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AUDUSD(20250908)Today's AnalysisMarket News: Non-farm payroll growth fell significantly short of expectations, with June's data revised downward to negative territory, marking the first contraction since 2020. The unemployment rate hit a nearly four-year high. Technical Analysis: Today's buy/sell levels: 0.6548 Support and resistance levels: 0.6633 0.6601 0.6580 0.6515 0.6494 0.6463 Trading Strategy: On a breakout above 0.6580, consider a buy entry, with the first target at 0.6601. On a breakout above 0.6548, consider a sell entry, with the first target at 0.6515
Long
by BullMarketKing
AUDUSD(20250904)Today's AnalysisMarket News: ① Waller: I believe we should cut interest rates at the next meeting. Multiple rate cuts are possible in the future, but the exact pace depends on the data. ② Musallem: Current interest rates are appropriate, but there are risks in the job market. ③ Bostic: Concerned about inflation, I still believe one rate cut this year is appropriate. ④ The Federal Reserve will hold a payments innovation conference on October 21st, which will discuss stablecoins, artificial intelligence, and tokenization. ⑤ Fed Governor nominee Milan: If confirmed, I will maintain the independence of the FOMC. ⑥ Kashkari: There is room for a modest rate cut. ⑦ The Federal Reserve Beige Book: Economic activity is roughly flat, with businesses and households feeling the impact of tariffs. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 0.6532 Support and Resistance Levels: 0.6584 0.6564 0.6552 0.6512 0.6499 0.6480 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 0.6552, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 0.6564. If the price breaks below 0.6532, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 0.6512
Short
by BullMarketKing
AUDUSD - TESTING KEY RESISTANCESymbol - AUDUSD CMP - 0.6530 AUDUSD continues to advance amid persistent uncertainty surrounding the US dollar, which remains in a consolidation phase. The currency pair is approaching a key resistance level at 0.6537 The dollar is currently range-bound due to prevailing market indecision. In contrast, the Australian dollar is gaining strength and appears poised to test a significant liquidity zone. Within the context of the prevailing trend, the pair is progressing toward both resistance and the identified liquidity area. Given the considerable distance from the initial opening, the potential for continued upside may diminish as the pair nears its target. A false breakout above 0.6537 could signal the onset of a corrective pullback. Resistance level: 0.6537 Support levels: 0.6509, 0.6480 A swift movement toward resistance without sustained bullish momentum could result in a false breakout at 0.6537 Should the price consolidate below this threshold, a corrective phase may follow before any potential resumption of the upward trend.
Short
by akshit_official
"AUD/USD Reversal Setup – Short from Supply Zone!''🔹 Trend Overview: Price was in a strong uptrend 🔼, forming higher highs and higher lows. Key Zones: 🟦 Supply Zone (🔵 Resistance Area): 0.63803 - 0.64064 Price entered this zone and started to slow down ⏸️, showing signs of seller strength. 🔵🟤🟤🟤 📍Entry Point: 0.63803 This is where the short (sell) trade is planned. ✍️ "Let’s short it here!" 🚫 Stop Loss: 0.64064 Just above the supply zone to avoid false breakouts. 🛑 "If it goes here, we're out!" 🎯 Target Point: 0.62800 Previous support zone. 🟢💰🟢 💥 "This is where we take profit!" Indicators: 📈 EMA (7) – Black line Shows price momentum. Currently flattening ➡️, meaning bulls are losing steam. Trade Idea Summary: 📉 Bias: Bearish (Short) ✅ Entry: 0.63803 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.64064 🎯 Target: 0.62800 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3.8 (Very solid!) ⏱️ Timing: Watching for signs of reversal before entering
Short
by Jameshead007
1
AUD/USD) Resistance level pullback Short Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update analysis of the AUD/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a possible bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind it: Key Observations: 1. Current Trend: The pair was in an uptrend, as indicated by the rising channel (parallel trendlines). However, it has now broken out of that channel. 2. Resistance Level: The price has reached a resistance zone around 0.64000, and it seems to be rejecting this level. 3. 2 Timeframe Demand Zone: Around the 0.63300 – 0.63400 range, this area previously acted as a demand zone (support), and the chart suggests price might retest it. 4. Projected Move: First, a pullback up into the resistance zone could occur. Then a drop to the demand zone. If the demand zone fails to hold, the price could head down toward the key support/FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 0.61000 – 0.61500. 5. EMA (200): The 200 EMA is below the price, suggesting longer-term bullish pressure, but it's starting to flatten, which could signal weakness in the uptrend. 6. RSI Indicator: RSI is around 52, showing neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for movement in either direction. Mr SMC Trading point --- Idea Summary: The chart suggests a potential reversal from the uptrend into a downtrend, triggered by a failure to break above resistance. The two key targets for a bearish move are: First: the 2TF demand zone Final: the key support/FVG zone Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
AUD/USD Supply Zone Rejection Trade Setup🔵 Supply Zone → (Blue highlighted area) The price is expected to reverse from here. 🔹 Entry Point → 0.60610 📍 (Marked with a blue line) The trade is planned to start here. 🟠 Stop Loss → 0.60934 ❌ (Marked with an orange line) If the price goes above this, the trade will be exited to prevent further loss. 🔻 Target Point → 0.59400 🎯 (Marked at the bottom) Expected profit zone if the trade moves as planned. 📉 Trade Plan: ✅ Short position (Sell trade) expected to drop from the supply zone. 🚀 Risk-to-reward ratio looks good as the potential profit is higher than the risk. ⚠️ Risk Factor: If price breaks above the supply zone, the setup might fail.
Short
by Jameshead007
AUDUSD - RETRACEMENT WITHIN UPTREND BEFORE FURTHER GROWTHSymbol - AUDUSD CMP - 0.6302 AUDUSD pair, supported by a decline in the US dollar, holds significant potential for continued growth. However, given the upcoming NFP release today, Friday, the associated risks are heightened. Currently, the currency pair is establishing a local uptrend, and in conjunction with the weakening dollar, the Australian dollar may sustain its strengthening trajectory. On the 4-hour chart, a local correction is developing towards an imbalance zone, with a strong support level at 0.6300 The price is displaying a false breakout, attempting to capture liquidity and subsequently consolidate at higher levels. Should the bulls successfully defend the 0.6300 – 0.6330 range, the price is positioned to maintain its upward momentum in both the short and medium term. Key support levels: 0.6300, 0.6255 Key resistance levels: 0.6330, 0.6363 A consolidation above the 0.6300 level, followed by a sustained rise and consolidation above 0.6330, would confirm the bulls' intentions for further upward movement. However, with the NFP release and other significant economic data on the horizon, the risks are amplified, and elevated market volatility should be expected.
Long
by akshit_official
32,600 Jobs Added! Aussie Dollar Skyrockets!32,600 Jobs Added! Aussie Dollar Skyrockets! The Australian dollar has surged, driven by an impressive employment report that far exceeded expectations. In the month of June, Australia's net employment rose by a staggering 32,600 compared to the previous month, surpassing estimates by more than double. This development propelled the Aussie currency up by over 0.9%, reaching an intra-day high of $0.6834. The New Zealand dollar also rode the wave, gaining 0.57% to reach $0.6299. Both Antipodean currencies are now poised to reverse the losses incurred over four consecutive trading sessions. The current market sentiment favors the bulls, with both short and long-term momentum in their favor. Price action is trading above the 50 and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing the positive outlook for the Australian dollar. Elsewhere in the currency market, the sterling is doing its best to counter deep losses following a sharp fall in the previous session. The decline was prompted by Britain's inflation data, which fell short of market expectations. The British pound managed a modest recovery, trading 0.15% higher at $1.2958 in the latest session.
by BlackBull_Markets
Who's Right? Hawk Economists vs. Dove Traders - RBA meets Today Who's Right? Hawk Economists vs. Dove Traders - RBA meets Today Yesterday, the AUD/USD experienced its third consecutive day of growth. However, the upward trend is expected to face obstacles during Tuesday's trading session due to the impending Reserve Bank of Australia meeting. Despite some analysts adopting a more hawkish stance and predicting a rate hike as the most likely outcome of today's meeting, money market traders have reduced their forecast to a one-in-three chance of an increase, down from 40 percent on Friday afternoon. Although inflation numbers in Australia have slowed down, the Consumer Price Index remains above the target range, while the key interest rate stands at 4.1 percent, below the CPI. Furthermore, recent remarks from RBA Governor Lowe have maintained a hawkish tone, leaving the possibility of further rate hikes open, even after two unexpected increases. As US markets remain closed in observance of Independence Day, the AUD/USD has been consolidating at 0.66700 prior to the RBA decision. With conflicting views from economists and traders, the meeting's outcome has the potential to inject some volatility into the pair. In terms of potential resistance levels, the initial zone to watch out for is around 0.66900, followed by 0.67200. However, it is important to note that considering the RSI's decline below the 60.00 level, the upward momentum has weakened. Nevertheless, the overall inclination remains biased towards the upside. Therefore, exploring higher levels may not be immediately feasible.
by BlackBull_Markets
#AUDUSD Uptrend MOVEMENT POTENTIAL with Risk:reward =2.3Currency pair Australian Dollar Vs US dollar , Time Frame is 4 hours. what is the analysis? Break out from the downtrend movement. what is a downtrend movement? Wave will be created in the form of upper high, upper Low, upper high, upper Low, and we can observe the breakout from the downtrend. This is the Buy call with a Risk: reward ratio of 2.4, First Target is 0.67043 second target is 0.69175. Hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey and Happy trading #tradingstrategy, #forex trading, #AUDUSD , #currency pair, #AUDUSD forecast
Long
by TanujaK