Bitcoin Technical Analysis - Bearish Scenario & Elliott Wave Bitcoin Technical Analysis - Bearish Scenario & Elliott Wave Count
Greetings traders and investors,
Current Analysis:
The current BTC scenario appears bearish. As discussed earlier, I highlighted the likelihood of a significant dump. I hope you adhered to the warning and avoided long trades around $70,000 - $72,000.
Chart Analysis Recap:
The chart shows a clear bullish pennant formation, usually indicating a bullish trend. However, based on my experience, the market often moves contrary to expectations.
Pennant Breakdown:
#BTC briefly broke upwards before a fakeout and a subsequent breakdown below the bullish pennant.
Critical Breakdown:
After breaking below the $66,000 level, #Bitcoin dropped further past the red trend line and retested $67,400. Many traders, fearing missing out, opened long positions at this level only to be liquidated shortly afterward.
Elliott Wave Count:
We're currently in the 5th count of a fresh Elliott Wave and the 3rd sub-wave count. Expect a slight upward move to fulfill the "A" and "B" count.
Upward Move:
Expect a short-term pump towards $61,000 - $62,000.
Major Dump: Post-pump, BTC could dip further to $50,000, with potential dips toward $45,000.
Support & Resistance Levels:
Support: $51,000 / $42,000
Resistance: $62,000
Note:
If BTC breaks above the $62,000 resistance, the Elliott Wave count could change, then i will update.
Like & share if you agree with my Analysis
Trade safely,
Bearish Patterns
Ready for Altcoins Season? Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Ready for Altcoins Season? Bitcoin Dominance Analysis
Critical Level: #Bitcoin Dominance hovers around the pivotal 55% mark, with potential outcomes hinging on breakout or rejection from 55%-57% resistance.
Altcoin Scenario: Breakout could trigger an altcoin bloodbath, while failure could signal a significant altcoin season, potentially leading to new all-time highs.
Observation: #BTC Dominance exhibits a pattern akin to the Bitcoin 2021 top.
Confirmation Needed: Await an impulse downward to solidify the pattern, reminiscent of the 73%-39% move in 2021.
Asymmetric Bet: Despite prolonged anticipation, the odds favor altcoins, presenting potential lucrative opportunities.
Patience Pays: Success rewards those resilient against social media sentiment and market frustrations.
Action Item: Vigilantly monitor charts for potential market movements, seizing earning opportunities as they arise.
#AltSeason #Altcoins #Cryptocurrency
NIFTY 2 MAY Expiry AnalysisThe market (NIFTY50) is currently trading at 22740. From Friday We have seen a sharp Buying.
Now, I can see 2 images.
Bullish Momentum: Will give you a good amount of return if it breaks 22760 level then target 22850+
Bearish Momentum: Will give you a good amount of return if it breaks 22720 level then target is 22600.
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses.
Thank you for Reading my complete Analysis,
TTR
Tata Steel - Correction?Tata Steel :-
- Monthly RSI showing signs of Divergence
- The same could be observed on Weekly RSI as well
- On daily the candle formed on 26.04.24 seems to be bearish in nature with high volumes forming a double top around the levels 165/170.
The Fib retracement could be seen plotted at 154-150, 0.5/0.618 respectively.
A short can be initiated from the levels 165/168 for a target of 6-8%
Buy opportunity can be seen at levels 152/154 post confirmation.
NIFTY MONTHLY BAT PATTERN OR HALF M PATTERN (Condition apply)* The market (NIFTY50) is currently trading at 22436. However, it's important not to blindly follow the buy or call side under the yellow box, as it signifies a sideways zone. For the past two days, I've observed a sideways market with premiums not showing significant increases.
Here are the levels and analysis for the NIFTY Monthly Future Traders:
Once the 22400-440 Level breaks then the Market will go towards the 21900 Level again.
If it sustains 22000 then also no big issue.
Note: Selling side momentum can be captured effectively as selling often yields better results than buying. However, it's crucial not to be biased towards any side. Wait for a level break and then align with the market. The market will consistently provide favorable outcomes, whether in terms of profit or learning.
