AUDUSD
AUDUSD approaches key resistances on RBA dayAUDUSD stays within a three-week-old bullish channel, poking the upside hurdle, on the RBA day. It’s worth noting that the 200-EMA adds strength to the top line of the state channel, around 0.6815-20 by the press time. Given the firmer oscillator, the bulls are likely to keep the reins. However, a clear upside break of the 0.6820 hurdle becomes necessary for the buyers to aim for the last December’s peak surrounding 0.6895, as well as the 0.6900 round figure. Should the quote remains firmer past 0.6900, the mid-February high of around 0.7030 can act as an intermediate halt during the likely run-up towards challenging the year 2023 peak of 0.7157.
Meanwhile, a downside break of 0.6665 defies the stated bullish channel and can quickly drag the AUDUSD bears towards challenging the monthly low of near 0.6563. In a case where the Aussie pair remains weak past 0.6560, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s run-up from early November 2022 to February 2023, close to 0.6450, may act as the last defense of the buyers before giving control to the sellers.
Overall, RBA’s dovish hike should teases sellers but the Aussie pair’s trading within a bullish chart formation requires the trigger for the AUDUSD bears to retake control, which in turn highlights the 0.6665 support.
AUDUSD bulls slowly tighten grips on Australia inflation dayFollowing its bounce off YTD low, the AUDUSD pair crossed an important resistance line from early February, now support. The Aussie pair’s further advances, however, remained gradual and portray a 13-day-old bullish channel. That said, the quote picks up bids inside the aforementioned bullish chart formation ahead of Australia’s monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for February. Given the likely easing inflation pressure in the Pacific major’s economy, the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) hurdle of around 0.6740 gains attention ahead of the stated channel’s top line, close to 0.6760. It’s worth noting that the mid-February swing high surrounding 0.6785 acts as the last check for the Aussie pair buyers.
Alternatively, a downside break of the 0.6640 support, comprising the lower line of the bullish channel, could quickly drag the AUDUSD price towards the resistance-turned-resistance line from early February, close to 0.6575. It’s worth noting that the Aussie pair’s weakness past 0.6575 can witness a bumpy road as the yearly bottom of 0.6562 and the last October’s peak near 0.6545 may challenge the bears afterward.
To sum up, AUDUSD forms a bullish chart pattern and a bumpy road toward the south as traders analyze Australian inflation data.
#AUDUSD Uptrend MOVEMENT POTENTIAL with Risk:reward =2.3Currency pair Australian Dollar Vs US dollar ,
Time Frame is 4 hours.
what is the analysis?
Break out from the downtrend movement.
what is a downtrend movement?
Wave will be created in the form of upper high, upper Low, upper high, upper Low, and we can observe the breakout from the downtrend.
This is the Buy call with a Risk: reward ratio of 2.4, First Target is 0.67043 second target is 0.69175.
Hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey and Happy trading
#tradingstrategy, #forex trading, #AUDUSD , #currency pair, #AUDUSD forecast
#AUDUSD Uptrend MOVEMENT POTENTIAL with Risk:reward =2.3Currency pair Australian Dollar Vs US dollar,
Time Frame is 4 hours.
what is the analysis?
Break out from the downtrend movement.
what is a downtrend movement?
Wave will be created in the form of upper high, upper Low, upper high, upper Low, and we can observe the breakout from the downtrend.
This is the Buy call with a Risk: reward ratio of 2.4, First Target is 0.67043 second target is 0.69175.
Hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey and Happy trading
#tradingstrategy, #forex trading, #AUDUSD , #currency pair, #AUDUSD forecast
AUDUSD bulls need validation from 0.6770AUDUSD confirmed a falling wedge bullish chart pattern during the early days and is keeping the breakout so far during Wednesday. The RSI (14) line’s gradual rebound from the oversold territory adds strength to the upside bias. However, a convergence of the 100 and 200 DMAs, around 0.6770 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the Aussie buyers to keep the reins. Following that, tops marked during December 2022 and mid-February 2023, respectively around 0.6895 and 0.7030, could act as intermediate halts during the theoretical target of 0.7240.
On the contrary, a downside break of the 0.6640 level, comprising the stated wedge’s top line, could negate the bullish bias. Even so, the latest swing low and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of October 2022 to March 2023 upside, close to 0.6560 and 0.6545 in that order, could test the AUDUSD sellers before giving them control. Also acting as a downside filter is the lower line of the aforementioned bullish chart formation, near 0.6515 as we write.
Overall, AUDUSD is likely to rise further toward the previous monthly peak. However, the key DMA convergence challenges the buyers as top-tier Aussie data looms, up for publishing on Thursday.
#AUDUSD Downtrend Movement Risk:Reward 1.8 #Forex#AUDUSD
#AUDUSD Downtrend Movement Risk:Reward 1.8 #Forex
Sell at 0.67009, SL 0.67689, Target 0.65757
Analysis Breakout
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NOTE: RESPECT The risk. SL should not be more than 2% of the capital.
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AUDUSD, Downward Movement with risk:reward ration 1.87#AUDUSD, Downward Movement with risk:reward ration 1.87 , #forex #audusdforecast
Breakout from Symmetrical triangle.
