10 Jan ’24 — Banks did not have the bull-punch today despite N50BankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
Between the last expiry and today, BN fell 383pts and most importantly breached a support level (47539). Even though the start of the week was good, the bulls gave away the control to the bears by Friday.
16mts chart link
BankNifty Today Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
Unlike Nifty50, BankNifty did not have a strong pullback today. There was no wedge like formation, but the negativity was missing totally. The open was gap-down from which BN recovered decently and then remained range bound. BN was trading in green for most of the time today.
4mts chart link
BN is not out of the bearish hold yet. The first thing that has to be taken care of is the 47539 resistance and the best way to take that out is via a gap up. It has become quite predictable these days, the way to go past a level is via a gap-up or gap-down. Neither the bulls nor the bears have the nerve to battle it out during the trading day.
63mts chart link
Our stance remains bearish even for tomorrow. Will switch to neutral if we have a 63mts candle above the resistance level marked in blue. Even though we have the Nifty50 expiry tomorrow, the options premiums are looking pretty dead. Hoping BN strikes will have some juice for tomorrow.
Bearish Patterns
08 Jan ’24 — Nifty Breaks the Trendline This Time — PostMortemNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
Recap from yesterday: “Our stance is still neutral with equal possibilities in either direction. Since Nifty50 is following the ascending channel’s top trend line — the chances of going up look more probable. To go down — we need news flow/event as there is no technical weakness.”
4mts chart link
The gap up open today and a thrust upwards gave the false impression that we might have an up day. What happened on the contrary was a breach of the trend line. See the circled portions on the chart. At 09.47 the attempt was unsuccessful but at 10.51 the support gave away. Once we breached it, the price action started to pick up momentum.
63mts chart link
The breach of the upper trend line of the ascending channel is quite visible in the higher time frame. Ideally, it is not a pure bearish signal as we are technically still in the bull market. We are changing the stance to bearish from neutral for the ultra-short-term only. If Nifty50 manages to crawl back up the top line - we will have to reverse the stance to neutral. In case Nifty manages to fall further - it will be interesting to see how it reacts to the bottom line of the channel.
03 Jan ’24 — Nifty gets a stance change, Bears are back!Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️
Recap from yesterday: “The first target for a trend change will be the breach of the ascending channel top line approx 21530 levels. From a technical analysis perspective, we had the 3 black crows at 14.30 yesterday and the first 2 candles today.“
4mts chart link
We got our first target of 21530 hit today and as soon as the channel top line got breached - the stance changed to bearish. Technically Nifty is far ahead of BankNifty as N50 has only broken into the channel whereas BN has broken out. The status change is just because of momentum that is favoring the Bears. Come 2024 and they are back!
4mts chart link
NiftyIT deserves a special mention, it fell a whopping 2.59% today. There is severe competition going on between NiftyIT and BankNifty on who wants to become the “leader” in trend reversals.
63mts chart link
On the higher time frame, you can see how N50 is just entering the channel. If the conditions stay like this for tomorrow - we can see a good trending move tomorrow. The first threat to keep in mind is the rejection that came on 21st Dec when N50 bounced from the channel topline. Global macros are much worse today and we are hoping tomorrow’s expiry should belong to the bears. Our first target will be 21409 and then 21310.
INDIGO : Best swing shorting OpportunityAlert! Bearish Pattern Spotted! 🐻
📊 Pattern: Rising Channel
📌 Symbol/Asset: INDIGO
🔍 Description: Stock is rising and now making rising channel.
Which is bearish pattern.
We can see downside from hereon.
👉 Disclosure: We are not SEBI registered analysts, this is not a buy or sell recommendation.
MOVR/USDT -70% Retracement Need for Future Growth$MOVR Impressive Rally: From $4 to $11 in a Flash!
In the world of #cryptocurrency the price movements of tokens can sometimes be as thrilling as a rollercoaster ride.
In this post, we'll discuss the recent journey of #MOVR and its potential future trajectory.
From Nov 2021 to Oct 2023, MOVR experienced a steep decline of 99.35%, dropping from a peak price of $540 to a low of $3.60.