NIFTY 18TH APRIL Monday AnalysisHello Traders,
The market (NIFTY50) is currently trading at 22519. Friday We have seen a sharp selling (Please check my analysis 18th April Nifty Expiry, I explained about market and got the 200+ points target as well).
Now, I can see 2 images.
Bullish Momentum: Will give you a good amount of return if it break 22570 level then target 22800+
Bearish Momentum: Will give you a good amount of return if it breaks 22450 level then target is 22200.
Also, Don't forget to see my Previous analysis:
As per my 4th April Nifty Expiry, Our Entry Happened on 4th April, and TARGET Achieved on 8th April.
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses.
Thank you for Reading my complete Analysis,
Naveen
BITCOIN BEARISH MODE SO READY FOR $50,000 ?#BITCOIN BEARISH ALERT
Market Status: Bearish
Key Observations:
Pattern Breakdown: Bullish Pennant formation has been compromised.
Trend Line Status: Currently trading below the key trend line.
Targets: $50,000
Condition:
This target is set under the condition that #BTCUSDT remains below $65,500.
Keep a close eye on the price movement. A sustained position below $65,500 could confirm the bearish momentum towards our target.
Stay tuned for further updates!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC #Cryptocrash
NIFTY 18TH APRIL | 23000 or 22500?Hello Traders,
The market (NIFTY50) is currently trading at 22753. However, it's important not to blindly follow the buy or call side under the yellow box, as it signifies a UPWARD TO SIDEWAYS zone.
Here are the levels and analysis for the NIFTY Expiry on April 18th (23000 or 22500?):
Point 1: Avoid using the maximum amount in the Yellow zone, ranging from 22775 to 22700.
Please do not trade in the 75-point zone.
Point 2 (BULLISH): Consider going for the CALL side or bullish positions once the market crosses 22780.
The targets will be:
Target 1: Small Target with 87 Points which is 22856
Target 2: Big Target and All Time High with 23000 cross which is 23004+
After this, I expect a fall similar to 16 JAN 2024 when the 22000 level break.
Point 3 (BEARISH): Go for the PUT side or bearish positions when the market crosses 22700.
The targets will be:
Target 1: Small Target with 54 Points which is 22650.
Target 2: Big Target of 200 points which is 22500 and once this Target is achieved then we will be on the same page where we started on 28 March and then started TRAP TRADING.
Also, Don't forget to see my Previous analysis:
As per my 4th April Nifty Expiry, Our Entry Happened on 4th April, and TARGET Achieved on 8th April.
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses.
Thank you for Reading my complete Analysis,
Naveen
AGIX FORMED BEARISH DIVERGENCE IN DAILY FRAME AGIX volume is falling and bearish divergence formed so we can expect buy chance.
fair price : 0.896
SUPPORT : 0.577
BANK NIFTY MARCH MONTH EXPIRY ANALYSISBankNifty Important Levels for March Month Expiry:
=> Naked Buyer Strategy:
CALL Side:
Buy Above: 47040.
Put Stop Loss: 46950.
Targets: 47130, 47203, 47288, 47368 and 47423.
PUT Side:
Sell below: 46800.
Stop Loss: 46880.
Targets : 46720 ,46650, 46570 and 46474.
=> Hedging Strategy:
UP SIDE:
Sell 47300/47400 PUT (Premium price 500-570) & Hedge with 46400 PUT (Premium price 100).
DOWB SIDE:
Sell 46400/46300 CALL (Premium price 550-630) & Hedge with 46430 PUT (Premium price 130).
=> Sell Strangle Strategy:
Sell 46400 CALL and Parallelly Sell 47400 Put.
Note: Do Trading after the Level break and use Strict Stoploss.
BANK NIFTY MARCH MONTH EXPIRY ANALYSISBankNifty Important Levels for March Month Expiry:
=> Naked Buyer Strategy:
CALL Side:
Buy Above: 47040.
Put Stop Loss: 46950.
Targets: 47130, 47203, 47288, 47368 and 47423.
PUT Side:
Sell below: 46800.
Stop Loss: 46880.
Targets : 46720 ,46650, 46570 and 46474.
=> Hedging Strategy:
UP SIDE:
Sell 47300/47400 PUT (Premium price 500-570) & Hedge with 46400 PUT (Premium price 100).
