#BANKNIFTY - 11 NOVEMBER !!NSE:BANKNIFTY
#NIFTYBANK ⚡
Observe, understand, then implement 👍🏻
Strategy name : Higher Highs and Higher Lows
This strategy is commonly used in trending markets to identify potential buy opportunities during an uptrend.
Key Components of the Strategy:
1. Higher Highs and Higher Lows: In an uptrend, price action creates successive peaks (higher highs) and troughs (higher lows). These are signals of bullish momentum, where buyers are consistently pushing prices higher.
2. Trend Channel: The image shows a channel formed by connecting the higher lows with a trendline (lower boundary) and higher highs with another trendline (upper boundary). This channel helps traders identify the price range within which the trend is moving.
3. Entry Points:
- The strategy suggests buying near the trendline at each higher low, which represents a potential support area within the trend. In the image, these points are marked as "BUY" or "ENTRY."
- Buying near these higher lows increases the chance of entering trades at favorable prices during pullbacks in the uptrend.
4. Profit Targets:
- Profit targets are set near the upper trendline or at subsequent higher highs. In the image, these points are marked as "PROFITS" with checkmarks.
- This method helps traders secure profits as the price reaches the higher end of the channel.
Managing the Trade:
- After the first entry and a successful profit, traders can re-enter the market on the next pullback to a higher low.
- Stop losses are typically placed below the previous higher low to manage risk in case the trend reverses.
Summary:
This strategy aims to capture gains in a trending market by entering trades at higher lows and exiting near higher highs within a channel. It works well in a stable, consistent uptrend but requires careful monitoring of trend changes to avoid potential losses if the trend breaks down.
Ps note : I'm not SEBI Registere 🙏🏻
Any queries @thetradeforecast 🇮🇳
Banks
State Bank of India for 40% gainsDate: 4 Nov’24
Symbol: SBIN
Timeframe: Weekly
SBI seems to be in Wave IV of 3 which could likely come down towards 750-740 levels. As seen in the chart, Wave V of 3 could then move up towards 1050 (~40% from where Wave IV ends).
Banks have been largely consolidating in this market fall and could lead the next rally up. Please note nothing in the market is a given. Be very watchful.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis. And I have the right to be wrong.
HINGLISH VERSION
Aisa lagta hai ki SBI 3 ki Wave IV mein hai jo lagbhag 750-740 ke star par samaapt ho sakti hai. Jaisa ki chart mein dikh raha hai, 3 ki Wave V phir 1050 ki taraf badh sakti hai (jahaan Wave IV samaapt hoti hai vahaan se ~40%).
Bazaar ki is giraavat mein Banking shares bade paimaane par majaboot hi rahe hain aur agli teji ka netritva kar sakte hain. Kripya dhyaan den ki bazaar mein kuch bhi pakka nahin hota. Hamesha satark rahein.
Yah koi trade lene ki salah nahin hai. Kripya apana vishleshan khud karen. Aur mujhe galat hone ka adhikaar hai.
BANKNIFTY: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 22/10/2024QUICK GUIDE
- Use 5 minute timeframe
- Try to take enters at retest
- Use multiple confirmation
- Read full description before investing
- Try to take ATM options or above
Explanation:
This is a very useful trading system. This means that you should not take a trade blindly, but rather that there is another confirmation to take the trade you can use this for perfect entry and perfect exit
This trading opportunity is based on volume, previous price, and price range , are included
Entry/Exit point's:
- It has very easy entry and exit points
- In this pair of lines with two colors are given (RED AND BLUE)
- In this the blue line is used to take long entry and the red line is used to take short entry (But it is all based on a more conformation from your trading plan)
Stop Loss/Take Profit:
Stop Loss
- According to this, if you take a long trade, its stop loss will be the red line just below ( A trade can exit either when the price crosses the red line or the 5 minute candlestick crosses the red line. (This can be done according to your preference) )
- A short entry should use the opposite rules to a long entry
Take Profit
-When you take a long entry according to the profit to be booked is on the next red line above. ( Or if there are other reasons, it can be a safe exit )
- Opposite rules for booking profit on long entry are to book profit on short trade. ( The blue line above is the stop loss of short entry )
Timeframe:
According to this, the time frame you should use while taking trades is 5 minutes time frames . (5 minute time frame works well in this)
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading carries significant risk and is not suitable for all traders. You may lose some or all of your capital in a matter of minutes or hours. Market conditions can change rapidly, and prices can move against you quickly. You may not always be able to exit at a favorable price, and you may be required to hold a position overnight, exposing yourself to additional risk. Day trading involves high risk, high leverage, and high stakes, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Please carefully consider your financial situation, risk tolerance, and trading objectives before engaging in day trading.