However, the token made a stunning comeback from Oct 2023 to Dec 2023, surging by an astonishing 1132% (11x) and reaching a new high of $44 form $3.60 Bottom.
As we look to the future, there is a possibility that MOVR perience a retracement to the $10-$12 range before the next leg upward.
Waiting for a good entry at a dip can often lead to more favorable returns.
SELL TATAPOWER AT TOPTata Power got rejection and formed a resistance zone @ 330 - 340. Until it sustains above 350, the stock will remain weak and we are looking forward to see downward targets.
Take sell trade between 340 - 330 with the SL of 365, Targets for downside will be 285 and 260.
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
22nd Dec ’23 - BankNifty's trades today were logical & realisticBankNifty Analysis
The trades on BankNifty were more practical and appropriate to the situation we have at hand.
4mts chart link - click here
We opened in line and then tested the top of the ascending channel from 10.03 to 12.03. There was rejection at those levels which took BN quickly to the bottom of the channel. We spent 13.43 to 15.11 at the lower end before breaking down. Even though the closing was below the channel, we ran out of time for conclusive evidence.
Yesterday we went with a neutral stance believing BankNifty will be able to lead the fight for Nifty50 today. What really happened today was NiftyIT taking the pole position and BankNifty breaking down.
63mts chart link - click here
The last 4 candles of today were in RED and we ended just below the channel. For Tuesday, I wish to go with a bearish stance. So at present, my directional view for both Nifty and BankNifty is bearish. Since we have a long weekend - anything could happen when we reopen on Tuesday. I have not taken any positions overnight and decided to play as per the situation after reopening.
21st Dec ’23 - Nifty50 Retraces 50% of Yesterday’s FallNifty Today Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “The price action on the 63mts TF does not look bearish per se. But notice the weight of the RED candles — we retraced right up to the ascending channel top envelope.”
4mts chart link - click here
Nifty started the day on a negative note fell to 20976 and then started recovering. The recovery was so strong and convincing that there was no level of hesitation or indecision in between. When the day ended and the price actions were recorded on the chat - it seemed like the domestic institutions came ready with their chest to pump in new buy orders.
From a technical analysis perspective, we cannot hope that dip buyers will step in and do the needful. The best I could do was to draw a Fibonacci retracement level. The final close stands at the exact 50% retracement level. The right setting for a bearish continuation should have been below 21211 ~ 38.2% retracement. The main sector that spoiled the bear’s party today was BankNifty.
63mts chart link - click here
Nifty50 takes support right at the ascending channel showing the inability of bears to overpower the bulls. I am inclined to change my stance to neutral with the developments of today. Giving the bears one more opportunity to prove their mettle, hence going with the bearish stance for tomorrow as well. All they have to do is keep Nifty50 below 21200 in the opening 2hrs for the momentum to kick in - that may require a gap down of 50+ points. Seeing how the US markets have reacted to their GDP report (strong green) - the only thing that could put them in RED would be some pointers by FED saying “...no rate cuts in 2024”
20th Dec ’23 - 500pts Nifty Reversal Day - Stance is Bearish NowNifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “After surging past the 20875 levels — N50 is not willing to take the rest. We broke out from the ascending channel, now it has formed a trend line well above that — how do I explain this craziness to someone? For tomorrow the bullish stance continues and the first support level will be 21407.”
4mts chart link - click here
The craziness needed no explanation as the excess got shaved off today. Nifty hit a new ATH @ 21593 and then fell a whopping 506pts ~ 2.34% to close at 21101.5. TradingView minds section was not functioning today, and I felt really helpless to inform you when we reversed the stance.
Nifty took out the 21407 only by afternoon, but instead of going neutral - I went bearish directly. The reason was - Nifty made a climb of 146 points first and when it fell to 21400 - the fall ended up approx 193pts ~ 0.9%. That did not look like a neutral price action to me and thankfully Nifty fell another 300pts to cement that idea.