DOWB SIDE:
Sell 46400/46300 CALL (Premium price 550-630) & Hedge with 46430 PUT (Premium price 130).
=> Sell Strangle Strategy:
Sell 46400 CALL and Parallelly Sell 47400 Put.
Note: Do Trading after the Level break and use Strict Stoploss.
MPHASIS - LOOKING WEAK FOR THIS WEEK - SHORT ENTRYAs per Chart MPHASIS suggests strong downtrend Momentum.
If trend continues we can see more Fall.
IT is underperforming as compared to NIFTY 50 and MPHASIS also showing weakness.
So the pattern will active below 2375
And pattern will be neglated above 2445
13 Mar ’24 — Nifty breaks 2 support, goes bearish todayNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
Recap from yesterday: “One thing is sure, the sudden price moves we are seeing right now are quite indicative of a massive shift in fundamentals. Technical Analysis cannot detect the directional impact this early, but it would be prudent to keep an eye out for any possible clues.”
4mts chart
We got some action today on Nifty but not on BankNifty. Nifty broke 2 support levels namely 22295 and 22051 and pulled back from the 3rd support @ 21913. Whereas BankNifty did not break down. Can you believe that Nifty closed with a loss of 338 points whereas BankNifty closed only 301 points lower? Our stance on Nifty goes from Bullish to Bearish directly whereas for BankNifty we are still maintaining the neutral stance.
The concept of support and resistance is so evident today, see the 3 encircled regions, the first one around the 22295 levels, 2nd one at the 22051 level, and then the 3rd one at 21913. The only time Nifty took a pause was at these marked zones. Today’s fall aligned with the news about the possible “froth” in the mid and small caps. If the BTFD people would be kind enough to pass on this opportunity, we could have a meaningful correction on our indices. In the long run, a correction is better and healthier.
Tomorrow is expiry, and we hope Nifty re-enters the 21913 to 21491 neutral band. This is the same flat zone that held nifty from 15th Dec 2023 to 15th Feb 2024. I wouldn't really mind spending another month in this zone. The challenge would be the aspect of momentum. Both of us know the market is shorted by weak hands, strong hands could enter this space and push down 800 to 1000 points in a week, if that happens Nifty could even fall below 21491 opening up avenues for further outflows. Coming back to the “froth” aspect of the market, the first to fall will be the small and midcaps, but those moves are contagious. Large caps will be the last to fall and last to recover.
63mts chart
Nifty SmallCap under selling pressure1) Nifty SmallCap Index is under strong selling pressure.
2) Index may fall further 3.25% in the upcoming days.
3) 14900 will act as a good support area.
4) Time to cut positions from SmallCap stocks and move to cash.
5) If the Index breaks 14900 again, This will lead to another 4% fall.
28 Feb ’24 — BankNifty goes bearish, next stop 45399BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
There is no doubt that the stance on Banknifty is anything but bearish. Even though we started quite okay, we quickly gave up the gains. After 10.23 the intensity of selling was quite strong. And once we came back to the bearish channel the depth of the RED candles kept on increasing. Banks were the first to react to the bad news along with RELIANCE. NiftyIT was still going on strong and was at the GREEN end of the turf. In fact, NiftyIT went into RED only after 11.43.
4mts chart
The double top M pattern and the bearish channel are better explainable on the higher timeframe. BankNifty’s next support comes at 45399, the momentum for the Bears will really pick up if we are to break that by tomorrow. That would also mean we are going back to the levels as of 18th Jan 2024. We are also quite sure, that could be a pain area for many traders who would have taken a monthly position.
HDFC Bank was very special today, it hit a low of 1405 by 10.59 - but the recovery after that was more than amazing. Till 14.27, things were not looking that bad either. However, the final 1 hour ensured that the selling on this counter was far from over. HDFCBK has a higher weight on Nifty50 than RELIANCE. Also it commands 2 other indices - BankNifty and FinNifty also. So if this elephant starts rolling, it would be a treat to watch for the BEARS.
63mts chart
Algo Trading
Our algo trades ended today with a gain of 15606. This is the 3rd day that we have exited the Algos prematurely. Today, we closed the trades @ 10.07 as my gut feeling said something was fishy.






















