#Banknifty directions and levels for August 14th.1st Scenario:
>Even if the market opens with a gap-up, structurally it may not sustain. If this happens, we can expect the correction to continue towards the levels of 49,697 to the demand zone when it breaks the previous day’s low.
>After that correction, if the market finds support around the major support levels, we might see a 23% to 38% bounce back. However, this bounce is not guaranteed; if it doesn’t occur, the correction may continue with minor consolidations.
2nd Scenario:
If the gap-up sustains structurally, we can expect an initial bounce back of 23% to 38%. Usually, sharp movements bounce back within this range. If the price gets rejected at this level, the major trend will likely continue. However, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level solidly, the current movement may shift to a range-bound market. But the probability of this is less likely.
Bankniftyintradaylevels
Banknifty prediction for tomorrow 14 AugAs Banknifty is showing a huge sell-off today, the market is in bearish sentiments, followed by the Heisenberg report on the SEBI chairperson.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the 4H-TF support trendline zone(Marked in Green) and 200 EMA (4H-TF). price is trading below the ema(13, 50, 200) shows market is in bearish phase. The market might take support here, or if it breaks down to the downside, it's going to take support at 49000 next, as can also be confirmed with OI data.
Support levels : 49683, 200 EMA (4H-TF)
Resistance levels : 50 EMA, 200 EMA
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.55 shows bearish market behavior. There has been a huge PE sell-off today, which shows bulls are not trusting the market anymore and come out. There is too much CE writing at higher levels than PE writing at lower levels, which shows a high chance of a bearish market in the upcoming session.
I am expecting the market to follow 3 cases which are marked on the chart.
Case 1 : if it opens the gap down, it might touch the trendline and take support 49000.
Case 2 : if the market opens a gap-up, it will take resistance at 50 EMA, and then it might continue the bearish momentum.
Case 3: If it opens sideways, wait for the price action at the green trendline zone.
Reason:
RSI < 40, showing the market is going to be in a bearish structure.
Price trading at 200 EMA (4H-TF), which might provide good support.
PCR = 0.55 shows that the market is huge Bearish.
Price < VWAP shows a Bearish market structure.
Verdict : Bearish or sideways
Plan of action:
See the price action at the green trendline zone. There have been marked three cases.
Banknifty weekly expiry analysis for 14/08/2024.Banknifty has closed below the 50k mark and is looking bearish on the daily charts.
It is trading around the 100 ema on daily time frame, which shows some bearishness in the markets. If the market starts trading below today's low, there are chances of it testing the recent low around 49650.
MA strategy and the price action both are signifying some bearish movement in the market.
Hourly charts are trading below the moving averages. A bearish market will be confirmed if the market starts breaching the support levels, after a flat or slight gap up opneing.
If there is a follow through candle in the market, there are chance of testing 49k levels soon.
Major support levels :- 49670, 49400
Resistance levels :- 50000, 50250
Tomorrow is expiry and vix is around 16 which is good for option buyers
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the trade.
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 13th.Bank Nifty Analysis
Bank Nifty is showing a diagonal pattern. In the previous session, it had significant swings, but they closed near neutral by the end of the day. If we simplify it, we can say it's a range market. However, structurally, it’s a diagonal pattern, and there’s no real difference between the two because both are time adjustment patterns.
So, we should wait for a breakout from this range, whether to the upside or downside. If it breaks out, we can expect only a minor trend initially because the structure suggests there isn’t a big move ahead. But if we see a solid breakout candle, then we can expect stronger momentum. This forms our basic structure. However, if the range isn’t broken, the market will likely continue moving within it.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 13.08.2024On Monday, BankNifty opened with a minor gap down but rebounded over 650 points from the day's low, reaching a high of 50830.70 before closing at 50577.95, up by 93 points. During the session, BankNifty breached the resistance level of 50750 but could not sustain above it for long. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is negative.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 50149 - 50305
Major Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 49530 - 50253
Far Support Level: 48858 (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level)
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Level: 51750
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 51325 - 51400 (inside the 125m Supply Zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m) for Weekly Trade: 51309 - 51609
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 12th. In the previous session, Bank Nifty closed with consolidation after a significant gap-up. If the market breaks the previous high, then we can expect a minor rally, but not a big one. A big rally is expected only if the breakout occurs with a solid green candle and some consolidation around the immediate resistance level. However, if this doesn't happen, the market may reject at that level and continue in its current range, which is our first scenario.
Alternatively, if the market initially declines, the 38% Fibonacci level will act as a key support. If the market finds support there, the range-bound movement may continue. On the other hand, if it breaks below the 38% level, we can expect the correction to continue.
#Banknifty directions and levels for the 3rd week of August.
As per the chart Bank Nifty has a range-bound structure. However, the market closed at the top of this range by the end of the week. So, if the market starts with a bullish bias, it may reach the swing high once again. This is because, as we mentioned in the previous post, if the market breaks the 50% level in the minor swing, it will lose the strength of the current trend. If this happens, it may reach the Fibonacci levels of 61% to 78% on the upside. However, there are two variations for the bullish sentiment.