63mts chart link - click here
The price action on the 63mts TF does not look bearish per se. But notice the weight of the RED candles - we retraced right up to the ascending channel top envelope. The reason for a change in stance to bearish is just because of momentum. I will explain a bit more in the BankNifty Postmortem below.
Btc 46000$ to 48000$ supply zone wake up whats tell history Mostly people and many retail investors are bullish past 2 and 3 month but but you need to worry about that the whats historical data is . Every btc bear market create a bottom and then started a little bit pump price reache bullrun fib 0.68 golden zone unfortunately supply zone and and 2021 bull market fib golden zone is 48000$ .as per the every bull market before halving btc rech golden zone off bull market fib then started a crash avarage crash is 45 to 50% but if we not crash 50 % but we definitely crash 35 % is price is 25000$
Is date off 2019 before the halving and start bull run we crash 54% . We are not including COVID 19 crash
Mostly people think when halving happening then started a massive bullish price action in btc btc no as per the data price take off massive bullish price action after halving 3 to 4 month
Technical Outlook of Crude oil ( WTI )Crude oil prices experienced a decline, reaching the lowest point since November, attributed to a growing surplus in supply. Despite the OPEC+ official announcement, oil prices have maintained relative stability in the aftermath. Participants within OPEC+ are recognizing the missed opportunity and attempting to mitigate the situation through additional comments, such as those made by the Saudi Energy Minister.
In terms of technical analysis, the $80.00 mark serves as a crucial resistance level. If crude oil manages to surpass this threshold, the next resistance is anticipated at $84.00 (represented by the purple line), where selling pressure or profit-taking may occur. Conversely, the soft support near $74.00 is currently under pressure, acting as the final defense before potentially entering a range of $70.00 and below. Traders should monitor the $67.00 level, marked by a triple bottom from June, as the next significant support level.
Revised Support Levels:
$71.50 to $70.80
Revised Resistance Levels:
$73.50 to $74.80
Bitcoin Bearish Pattern So ready for $31500 ?Bitcoin Analysis Update
Current Status: Near Parallel Channel Resistance
Bitcoin is currently hovering near the parallel channel resistance, with a range between $40,500 and $41,000. The recent price action resembles a rising wedge, suggesting a potential bearish move if the $41,000 level faces rejection.
Anticipated Reversal Scenario:
If the price rejects from the $40,500-$41,000 range, we may witness a bearish trend. The initial stop is projected at $37,500, and a second stop at $32,000 could come into play if the channel support at $37,500 is breached.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels: $37,500 / $32,000
Resistance Level: $41,000
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CRUDEOIL LOOKING WEAK-SHORT ENTRYCRUDEOIL LOOKING WEAK AS PER ANALYSIS
Moving Average Observations:
Price below 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Moving average.
RSI Observations:
The Daily RSI indicator has remained below 50. This is a bearish zone. Current Daily RSI reading is 42.43.
ADX Observations:
The Daily DMI position remains bearish.
Donchian Channel Observations:
Price is below middle Donchian channel (Bearish).
Ichimoku Observations:
Price below Ichimoku clouds.
Price is below middle Bollinger band (Bearish).
USD / CAD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK1) USD /CAD moves downside to 1.3700 on weaken US Dollar.
2) The bearish outlook for USD / CAD remain below the 50, 100 AND 200 moving average ( 1 hour TF ).
3) Major support level seen at 1.3655.
Technically, the bearish outlook for USD/CAD remains intact as the pair holds below the 50- and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) on the four-hour chart. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located in the bearish territory below 50, which means the path of the least resistance of USD/CAD is to the downside.
VEDANTA ITB Stock Analysis: Bearish Trend Continues VEDANTA ITB stock is currently in a bearish trend. The stock has been declining since reaching its peak in april 2022. The decline has been accompanied by increasing trading volume, which suggests that there is more selling pressure than buying pressure in the stock.
The following are the findings from the chart:
The price of VEDANTA ITB stock has been declining since reaching its peak in april 2022.
The decline has been accompanied by increasing trading volume.
This suggests that there is more selling pressure than buying pressure in the stock.
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and this is not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.