Engagement:
Share your insights, ask questions, and learn from others in the community. Whether you're a seasoned pro or just starting out, we're all in this together.
What's your take on the current market conditions? Which trading strategies are working for you? Let's discuss and help each other grow as traders!
Comment below and let's get the conversation started!
Original Content:
This trading setup is the result of my own innovation and expertise, and is not based on any publicly available information or third-party systems. It is a reflection of my dedication to developing a competitive edge in the markets.
BANKNIFTY: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 18/10/2024QUICK GUIDE
- Use 5 minute timeframe
- Try to take enters at retest
- Use multiple confirmation
- Read full description before investing
- Try to take ATM options or above
Explanation:
This is a very useful trading system. This means that you should not take a trade blindly, but rather that there is another confirmation to take the trade you can use this for perfect entry and perfect exit
This trading opportunity is based on volume, previous price, and price range , are included
Entry/Exit point's:
- It has very easy entry and exit points
- In this pair of lines with two colors are given (RED AND BLUE)
- In this the blue line is used to take long entry and the red line is used to take short entry (But it is all based on a more conformation from your trading plan)
Stop Loss/Take Profit:
Stop Loss
- According to this, if you take a long trade, its stop loss will be the red line just below ( A trade can exit either when the price crosses the red line or the 5 minute candlestick crosses the red line. (This can be done according to your preference) )
- A short entry should use the opposite rules to a long entry
Take Profit
-When you take a long entry according to the profit to be booked is on the next red line above. ( Or if there are other reasons, it can be a safe exit )
- Opposite rules for booking profit on long entry are to book profit on short trade. ( The blue line above is the stop loss of short entry )
Timeframe:
According to this, the time frame you should use while taking trades is 5 minutes time frames . (5 minute time frame works well in this)
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading carries significant risk and is not suitable for all traders. You may lose some or all of your capital in a matter of minutes or hours. Market conditions can change rapidly, and prices can move against you quickly. You may not always be able to exit at a favorable price, and you may be required to hold a position overnight, exposing yourself to additional risk. Day trading involves high risk, high leverage, and high stakes, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Please carefully consider your financial situation, risk tolerance, and trading objectives before engaging in day trading.
Engagement:
Share your insights, ask questions, and learn from others in the community. Whether you're a seasoned pro or just starting out, we're all in this together.
What's your take on the current market conditions? Which trading strategies are working for you? Let's discuss and help each other grow as traders!
Comment below and let's get the conversation started!
Original Content:
This trading setup is the result of my own innovation and expertise, and is not based on any publicly available information or third-party systems. It is a reflection of my dedication to developing a competitive edge in the markets.
AU BANK - This Range is No Joke !Please pay attention to the range 695 to 755
If there is reakout or breakdown then consider trading that side, also keep boosting or liking this so that I am reminded to trade the same too !
Honestly, In my opinion there is a great accumulation or distribution happening (I cant figure out between the two) but I surely know that this is the preparation for a trending move 100%.
Keep watching this script and believe me, I've seen these a lot of times.
ICT-3 ICT concepts coupled with price action
575 was the best entry as it formed a FVG after a MSS and sell side liquidity was taken out.
Au bank released its earnings and although profits fell, NPA,GPA were down as well showing strong management. NII was up 10% which is another major sign and it beat estimates.
Technical signals
Bullish flag with a bullish engulfing candle which is validated by volume and on the 50ema couples with ICT also trading makes it a high probability set up.
Keep It Simple
18 Apr - BankNifty Algos did well as it was not expiry todayBankNifty Analysis — Stance Bearish⬇️
“The power of a strong support/resistance zone will help you in your technical analysis” — Anonymous.
See what happened today, BN started strong and was keeping its head above the 47465 support for a long time. Between 10.19 to 10.31, there was an attempt to break this SR, but it failed. BN reclaimed the 47700 levels and was coasting perfectly when the flash crash happened. Between 13.23 to 13.27, BN gave away 557pts ~ 1.17% also ensuring the SR breach.
By 13.39, the breach was confirmed and BN continued its downward moves. A session low of 46982 was hit at 15.15 post which we had a 240+ pts recovery.
The last 4 candles on the 63mts TF are all red and the support of 47465 has yielded. I am yet to mark the next support level, which I will do by tomorrow. I wish to hold on to my bearish view for tomorrow as well.
The Algo on BN was in good shape till the 13.23 impact took away the gains. Ended the day with a loss of 40,724.
CANARA BANK LONG TRADEGood to buy CANBK @306-310
Stop Loss : 290
Targets : 320/340/360/400max+++
CANBK is taking good support from the trendline. Good breakout of Bearish trend in longer Timeframe.
Thanks.
Disclaimer: This idea is only for the Educational purpose. Trade at your own risk.
If you like the idea kindly support.
07 Mar ’24 — Another stable day, getting ready for next jump?Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “We are maintaining our bullish stance for tomorrow as well, but we are not expecting 22600 to be broken tomorrow.”
4mts chart
It was another perfect day for the option sellers, mostly the short straddlers. Nifty struck a narrow range today and had no special adventures. Looking at how Nifty50 traded today makes me remember the Cricket commentators saying “After hitting the first 2 balls for 6 & 4s, take singles and rotate strikes..”. Nifty50 did the exact same thing today. The rotations were in the sub-sectors and the market breadth was improving. Media, Metal, FMCG, Pharma, Consumption, and Commodities all did well today and the laggards were Banks and Energy.
Between the last expiry and today, Nifty50 rose 440pts ~ 2%. Most importantly it took out 2 support/resistance levels - 22051 and 22295. And we rewrote the ATH twice. As it looks everything looks GREEN on this side. Tomorrow will be a holiday in India, so our next market action will be on Monday. If US markets advance and take out their ATHs by then, we can expect a huge gap up in the next session. In case the Global macros weaken over the weekend - the Bull's party could be cut short too. Wish you a happy weekend.
63mts chart
04 Mar ’24 — BankNifty still has to overcome the 47465 resistancBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty is still stuck at the 47465 resistance level and this according to me was the primary reason why even Nifty could not find the upward thrust. There were 4 specific instances when BN tried to break the resistance and move up but all of them got rejected. This does not really mean that the Bulls are tired or out of steam, it is just that they are unable to win the hand.
4mts chart
By this time, we all know what is going to happen next - A gap-up above the resistance line and then boom-boom. The gap-up will change the dynamics in the Bull’s favor and the short covering will give it a bit more thrust. The moment that happens, we will be able to change the stance from neutral to bullish. This would also mean Nifty50 would be scaling new heights. What is totally unpredictable is NiftyIT, playing hard to get. Seems like the fight to be the Nifty’s torch bearer is happening between IT and Banks.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 27037. We manually closed the day @ 11.15 as the MTM felt decent enough for the 2hrs of trade. We will only get to know if it was the right decision or not when we run the backtest.
I am a registered financial advisor & would be happy to assist with your queries or doubts. If privacy is required, you can DM me too.
01 Mar ’24 — BankNifty gets an upgrade - from Bearish to NeutralBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty also gets a stance change today i.e. from bearish to neutral. All that is pending is to take out the 47465 resistance to go bullish. Most likely that should happen tomorrow and we are eagerly waiting to trade on another Saturday. BN closed the day with a gain of 1166 points ~ 2.53%. But unlike Nifty, BN is not near its ATH. We have some more distance to cover.
4mts chart
Look at the number of green candles in the higher time frame. 11 consecutive 63mts candles i.e. 693 hours of unchecked bull run. We are very sure if the same had happened yesterday - a lot of option traders would have tripled their capital. Expiries usually attract hero-zero traders and most of them prefer to load on BankNifty CEs and PEs. BN is safely out of the bearish channel and that is why the stance has been revised from bearish to neutral.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a loss of Rs39177. It was on the expected lines as the algo is based on option selling and for strong directional move days like today - it will run into deep cuts. In a way, we are happy that the loss was not 63891.
I am a registered financial advisor & would be happy to assist with your queries or doubts. If privacy is required, you can DM me too.
28 Feb ’24 — BankNifty goes bearish, next stop 45399BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
There is no doubt that the stance on Banknifty is anything but bearish. Even though we started quite okay, we quickly gave up the gains. After 10.23 the intensity of selling was quite strong. And once we came back to the bearish channel the depth of the RED candles kept on increasing. Banks were the first to react to the bad news along with RELIANCE. NiftyIT was still going on strong and was at the GREEN end of the turf. In fact, NiftyIT went into RED only after 11.43.
4mts chart
The double top M pattern and the bearish channel are better explainable on the higher timeframe. BankNifty’s next support comes at 45399, the momentum for the Bears will really pick up if we are to break that by tomorrow. That would also mean we are going back to the levels as of 18th Jan 2024. We are also quite sure, that could be a pain area for many traders who would have taken a monthly position.
HDFC Bank was very special today, it hit a low of 1405 by 10.59 - but the recovery after that was more than amazing. Till 14.27, things were not looking that bad either. However, the final 1 hour ensured that the selling on this counter was far from over. HDFCBK has a higher weight on Nifty50 than RELIANCE. Also it commands 2 other indices - BankNifty and FinNifty also. So if this elephant starts rolling, it would be a treat to watch for the BEARS.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 15606. This is the 3rd day that we have exited the Algos prematurely. Today, we closed the trades @ 10.07 as my gut feeling said something was fishy.
21 Feb ’24 — BankNifty is bullish as long as its > 46886 ⬆️⬆️⬆️BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Although BankNifty created a double top (M pattern) on the 4 mts time frame today, the stance is still bullish. The reason we did not change the stance for BN even though we downgraded N50 was that BN did not even test the support level today. Despite the selling pressure on all other counters, the Banks did not attempt to re-enter the bearish channel nor break the trendline. Ideally, it had to fall below 46833 to go into a bearish zone and today’s low was 46886. We know a 50pts margin is not that adequate, but when we switch to a higher time frame chart - you may agree with us.
4mts chart
If you look at the chart below, even after adjacent RED candles, BN is still above the blue trend line. Tomorrow’s opening 63 minutes is very crucial as the major reason why BN did not participate in the fall today could be attributed to expiry day trades. When the selling came, the volumes of the top 4 banks had spiked accidentally revealing that it could be the start of something big. We guess the torch-bearer status of BankNifty has to be kept on the back burner as NiftyIT is calling the shots now. February is proving to be equally volatile as January 2024. Both the indices are now hunting for the stop losses and it seems like the ATM non-directional traders are going through another drawdown phase.
For tomorrow we wish to start the day with a bullish bias and not get into any aggressive bets. Will wait for the first 63mts candle to appear and then take things from there. If we stay below the blue trend line - the status would be changed to neutral immediately.
63mts chart
—
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with gains of 11395. We booked the profits early i.e. by 11.34. Would have to backtest and find out tomorrow if our decision to prematurely exit was worth it or not. Yesterday also we exited prematurely and the backtests proved we made the right choice.
06 Feb ’24 — Head and Shoulders Inverse forming on BankNifty?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Is BankNifty bearish? - absolutely not. Is it bullish? It's too early to say. One thing is sure - there is some weakness impacting the banks. Are the unsecured loans haunting them? None of the balance sheets from the quarterly results are bleeding - but something is still bothering them. Today was a fine day for the banks to support Nifty’s rally - still, the banks decided to stay on the bench.
4mts chart
One thing is sure, the fall looks like arrested (for now). If Nifty takes out the ATH without the support of the banks again, then it is some indication that the Information Technology players may have taken over as the new torch-bearers. There are exactly 6 NiftyIT companies in Nifty50 as there are 6 banks in BankNifty. NiftyIT weight is 14.18% vs 33% of BankNifty - definitely, BN has lost some ground and IT has gobbled it.
63mts chart
The perfect Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern has not formed yet - we still have 20% of the move remaining. We will closely monitor if BN chooses to follow this path as it is a bullish sign. The first clue came in when BN defended its support at 44542, the 2nd came when 45399 was defended. Tomorrow is the weekly expiry and we hope to see some actions - at present, the OTM strikes are not that juicy - if BN decides to move, we could expect some mispricings to pop in.
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs8121.