1. First Variation: If the initial day's candle closes with a solid bar, then the market may continue the pullback with minor consolidation around the Fibonacci level of 61% in the upcoming sessions.
2. Second Variation: If the market faces rejection around the minor supply zone or if the week starts with a negative candle, then the range-bound market may continue further.
The Bearish Variation:
The bearish variation suggests that if the market potentially breaks the channel, then it may continue the correction. There are some minor levels to watch, which is typical. If the market breaks the 38% level in the minor swing, we can expect the next target to be 78%.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 12.08.2024On Friday, as expected, BankNifty opened with a gap-up and maintained its strength throughout the day, closing at 50484.50. BankNifty closed above the Weekly Demand Zone for the first time in five days, indicating the potential for a bull rally up to 51100. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is negative.
Support Levels:
Major Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 49530 - 50253
Far Support: 48858 (61.8% FIBO Retracement level)
Resistance Levels:
Near Resistance Level: 51750 (High of 5th August)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 51325 - 51400 (inside the 125m Supply Zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m) for Weekly Trade: 51309 - 51609
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 9th.Bank Nifty:
Bank Nifty is also maintaining its consolidation. If the gap-up sustains and breaks the level of 50,468, then we can expect the next targets to be 50,688 and 50,823.
> Here, we have the same sentiment as in Nifty: after the pullback, if it sharply rejects around the level of 50,823, the market may enter a correction phase. Targets are expected to range between 38% to 78% of the minor swing.
> On the other hand, if it consolidates or breaks solidly above the level of 50,823 on the upside, then the rally will likely continue.
The alternative scenario is if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market initially declines, then the range-bound market will likely continue.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 09.08.2024On Thursday, BankNifty entered the 15m Supply zone mentioned in the last post and fell 400 points from the top before closing at 50156.70. For the fourth consecutive day, BankNifty closed inside the Weekly Demand Zone (49530 - 50253). Weekly zones are considered strong, and if the low is not broken, we might see a bounce from this Weekly Demand Zone. The weekly trend (50 SMA) has turned sideways from positive, and the daily trend (50 SMA) is negative.
Support Levels:
Major Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 49530 - 50253 (currently, the price is inside the zone)
Far Support: 48858 level (61.8% FIBO Retracement level)
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 50350 - 50441
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 51438 - 51583 (inside the 125m Supply Zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m) for Weekly Trade: 51309 - 51609
Note: As of writing this, GIFTNIFTY is trading 275 points positive, indicating we might see a gap-up opening, and the near 15m Supply zone might get violated.
#Banknifty levels for August 8th.Good morning, friends. Today, our market has a major event, that, the RBI monetary policy announcement. So, the market will mostly move based on this event. however, I’m sharing my Fibonacci levels. The directions are as we expected in the weekly analysis because some sub-waves are bending. but, we should follow what the market is saying, not just our analysis. Have a nice day!🤝🍬
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 08.08.2024On Wednesday, BankNifty opened gap up but did not enter the 15m Supply zone mentioned in the last post, so the near Supply zone remains the same. For the third consecutive day, BankNifty closed inside the Weekly Demand Zone (49530 - 50253). Weekly zones are considered strong, and if the low is not broken, we might see a bounce from this Weekly Demand Zone. The weekly trend (50 SMA) has turned sideways from positive, and the daily trend (50 SMA) is negative.
Support Levels:
Major Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 49530 - 50253 (currently price is inside the zone)
Far Support Level: 48858 (61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level)
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 50337 - 50530
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 51438 - 51583 (inside the 75m Supply Zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m) for Weekly Trade: 51309 - 51609
Note: As of writing this, GIFTNIFTY is trading 180 points negative, indicating we might see a gap-down opening.
BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 9 Aug 2024BANKNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 9 Aug 2024
Bullish-Above 50300
Invalid-Below 50190
T- 50900 51450
Bearish-Below 49650
Invalid-Above 49760
T- 48800
BANKNIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.75% gain today. It opened with 1% gap up, directly at buy level and got rejected. Overall it was sideways within 500 points range. It has formed a Pinbar candle in daily TF so above 50300 we can expect good bullish reversal move. However overall view is still sell on rise, but now near some confluence zones like PRZ and golden Fib zones.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 50300 then we will long for the target of 50900.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 49650. T- 48750.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
BankNifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 07.08.2024On Tuesday, BankNifty opened gap up but failed to sustain, falling below the previous day's low before closing at 49748.30. For the second consecutive day, BankNifty closed inside the Weekly Demand Zone (49530 - 50253). Weekly zones are considered strong, and if the low is not broken, we might see a bounce from the Weekly Demand Zone. The weekly trend (50 SMA) turned sideways from positive, and the daily trend (50 SMA) is now negative.
Support Levels:
Major Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 49530 - 50253 (currently price is inside the zone)
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 50337 - 50530
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 51438 - 51583 (inside the 125m Supply Zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (125m) for Weekly Trade: 51309 - 51609
Note: As of writing this, GIFTNIFTY is trading 250 points positive, indicating we might see a gap-up opening, and the near 15m Supply zone may get violated.