STWP Breakout Watchlist – [14.09] | Key Stocks for Swing TradersSTWP Breakout Watchlist – | Key Stocks for Swing Traders 📊🚀
Markets are buzzing with momentum as multiple stocks show strong breakout signals backed by volumes and clean chart structures 🚀. Today’s watchlist highlights finance heavyweights and defence leaders that are attracting trader attention with fresh swing setups. Let’s decode the key levels, supports, and resistances to track for the coming sessions 🔑.
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BAJFINANCE – 1003.25 (3.41%)
📊 Technical Indicators Explained
Bajaj Finance has given a powerful breakout 🚀 as it clears a long consolidation zone with a strong bullish Marubozu candle backed by heavy volume. The stock posted volumes almost 2 times its 20-day average, reflecting active trading and stronger-than-usual participation. Elevated volumes like this often support the sustainability of the underlying trend.
The chart highlights multiple bullish signals — strong momentum, a 52-week breakout, RSI breakout ⚡ confirming strength, and a Bollinger Band squeeze-off 📊 hinting at fresh volatility expansion. With VWAP support and intraday swing confirmation, the setup looks robust.
As long as key supports at 981 / 959 / 947 are protected, the stock can eye resistances at 1015 / 1026 / 1048 and possibly move towards higher upside levels of 1062 and 1120 in the coming sessions, with a possible demand zone at 975.90 – 965.60.
Bajaj Finance recently touched a 52-week high, driven by strong trading volumes (as per MarketWatch).
The company has set an ambitious goal to grow its loan book to ₹10 lakh crore by FY29, while also working on internal succession planning for senior leadership roles (as per Economic Times).
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📈 Investment Outlook & Conclusion
📈 Bullish Case – Momentum with volume support may extend gains towards resistances.
📉 Bearish Case – Breach below 970 can attract selling pressure.
⚡ Momentum Case – Well-aligned for short swing trades.
📅 Perspective – Short-term momentum positive; long-term depends on loan book growth and asset quality.
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📊 STWP Trade Analysis – BAJFINANCE
Bajaj Finance has given a strong breakout with momentum and volume confirmation 🚀
👉 For me, my entry zone is around 1004.60, aligned with the breakout structure considering 946.70 as my stop loss.
👉 If the stock dips towards 975.90 – 965.60 (Pullback zone), I will see that as a conservative re-entry with tighter risk.
🔑 Key Levels I’m Watching
Invalidation Level: A sustained move below 945 will negate my bullish view.
My Levels (if momentum continues): 1048 → 1062 → 1120
This is my swing trading approach as long as supports hold and is not a buy/sell recommendation.
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BDL – 1566.50 (▲ +5.73%)
📊 Technical Indicators Explained
Bharat Dynamics (BDL) has delivered a strong breakout candle 🔥 after a prolonged downtrend, backed by extremely high volume 🚀. BDL stood out with an impressive 3.7x surge in volumes over its 20-day average, showcasing aggressive market involvement. Such strong accumulation signals heightened attention from traders and investors, often aligned with significant moves.
The chart highlights multiple bullish signals — RSI breakout, Bullish Engulfing candle, Buy Today Sell Tomorrow (BTST) setup, VWAP support, and SuperTrend reversal confirmation. The BB squeeze-off 📊 indicates a fresh trending move is likely to unfold.
As long as supports at 1506 / 1446 / 1410 are protected, and with a demand zone between 1513 – 1470, the stock looks well positioned to sustain momentum. On the upside, resistances are placed at 1602 / 1637 / 1697, with Fibonacci-based higher levels stretching to 1734 → 1886 → 2041 and beyond.
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📰 Recent Updates
Institutional interest in BDL is rising, with the HDFC Defence Fund increasing its stake in the company along with other defence stocks (Economic Times).
BDL has also been highlighted among defence counters that recently surged up to 19%, supported by a strong order book and export prospects (Mint).
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📈 Investment Outlook & Conclusion
📈 Bullish Case – Strong breakout with heavy volumes may extend towards higher resistances.
📉 Bearish Case – Slip below 1479 can open downside risk.
⚡ Momentum Case – High-risk, high-reward setup for aggressive short-term swings.
📅 Perspective – Short-term breakout play; long-term outlook tied to defence orders and exports.
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📊 STWP Trade Analysis – BDL
Bharat Dynamics has delivered a breakout with volume confirmation and multiple bullish signals 🚀
👉 For me, my entry zone is around 1577, aligned with the breakout structure with my stop being at 1422.60
👉 If the stock dips towards the 1513 – 1470 demand zone, I will treat it as a conservative re-entry with tighter risk.
🔑 Key Levels I’m Watching
Invalidation Level: Invalidation level of below 1422 will negate my bullish view.
My Levels (if momentum continues): 1602 → 1637 → 1697 → 1734 → 1886 → 2041
This is my swing trading approach as long as supports hold and is not a buy/sell recommendation.
