrary, the support-turned-resistance line of around 0.6415 guards the immediate recovery of the AUDUSD pair. Following that, a convergence of the 200-SMA and the 50-SMA, around 0.6440 by the press time, will challenge the Aussie bulls. Should the quote remain firmer past the key SMA confluence, the 0.6500 round figure and a six-week-long horizontal resistance around 0.6530 will be crucial to watch for clear directions as a sustained break of them will welcome the buyers with open hands.
Overall, AUDUSD remains in the bearish trend despite upbeat Australian inflation data.
AUDUSD LONGFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard