04 Jun 2024 - If Circuit triggered on BankNifty, further panicBankNifty Analysis
The intraday fall on BankNifty was approx 5028pts ~ 9.84%, a few more points would have triggered the lower circuit and we would have had a pause of 30 to 45mts. The Lower circuit hit would have opened the floor to further fall due to panic and somehow magically the reversal came and it really saved the day.
If you look at the daily chart, the reversal came right at the 46284 support level, this was after breaking 48947, 48661, 48115, and 47465 (critical) supports. How that played out today was quite panic-creating.
Our stance is revised to bearish till proven wrong. Expecting some more volatility going forward, once the situation normalizes - will be more than happy to switch on the Algos with full thrust.
A coalition government is really good for the option traders, the uncertainty will spice up the option premiums. I could say with a decent level of confidence that a bit of fear is good for financial markets, after all, we were in a blind one sided rally.
Bankniftyanalysis
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 04.06.2024After yesterday's GAP UP opening and high closing, the last Friday's high-low range will serve as a good support if we see a correction from high levels.
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (Daily): 48,569 - 49,123
Further Support Zone (Daily): 47,435 - 48,260
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(04/06/2024) Today will be gap up opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty sustain above 51050 level then possible upside rally of 400-500 points upto 51450 level & this rally can extend another 400 points if market gives breakout 51550 level in todays session. Any Major downside only expected in case banknifty starts trading below 50950 level. also possible reversal downside 51450 level.
03 Jun 2024 - BankNifty has more steam left even after 4% rallyLast week we wrapped up the discussion saying BankNifty is looking more bullish than Nifty. We also said the torch bearer would be Banks in case of a positive scenario. India's growth story will have to come via Bank's is their base case, this explains the 40% plus dependency of the index on Financial Sectors.
BankNifty managed to close higher than the open value, almost 2000pts ~ 4% in what became a mega gap. The new ATH is 51106, notice that we managed to conquer 51000 levels too.
Our stance is bullish with the first support at 49937 levels.
Once the counting is in progress tomorrow - we could expect real volatility and fake moves too. We would get exact clarity only by Wednesday, Jun 5th, incidentally it's an expiry day too.
Cup and Handle Bullish Breakout levels in Weekly ChartBank nifty Bullish view in weekly chart, aggressive and conservative traders levels
CONSERVATIVE TRADER ENTRY ZONE 44180 - 44250
AGGRESSIVE TRADER ENTRY ZONE 41700 - 41800
STOP-LOSS >>DAY'S CANDLE CLOSE BELOW 37350
T2 >> PROFIT BOOKING ZONE 50300 -50400
T1 >> PROFIT BOOKING ZONE 45900 - 46000
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 03.06.2024As GIFTNIFTY indicates a GAP UP opening, we might see a new all-time high today for BankNifty. Here are the high time frame support and resistance zones instead of intraday levels:
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (Daily): 47,435 - 48,260
Far Support: 48,017 (61.8% FIBO level of the last swing)
Further Down Support Zone (Previous Low): 46,983
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zone (Daily): 49,396 - 49,974.75
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024 | Loksabha TradingBANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024
Bullish-Above 49150
Invalid-Below 49000
T- 50570 52170
BANKNIFTY has closed on a neutral note last week unlike NIFTY being on a slight bearish note. This means that there is a divergence of strength which will lead BANKNIFTY being stronger than NIFTY in the coming days. As per Exit Polls it looks that there can a huge short covering rally ahead of result day. In the coming days 52250 zone can be tested. High chance of a big gap up on Monday so follow 10 o'clock range breakout.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 49150 then we will long for the target of 52170.
High chance of a gap up so follow 10 o'clock range to build trade with calculated risk.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Analysis Next Week 03-07 June 2024 | Lok Sabha Election ResultsIn this video, we'll discuss about Market's Last Week Movement and we will try to analyze Coming Week's probabilities in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
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Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
#TheStockMantra #MarketAnalysis #LearnStockMarket
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 3 June | MondayAs we discussed, the Banknifty sideways and bullish structure market gave a volatile move in the uptrending channel range, as we discussed in case 1.
If we look at the chart now:
The market took very nice support from 200 EMA and is moving in an uptrending channel. The market is also making an inverted Flag & pole pattern, which is a bearish pattern. If the market breaks the pattern to the downside, it might make a nice bearish move.
Support levels: 200 EMA, 448487, 48223, 48000
resistance levels: 49061, 49315, 49650
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.76, which has fallen from 0.82, shows the market is turning to a bearish side. 49000 is max pain. Maximum positions have been added at 49500 and 50000. on the lower side, 48500 and 48000
People are making Strange for election results. That can also be seen on the chart.
People are making short strangle in a wide range as premiums are already skyrocketing.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : Sideways in the uptrending channel.
Case 2 : if the market breaks the channel to the downside, the market will turn bearish.
With a good volatility market in upcoming sessions because VIX is 24.60.
Reason:
RSI is 40-60 shows a sideways structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bullish market structure, but as it is moving in the channel bullish direction is not yet confirmed
The last two candles have given good volume at the buy candle as well as good volume at the sell-off, which indicates sideways market pressure.
PCR = 0.82 shows good market bullish sign.
Price > VWAP shows that a bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in the channel and bearish if it breaks to the downside.
Plan of action:
Case 1: Sideways: Sell 49200 CE & 48500 PE (Hedge it with 50/- premium options)
Case 2: Bearish: Sell 49200 CE (Hedge it with 50/- CE option)
#Banknifty Directions and Levels for May31st.The Banknifty structure differs slightly from Nifty, but the sentiment is the same. The current variation suggests that if the initial market takes a solid pullback and breaks the level of 48938, we can expect it to reach 61%. Notably, the market will continue the rally only if it sustains above the level of 48938. If it doesn't sustain above this price, the range market might continue.
Alternatively, if the initial market corrects, the downside 61% Fib level will act as minor support. My personal opinion is that if the market declines initially, it may enter a range market.
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 31.05.2024Yesterday, BankNifty took support at the 75-minute zone (48,216 - 48,410) mentioned in the last two posts and bounced up to the near supply zone (49,043 - 49,187), as indicated in the previous post.
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (75m): 48,216 - 48,410 (remains the same)
Far Support: 48,017 (61.8% FIBO level of the last swing)
Further Down Support Zone (125m): 47,435 - 47,959
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zone (30m): 49,186 - 49,320 (remains the same)
Far Resistance Zone (75m): 49,502 - 49,689 (remains the same)
30 May 2024 - BankNifty defended 48661 quite aggressively todayBankNifty Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty had an awkward-looking opening today, a decent gap-down, and breaking the 48661 support. The intraday lowest point was the level at which we opened today. More importantly, we retraced the fall and even re-tested the 48947 levels.
Fortunately for the bears, 48947 resistance was not broken, if it had given away - then we would have been forced to go long. Between 14.55 to 15.15 we tested the support levels of 48661 and it was defended again. The final closing is so positive for the banks that I am really worried about how Nifty50 is going to gather momentum for a breakdown.
We might have to break either of the 48661 or 48947 levels tomorrow and be prepared for what is coming next week. I seriously hope we find some bearish momentum soon.
Banknifty analysis for tomorrow 31 MayAs we discussed, the Banknifty bearish or Sideways structure market gave a volatile move in range, as we discussed in case 1.
If we look at the chart now:
The market took very nice support from 200 EMA. And it was quite volatile for the whole day. The Price is struggling to break the 50-EMA resistance. The market is going to be sideways in the range of 48487-48899 unless it breaks to the upside (high probability).
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.82, which has risen from 0.63. shows a good amount of PE writing on the lower side. There has been good CE and PE writing at 48500 and 49000. The next support point is 48000 on the lower side and 49500 on the upper side.
People are making Strange for election results.
I am expecting
Case 1: Sideways in the range 48487-48900.
Case 2: if the market breaks 48900 to the upside- Bullish
With a good volatility market in upcoming sessions because VIX is 24.2.
Reason:
RSI is 40-60 shows a sideways structure. (Bearish)
EMA(50) > Price > EMA(200), which indicates indecisive or rather sideways market. The market has taken support from 200 EMA, which might lead to a bullish market in the upcoming session.
The market has given a good volume spike that shows this level is good support.
PCR = 0.82 shows good market bullish sign.
Price> VWAP shows that a bullish market structure can lead to a Bull market.
Verdict: Sideways (70% chances) or Bullish (30% chances)
Plan of action:
Case 1: Sideways: Sell 48500 PE & 48900 CE (Hedge it with 50/- premium options)
Case 2: Bullish: Sell 48600 PE (Hedge it with 50/- CE option)
BankNifty Support & Resistance Levels for 30.05.2024For today, the support and resistance levels for BankNifty are crucial to watch:
Support Levels:
Near Support Zone (75m): 48,216 - 48,410 (remains the same)
Far Support: 48,017 (61.8% FIBO level of the last swing)
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Zones (30m): 49,043 - 49,187 and 49,186 - 49,320
Far Resistance Zone (75m): 49,502 - 49,689
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(30/05/2024) Today will be gap down opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty start trading below 48450 level then possible downside rally of 400-500 points upto 48050 Level & this rally can can extend another 400 points if market gives breakdown 47950 level in todays session.Any Major upside only expected in case banknifty starts trading above 48550 level.also possible reversal upside 48050 level.
#Banknifty Directions and levels for May 30th.BankNifty also has the same sentiment. If the market finds support around the immediate support level, then we can expect a minor pullback that will take a max of 23 to 38%. After that, if it gets rejected there, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it could turn into a range market between the upcoming low to the 61% Fibonacci level.
Alternatively, if the gap-down sustains and breaks the immediate support with some consolidation or immediately, then the correction will likely continue.
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 30 May 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 30 May 2024
Bullish-Above 48700
Invalid-Below 48590
T- 49230
Bearish-Below 48350
Invalid-Above 48460
T- 47625
BANKNIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 1.3% cut today. Index opened with a big gap down of 355 points. 10 o'clock range was to be used as per setup, range broke downside below 48770, trade gave almost 1:4 gain till 48405 with slow momentum. Tomorrow if 48350 acts as a initial support then a bounce towards 48700 zone is possible. In case index breaks 48350-30 then a gradual fall towards 47625 is possible.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 48700 then we will long for the target of 49230.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 48350. T- 47625.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty & BankNifty 30 May 2024 | Monthly Expiry Special Analysis In this video, we'll discuss about Today's Market Movement and Tomorrow's Analysis in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
✅I hope you liked the analysis. Be sure to hit that LIKE.
👍Like | 💬Comment | 👥Share
Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
#TheStockMantra #MarketAnalysis #LearnStockMarket
29 May 2024 - BankNifty stance revised to neutral, not bearish!Banknifty closed just below the SR of 48603 and for the same reason, I am going neutral. Unlike Nifty, BN has few SR zones nearby hence the decision to go neutral instead of bearish. Although we fell 640pts ~ 1.3%, none of the 63mts candles closed distinctly below 48603 which is a sign of worry for the Bears,
Meanwhile, the drop seen in ICICI will be considered with a lot of seriousness. Earlier when HDFC and KOTAK were taking beatings, ICICI had stayed strong. In fact, the major contributor to the BN points came from the rally of ICICI than HDFC.
I would prefer to start the day tomorrow with a neutral bias and then go short if 48351 is taken out during the first 2 hours. Ideally, BN and N50 have to face the same direction before going to the election results.
Banknifty Prediction for tomorrow 30 May As we discussed, the Banknifty bearish structure market gave a very nice momentum to the downside.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at 200 EMA(30 min TF), which can provide potential support. Also, bank nifty is trading between fib 0.50 and 0.61, which might also be a good support zone. The price is trading lower than EMA(13,50) and above EMA(200). this zone is perfect for taking support for Banknifty.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.63 shows a bearish signal in the market. There is good writing on both sides at 48400 and 48500. 48000 has good PE writing, so it is going to provide a good support zone. on the upper side, 49000 is going to be a hard resistance zone because of heavy CE writing.
I am expecting
Case 1: Sideways in range 48400-48853.
Case 2: if the market breaks 48400 to the downside- Bearish
With a good volatility market in upcoming sessions because VIX is 24.2.
Reason:
RSI < 40 shows a weak bull structure. (Bearish)
EMA(13) > Price >= EMA(200), which indicates indecisive or rather sideways market. The market might receive support at 200 EMA.
The market has given a good volume spike that shows this level is good support.
PCR = 0.63 indicates bearish.
price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market.
Verdict: Bearish or Sideways.
Plan of action:
Case 1: Sideways: Sell 48400 PE & 48850 CE (Hedge it with 15/- premium options)
Case 2: Bearish: Sell 48400 CE (Hedge it with 15/- CE option)
#Banknifty directions and levels for May 29th.The current variation indicates that if the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, we can expect the correction to continue, potentially reaching the next Fibonacci level of 50%. If it finds support there, the 4th sub-wave may complete and start the 5th pullback wave.
Alternatively, if the market finds support around the immediate support or if the initial market takes a solid pullback, we can expect a range market to rally continuation.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(29/05/2024) Today will be gap down opening in BANKNIFTY. After opening if banknifty start trading below 48950 level then possible downside rally of 400-500 points upto 48550 Level & this rally can can extend another 400 points if market gives breakdown 48450 level in todays session.Any Major upside only expected in case banknifty starts trading above 49050 level.also possible reversal upside 48550 level.