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BAJAJFINSV – 2081.50 (▲ +2.14%)
📊 Technical Indicators Explained
Bajaj Finserv (BAJAJFINSV) has given a breakout candle with volume confirmation 🔥 after a long consolidation phase.
The stock displays strong signals — possible breakout setup, bullish engulfing candle, RSI breakout ⚡, swing trade confirmation, and Bollinger Band breakout 📊. The stock is also supported by VWAP demand and a BB squeeze-off, indicating potential for fresh momentum expansion. BAJAJFINSV recorded volumes about 1.8 times its recent 20-day average, suggesting above-normal market activity. This indicates healthy interest and participation, though the intensity is moderate compared to high-volume breakouts.
With strong supports at 2047 / 2013 / 1992, the stock looks well-positioned to sustain its move. On the upside, resistances are placed at 2102 / 2122 / 2156, with higher Fibonacci levels seen at 2135 → 2217 → 2236 if momentum holds.
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📰 Recent Updates
Bajaj Finserv has set a target to achieve carbon neutrality for Scope 1 & 2 emissions by 2032, following a decarbonisation study in FY25 (Times of India).
In Q1 FY26, the company reported a 30.4% YoY rise in consolidated net profit to ₹2,789 crore, with revenues growing by ~12–13% (Economic Times).
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📈 Investment Outlook & Conclusion
📈 Bullish Case – Gradual momentum with volume support could lift towards resistances.
📉 Bearish Case – A fall below 2032 can trigger near-term weakness.
⚡ Momentum Case – Suitable for cautious swing setups.
📅 Perspective – Short-term bias positive; long-term backed by financial services expansion.
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📊 STWP Trade Analysis – BAJAJFINSV
Bajaj Finserv has delivered a breakout candle with momentum and above-average volume 🚀
👉 For me, my entry zone is around 2089, aligned with the breakout structure and a stop loss level of 2024.95.
👉 If the stock dips towards the level of 2041, I will treat it as a conservative re-entry with tighter risk.
🔑 Key Levels I’m Watching
Invalidation Level: A sustained move below 2012 will negate my bullish view.
My Levels (if momentum continues): 2102 → 2122 → 2156 → 2135 → 2217 → 2236
This is my swing trading approach as long as supports hold and is not a buy/sell recommendation.
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HAL – 4745.60 (▼ –3.59%)
📊 Technical Indicators Explained
Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL) has given a breakout candle with strong volume confirmation 🚀 after a corrective downtrend. HAL witnessed trading volumes nearly 2.6x higher than its 20-day average, reflecting strong participation in the stock. Such elevated volumes often highlight rising institutional or retail activity, adding credibility to the ongoing price momentum.
The stock shows powerful bullish signals — Bullish Marubozu candle, RSI breakout ⚡, Bullish Engulfing setup, VWAP support, backed by a SuperTrend reversal and Bollinger Band breakout 📊. The BB squeeze-off suggests a potential trending move is just beginning.
With supports at 4634 / 4523 / 4465, the stock looks cushioned for momentum continuation. On the upside, immediate resistances lie at 4803 / 4861 / 4972, with higher Fibonacci-based levels stretching towards 5074 → 5399 → 5723 if momentum sustains. There is a possible demand zone around 4634 – 4544.30
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📰 Recent Updates
HAL has received its third GE-404 engine from the US for the LCA Tejas Mark-1A programme, with a fourth expected later this month (Economic Times).
The company also signed a technology transfer agreement with IN-SPACe, ISRO, and NSIL for the Small Satellite Launch Vehicle (Economic Times).
HAL’s HJT-36 trainer jet is being evaluated for conversion into a light-attack fighter aircraft, with basic weapon trials already completed (Navbharat Times).
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📈 Investment Outlook & Conclusion
📈 Bullish Case – Strong momentum with volume support may push towards higher resistances.
📉 Bearish Case – A drop below 4576 can attract downside pressure.
⚡ Momentum Case – Aligned with momentum; good for short-term swings.
📅 Perspective – Short-term breakout play; long-term supported by defence growth.
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📊 STWP Trade Analysis – HAL
Hindustan Aeronautics has delivered a breakout candle with strong volume and momentum 🚀
👉 For me, my entry zone is around 4750, aligned with the breakout setup and my stop loss level at 4425.35.
👉 If the stock dips towards the 4634 – 4544.30, I will consider it as a conservative re-entry with tighter risk.
🔑 Key Levels I’m Watching
Invalidation Level: A sustained move below 4425 will negate my bullish view.
My Levels (if momentum continues): 4803 → 4861 → 4972 → 5074 → 5399 → 5723
This is my swing trading approach as long as supports hold and is not a buy/sell recommendation.
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⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data.
Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results.
If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades.
Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments.
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