30 Jan ’24 — BankNifty was not interested in N50s price actionBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Strange-looking 1st and 2nd candles and then a flat price action all through the day. It is quite commendable that Nifty’s bearish ghosts did not haunt BankNifty today. Even though we closed just below the SR zone of 45399 - the price action did not give a clear clue if it was bearish or bullish.
4mts chart
Maybe BankNifty was in a wait-and-watch mode, allowing Nifty to decide on the direction first and then follow suit. For the straddlers, it was a field day today as the flat price action would have given most of them good gains.
63mts chart
BankNifty cannot stay flat like this tomorrow and the day after. We have the expiry tomorrow and the Budget announcement on 1st February. Most likely Nifty will pick a direction soon and 99/100 BankNifty will align itself with the broader trend. Our neutral stance continues for tomorrow, but we are quite excited to see the option premium spikes during closing minutes today. The first thing BN has to ensure tomorrow is to reject the 45399 resistance and then hope the Bears score their goal.
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a profit of 1617 per lot
25 Jan ’24 — BankNifty looks, walks & talks like a BEAR, is it?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
The unusualness of the last 30mts was more obvious in the Banks - HDFC, ICICI, AXIS and Kotak. Seems a news/event is brewing and we may get some clarity in the coming days. The good thing is that it broke out pretty late in the day, which meant the expiry was not totally screwed.
4mts chart
How many Analysts you know are bearish on the banks, most of them we follow are Permabulls. Seems like the criticism we are getting is obvious in the price action today. Except for the last 30mts - every other minute belonged to the bears today. When news/event breaks out - the best thing a technical analyst could do is close the position and wrap the day.
63mts chart
BN got support from our marked SR level of 44542. The next level below is 44068 which is the strongest SR level in the proximity. The history of 44068 levels goes back to Dec 2022 (quite a long way back). Our stance of bearishness continues and hope Monday belongs to the bears.
19 Jan ’24 — Are you ready for the BANKEX expiry tomorrow?BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
The stance for BankNifty was bearish yesterday and it is still bearish today. The highs and lows of today were more or less matching with the levels of yesterday. Visually the price action is more negative than yesterday, the reason being the highs hit today were due to gap-up whereas yesterday’s high was via fighting it out during trading hours.
4mts chart
From the highs to the lows today, there was a swing range of 688 points. Just that the gap-up hides this in plain sight, after all the index closed flat at -0.03%. The change in holiday schedule is going to impact BankNifty the most as BANKEX expiry which was on Monday will have to be conducted tomorrow. Quite sure the traders were not prepared for this event and the opening minutes could create some chaos. We are not even sure if the technical analysis will work out tomorrow.
63mts chart
Look at the encircled region - all RED candles. How many analysts do you know who would say these many consecutive red candles are a bullish sign? None. Despite this, BankNifty could move up tomorrow as the news flow of holiday change was not priced in. BANKEX has a close correlation with BankNifty and logically traders would use the opening minutes to build expiry positions tomorrow. Since FIIs were not informed, they would come tomorrow unprepared. If there is sanity tomorrow and BankNifty starts moving downwards - the first level to watch out for is 45399. To go bullish - it has to climb 1765 points.
18 Jan ’24 — BankNifty bounces of from the support @ 45399 😔BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
What happened with BankNifty today was more or less as per the script. The opening 4mts gave us some idea of what to expect, the reason being the bounce from 45399 support. Even though the opening was gap-down, adequate selling pressure was not there to take out the support level. Ideally, it had to be taken out via the gap itself - and that did not happen.
4mts chart
BN impressed with a midday rally of 747pts to close the gap. Later it gave away 58% of those points to close at 45762, down 350pts ~ 0.76% vs yesterday. We would not know how long this correction phase persist, deep down - we prefer to see a broader bear rally.
There is a thing or two about the bear market. Have you seen videos of how Bear catches fish in the river? It goes to those areas called rapids where the Fish has to jump to escape the current. The bear has to just stand at those levels with his mouth wide open - the fish automatically goes straight in as it cannot maneuver mid-air. Bear market price action is more or less similar - the retail traders are helpless and out of the driving seat. If they survive, it will just be at the mercy of the big boys.
63mts chart
The stance is still bearish and the first target is 45399 and it has to be taken out pretty soon. The longer we wait out, the dip buyers will re-emerge. Other support areas nearby are 44542 and 44068 - if the momentum carries, then we should be testing them this month itself.