Hey Traders,
HOPE our analysis is adding value to your Trading Journey.
If yes, cheer us with Thumbs up...
NOTE: Published Ideas are for ‘’EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY’’ trade at your own risk.
NOTE: RESPECT The risk. SL should not be more than 2% of the capital.
Happy Trading
AUDUSD turns bearish but road to the south is long and bumpyEven if sustained trading below the 100-DMA and a three-month-old ascending trend line become necessary for the AUD/USD bears, a daily closing below the 200-DMA and an upward-sloping previous support line from October 2022 signals the pair’s further decline. Further, the bearish MACD signals and downbeat RSI adds strength to the downside bias. Hence, the sellers should wait for a clear downside move below 0.6720 to aim for the lows marked in late December and November of 2022, respectively around 0.6630 and 0.6585. Following that, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the Aussie pair’s October 2022 to February 2023 upside, near 0.6550, appears the last defense of the buyers.
On the contrary, AUDUSD recovery remains elusive unless the quote stays below a convergence of the 200-DMA and four-month-old previous support, close to 0.6800. Adding to the upside filters is the December 2022 high near 0.6895 and the mid-month peak of 0.7030. In a case where the Aussie buyers keep the reins, the monthly high surrounding 0.7160 could lure the bulls.
Overall, AUDUSD is ready to witness further downside but the downturn is less likely to be smooth.
Levels and Zone: 🪙XAUUSD |💱GBPUSD|💱AUDUSD|💱GBPJPY|💱CADCHFOANDA:XAUUSD
1) XAUUSD - GOLD 4HR TF
On 4h TF we can see it made bearish flag and pole pattern and gave breakdown of it.
1865 is critical flip level. And as of now we can see it made clear 1860-1870 range.
As of now major trend is bearish for Gold.
Please refer below 4hr TF chart
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2) GBPUSD- 2HR TF
Please refer below 2hr TF chart
Chart shows clear two scenario as of now.
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3) GBPJPY- 4HR TF
We can see clear range on 4hr TF. Breakout of 159.75 will be good opportunity to go long.
Till then it is scenario of sell on resistance and buy on support.
If resistance taken out then it will be long trade and if support taken out then it will be short trade.
Please refer below 4hr TF chart
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4) AUDUSD- 4HR TF
On 4hr TF it made rising wedge/ bearish flag and pole pattern and gave breakdown of it. It has many supports till 0.6860 level. Breakdown of 0.6850 will be more bearish.
There will be also chance that it will bounce back from that support.
Please refer below 4hr TF chart
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5) CADCHF- 4HR TF
It as of now it gave breakout of triangle pattern on up side. If it comes down to retest upper line of triangle pattern and makes any bullish candle there on 30 or 1hr TF then go long with SL of low of that bullish candle.
Please refer below 4hr TF chart
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Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with SL as per your risk appetite and also take position as per your risk capacity.
It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
AUDUSD stays bearish unless crossing 0.6950AUDUSD braces for the first monthly loss in four despite Friday’s rebound from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its December 2022 to early February highs. A clear downside break of the two-month-old ascending trend line joins a two-week-old descending trend line to favor sellers. Adding strength to the bearish bias are the downbeat oscillators. The corrective bounce, however, could become important if it manages to cross the convergence of the previous support line and an immediate downward-sloping resistance line, close to 0.6950. Following that, the 100-SMA surrounding 0.6985 and the 0.7000 psychological magnet could act as the final defense of the Aussie bears before giving control to the bulls.
Alternatively, the aforementioned 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level around 0.6830, also known as the golden Fibonacci ratio, puts a floor under the short-term AUDUSD downside. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci ratio near 0.6750 may act as an extra filter towards the south. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6750, the December 2022 low near 0.6630 could lure the sellers.
Overall, AUDUSD’s corrective bounce, if any, remains elusive unless crossing the 0.6950 hurdle.
AUDUSD sellers need 200-DMA breakdown to keep controlAUDUSD bounces off 50-DMA, following a retreat from the 3.5-month-old previous support line. The recovery moves fail to justify the downbeat oscillators and Aussie data, which in turn keep sellers hopeful. That said, a daily closing below the stated short-term moving average, around 0.6880 by the press time, could convince the Aussie bears. However, the 200-DMA surrounding the 0.6800 threshold becomes crucial support as it lured buyers earlier in January. Should the quote manages to break the 200-DMA, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the previous monthly low near 0.6685 and then towards the late 2022 swing lows around 0.6630 and 0.6580 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, the AUDUSD rebound needs to run a successful show beyond the support-turned-resistance line from November, close to the 0.7000 psychological magnet. Following that, the Aussie buyers may aim for the 0.7050 level before challenging the all-important 0.7135-55 resistance area comprising multiple tops marked since August 2022. It’s worth observing that the pair’s sustained break of 0.7155 won’t hesitate to cross the mid-2022 top surrounding 0.7285 and brace for the previous yearly high near 0.7660.
Overall, AUDUSD is all set to reverse the late 2022 run-up but a clear downside break of 200-DMA becomes necessary.